Short Trade on RIVER 25 Dec 2025 at 06:57:26

Take profit at 3.0022 (6.03 %) and Stop Loss at 3.2914 (3.02 %)

Short Trade on RIVER

The 25 Dec 2025 at 06:57:26

With 82.9805 RIVER at 3.195$ per unit.

Position size of 265.1228 $

Take profit at 3.0022 (6.03 %) and Stop Loss at 3.2914 (3.02 %)

That's a 2 RR Trade

Results

Status:
win
Trade Type:
sell
ML Trade Score: 50
ML Pullback Score: 3.02
Prediction Score: 1
Prediction 1 Probability
Weak Trade
0.73
Prediction 2 Probability
0 0.82
Prediction 3 Probability
1 0.56
BTC Market Regime Coin Market Regime

ml_regime : neutral

rules_regime : range_low

rules_regime_5m : range_low

1H_regime : bear_high

15m_regime : bear_high

5m_regime : bull_high_confirmed

BTC Correlation Score

5m : 0.030532

15m : 0.002149

1H : 0.01518

0

Signal

CatchTheWave Signal - sell

Indicators:

  1. long_trend: -1
  2. short_kc: True
  3. short_kc_percentage: 0.38
  4. atr: 0.06427209366
Details
  1. score: 1.38
  2. 1H
  3. ema9 : 3.1382
  4. ema21 : 3.36504
  5. ema50 : 3.85287
  6. ema100 : 4.18425
  7. price_ema9_diff : 0.0180974
  8. ema9_ema21_diff : -0.0674109
  9. ema21_ema50_diff : -0.126612
  10. price_ema100_diff : -0.236422
  11. all_emas_in_trend : True
  12. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : False
  13. ema_slope_9 : -0.823883
  14. ema_slope_21 : -0.916229
  15. ema_slope_50 : -0.786265
  16. ema_slope_100 : -0.493595
  17. rsi : 0.416717
  18. adx : 0.393712
  19. kc_percentage : 0.326907
  20. kc_width_percentage : 0.271199
  21. volume_ema_diff : 0.0816475
  22. volume_ema1 : 487659.79394426
  23. volume_ema2 : 450849.06539987
  24. chop : 51.6266
  25. regime : bear_high
  26. ¸
  27. 15m
  28. ema9 : 2.94945
  29. ema21 : 3.02406
  30. ema50 : 3.17622
  31. ema100 : 3.34997
  32. price_ema9_diff : 0.0832507
  33. ema9_ema21_diff : -0.0246711
  34. ema21_ema50_diff : -0.0479052
  35. price_ema100_diff : -0.0462627
  36. all_emas_in_trend : True
  37. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : False
  38. ema_slope_9 : -0.516481
  39. ema_slope_21 : -0.516713
  40. ema_slope_50 : -0.377282
  41. ema_slope_100 : -0.272356
  42. rsi : 0.464549
  43. adx : 0.387517
  44. kc_percentage : 0.962746
  45. kc_width_percentage : 0.120137
  46. volume_ema_diff : -0.142891
  47. volume_ema1 : 92499.821027567
  48. volume_ema2 : 107920.75924295
  49. chop : 47.3034
  50. regime : bear_high
  51. ¸
  52. 5m
  53. ema9 : 3.0039
  54. ema21 : 2.95172
  55. ema50 : 2.99757
  56. ema100 : 3.08402
  57. price_ema9_diff : 0.063617
  58. ema9_ema21_diff : 0.0176756
  59. ema21_ema50_diff : -0.0152934
  60. price_ema100_diff : 0.0359825
  61. all_emas_in_trend : False
  62. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : False
  63. ema_slope_9 : 0.366638
  64. ema_slope_21 : 0.0589346
  65. ema_slope_50 : -0.0998698
  66. ema_slope_100 : -0.11102
  67. rsi : 0.74283
  68. adx : 0.392515
  69. kc_percentage : 1.38015
  70. kc_width_percentage : 0.0862842
  71. volume_ema_diff : 0.820456
  72. volume_ema1 : 77027.371142873
  73. volume_ema2 : 42312.123414324
  74. chop : 20.4792
  75. regime : bull_high_confirmed
  76. ¸
  77. btc_indicators
  78. btc_indicators
  79. 5m_ema100:
    87562.7
  80. 5m_price_ema100_diff:
    -0.000975976
  81. 5m_price:
    87477.3
  82. 5m_correlation_with_coin:
    0.030532
  83. btc_indicators
  84. 15m_ema100:
    87513.8
  85. 15m_price_ema100_diff:
    -0.000825112
  86. 15m_price:
    87441.6
  87. 15m_correlation_with_coin:
    0.002149
  88. btc_indicators
  89. 1H_ema100:
    87859
  90. 1H_price_ema100_diff:
    -0.0043455
  91. 1H_price:
    87477.3
  92. 1H_correlation_with_coin:
    0.01518
  93. ¸
  94. market_structures
  95. market_structures
  96. 1H_version: 1.1
  97. 1H_market_structure:
    Array
    (
        [left_window] => 5
        [right_window] => 5
        [recent_pivots] => Array
            (
                [0] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-22 08:00:00
                        [1] => 5.746
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [1] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-22 09:00:00
                        [1] => 5.153
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [2] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-22 17:00:00
                        [1] => 5.869
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [3] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-22 20:00:00
                        [1] => 5.31
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [4] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-23 11:00:00
                        [1] => 4.464
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [5] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-23 17:00:00
                        [1] => 4.506
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [6] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-23 19:00:00
                        [1] => 5.211
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [7] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-24 14:00:00
                        [1] => 3.185
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [8] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-24 16:00:00
                        [1] => 3.718
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [9] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-25 06:00:00
                        [1] => 2.783
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
            )
    
        [detected_trend] => downtrend
        [features] => Array
            (
                [ms_trend_state] => -1
                [ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -13.851533082302
                [ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 15.091627739849
                [ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 14
                [ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 0
                [ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 33.596837944664
                [ms_bos_up] => 0
                [ms_bos_down] => 1
                [ms_choch_up] => 0
                [ms_choch_down] => 0
            )
    
    )
    
  98. market_structures
  99. 15m_version: 1.1
  100. 15m_market_structure:
    Array
    (
        [left_window] => 5
        [right_window] => 5
        [recent_pivots] => Array
            (
                [0] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-24 09:00:00
                        [1] => 3.336
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [1] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-24 09:45:00
                        [1] => 3.679
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [2] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-24 14:45:00
                        [1] => 3.185
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [3] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-24 16:15:00
                        [1] => 3.718
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [4] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-24 19:30:00
                        [1] => 3.537
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [5] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-24 21:30:00
                        [1] => 3.258
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [6] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-24 23:30:00
                        [1] => 3.202
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [7] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-25 00:45:00
                        [1] => 3.465
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [8] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-25 06:00:00
                        [1] => 2.783
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [9] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-25 06:45:00
                        [1] => 3.246
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
            )
    
        [detected_trend] => downtrend
        [features] => Array
            (
                [ms_trend_state] => -1
                [ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -1.3247073321011
                [ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 15.091627739849
                [ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 0
                [ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 3
                [ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 16.636722960834
                [ms_bos_up] => 0
                [ms_bos_down] => 1
                [ms_choch_up] => 0
                [ms_choch_down] => 0
            )
    
    )
    
  101. market_structures
  102. 5m_version: 1.1
  103. 5m_market_structure:
    Array
    (
        [left_window] => 5
        [right_window] => 5
        [recent_pivots] => Array
            (
                [0] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-24 23:35:00
                        [1] => 3.202
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [1] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-25 00:50:00
                        [1] => 3.465
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [2] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-25 01:15:00
                        [1] => 3.207
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [3] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-25 02:05:00
                        [1] => 3.317
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [4] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-25 03:45:00
                        [1] => 3.158
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [5] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-25 04:00:00
                        [1] => 2.98
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [6] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-25 05:00:00
                        [1] => 2.893
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [7] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-25 05:25:00
                        [1] => 2.968
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [8] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-25 06:05:00
                        [1] => 2.783
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [9] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-25 06:55:00
                        [1] => 3.246
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
            )
    
        [detected_trend] => range
        [features] => Array
            (
                [ms_trend_state] => 0
                [ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -1.3247073321011
                [ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 15.091627739849
                [ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 0
                [ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 10
                [ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 16.636722960834
                [ms_bos_up] => 1
                [ms_bos_down] => 1
                [ms_choch_up] => 0
                [ms_choch_down] => 0
            )
    
    )
    
  104. ¸

Market Structure

Market Structure Score: 2

5M - range

Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5

Market Structure Features:

Trend State
0
Dist From Last High Pct
-1.32%
Dist From Last Low Pct
15.09%
Bars Since Swing High
0 bars
Bars Since Swing Low
10 bars
Last Swing Amplitude Pct
16.64%
Bos Up
1
Bos Down
1
Choch Up
0
Choch Down
0

SL & TP Pivot Distance:

SL to Pivot Distance
0.1736
5.27%
TP to Pivot Distance
0.2192
7.30%
DateTime Price Type
2025-12-24 23:35:00 3.202 ↓ Low
2025-12-25 00:50:00 3.465 ↑ High
2025-12-25 01:15:00 3.207 ↓ Low
2025-12-25 02:05:00 3.317 ↑ High
2025-12-25 03:45:00 3.158 ↑ High
2025-12-25 04:00:00 2.98 ↓ Low
2025-12-25 05:00:00 2.893 ↓ Low
2025-12-25 05:25:00 2.968 ↑ High
2025-12-25 06:05:00 2.783 ↓ Low
2025-12-25 06:55:00 3.246 ↑ High
15M - downtrend

Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5

Market Structure Features:

Trend State
-1
Dist From Last High Pct
-1.32%
Dist From Last Low Pct
15.09%
Bars Since Swing High
0 bars
Bars Since Swing Low
3 bars
Last Swing Amplitude Pct
16.64%
Bos Up
0
Bos Down
1
Choch Up
0
Choch Down
0

SL & TP Pivot Distance:

SL to Pivot Distance
0.4266
12.96%
TP to Pivot Distance
0.2192
7.30%
DateTime Price Type
2025-12-24 09:00:00 3.336 ↓ Low
2025-12-24 09:45:00 3.679 ↑ High
2025-12-24 14:45:00 3.185 ↓ Low
2025-12-24 16:15:00 3.718 ↑ High
2025-12-24 19:30:00 3.537 ↑ High
2025-12-24 21:30:00 3.258 ↓ Low
2025-12-24 23:30:00 3.202 ↓ Low
2025-12-25 00:45:00 3.465 ↑ High
2025-12-25 06:00:00 2.783 ↓ Low
2025-12-25 06:45:00 3.246 ↑ High
1H - downtrend

Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5

Market Structure Features:

Trend State
-1
Dist From Last High Pct
-13.85%
Dist From Last Low Pct
15.09%
Bars Since Swing High
14 bars
Bars Since Swing Low
0 bars
Last Swing Amplitude Pct
33.60%
Bos Up
0
Bos Down
1
Choch Up
0
Choch Down
0

SL & TP Pivot Distance:

SL to Pivot Distance
2.5776
78.31%
TP to Pivot Distance
0.2192
7.30%
DateTime Price Type
2025-12-22 08:00:00 5.746 ↑ High
2025-12-22 09:00:00 5.153 ↓ Low
2025-12-22 17:00:00 5.869 ↑ High
2025-12-22 20:00:00 5.31 ↓ Low
2025-12-23 11:00:00 4.464 ↓ Low
2025-12-23 17:00:00 4.506 ↓ Low
2025-12-23 19:00:00 5.211 ↑ High
2025-12-24 14:00:00 3.185 ↓ Low
2025-12-24 16:00:00 3.718 ↑ High
2025-12-25 06:00:00 2.783 ↓ Low

📌 Time Data

Start at Closed at Duration
25 Dec 2025
06:57:26
25 Dec 2025
08:45:00
1 hour

📌 Entry & Exit

Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
3.195 3.2914 3.0022 2 11.056
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 3.195
  • Stop Loss: 3.2914
  • Take Profit: 3.0022

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 3.2914 - 3.195 = 0.0964

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 3.195 - 3.0022 = 0.1928

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.1928 / 0.0964 = 2

📌 Position Size

Amount Margin Quantity Leverage
265.1228 100 82.9805 2.65
Details

1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade

Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade

Paramètres:

  • Account Size 100
  • Risk per trade 8 %

Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8

Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade

2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter

Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss

Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price

Paramètres:

  • Risk Amount 8
  • Distance Stop Loss 0.0964

Taille de position = 8 / 0.0964 = 82.99

Taille de position USD = 82.99 x 3.195 = 265.15

Donc, tu peux acheter 82.99 avec un stoploss a 3.2914

Avec un position size USD de 265.15$

3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle

Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss

Perte = 82.99 x 0.0964 = 8

Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$

4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle

Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit

Perte = 82.99 x 0.1928 = 16

Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 16$

Résumé

  • Taille de position 82.99
  • Taille de position USD 265.15
  • Perte potentielle 8
  • Gain potentiel 16
  • Risk-Reward Ratio 2

📌 Peformances

TP % Target TP $ Target
6.03 % 16 $
SL % Target SL $ Target
3.02 % 8 $
PNL PNL %
16 $ 6.03
Max Drawdown Max Drawdown / SL Ratio Candles in Entry
-2.5039 % 82.99 % 5

📌 ML Extra Data

Extra TP Data

                              Array
(
    [2] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 3.0022
            [stop_loss] => 3.2914
            [rr_ratio] => 2
            [closed_at] => 2025-12-25 08:45:00
            [result] => win
        )

    [2.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 2.954
            [stop_loss] => 3.2914
            [rr_ratio] => 2.5
            [closed_at] => 2025-12-25 08:50:00
            [result] => win
        )

    [3] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 2.9058
            [stop_loss] => 3.2914
            [rr_ratio] => 3
            [closed_at] => 2025-12-25 09:15:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [3.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 2.8576
            [stop_loss] => 3.2914
            [rr_ratio] => 3.5
            [closed_at] => 2025-12-25 09:15:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [4] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 2.8094
            [stop_loss] => 3.2914
            [rr_ratio] => 4
            [closed_at] => 2025-12-25 09:15:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [4.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 2.7612
            [stop_loss] => 3.2914
            [rr_ratio] => 4.5
            [closed_at] => 2025-12-25 09:15:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 2.713
            [stop_loss] => 3.2914
            [rr_ratio] => 5
            [closed_at] => 2025-12-25 09:15:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [5.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 2.6648
            [stop_loss] => 3.2914
            [rr_ratio] => 5.5
            [closed_at] => 2025-12-25 09:15:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [6] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 2.6166
            [stop_loss] => 3.2914
            [rr_ratio] => 6
            [closed_at] => 2025-12-25 09:15:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [6.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 2.5684
            [stop_loss] => 3.2914
            [rr_ratio] => 6.5
            [closed_at] => 2025-12-25 09:15:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [7] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 2.5202
            [stop_loss] => 3.2914
            [rr_ratio] => 7
            [closed_at] => 2025-12-25 09:15:00
            [result] => loss
        )

)
Extra SL data

                              Array
(
)
Extra Pullback data

                              Array
(
    [short_term] => Array
        (
            [max_gain] => 0.281
            [max_drawdown] => 0.08
            [rr_ratio] => 3.51
            [high] => 3.27500000
            [low] => 2.91400000
            [mfe_pct] => 8.79
            [mae_pct] => 2.5
            [mfe_mae_ratio] => 3.51
            [candles_analyzed] => 24
            [start_at] => 2025-12-25T06:57:26-05:00
            [end_at] => 2025-12-25T08:57:26-05:00
        )

    [long_term] => Array
        (
            [max_gain] => 0.281
            [max_drawdown] => 0.797
            [rr_ratio] => 0.35
            [high] => 3.99200000
            [low] => 2.91400000
            [mfe_pct] => 8.79
            [mae_pct] => 24.95
            [mfe_mae_ratio] => 0.35
            [candles_analyzed] => 84
            [start_at] => 2025-12-25T06:57:26-05:00
            [end_at] => 2025-12-25T13:57:26-05:00
        )

    [breakout] => Array
        (
            [high_before] => 3.24600000
            [high_after] => 3.99200000
            [low_before] => 2.78300000
            [low_after] => 2.91400000
            [is_new_high] => 
            [is_new_low] => 
        )

)