Short Trade on FIL 24 Dec 2025 at 17:38:41
Take profit at 1.2711 (0.54 %) and Stop Loss at 1.2814 (0.27 %)
Short Trade on FIL 24 Dec 2025 at 17:38:41
Take profit at 1.2711 (0.54 %) and Stop Loss at 1.2814 (0.27 %)
Position size of 2969.4375 $
Take profit at 1.2711 (0.54 %) and Stop Loss at 1.2814 (0.27 %)
That's a 2.03 RR Trade| Prediction 1 | Probability |
|---|---|
|
Weak Trade
|
0.79 |
| Prediction 2 | Probability |
|---|---|
| 0 | 0.72 |
| Prediction 3 | Probability |
|---|---|
| 0 | 0.79 |
| BTC Market Regime | Coin Market Regime |
|---|---|
|
ml_regime : neutral rules_regime : range_medium rules_regime_5m : range_low |
1H_regime : bear_high 15m_regime : range_medium 5m_regime : range_low |
| BTC Correlation | Score |
|---|---|
|
5m : 0.704737 15m : -0.091268 1H : 0.013942 |
0 |
Indicators:
87470.3
0.00522
87926.9
0.704737
87364.7
0.00613056
87900.3
-0.091268
87867.8
0.000671618
87926.9
0.013942
Array
(
[left_window] => 5
[right_window] => 5
[recent_pivots] => Array
(
[0] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-21 20:00:00
[1] => 1.3
[2] => H
)
[1] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-22 03:00:00
[1] => 1.324
[2] => H
)
[2] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-22 09:00:00
[1] => 1.331
[2] => H
)
[3] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-22 15:00:00
[1] => 1.276
[2] => L
)
[4] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-23 01:00:00
[1] => 1.268
[2] => L
)
[5] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-23 15:00:00
[1] => 1.351
[2] => H
)
[6] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-24 03:00:00
[1] => 1.261
[2] => L
)
[7] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-24 08:00:00
[1] => 1.286
[2] => H
)
[8] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-24 09:00:00
[1] => 1.263
[2] => L
)
[9] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-24 17:00:00
[1] => 1.28
[2] => H
)
)
[detected_trend] => range
[features] => Array
(
[ms_trend_state] => 0
[ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => 0
[ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 1.3460015835313
[ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 0
[ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 8
[ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 1.3460015835313
[ms_bos_up] => 0
[ms_bos_down] => 0
[ms_choch_up] => 0
[ms_choch_down] => 0
)
)
Array
(
[left_window] => 5
[right_window] => 5
[recent_pivots] => Array
(
[0] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-24 03:30:00
[1] => 1.261
[2] => L
)
[1] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-24 06:00:00
[1] => 1.282
[2] => H
)
[2] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-24 08:00:00
[1] => 1.286
[2] => H
)
[3] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-24 09:30:00
[1] => 1.263
[2] => L
)
[4] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-24 11:30:00
[1] => 1.284
[2] => H
)
[5] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-24 13:00:00
[1] => 1.265
[2] => L
)
[6] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-24 14:45:00
[1] => 1.278
[2] => H
)
[7] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-24 15:15:00
[1] => 1.278
[2] => H
)
[8] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-24 16:00:00
[1] => 1.269
[2] => L
)
[9] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-24 17:30:00
[1] => 1.28
[2] => H
)
)
[detected_trend] => uptrend
[features] => Array
(
[ms_trend_state] => 1
[ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => 0
[ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 0.8668242710796
[ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 0
[ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 6
[ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 0.8668242710796
[ms_bos_up] => 1
[ms_bos_down] => 0
[ms_choch_up] => 0
[ms_choch_down] => 0
)
)
Array
(
[left_window] => 5
[right_window] => 5
[recent_pivots] => Array
(
[0] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-24 14:50:00
[1] => 1.278
[2] => H
)
[1] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-24 15:00:00
[1] => 1.278
[2] => H
)
[2] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-24 15:10:00
[1] => 1.278
[2] => H
)
[3] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-24 15:20:00
[1] => 1.278
[2] => H
)
[4] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-24 15:30:00
[1] => 1.278
[2] => H
)
[5] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-24 16:05:00
[1] => 1.269
[2] => L
)
[6] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-24 16:20:00
[1] => 1.269
[2] => L
)
[7] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-24 16:35:00
[1] => 1.272
[2] => H
)
[8] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-24 16:50:00
[1] => 1.27
[2] => L
)
[9] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-24 17:30:00
[1] => 1.28
[2] => H
)
)
[detected_trend] => uptrend
[features] => Array
(
[ms_trend_state] => 1
[ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => 0
[ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 0.78740157480315
[ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 1
[ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 9
[ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 0.78740157480315
[ms_bos_up] => 1
[ms_bos_down] => 0
[ms_choch_up] => 0
[ms_choch_down] => 0
)
)
Market Structure Score: 0
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2025-12-24 14:50:00 | 1.278 | ↑ High |
| 2025-12-24 15:00:00 | 1.278 | ↑ High |
| 2025-12-24 15:10:00 | 1.278 | ↑ High |
| 2025-12-24 15:20:00 | 1.278 | ↑ High |
| 2025-12-24 15:30:00 | 1.278 | ↑ High |
| 2025-12-24 16:05:00 | 1.269 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-24 16:20:00 | 1.269 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-24 16:35:00 | 1.272 | ↑ High |
| 2025-12-24 16:50:00 | 1.27 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-24 17:30:00 | 1.28 | ↑ High |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2025-12-24 03:30:00 | 1.261 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-24 06:00:00 | 1.282 | ↑ High |
| 2025-12-24 08:00:00 | 1.286 | ↑ High |
| 2025-12-24 09:30:00 | 1.263 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-24 11:30:00 | 1.284 | ↑ High |
| 2025-12-24 13:00:00 | 1.265 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-24 14:45:00 | 1.278 | ↑ High |
| 2025-12-24 15:15:00 | 1.278 | ↑ High |
| 2025-12-24 16:00:00 | 1.269 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-24 17:30:00 | 1.28 | ↑ High |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2025-12-21 20:00:00 | 1.3 | ↑ High |
| 2025-12-22 03:00:00 | 1.324 | ↑ High |
| 2025-12-22 09:00:00 | 1.331 | ↑ High |
| 2025-12-22 15:00:00 | 1.276 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-23 01:00:00 | 1.268 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-23 15:00:00 | 1.351 | ↑ High |
| 2025-12-24 03:00:00 | 1.261 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-24 08:00:00 | 1.286 | ↑ High |
| 2025-12-24 09:00:00 | 1.263 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-24 17:00:00 | 1.28 | ↑ High |
| Start at | Closed at | Duration |
|---|---|---|
| 24 Dec 2025 17:38:41 |
24 Dec 2025 18:00:00 |
21 minutes |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1.278 | 1.2814 | 1.2711 | 2.03 | 0.9869 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 1.2814 - 1.278 = 0.0034000000000001
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 1.278 - 1.2711 = 0.0069000000000001
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.0069000000000001 / 0.0034000000000001 = 2.0294
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2969.4375 | 100 | 2323.5035 | 29.69 |
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
Taille de position = 8 / 0.0034000000000001 = 2352.94
Taille de position USD = 2352.94 x 1.278 = 3007.06
Donc, tu peux acheter 2352.94 avec un stoploss a 1.2814
Avec un position size USD de 3007.06$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = 2352.94 x 0.0034000000000001 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = 2352.94 x 0.0069000000000001 = 16.24
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 16.24$
Résumé
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.54 % | 16.03 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.27 % | 7.9 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| 16.03 $ | 0.54 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -0.1565 % | 58.83 % | 4 |
Array
(
[2] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 1.2712
[stop_loss] => 1.2814
[rr_ratio] => 2
[closed_at] => 2025-12-24 18:00:00
[result] => win
)
[2.5] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 1.2695
[stop_loss] => 1.2814
[rr_ratio] => 2.5
[closed_at] => 2025-12-24 18:00:00
[result] => win
)
[3] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 1.2678
[stop_loss] => 1.2814
[rr_ratio] => 3
[closed_at] => 2025-12-24 21:40:00
[result] => loss
)
[3.5] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 1.2661
[stop_loss] => 1.2814
[rr_ratio] => 3.5
[closed_at] => 2025-12-24 21:40:00
[result] => loss
)
[4] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 1.2644
[stop_loss] => 1.2814
[rr_ratio] => 4
[closed_at] => 2025-12-24 21:40:00
[result] => loss
)
[4.5] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 1.2627
[stop_loss] => 1.2814
[rr_ratio] => 4.5
[closed_at] => 2025-12-24 21:40:00
[result] => loss
)
[5] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 1.261
[stop_loss] => 1.2814
[rr_ratio] => 5
[closed_at] => 2025-12-24 21:40:00
[result] => loss
)
[5.5] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 1.2593
[stop_loss] => 1.2814
[rr_ratio] => 5.5
[closed_at] => 2025-12-24 21:40:00
[result] => loss
)
[6] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 1.2576
[stop_loss] => 1.2814
[rr_ratio] => 6
[closed_at] => 2025-12-24 21:40:00
[result] => loss
)
[6.5] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 1.2559
[stop_loss] => 1.2814
[rr_ratio] => 6.5
[closed_at] => 2025-12-24 21:40:00
[result] => loss
)
[7] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 1.2542
[stop_loss] => 1.2814
[rr_ratio] => 7
[closed_at] => 2025-12-24 21:40:00
[result] => loss
)
)
Array
(
)
Array
(
[short_term] => Array
(
[max_gain] => 0.0090000000000001
[max_drawdown] => 0.002
[rr_ratio] => 4.5
[high] => 1.28000000
[low] => 1.26900000
[mfe_pct] => 0.7
[mae_pct] => 0.16
[mfe_mae_ratio] => 4.5
[candles_analyzed] => 24
[start_at] => 2025-12-24T17:38:41-05:00
[end_at] => 2025-12-24T19:38:41-05:00
)
[long_term] => Array
(
[max_gain] => 0.01
[max_drawdown] => 0.012
[rr_ratio] => 0.83
[high] => 1.29000000
[low] => 1.26800000
[mfe_pct] => 0.78
[mae_pct] => 0.94
[mfe_mae_ratio] => 0.83
[candles_analyzed] => 84
[start_at] => 2025-12-24T17:38:41-05:00
[end_at] => 2025-12-25T00:38:41-05:00
)
[breakout] => Array
(
[high_before] => 1.28000000
[high_after] => 1.29000000
[low_before] => 1.26600000
[low_after] => 1.26800000
[is_new_high] =>
[is_new_low] =>
)
)