Short Trade on RIVER 24 Dec 2025 at 16:27:08

Take profit at 3.4429 (5.8 %) and Stop Loss at 3.761 (2.9 %)

Short Trade on RIVER

The 24 Dec 2025 at 16:27:08

With 75.4367 RIVER at 3.655$ per unit.

Position size of 275.7212 $

Take profit at 3.4429 (5.8 %) and Stop Loss at 3.761 (2.9 %)

That's a 2 RR Trade

Results

Status:
win
Trade Type:
sell
ML Trade Score: 70
ML Pullback Score: 8
Prediction Score: 0
Prediction 1 Probability
Weak Trade
0.83
Prediction 2 Probability
0 0.77
Prediction 3 Probability
0 0.53
BTC Market Regime Coin Market Regime

ml_regime : neutral

rules_regime : range_medium

rules_regime_5m : range_low

1H_regime : bear_high

15m_regime : bear_high

5m_regime : bull_high

BTC Correlation Score

5m : 0.003788

15m : 0.160823

1H : -0.031701

0

Signal

CatchTheWave Signal - sell

Indicators:

  1. long_trend: -1
  2. short_kc: True
  3. short_kc_percentage: 0.37
  4. atr: 0.07069944673
Details
  1. score: 1.37
  2. 1H
  3. ema9 : 3.52036
  4. ema21 : 3.85994
  5. ema50 : 4.32827
  6. ema100 : 4.51119
  7. price_ema9_diff : 0.0382434
  8. ema9_ema21_diff : -0.0879747
  9. ema21_ema50_diff : -0.108201
  10. price_ema100_diff : -0.189793
  11. all_emas_in_trend : True
  12. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : False
  13. ema_slope_9 : -1.78771
  14. ema_slope_21 : -1.45427
  15. ema_slope_50 : -0.879949
  16. ema_slope_100 : -0.474289
  17. rsi : 0.411293
  18. adx : 0.453827
  19. kc_percentage : 0.316105
  20. kc_width_percentage : 0.266108
  21. volume_ema_diff : 0.0671638
  22. volume_ema1 : 493275.35797911
  23. volume_ema2 : 462230.21919676
  24. chop : 38.579
  25. regime : bear_high
  26. ¸
  27. 15m
  28. ema9 : 3.37251
  29. ema21 : 3.39735
  30. ema50 : 3.62758
  31. ema100 : 3.95052
  32. price_ema9_diff : 0.0837597
  33. ema9_ema21_diff : -0.00730898
  34. ema21_ema50_diff : -0.0634673
  35. price_ema100_diff : -0.0748065
  36. all_emas_in_trend : True
  37. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : False
  38. ema_slope_9 : -0.1362
  39. ema_slope_21 : -0.312284
  40. ema_slope_50 : -0.408074
  41. ema_slope_100 : -0.345213
  42. rsi : 0.588635
  43. adx : 0.347675
  44. kc_percentage : 1.10235
  45. kc_width_percentage : 0.119546
  46. volume_ema_diff : -0.0592506
  47. volume_ema1 : 105886.60058997
  48. volume_ema2 : 112555.59262846
  49. chop : 46.5113
  50. regime : bear_high
  51. ¸
  52. 5m
  53. ema9 : 3.47866
  54. ema21 : 3.38301
  55. ema50 : 3.36887
  56. ema100 : 3.40813
  57. price_ema9_diff : 0.0506907
  58. ema9_ema21_diff : 0.0282731
  59. ema21_ema50_diff : 0.0041985
  60. price_ema100_diff : 0.0724341
  61. all_emas_in_trend : True
  62. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : True
  63. ema_slope_9 : 0.621873
  64. ema_slope_21 : 0.296987
  65. ema_slope_50 : 0.0633545
  66. ema_slope_100 : -0.00517846
  67. rsi : 0.823309
  68. adx : 0.367537
  69. kc_percentage : 1.37304
  70. kc_width_percentage : 0.0840586
  71. volume_ema_diff : 1.4925
  72. volume_ema1 : 125878.85967546
  73. volume_ema2 : 50502.947154596
  74. chop : 16.0158
  75. regime : bull_high
  76. ¸
  77. btc_indicators
  78. btc_indicators
  79. 5m_ema100:
    87378.6
  80. 5m_price_ema100_diff:
    0.00303565
  81. 5m_price:
    87643.9
  82. 5m_correlation_with_coin:
    0.003788
  83. btc_indicators
  84. 15m_ema100:
    87387.3
  85. 15m_price_ema100_diff:
    0.00220851
  86. 15m_price:
    87580.3
  87. 15m_correlation_with_coin:
    0.160823
  88. btc_indicators
  89. 1H_ema100:
    87877.2
  90. 1H_price_ema100_diff:
    -0.00265524
  91. 1H_price:
    87643.9
  92. 1H_correlation_with_coin:
    -0.031701
  93. ¸
  94. market_structures
  95. market_structures
  96. 1H_version: 1.1
  97. 1H_market_structure:
    Array
    (
        [left_window] => 5
        [right_window] => 5
        [recent_pivots] => Array
            (
                [0] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-22 00:00:00
                        [1] => 5.836
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [1] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-22 08:00:00
                        [1] => 5.746
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [2] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-22 09:00:00
                        [1] => 5.153
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [3] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-22 17:00:00
                        [1] => 5.869
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [4] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-22 20:00:00
                        [1] => 5.31
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [5] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-23 11:00:00
                        [1] => 4.464
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [6] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-23 17:00:00
                        [1] => 4.506
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [7] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-23 19:00:00
                        [1] => 5.211
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [8] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-24 14:00:00
                        [1] => 3.185
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [9] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-24 16:00:00
                        [1] => 3.718
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
            )
    
        [detected_trend] => downtrend
        [features] => Array
            (
                [ms_trend_state] => -1
                [ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -1.2910166756321
                [ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 15.227629513344
                [ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 0
                [ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 2
                [ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 16.734693877551
                [ms_bos_up] => 0
                [ms_bos_down] => 1
                [ms_choch_up] => 0
                [ms_choch_down] => 0
            )
    
    )
    
  98. market_structures
  99. 15m_version: 1.1
  100. 15m_market_structure:
    Array
    (
        [left_window] => 5
        [right_window] => 5
        [recent_pivots] => Array
            (
                [0] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-23 19:15:00
                        [1] => 5.211
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [1] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-23 21:30:00
                        [1] => 5.104
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [2] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-23 23:45:00
                        [1] => 4.415
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [3] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-24 02:00:00
                        [1] => 4.65
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [4] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-24 02:45:00
                        [1] => 4.247
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [5] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-24 04:00:00
                        [1] => 4.48
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [6] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-24 09:00:00
                        [1] => 3.336
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [7] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-24 09:45:00
                        [1] => 3.679
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [8] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-24 14:45:00
                        [1] => 3.185
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [9] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-24 16:15:00
                        [1] => 3.718
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
            )
    
        [detected_trend] => range
        [features] => Array
            (
                [ms_trend_state] => 0
                [ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -1.2910166756321
                [ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 15.227629513344
                [ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 0
                [ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 6
                [ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 16.734693877551
                [ms_bos_up] => 1
                [ms_bos_down] => 1
                [ms_choch_up] => 0
                [ms_choch_down] => 0
            )
    
    )
    
  101. market_structures
  102. 5m_version: 1.1
  103. 5m_market_structure:
    Array
    (
        [left_window] => 5
        [right_window] => 5
        [recent_pivots] => Array
            (
                [0] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-24 09:50:00
                        [1] => 3.679
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [1] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-24 10:20:00
                        [1] => 3.499
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [2] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-24 10:55:00
                        [1] => 3.504
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [3] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-24 11:30:00
                        [1] => 3.593
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [4] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-24 13:25:00
                        [1] => 3.289
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [5] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-24 13:30:00
                        [1] => 3.442
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [6] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-24 14:50:00
                        [1] => 3.185
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [7] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-24 15:05:00
                        [1] => 3.185
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [8] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-24 15:15:00
                        [1] => 3.328
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [9] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-24 16:20:00
                        [1] => 3.718
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
            )
    
        [detected_trend] => range
        [features] => Array
            (
                [ms_trend_state] => 0
                [ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -1.2910166756321
                [ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 15.227629513344
                [ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 1
                [ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 16
                [ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 11.71875
                [ms_bos_up] => 1
                [ms_bos_down] => 0
                [ms_choch_up] => 0
                [ms_choch_down] => 0
            )
    
    )
    
  104. ¸

Market Structure

Market Structure Score: 1

5M - range

Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5

Market Structure Features:

Trend State
0
Dist From Last High Pct
-1.29%
Dist From Last Low Pct
15.23%
Bars Since Swing High
1 bars
Bars Since Swing Low
16 bars
Last Swing Amplitude Pct
11.72%
Bos Up
1
Bos Down
0
Choch Up
0
Choch Down
0

SL & TP Pivot Distance:

SL to Pivot Distance
0.0430
1.14%
TP to Pivot Distance
0.2579
7.49%
DateTime Price Type
2025-12-24 09:50:00 3.679 ↑ High
2025-12-24 10:20:00 3.499 ↓ Low
2025-12-24 10:55:00 3.504 ↓ Low
2025-12-24 11:30:00 3.593 ↑ High
2025-12-24 13:25:00 3.289 ↓ Low
2025-12-24 13:30:00 3.442 ↑ High
2025-12-24 14:50:00 3.185 ↓ Low
2025-12-24 15:05:00 3.185 ↓ Low
2025-12-24 15:15:00 3.328 ↑ High
2025-12-24 16:20:00 3.718 ↑ High
15M - range

Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5

Market Structure Features:

Trend State
0
Dist From Last High Pct
-1.29%
Dist From Last Low Pct
15.23%
Bars Since Swing High
0 bars
Bars Since Swing Low
6 bars
Last Swing Amplitude Pct
16.73%
Bos Up
1
Bos Down
1
Choch Up
0
Choch Down
0

SL & TP Pivot Distance:

SL to Pivot Distance
1.4500
38.55%
TP to Pivot Distance
0.2579
7.49%
DateTime Price Type
2025-12-23 19:15:00 5.211 ↑ High
2025-12-23 21:30:00 5.104 ↑ High
2025-12-23 23:45:00 4.415 ↓ Low
2025-12-24 02:00:00 4.65 ↑ High
2025-12-24 02:45:00 4.247 ↓ Low
2025-12-24 04:00:00 4.48 ↑ High
2025-12-24 09:00:00 3.336 ↓ Low
2025-12-24 09:45:00 3.679 ↑ High
2025-12-24 14:45:00 3.185 ↓ Low
2025-12-24 16:15:00 3.718 ↑ High
1H - downtrend

Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5

Market Structure Features:

Trend State
-1
Dist From Last High Pct
-1.29%
Dist From Last Low Pct
15.23%
Bars Since Swing High
0 bars
Bars Since Swing Low
2 bars
Last Swing Amplitude Pct
16.73%
Bos Up
0
Bos Down
1
Choch Up
0
Choch Down
0

SL & TP Pivot Distance:

SL to Pivot Distance
2.1080
56.05%
TP to Pivot Distance
0.2579
7.49%
DateTime Price Type
2025-12-22 00:00:00 5.836 ↑ High
2025-12-22 08:00:00 5.746 ↑ High
2025-12-22 09:00:00 5.153 ↓ Low
2025-12-22 17:00:00 5.869 ↑ High
2025-12-22 20:00:00 5.31 ↓ Low
2025-12-23 11:00:00 4.464 ↓ Low
2025-12-23 17:00:00 4.506 ↓ Low
2025-12-23 19:00:00 5.211 ↑ High
2025-12-24 14:00:00 3.185 ↓ Low
2025-12-24 16:00:00 3.718 ↑ High

📌 Time Data

Start at Closed at Duration
24 Dec 2025
16:27:08
24 Dec 2025
16:50:00
22 minutes

📌 Entry & Exit

Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
3.655 3.761 3.4429 2 12.622
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 3.655
  • Stop Loss: 3.761
  • Take Profit: 3.4429

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 3.761 - 3.655 = 0.106

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 3.655 - 3.4429 = 0.2121

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.2121 / 0.106 = 2.0009

📌 Position Size

Amount Margin Quantity Leverage
275.7212 100 75.4367 2.76
Details

1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade

Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade

Paramètres:

  • Account Size 100
  • Risk per trade 8 %

Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8

Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade

2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter

Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss

Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price

Paramètres:

  • Risk Amount 8
  • Distance Stop Loss 0.106

Taille de position = 8 / 0.106 = 75.47

Taille de position USD = 75.47 x 3.655 = 275.84

Donc, tu peux acheter 75.47 avec un stoploss a 3.761

Avec un position size USD de 275.84$

3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle

Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss

Perte = 75.47 x 0.106 = 8

Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$

4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle

Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit

Perte = 75.47 x 0.2121 = 16.01

Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 16.01$

Résumé

  • Taille de position 75.47
  • Taille de position USD 275.84
  • Perte potentielle 8
  • Gain potentiel 16.01
  • Risk-Reward Ratio 2.0009

📌 Peformances

TP % Target TP $ Target
5.8 % 16 $
SL % Target SL $ Target
2.9 % 8 $
PNL PNL %
16 $ 5.80
Max Drawdown Max Drawdown / SL Ratio Candles in Entry
-0.985 % 33.96 % 1

📌 ML Extra Data

Extra TP Data

                              Array
(
    [2] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 3.443
            [stop_loss] => 3.761
            [rr_ratio] => 2
            [closed_at] => 2025-12-24 16:50:00
            [result] => win
        )

    [2.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 3.39
            [stop_loss] => 3.761
            [rr_ratio] => 2.5
            [closed_at] => 2025-12-24 17:15:00
            [result] => win
        )

    [3] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 3.337
            [stop_loss] => 3.761
            [rr_ratio] => 3
            [closed_at] => 2025-12-24 21:20:00
            [result] => win
        )

    [3.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 3.284
            [stop_loss] => 3.761
            [rr_ratio] => 3.5
            [closed_at] => 2025-12-24 21:30:00
            [result] => win
        )

)
Extra SL data

                              Array
(
)
Extra Pullback data

                              Array
(
    [short_term] => Array
        (
            [max_gain] => 0.271
            [max_drawdown] => 0.036
            [rr_ratio] => 7.53
            [high] => 3.69100000
            [low] => 3.38400000
            [mfe_pct] => 7.41
            [mae_pct] => 0.98
            [mfe_mae_ratio] => 7.53
            [candles_analyzed] => 24
            [start_at] => 2025-12-24T16:27:08-05:00
            [end_at] => 2025-12-24T18:27:08-05:00
        )

    [long_term] => Array
        (
            [max_gain] => 0.42
            [max_drawdown] => 0.036
            [rr_ratio] => 11.67
            [high] => 3.69100000
            [low] => 3.23500000
            [mfe_pct] => 11.49
            [mae_pct] => 0.98
            [mfe_mae_ratio] => 11.67
            [candles_analyzed] => 84
            [start_at] => 2025-12-24T16:27:08-05:00
            [end_at] => 2025-12-24T23:27:08-05:00
        )

    [breakout] => Array
        (
            [high_before] => 3.71800000
            [high_after] => 3.69100000
            [low_before] => 3.18500000
            [low_after] => 3.25800000
            [is_new_high] => 
            [is_new_low] => 
        )

)