Short Trade on TAO 24 Dec 2025 at 07:17:49
Take profit at 208.3683 (0.75 %) and Stop Loss at 210.7258 (0.37 %)
Short Trade on TAO 24 Dec 2025 at 07:17:49
Take profit at 208.3683 (0.75 %) and Stop Loss at 210.7258 (0.37 %)
Position size of 2137.2239 $
Take profit at 208.3683 (0.75 %) and Stop Loss at 210.7258 (0.37 %)
That's a 2 RR Trade| Prediction 1 | Probability |
|---|---|
|
Weak Trade
|
0.81 |
| Prediction 2 | Probability |
|---|---|
| 0 | 0.47 |
| Prediction 3 | Probability |
|---|---|
| 1 | 0.5 |
| BTC Market Regime | Coin Market Regime |
|---|---|
|
ml_regime : neutral rules_regime : bear_medium rules_regime_5m : range_low |
1H_regime : bear_high 15m_regime : range_medium 5m_regime : bull_low_confirmed |
| BTC Correlation | Score |
|---|---|
|
5m : 0.533819 15m : 0.062564 1H : 0.000674 |
1 |
Indicators:
87090.2
0.0031576
87365.2
0.533819
87321.5
0.000499824
87365.2
0.062564
87969.1
-0.00686509
87365.2
0.000674
Array
(
[left_window] => 5
[right_window] => 5
[recent_pivots] => Array
(
[0] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-21 08:00:00
[1] => 216.19
[2] => L
)
[1] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-21 16:00:00
[1] => 218.28
[2] => L
)
[2] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-21 19:00:00
[1] => 225.97
[2] => H
)
[3] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-22 08:00:00
[1] => 231.29
[2] => H
)
[4] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-22 14:00:00
[1] => 220.62
[2] => L
)
[5] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-23 08:00:00
[1] => 219.7
[2] => H
)
[6] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-23 09:00:00
[1] => 212.14
[2] => L
)
[7] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-23 15:00:00
[1] => 218.52
[2] => H
)
[8] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-24 02:00:00
[1] => 206.2
[2] => L
)
[9] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-24 07:00:00
[1] => 210.19
[2] => H
)
)
[detected_trend] => downtrend
[features] => Array
(
[ms_trend_state] => -1
[ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.36157762024834
[ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 1.5664403491756
[ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 0
[ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 5
[ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 1.9350145489816
[ms_bos_up] => 0
[ms_bos_down] => 1
[ms_choch_up] => 0
[ms_choch_down] => 0
)
)
Array
(
[left_window] => 5
[right_window] => 5
[recent_pivots] => Array
(
[0] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-23 14:00:00
[1] => 217.55
[2] => H
)
[1] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-23 15:00:00
[1] => 214.34
[2] => L
)
[2] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-23 15:45:00
[1] => 218.52
[2] => H
)
[3] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-23 17:30:00
[1] => 211.5
[2] => L
)
[4] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-23 19:00:00
[1] => 214.63
[2] => H
)
[5] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-23 19:15:00
[1] => 211.43
[2] => L
)
[6] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-23 21:45:00
[1] => 207.33
[2] => L
)
[7] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-23 23:00:00
[1] => 211.9
[2] => H
)
[8] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-24 02:15:00
[1] => 208.89
[2] => H
)
[9] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-24 07:15:00
[1] => 210.19
[2] => H
)
)
[detected_trend] => range
[features] => Array
(
[ms_trend_state] => 0
[ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.36157762024834
[ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 1.5664403491756
[ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 0
[ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 20
[ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 0.62233711522812
[ms_bos_up] => 1
[ms_bos_down] => 1
[ms_choch_up] => 0
[ms_choch_down] => 0
)
)
Array
(
[left_window] => 5
[right_window] => 5
[recent_pivots] => Array
(
[0] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-24 02:15:00
[1] => 208.89
[2] => H
)
[1] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-24 02:20:00
[1] => 206.2
[2] => L
)
[2] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-24 03:15:00
[1] => 208.5
[2] => H
)
[3] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-24 03:50:00
[1] => 206.58
[2] => L
)
[4] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-24 04:45:00
[1] => 206.75
[2] => L
)
[5] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-24 05:15:00
[1] => 206.91
[2] => L
)
[6] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-24 05:35:00
[1] => 208.19
[2] => H
)
[7] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-24 05:55:00
[1] => 206.86
[2] => L
)
[8] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-24 07:10:00
[1] => 208.77
[2] => L
)
[9] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-24 07:15:00
[1] => 210.19
[2] => H
)
)
[detected_trend] => uptrend
[features] => Array
(
[ms_trend_state] => 1
[ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.36157762024834
[ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 0.31613737605978
[ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 0
[ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 1
[ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 0.68017435455285
[ms_bos_up] => 1
[ms_bos_down] => 0
[ms_choch_up] => 1
[ms_choch_down] => 0
)
)
Market Structure Score: 1
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2025-12-24 02:15:00 | 208.89 | ↑ High |
| 2025-12-24 02:20:00 | 206.2 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-24 03:15:00 | 208.5 | ↑ High |
| 2025-12-24 03:50:00 | 206.58 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-24 04:45:00 | 206.75 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-24 05:15:00 | 206.91 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-24 05:35:00 | 208.19 | ↑ High |
| 2025-12-24 05:55:00 | 206.86 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-24 07:10:00 | 208.77 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-24 07:15:00 | 210.19 | ↑ High |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2025-12-23 14:00:00 | 217.55 | ↑ High |
| 2025-12-23 15:00:00 | 214.34 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-23 15:45:00 | 218.52 | ↑ High |
| 2025-12-23 17:30:00 | 211.5 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-23 19:00:00 | 214.63 | ↑ High |
| 2025-12-23 19:15:00 | 211.43 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-23 21:45:00 | 207.33 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-23 23:00:00 | 211.9 | ↑ High |
| 2025-12-24 02:15:00 | 208.89 | ↑ High |
| 2025-12-24 07:15:00 | 210.19 | ↑ High |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2025-12-21 08:00:00 | 216.19 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-21 16:00:00 | 218.28 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-21 19:00:00 | 225.97 | ↑ High |
| 2025-12-22 08:00:00 | 231.29 | ↑ High |
| 2025-12-22 14:00:00 | 220.62 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-23 08:00:00 | 219.7 | ↑ High |
| 2025-12-23 09:00:00 | 212.14 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-23 15:00:00 | 218.52 | ↑ High |
| 2025-12-24 02:00:00 | 206.2 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-24 07:00:00 | 210.19 | ↑ High |
| Start at | Closed at | Duration |
|---|---|---|
| 24 Dec 2025 07:17:49 |
24 Dec 2025 07:50:00 |
32 minutes |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 209.94 | 210.7258 | 208.3683 | 2 | 177.26 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 210.7258 - 209.94 = 0.78579999999999
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 209.94 - 208.3683 = 1.5717
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 1.5717 / 0.78579999999999 = 2.0001
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2137.2239 | 100 | 10.1802 | 21.37 |
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
Taille de position = 8 / 0.78579999999999 = 10.18
Taille de position USD = 10.18 x 209.94 = 2137.19
Donc, tu peux acheter 10.18 avec un stoploss a 210.7258
Avec un position size USD de 2137.19$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = 10.18 x 0.78579999999999 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = 10.18 x 1.5717 = 16
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 16$
Résumé
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.75 % | 16 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.37 % | 8 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| -8 $ | -0.37 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -0.7478 % | 199.79 % | 2 |
Array
(
)
Array
(
[1.1] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 208.3683
[entry_price] => 209.94
[stop_loss] => 210.80438
[rr_ratio] => 1.82
[sl_change_percentage] => 1.1
[closed_at] => 2025-12-24 07:50:00
[result] => loss
)
[1.2] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 208.3683
[entry_price] => 209.94
[stop_loss] => 210.88296
[rr_ratio] => 1.67
[sl_change_percentage] => 1.2
[closed_at] => 2025-12-24 07:50:00
[result] => loss
)
[1.3] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 208.3683
[entry_price] => 209.94
[stop_loss] => 210.96154
[rr_ratio] => 1.54
[sl_change_percentage] => 1.3
[closed_at] => 2025-12-24 07:50:00
[result] => loss
)
[1.5] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 208.3683
[entry_price] => 209.94
[stop_loss] => 211.1187
[rr_ratio] => 1.33
[sl_change_percentage] => 1.5
[closed_at] => 2025-12-24 07:50:00
[result] => loss
)
)
Array
(
[short_term] => Array
(
[max_gain] => 0.87
[max_drawdown] => 2.46
[rr_ratio] => 0.35
[high] => 212.40000000
[low] => 209.07000000
[mfe_pct] => 0.41
[mae_pct] => 1.17
[mfe_mae_ratio] => 0.35
[candles_analyzed] => 24
[start_at] => 2025-12-24T07:17:49-05:00
[end_at] => 2025-12-24T09:17:49-05:00
)
[long_term] => Array
(
[max_gain] => 0.91999999999999
[max_drawdown] => 10.05
[rr_ratio] => 0.09
[high] => 219.99000000
[low] => 209.02000000
[mfe_pct] => 0.44
[mae_pct] => 4.79
[mfe_mae_ratio] => 0.09
[candles_analyzed] => 84
[start_at] => 2025-12-24T07:17:49-05:00
[end_at] => 2025-12-24T14:17:49-05:00
)
[breakout] => Array
(
[high_before] => 210.19000000
[high_after] => 219.99000000
[low_before] => 206.58000000
[low_after] => 209.02000000
[is_new_high] =>
[is_new_low] =>
)
)