Short Trade on RIVER 25 Dec 2025 at 00:51:13

Take profit at 3.2923 (3.73 %) and Stop Loss at 3.4838 (1.87 %)

Short Trade on RIVER

The 25 Dec 2025 at 00:51:13

With 125.3356 RIVER at 3.42$ per unit.

Position size of 428.6477 $

Take profit at 3.2923 (3.73 %) and Stop Loss at 3.4838 (1.87 %)

That's a 2 RR Trade

Results

Status:
win
Trade Type:
sell
ML Trade Score: 140
ML Pullback Score: 10
Prediction Score: 0
Prediction 1 Probability
Weak Trade
0.88
Prediction 2 Probability
0 0.83
Prediction 3 Probability
0 0.53
BTC Market Regime Coin Market Regime

ml_regime : neutral

rules_regime : range_medium

rules_regime_5m : range_low

1H_regime : bear_high

15m_regime : bear_high

5m_regime : bull_high

BTC Correlation Score

5m : 0.140799

15m : -0.07387

1H : -0.071158

0

Signal

CatchTheWave Signal - sell

Indicators:

  1. long_trend: -1
  2. short_kc: True
  3. short_kc_percentage: 0.03
  4. atr: 0.04255243149
Details
  1. score: 1.03
  2. 1H
  3. ema9 : 3.39707
  4. ema21 : 3.60466
  5. ema50 : 4.06787
  6. ema100 : 4.32748
  7. price_ema9_diff : 0.006747
  8. ema9_ema21_diff : -0.0575873
  9. ema21_ema50_diff : -0.113871
  10. price_ema100_diff : -0.209702
  11. all_emas_in_trend : True
  12. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : False
  13. ema_slope_9 : -0.650095
  14. ema_slope_21 : -0.968982
  15. ema_slope_50 : -0.782422
  16. ema_slope_100 : -0.465459
  17. rsi : 0.400215
  18. adx : 0.404251
  19. kc_percentage : 0.293456
  20. kc_width_percentage : 0.232741
  21. volume_ema_diff : -0.171234
  22. volume_ema1 : 363913.62781303
  23. volume_ema2 : 439103.34366657
  24. chop : 68.4574
  25. regime : bear_high
  26. ¸
  27. 15m
  28. ema9 : 3.33469
  29. ema21 : 3.3518
  30. ema50 : 3.4362
  31. ema100 : 3.64191
  32. price_ema9_diff : 0.0255816
  33. ema9_ema21_diff : -0.00510414
  34. ema21_ema50_diff : -0.0245629
  35. price_ema100_diff : -0.0609346
  36. all_emas_in_trend : True
  37. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : False
  38. ema_slope_9 : -0.182544
  39. ema_slope_21 : -0.183258
  40. ema_slope_50 : -0.180169
  41. ema_slope_100 : -0.199837
  42. rsi : 0.541685
  43. adx : 0.241309
  44. kc_percentage : 0.715198
  45. kc_width_percentage : 0.0954145
  46. volume_ema_diff : -0.196
  47. volume_ema1 : 81318.563672748
  48. volume_ema2 : 101142.5256228
  49. chop : 62.9025
  50. regime : bear_high
  51. ¸
  52. 5m
  53. ema9 : 3.3597
  54. ema21 : 3.32788
  55. ema50 : 3.34497
  56. ema100 : 3.39591
  57. price_ema9_diff : 0.0179469
  58. ema9_ema21_diff : 0.00956216
  59. ema21_ema50_diff : -0.00510888
  60. price_ema100_diff : 0.0070913
  61. all_emas_in_trend : False
  62. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : False
  63. ema_slope_9 : 0.265725
  64. ema_slope_21 : 0.0893853
  65. ema_slope_50 : -0.0183535
  66. ema_slope_100 : -0.0444693
  67. rsi : 0.675554
  68. adx : 0.296628
  69. kc_percentage : 1.03277
  70. kc_width_percentage : 0.0501314
  71. volume_ema_diff : -0.299486
  72. volume_ema1 : 21610.863091336
  73. volume_ema2 : 30850.044087862
  74. chop : 34.6903
  75. regime : bull_high
  76. ¸
  77. btc_indicators
  78. btc_indicators
  79. 5m_ema100:
    87712.8
  80. 5m_price_ema100_diff:
    0.000265798
  81. 5m_price:
    87736.2
  82. 5m_correlation_with_coin:
    0.140799
  83. btc_indicators
  84. 15m_ema100:
    87450
  85. 15m_price_ema100_diff:
    0.00327151
  86. 15m_price:
    87736.1
  87. 15m_correlation_with_coin:
    -0.07387
  88. btc_indicators
  89. 1H_ema100:
    87808.8
  90. 1H_price_ema100_diff:
    -0.000827581
  91. 1H_price:
    87736.2
  92. 1H_correlation_with_coin:
    -0.071158
  93. ¸
  94. market_structures
  95. market_structures
  96. 1H_version: 1.1
  97. 1H_market_structure:
    Array
    (
        [left_window] => 5
        [right_window] => 5
        [recent_pivots] => Array
            (
                [0] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-22 08:00:00
                        [1] => 5.746
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [1] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-22 09:00:00
                        [1] => 5.153
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [2] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-22 17:00:00
                        [1] => 5.869
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [3] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-22 20:00:00
                        [1] => 5.31
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [4] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-23 11:00:00
                        [1] => 4.464
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [5] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-23 17:00:00
                        [1] => 4.506
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [6] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-23 19:00:00
                        [1] => 5.211
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [7] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-24 14:00:00
                        [1] => 3.185
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [8] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-24 16:00:00
                        [1] => 3.718
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [9] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-24 23:00:00
                        [1] => 3.202
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
            )
    
        [detected_trend] => range
        [features] => Array
            (
                [ms_trend_state] => 0
                [ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -8.3916083916084
                [ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 6.371018113679
                [ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 8
                [ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 1
                [ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 16.114928169894
                [ms_bos_up] => 0
                [ms_bos_down] => 0
                [ms_choch_up] => 0
                [ms_choch_down] => 0
            )
    
    )
    
  98. market_structures
  99. 15m_version: 1.1
  100. 15m_market_structure:
    Array
    (
        [left_window] => 5
        [right_window] => 5
        [recent_pivots] => Array
            (
                [0] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-24 02:45:00
                        [1] => 4.247
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [1] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-24 04:00:00
                        [1] => 4.48
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [2] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-24 09:00:00
                        [1] => 3.336
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [3] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-24 09:45:00
                        [1] => 3.679
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [4] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-24 14:45:00
                        [1] => 3.185
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [5] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-24 16:15:00
                        [1] => 3.718
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [6] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-24 19:30:00
                        [1] => 3.537
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [7] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-24 21:30:00
                        [1] => 3.258
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [8] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-24 23:30:00
                        [1] => 3.202
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [9] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-25 00:45:00
                        [1] => 3.465
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
            )
    
        [detected_trend] => downtrend
        [features] => Array
            (
                [ms_trend_state] => -1
                [ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -1.7027417027417
                [ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 6.371018113679
                [ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 0
                [ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 5
                [ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 8.2136164896939
                [ms_bos_up] => 0
                [ms_bos_down] => 1
                [ms_choch_up] => 0
                [ms_choch_down] => 0
            )
    
    )
    
  101. market_structures
  102. 5m_version: 1.1
  103. 5m_market_structure:
    Array
    (
        [left_window] => 5
        [right_window] => 5
        [recent_pivots] => Array
            (
                [0] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-24 18:25:00
                        [1] => 3.41
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [1] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-24 19:00:00
                        [1] => 3.404
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [2] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-24 19:35:00
                        [1] => 3.537
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [3] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-24 20:10:00
                        [1] => 3.374
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [4] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-24 20:50:00
                        [1] => 3.485
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [5] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-24 21:30:00
                        [1] => 3.258
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [6] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-24 21:50:00
                        [1] => 3.443
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [7] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-24 23:05:00
                        [1] => 3.351
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [8] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-24 23:35:00
                        [1] => 3.202
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [9] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-25 00:50:00
                        [1] => 3.465
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
            )
    
        [detected_trend] => range
        [features] => Array
            (
                [ms_trend_state] => 0
                [ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -1.7027417027417
                [ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 6.371018113679
                [ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 0
                [ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 15
                [ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 8.2136164896939
                [ms_bos_up] => 1
                [ms_bos_down] => 1
                [ms_choch_up] => 0
                [ms_choch_down] => 0
            )
    
    )
    
  104. ¸

Market Structure

Market Structure Score: 1

5M - range

Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5

Market Structure Features:

Trend State
0
Dist From Last High Pct
-1.70%
Dist From Last Low Pct
6.37%
Bars Since Swing High
0 bars
Bars Since Swing Low
15 bars
Last Swing Amplitude Pct
8.21%
Bos Up
1
Bos Down
1
Choch Up
0
Choch Down
0

SL & TP Pivot Distance:

SL to Pivot Distance
0.0532
1.53%
TP to Pivot Distance
0.0903
2.74%
DateTime Price Type
2025-12-24 18:25:00 3.41 ↓ Low
2025-12-24 19:00:00 3.404 ↓ Low
2025-12-24 19:35:00 3.537 ↑ High
2025-12-24 20:10:00 3.374 ↓ Low
2025-12-24 20:50:00 3.485 ↑ High
2025-12-24 21:30:00 3.258 ↓ Low
2025-12-24 21:50:00 3.443 ↑ High
2025-12-24 23:05:00 3.351 ↑ High
2025-12-24 23:35:00 3.202 ↓ Low
2025-12-25 00:50:00 3.465 ↑ High
15M - downtrend

Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5

Market Structure Features:

Trend State
-1
Dist From Last High Pct
-1.70%
Dist From Last Low Pct
6.37%
Bars Since Swing High
0 bars
Bars Since Swing Low
5 bars
Last Swing Amplitude Pct
8.21%
Bos Up
0
Bos Down
1
Choch Up
0
Choch Down
0

SL & TP Pivot Distance:

SL to Pivot Distance
0.9962
28.60%
TP to Pivot Distance
0.1073
3.26%
DateTime Price Type
2025-12-24 02:45:00 4.247 ↓ Low
2025-12-24 04:00:00 4.48 ↑ High
2025-12-24 09:00:00 3.336 ↓ Low
2025-12-24 09:45:00 3.679 ↑ High
2025-12-24 14:45:00 3.185 ↓ Low
2025-12-24 16:15:00 3.718 ↑ High
2025-12-24 19:30:00 3.537 ↑ High
2025-12-24 21:30:00 3.258 ↓ Low
2025-12-24 23:30:00 3.202 ↓ Low
2025-12-25 00:45:00 3.465 ↑ High
1H - range

Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5

Market Structure Features:

Trend State
0
Dist From Last High Pct
-8.39%
Dist From Last Low Pct
6.37%
Bars Since Swing High
8 bars
Bars Since Swing Low
1 bars
Last Swing Amplitude Pct
16.11%
Bos Up
0
Bos Down
0
Choch Up
0
Choch Down
0

SL & TP Pivot Distance:

SL to Pivot Distance
2.3852
68.47%
TP to Pivot Distance
0.1073
3.26%
DateTime Price Type
2025-12-22 08:00:00 5.746 ↑ High
2025-12-22 09:00:00 5.153 ↓ Low
2025-12-22 17:00:00 5.869 ↑ High
2025-12-22 20:00:00 5.31 ↓ Low
2025-12-23 11:00:00 4.464 ↓ Low
2025-12-23 17:00:00 4.506 ↓ Low
2025-12-23 19:00:00 5.211 ↑ High
2025-12-24 14:00:00 3.185 ↓ Low
2025-12-24 16:00:00 3.718 ↑ High
2025-12-24 23:00:00 3.202 ↓ Low

📌 Time Data

Start at Closed at Duration
25 Dec 2025
00:51:13
25 Dec 2025
01:15:00
23 minutes

📌 Entry & Exit

Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
3.42 3.4838 3.2923 2 11.416
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 3.42
  • Stop Loss: 3.4838
  • Take Profit: 3.2923

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 3.4838 - 3.42 = 0.0638

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 3.42 - 3.2923 = 0.1277

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.1277 / 0.0638 = 2.0016

📌 Position Size

Amount Margin Quantity Leverage
428.6477 100 125.3356 4.29
Details

1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade

Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade

Paramètres:

  • Account Size 100
  • Risk per trade 8 %

Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8

Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade

2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter

Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss

Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price

Paramètres:

  • Risk Amount 8
  • Distance Stop Loss 0.0638

Taille de position = 8 / 0.0638 = 125.39

Taille de position USD = 125.39 x 3.42 = 428.83

Donc, tu peux acheter 125.39 avec un stoploss a 3.4838

Avec un position size USD de 428.83$

3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle

Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss

Perte = 125.39 x 0.0638 = 8

Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$

4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle

Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit

Perte = 125.39 x 0.1277 = 16.01

Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 16.01$

Résumé

  • Taille de position 125.39
  • Taille de position USD 428.83
  • Perte potentielle 8
  • Gain potentiel 16.01
  • Risk-Reward Ratio 2.0016

📌 Peformances

TP % Target TP $ Target
3.73 % 16.01 $
SL % Target SL $ Target
1.87 % 8 $
PNL PNL %
16.01 $ 3.73
Max Drawdown Max Drawdown / SL Ratio Candles in Entry
-0.8187 % 43.89 % 3

📌 ML Extra Data

Extra TP Data

                              Array
(
    [2] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 3.2924
            [stop_loss] => 3.4838
            [rr_ratio] => 2
            [closed_at] => 2025-12-25 01:15:00
            [result] => win
        )

    [2.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 3.2605
            [stop_loss] => 3.4838
            [rr_ratio] => 2.5
            [closed_at] => 2025-12-25 01:15:00
            [result] => win
        )

    [3] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 3.2286
            [stop_loss] => 3.4838
            [rr_ratio] => 3
            [closed_at] => 2025-12-25 01:15:00
            [result] => win
        )

    [3.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 3.1967
            [stop_loss] => 3.4838
            [rr_ratio] => 3.5
            [closed_at] => 2025-12-25 02:30:00
            [result] => win
        )

    [4] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 3.1648
            [stop_loss] => 3.4838
            [rr_ratio] => 4
            [closed_at] => 2025-12-25 02:30:00
            [result] => win
        )

    [4.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 3.1329
            [stop_loss] => 3.4838
            [rr_ratio] => 4.5
            [closed_at] => 2025-12-25 02:55:00
            [result] => win
        )

    [5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 3.101
            [stop_loss] => 3.4838
            [rr_ratio] => 5
            [closed_at] => 2025-12-25 03:15:00
            [result] => win
        )

    [5.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 3.0691
            [stop_loss] => 3.4838
            [rr_ratio] => 5.5
            [closed_at] => 2025-12-25 03:20:00
            [result] => win
        )

    [6] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 3.0372
            [stop_loss] => 3.4838
            [rr_ratio] => 6
            [closed_at] => 2025-12-25 03:30:00
            [result] => win
        )

    [6.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 3.0053
            [stop_loss] => 3.4838
            [rr_ratio] => 6.5
            [closed_at] => 2025-12-25 03:55:00
            [result] => win
        )

    [7] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 2.9734
            [stop_loss] => 3.4838
            [rr_ratio] => 7
            [closed_at] => 2025-12-25 04:40:00
            [result] => win
        )

)
Extra SL data

                              Array
(
)
Extra Pullback data

                              Array
(
    [short_term] => Array
        (
            [max_gain] => 0.27
            [max_drawdown] => 0.028
            [rr_ratio] => 9.64
            [high] => 3.44800000
            [low] => 3.15000000
            [mfe_pct] => 7.89
            [mae_pct] => 0.82
            [mfe_mae_ratio] => 9.64
            [candles_analyzed] => 24
            [start_at] => 2025-12-25T00:51:13-05:00
            [end_at] => 2025-12-25T02:51:13-05:00
        )

    [long_term] => Array
        (
            [max_gain] => 0.637
            [max_drawdown] => 0.028
            [rr_ratio] => 22.75
            [high] => 3.44800000
            [low] => 2.78300000
            [mfe_pct] => 18.63
            [mae_pct] => 0.82
            [mfe_mae_ratio] => 22.75
            [candles_analyzed] => 84
            [start_at] => 2025-12-25T00:51:13-05:00
            [end_at] => 2025-12-25T07:51:13-05:00
        )

    [breakout] => Array
        (
            [high_before] => 3.47500000
            [high_after] => 3.44800000
            [low_before] => 3.20200000
            [low_after] => 2.78300000
            [is_new_high] => 
            [is_new_low] => 1
        )

)