Short Trade on POLYX 24 Dec 2025 at 09:43:04
Take profit at 0.05278 (1.07 %) and Stop Loss at 0.05364 (0.54 %)
Short Trade on POLYX 24 Dec 2025 at 09:43:04
Take profit at 0.05278 (1.07 %) and Stop Loss at 0.05364 (0.54 %)
Position size of 1490.3919 $
Take profit at 0.05278 (1.07 %) and Stop Loss at 0.05364 (0.54 %)
That's a 1.97 RR Trade| Prediction 1 | Probability |
|---|---|
|
Weak Trade
|
0.59 |
| Prediction 2 | Probability |
|---|---|
| 0 | 0.5 |
| Prediction 3 | Probability |
|---|---|
| 0 | 0.51 |
| BTC Market Regime | Coin Market Regime |
|---|---|
|
ml_regime : neutral rules_regime : bear_medium rules_regime_5m : range_low |
1H_regime : bear_high 15m_regime : range_medium 5m_regime : bull_low |
| BTC Correlation | Score |
|---|---|
|
5m : 0.392951 15m : 0.135169 1H : 0.051994 |
1 |
Indicators:
87116
-0.000947263
87033.5
0.392951
87282.3
-0.00260126
87055.3
0.135169
87945.2
-0.0103677
87033.5
0.051994
Array
(
[left_window] => 5
[right_window] => 5
[recent_pivots] => Array
(
[0] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-21 16:00:00
[1] => 0.04723
[2] => L
)
[1] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-21 20:00:00
[1] => 0.05765
[2] => H
)
[2] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-22 03:00:00
[1] => 0.05246
[2] => L
)
[3] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-22 06:00:00
[1] => 0.06426
[2] => H
)
[4] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-22 15:00:00
[1] => 0.05621
[2] => L
)
[5] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-22 19:00:00
[1] => 0.06189
[2] => H
)
[6] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-23 09:00:00
[1] => 0.05246
[2] => L
)
[7] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-23 19:00:00
[1] => 0.05674
[2] => H
)
[8] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-24 04:00:00
[1] => 0.05144
[2] => L
)
[9] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-24 09:00:00
[1] => 0.05335
[2] => H
)
)
[detected_trend] => downtrend
[features] => Array
(
[ms_trend_state] => -1
[ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.2249297094658
[ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 3.4797822706065
[ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 0
[ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 5
[ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 3.7130637636081
[ms_bos_up] => 0
[ms_bos_down] => 1
[ms_choch_up] => 0
[ms_choch_down] => 0
)
)
Array
(
[left_window] => 5
[right_window] => 5
[recent_pivots] => Array
(
[0] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-23 19:00:00
[1] => 0.05674
[2] => H
)
[1] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-23 19:30:00
[1] => 0.0534
[2] => L
)
[2] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-23 20:30:00
[1] => 0.05648
[2] => H
)
[3] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-23 21:30:00
[1] => 0.05313
[2] => L
)
[4] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-23 23:00:00
[1] => 0.05261
[2] => L
)
[5] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-24 01:00:00
[1] => 0.05401
[2] => H
)
[6] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-24 04:45:00
[1] => 0.05144
[2] => L
)
[7] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-24 07:30:00
[1] => 0.05295
[2] => H
)
[8] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-24 08:45:00
[1] => 0.05243
[2] => L
)
[9] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-24 09:30:00
[1] => 0.05335
[2] => H
)
)
[detected_trend] => uptrend
[features] => Array
(
[ms_trend_state] => 1
[ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.2249297094658
[ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 1.5258439824528
[ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 0
[ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 3
[ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 1.7547205798207
[ms_bos_up] => 1
[ms_bos_down] => 0
[ms_choch_up] => 1
[ms_choch_down] => 0
)
)
Array
(
[left_window] => 5
[right_window] => 5
[recent_pivots] => Array
(
[0] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-24 03:35:00
[1] => 0.05286
[2] => H
)
[1] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-24 04:15:00
[1] => 0.05224
[2] => L
)
[2] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-24 04:20:00
[1] => 0.05269
[2] => H
)
[3] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-24 04:55:00
[1] => 0.05144
[2] => L
)
[4] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-24 06:50:00
[1] => 0.05273
[2] => H
)
[5] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-24 07:40:00
[1] => 0.05295
[2] => H
)
[6] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-24 08:00:00
[1] => 0.05262
[2] => L
)
[7] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-24 08:30:00
[1] => 0.05278
[2] => H
)
[8] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-24 08:55:00
[1] => 0.05243
[2] => L
)
[9] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-24 09:40:00
[1] => 0.05335
[2] => H
)
)
[detected_trend] => range
[features] => Array
(
[ms_trend_state] => 0
[ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.2249297094658
[ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 1.5258439824528
[ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 0
[ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 9
[ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 1.7547205798207
[ms_bos_up] => 1
[ms_bos_down] => 1
[ms_choch_up] => 0
[ms_choch_down] => 0
)
)
Market Structure Score: 1
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2025-12-24 03:35:00 | 0.05286 | ↑ High |
| 2025-12-24 04:15:00 | 0.05224 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-24 04:20:00 | 0.05269 | ↑ High |
| 2025-12-24 04:55:00 | 0.05144 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-24 06:50:00 | 0.05273 | ↑ High |
| 2025-12-24 07:40:00 | 0.05295 | ↑ High |
| 2025-12-24 08:00:00 | 0.05262 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-24 08:30:00 | 0.05278 | ↑ High |
| 2025-12-24 08:55:00 | 0.05243 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-24 09:40:00 | 0.05335 | ↑ High |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2025-12-23 19:00:00 | 0.05674 | ↑ High |
| 2025-12-23 19:30:00 | 0.0534 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-23 20:30:00 | 0.05648 | ↑ High |
| 2025-12-23 21:30:00 | 0.05313 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-23 23:00:00 | 0.05261 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-24 01:00:00 | 0.05401 | ↑ High |
| 2025-12-24 04:45:00 | 0.05144 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-24 07:30:00 | 0.05295 | ↑ High |
| 2025-12-24 08:45:00 | 0.05243 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-24 09:30:00 | 0.05335 | ↑ High |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2025-12-21 16:00:00 | 0.04723 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-21 20:00:00 | 0.05765 | ↑ High |
| 2025-12-22 03:00:00 | 0.05246 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-22 06:00:00 | 0.06426 | ↑ High |
| 2025-12-22 15:00:00 | 0.05621 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-22 19:00:00 | 0.06189 | ↑ High |
| 2025-12-23 09:00:00 | 0.05246 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-23 19:00:00 | 0.05674 | ↑ High |
| 2025-12-24 04:00:00 | 0.05144 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-24 09:00:00 | 0.05335 | ↑ High |
| Start at | Closed at | Duration |
|---|---|---|
| 24 Dec 2025 09:43:04 |
24 Dec 2025 12:50:00 |
3 hours |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.05335 | 0.05364 | 0.05278 | 1.97 | 0.04121 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.05364 - 0.05335 = 0.00029
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.05335 - 0.05278 = 0.00057
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.00057 / 0.00029 = 1.9655
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1490.3919 | 100 | 27936.1187 | 14.90 |
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
Taille de position = 8 / 0.00029 = 27586.21
Taille de position USD = 27586.21 x 0.05335 = 1471.72
Donc, tu peux acheter 27586.21 avec un stoploss a 0.05364
Avec un position size USD de 1471.72$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = 27586.21 x 0.00029 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = 27586.21 x 0.00057 = 15.72
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 15.72$
Résumé
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 1.07 % | 15.92 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.54 % | 8.1 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| 15.92 $ | 1.07 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -0.5248 % | 96.54 % | 11 |
Array
(
[2] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 0.05277
[stop_loss] => 0.05364
[rr_ratio] => 2
[closed_at] => 2025-12-24 12:50:00
[result] => win
)
)
Array
(
)
Array
(
[short_term] => Array
(
[max_gain] => 0.0004
[max_drawdown] => 0.00028
[rr_ratio] => 1.43
[high] => 0.05363000
[low] => 0.05295000
[mfe_pct] => 0.75
[mae_pct] => 0.52
[mfe_mae_ratio] => 1.43
[candles_analyzed] => 24
[start_at] => 2025-12-24T09:43:04-05:00
[end_at] => 2025-12-24T11:43:04-05:00
)
[long_term] => Array
(
[max_gain] => 0.00069
[max_drawdown] => 0.00028
[rr_ratio] => 2.46
[high] => 0.05363000
[low] => 0.05266000
[mfe_pct] => 1.29
[mae_pct] => 0.52
[mfe_mae_ratio] => 2.46
[candles_analyzed] => 84
[start_at] => 2025-12-24T09:43:04-05:00
[end_at] => 2025-12-24T16:43:04-05:00
)
[breakout] => Array
(
[high_before] => 0.05335000
[high_after] => 0.05363000
[low_before] => 0.05203000
[low_after] => 0.05266000
[is_new_high] =>
[is_new_low] =>
)
)