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Short Trade on MSTR

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Short Trade on MSTR 24 Dec 2025 at 05:12:14

Take profit at 157.3042 (0.4 %) and Stop Loss at 158.2579 (0.2 %)

Short Trade on MSTR

The 24 Dec 2025 at 05:12:14

With 25.1644 MSTR at 157.94$ per unit.

Position size of 3974.4695 $

Take profit at 157.3042 (0.4 %) and Stop Loss at 158.2579 (0.2 %)

That's a 2 RR Trade

Results

Status:
loss
Trade Type:
sell
ML Trade Score: -70
ML Pullback Score: 4.59
Prediction Score: 2
Prediction 1 Probability
Weak Trade
0.79
Prediction 2 Probability
0 0.81
Prediction 3 Probability
1 0.75
BTC Market Regime Coin Market Regime

ml_regime : neutral

rules_regime : bear_medium

rules_regime_5m : range_low

1H_regime : bear_medium

15m_regime : range_low

5m_regime : range_low
BTC Correlation Score

5m : 0.430845

15m : -0.170305

1H : 0.083734

 1

Signal

CatchTheWave Signal - sell

Indicators:

  1. long_trend: -1
  2. short_kc: True
  3. short_kc_percentage: 0.08
  4. atr: 0.2119393983
Details
  1. score: 1.08
  2. 1H
  3. ema9 : 157.476
  4. ema21 : 158.498
  5. ema50 : 161.021
  6. ema100 : 162.98
  7. price_ema9_diff : 0.00294167
  8. ema9_ema21_diff : -0.00644428
  9. ema21_ema50_diff : -0.0156734
  10. price_ema100_diff : -0.0309276
  11. all_emas_in_trend : True
  12. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : False
  13. ema_slope_9 : -0.0685789
  14. ema_slope_21 : -0.122276
  15. ema_slope_50 : -0.113407
  16. ema_slope_100 : -0.0763231
  17. rsi : 0.398839
  18. adx : 0.432295
  19. kc_percentage : 0.379005
  20. kc_width_percentage : 0.0237145
  21. volume_ema_diff : -0.952208
  22. volume_ema1 : 15019.612964888
  23. volume_ema2 : 314271.24809332
  24. chop : 82.9482
  25. regime : bear_medium
    26. ¸
  26. 15m
  27. ema9 : 157.331
  28. ema21 : 157.302
  29. ema50 : 157.715
  30. ema100 : 158.817
  31. price_ema9_diff : 0.00386685
  32. ema9_ema21_diff : 0.000183989
  33. ema21_ema50_diff : -0.00261917
  34. price_ema100_diff : -0.00552627
  35. all_emas_in_trend : False
  36. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : False
  37. ema_slope_9 : 0.00935452
  38. ema_slope_21 : -0.00253289
  39. ema_slope_50 : -0.0149232
  40. ema_slope_100 : -0.0222695
  41. rsi : 0.612203
  42. adx : 0.152056
  43. kc_percentage : 0.915206
  44. kc_width_percentage : 0.0097862
  45. volume_ema_diff : -0.864246
  46. volume_ema1 : 4188.8185743185
  47. volume_ema2 : 30856.007633331
  48. chop : 40.2355
  49. regime : range_low
    50. ¸
  50. 5m
  51. ema9 : 157.512
  52. ema21 : 157.37
  53. ema50 : 157.297
  54. ema100 : 157.347
  55. price_ema9_diff : 0.00271691
  56. ema9_ema21_diff : 0.000901454
  57. ema21_ema50_diff : 0.000462502
  58. price_ema100_diff : 0.00376566
  59. all_emas_in_trend : True
  60. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : True
  61. ema_slope_9 : 0.0176922
  62. ema_slope_21 : 0.0104897
  63. ema_slope_50 : 0.00427384
  64. ema_slope_100 : 0.000981361
  65. rsi : 0.639814
  66. adx : 0.173906
  67. kc_percentage : 1.07972
  68. kc_width_percentage : 0.00614496
  69. volume_ema_diff : 0.377375
  70. volume_ema1 : 1878.0099655431
  71. volume_ema2 : 1363.4693697178
  72. chop : 20.824
  73. regime : range_low
    74. ¸
  74. btc_indicators
  75. btc_indicators
  76. 5m_ema100: 
    87055.2
  77. 5m_price_ema100_diff: 
    -0.000232913
  78. 5m_price: 
    87035
  79. 5m_correlation_with_coin: 
    0.430845
  80. btc_indicators
  81. 15m_ema100: 
    87288.7
  82. 15m_price_ema100_diff: 
    -0.00290726
  83. 15m_price: 
    87035
  84. 15m_correlation_with_coin: 
    -0.170305
  85. btc_indicators
  86. 1H_ema100: 
    88004.4
  87. 1H_price_ema100_diff: 
    -0.0110157
  88. 1H_price: 
    87035
  89. 1H_correlation_with_coin: 
    0.083734
    90. ¸
  90. market_structures
  91. market_structures
  92. 1H_version: 1.1
  93. 1H_market_structure: 
    Array
(
    [left_window] => 5
    [right_window] => 5
    [recent_pivots] => Array
        (
            [0] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-21 14:00:00
                    [1] => 165.75
                    [2] => H
                )

            [1] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-21 20:00:00
                    [1] => 168.2
                    [2] => H
                )

            [2] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-22 07:00:00
                    [1] => 171.12
                    [2] => H
                )

            [3] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-22 15:00:00
                    [1] => 164.07
                    [2] => L
                )

            [4] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-22 20:00:00
                    [1] => 165.98
                    [2] => H
                )

            [5] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-23 01:00:00
                    [1] => 162.5
                    [2] => L
                )

            [6] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-23 06:00:00
                    [1] => 164.13
                    [2] => H
                )

            [7] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-23 14:00:00
                    [1] => 156.9
                    [2] => L
                )

            [8] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-23 22:00:00
                    [1] => 156.61
                    [2] => L
                )

            [9] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-24 05:00:00
                    [1] => 158.27
                    [2] => H
                )

        )

    [detected_trend] => downtrend
    [features] => Array
        (
            [ms_trend_state] => -1
            [ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.24641435521578
            [ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 0.81093161356234
            [ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 0
            [ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 7
            [ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 1.0599578570972
            [ms_bos_up] => 0
            [ms_bos_down] => 1
            [ms_choch_up] => 0
            [ms_choch_down] => 0
        )

)
  94. market_structures
  95. 15m_version: 1.1
  96. 15m_market_structure: 
    Array
(
    [left_window] => 5
    [right_window] => 5
    [recent_pivots] => Array
        (
            [0] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-23 12:45:00
                    [1] => 157
                    [2] => L
                )

            [1] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-23 14:45:00
                    [1] => 156.9
                    [2] => L
                )

            [2] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-23 15:45:00
                    [1] => 159.39
                    [2] => H
                )

            [3] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-23 18:15:00
                    [1] => 157.44
                    [2] => L
                )

            [4] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-23 19:00:00
                    [1] => 158.52
                    [2] => H
                )

            [5] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-23 22:00:00
                    [1] => 156.61
                    [2] => L
                )

            [6] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-23 23:45:00
                    [1] => 157.82
                    [2] => H
                )

            [7] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-24 01:30:00
                    [1] => 156.88
                    [2] => L
                )

            [8] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-24 02:45:00
                    [1] => 157.52
                    [2] => H
                )

            [9] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-24 05:00:00
                    [1] => 158.27
                    [2] => H
                )

        )

    [detected_trend] => uptrend
    [features] => Array
        (
            [ms_trend_state] => 1
            [ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.24641435521578
            [ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 0.6374298827129
            [ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 0
            [ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 9
            [ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 0.47613001523616
            [ms_bos_up] => 1
            [ms_bos_down] => 0
            [ms_choch_up] => 0
            [ms_choch_down] => 0
        )

)
  97. market_structures
  98. 5m_version: 1.1
  99. 5m_market_structure: 
    Array
(
    [left_window] => 5
    [right_window] => 5
    [recent_pivots] => Array
        (
            [0] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-24 01:35:00
                    [1] => 157.04
                    [2] => H
                )

            [1] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-24 02:05:00
                    [1] => 156.89
                    [2] => L
                )

            [2] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-24 02:45:00
                    [1] => 157.52
                    [2] => H
                )

            [3] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-24 02:50:00
                    [1] => 156.88
                    [2] => L
                )

            [4] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-24 03:15:00
                    [1] => 157.39
                    [2] => H
                )

            [5] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-24 03:25:00
                    [1] => 157.39
                    [2] => H
                )

            [6] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-24 03:30:00
                    [1] => 156.93
                    [2] => L
                )

            [7] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-24 04:00:00
                    [1] => 157.36
                    [2] => H
                )

            [8] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-24 04:40:00
                    [1] => 157.12
                    [2] => L
                )

            [9] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-24 05:10:00
                    [1] => 158.27
                    [2] => H
                )

        )

    [detected_trend] => uptrend
    [features] => Array
        (
            [ms_trend_state] => 1
            [ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.24641435521578
            [ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 0.48370672097759
            [ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 0
            [ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 6
            [ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 0.73192464358452
            [ms_bos_up] => 1
            [ms_bos_down] => 0
            [ms_choch_up] => 0
            [ms_choch_down] => 0
        )

)
    100. ¸

Market Structure

Market Structure Score: 1

5M - uptrend

Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5

Market Structure Features:

Trend State
1
Dist From Last High Pct
-0.25%
Dist From Last Low Pct
0.48%
Bars Since Swing High
0 bars
Bars Since Swing Low
6 bars
Last Swing Amplitude Pct
0.73%
Bos Up
1
Bos Down
0
Choch Up
0
Choch Down
0

SL & TP Pivot Distance:

SL to Pivot Distance
0.0121
0.01%
TP to Pivot Distance
0.4242
0.27%
DateTime Price Type
2025-12-24 01:35:00 157.04 ↑ High
2025-12-24 02:05:00 156.89 ↓ Low
2025-12-24 02:45:00 157.52 ↑ High
2025-12-24 02:50:00 156.88 ↓ Low
2025-12-24 03:15:00 157.39 ↑ High
2025-12-24 03:25:00 157.39 ↑ High
2025-12-24 03:30:00 156.93 ↓ Low
2025-12-24 04:00:00 157.36 ↑ High
2025-12-24 04:40:00 157.12 ↓ Low
2025-12-24 05:10:00 158.27 ↑ High
15M - uptrend

Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5

Market Structure Features:

Trend State
1
Dist From Last High Pct
-0.25%
Dist From Last Low Pct
0.64%
Bars Since Swing High
0 bars
Bars Since Swing Low
9 bars
Last Swing Amplitude Pct
0.48%
Bos Up
1
Bos Down
0
Choch Up
0
Choch Down
0

SL & TP Pivot Distance:

SL to Pivot Distance
1.1321
0.72%
TP to Pivot Distance
0.6942
0.44%
DateTime Price Type
2025-12-23 12:45:00 157 ↓ Low
2025-12-23 14:45:00 156.9 ↓ Low
2025-12-23 15:45:00 159.39 ↑ High
2025-12-23 18:15:00 157.44 ↓ Low
2025-12-23 19:00:00 158.52 ↑ High
2025-12-23 22:00:00 156.61 ↓ Low
2025-12-23 23:45:00 157.82 ↑ High
2025-12-24 01:30:00 156.88 ↓ Low
2025-12-24 02:45:00 157.52 ↑ High
2025-12-24 05:00:00 158.27 ↑ High
1H - downtrend

Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5

Market Structure Features:

Trend State
-1
Dist From Last High Pct
-0.25%
Dist From Last Low Pct
0.81%
Bars Since Swing High
0 bars
Bars Since Swing Low
7 bars
Last Swing Amplitude Pct
1.06%
Bos Up
0
Bos Down
1
Choch Up
0
Choch Down
0

SL & TP Pivot Distance:

SL to Pivot Distance
12.8621
8.13%
TP to Pivot Distance
0.6942
0.44%
DateTime Price Type
2025-12-21 14:00:00 165.75 ↑ High
2025-12-21 20:00:00 168.2 ↑ High
2025-12-22 07:00:00 171.12 ↑ High
2025-12-22 15:00:00 164.07 ↓ Low
2025-12-22 20:00:00 165.98 ↑ High
2025-12-23 01:00:00 162.5 ↓ Low
2025-12-23 06:00:00 164.13 ↑ High
2025-12-23 14:00:00 156.9 ↓ Low
2025-12-23 22:00:00 156.61 ↓ Low
2025-12-24 05:00:00 158.27 ↑ High

📌 Time Data

Start at Closed at Duration
24 Dec 2025
05:12:14		 24 Dec 2025
07:35:00		 2 hours

📌 Entry & Exit

Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
157.94 158.2579 157.3042 2 133.08
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 157.94
  • Stop Loss: 158.2579
  • Take Profit: 157.3042

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 158.2579 - 157.94 = 0.31790000000001

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 157.94 - 157.3042 = 0.63579999999999

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.63579999999999 / 0.31790000000001 = 2

📌 Position Size

Amount Margin Quantity Leverage
3974.4695 100 25.1644 39.74
Details

1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade

Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade

Paramètres:

  • Account Size 100
  • Risk per trade 8 %

Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8

Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade

2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter

Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss

Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price

Paramètres:

  • Risk Amount 8
  • Distance Stop Loss 0.31790000000001

Taille de position = 8 / 0.31790000000001 = 25.17

Taille de position USD = 25.17 x 157.94 = 3975.35

Donc, tu peux acheter 25.17 avec un stoploss a 158.2579

Avec un position size USD de 3975.35$

3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle

Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss

Perte = 25.17 x 0.31790000000001 = 8

Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$

4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle

Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit

Perte = 25.17 x 0.63579999999999 = 16

Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 16$

Résumé

  • Taille de position 25.17
  • Taille de position USD 3975.35
  • Perte potentielle 8
  • Gain potentiel 16
  • Risk-Reward Ratio 2

📌 Peformances

TP % Target TP $ Target
0.4 % 16 $
SL % Target SL $ Target
0.2 % 8 $
PNL PNL %
-8 $ -0.20
Max Drawdown Max Drawdown / SL Ratio Candles in Entry
-0.2343 % 116.39 % 6

📌 ML Extra Data

Extra TP Data

                              Array
(
)
Extra SL data

                              Array
(
    [1.1] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 157.3042
            [entry_price] => 157.94
            [stop_loss] => 158.28969
            [rr_ratio] => 1.82
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.1
            [closed_at] => 2025-12-24 07:35:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [1.2] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 157.3042
            [entry_price] => 157.94
            [stop_loss] => 158.32148
            [rr_ratio] => 1.67
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.2
            [closed_at] => 2025-12-24 09:20:00
            [result] => win
        )

    [1.3] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 157.3042
            [entry_price] => 157.94
            [stop_loss] => 158.35327
            [rr_ratio] => 1.54
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.3
            [closed_at] => 2025-12-24 09:20:00
            [result] => win
        )

    [1.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 157.3042
            [entry_price] => 157.94
            [stop_loss] => 158.41685
            [rr_ratio] => 1.33
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.5
            [closed_at] => 2025-12-24 09:20:00
            [result] => win
        )

)
Extra Pullback data

                              Array
(
    [short_term] => Array
        (
            [max_gain] => 0.32999999999998
            [max_drawdown] => 0.28
            [rr_ratio] => 1.18
            [high] => 158.22000000
            [low] => 157.61000000
            [mfe_pct] => 0.21
            [mae_pct] => 0.18
            [mfe_mae_ratio] => 1.18
            [candles_analyzed] => 24
            [start_at] => 2025-12-24T05:12:14-05:00
            [end_at] => 2025-12-24T07:12:14-05:00
        )

    [long_term] => Array
        (
            [max_gain] => 2.44
            [max_drawdown] => 0.89000000000001
            [rr_ratio] => 2.74
            [high] => 158.83000000
            [low] => 155.50000000
            [mfe_pct] => 1.54
            [mae_pct] => 0.56
            [mfe_mae_ratio] => 2.74
            [candles_analyzed] => 84
            [start_at] => 2025-12-24T05:12:14-05:00
            [end_at] => 2025-12-24T12:12:14-05:00
        )

    [breakout] => Array
        (
            [high_before] => 158.27000000
            [high_after] => 158.31000000
            [low_before] => 156.88000000
            [low_after] => 155.50000000
            [is_new_high] => 
            [is_new_low] => 1
        )

)