Short Trade on RIVER 25 Dec 2025 at 06:59:36

Take profit at 3.0387 (6.18 %) and Stop Loss at 3.3392 (3.09 %)

Short Trade on RIVER

The 25 Dec 2025 at 06:59:36

With 79.8737 RIVER at 3.239$ per unit.

Position size of 258.7109 $

Take profit at 3.0387 (6.18 %) and Stop Loss at 3.3392 (3.09 %)

That's a 2 RR Trade

Results

Status:
win
Trade Type:
sell
ML Trade Score: 60
ML Pullback Score: 4.26
Prediction Score: 0
Prediction 1 Probability
Weak Trade
0.62
Prediction 2 Probability
0 0.65
Prediction 3 Probability
0 0.71
BTC Market Regime Coin Market Regime

ml_regime : neutral

rules_regime : range_low

rules_regime_5m : range_low

1H_regime : bear_high

15m_regime : bear_high

5m_regime : bull_high_confirmed

BTC Correlation Score

5m : 0.025604

15m : -0.002586

1H : 0.018687

0

Signal

CatchTheWave Signal - sell

Indicators:

  1. long_trend: -1
  2. short_kc: True
  3. short_kc_percentage: 0.48
  4. atr: 0.06677209366
Details
  1. score: 1.48
  2. 1H
  3. ema9 : 3.147
  4. ema21 : 3.36904
  5. ema50 : 3.85459
  6. ema100 : 4.18512
  7. price_ema9_diff : 0.029232
  8. ema9_ema21_diff : -0.0659062
  9. ema21_ema50_diff : -0.125966
  10. price_ema100_diff : -0.226068
  11. all_emas_in_trend : True
  12. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : False
  13. ema_slope_9 : -0.802825
  14. ema_slope_21 : -0.907413
  15. ema_slope_50 : -0.782885
  16. ema_slope_100 : -0.491962
  17. rsi : 0.430106
  18. adx : 0.391505
  19. kc_percentage : 0.374873
  20. kc_width_percentage : 0.271837
  21. volume_ema_diff : 0.118682
  22. volume_ema1 : 506887.35094426
  23. volume_ema2 : 453111.13092928
  24. chop : 51.6577
  25. regime : bear_high
  26. ¸
  27. 15m
  28. ema9 : 2.94945
  29. ema21 : 3.02406
  30. ema50 : 3.17622
  31. ema100 : 3.34997
  32. price_ema9_diff : 0.0981687
  33. ema9_ema21_diff : -0.0246711
  34. ema21_ema50_diff : -0.0479052
  35. price_ema100_diff : -0.0331283
  36. all_emas_in_trend : True
  37. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : False
  38. ema_slope_9 : -0.516481
  39. ema_slope_21 : -0.516713
  40. ema_slope_50 : -0.377282
  41. ema_slope_100 : -0.272356
  42. rsi : 0.464549
  43. adx : 0.387517
  44. kc_percentage : 1.07737
  45. kc_width_percentage : 0.118505
  46. volume_ema_diff : -0.142891
  47. volume_ema1 : 92499.821027567
  48. volume_ema2 : 107920.75924295
  49. chop : 47.3034
  50. regime : bear_high
  51. ¸
  52. 5m
  53. ema9 : 3.0127
  54. ema21 : 2.95572
  55. ema50 : 2.99929
  56. ema100 : 3.0849
  57. price_ema9_diff : 0.075115
  58. ema9_ema21_diff : 0.0192757
  59. ema21_ema50_diff : -0.0145262
  60. price_ema100_diff : 0.0499529
  61. all_emas_in_trend : False
  62. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : False
  63. ema_slope_9 : 0.392125
  64. ema_slope_21 : 0.0703073
  65. ema_slope_50 : -0.0951304
  66. ema_slope_100 : -0.108697
  67. rsi : 0.762395
  68. adx : 0.394383
  69. kc_percentage : 1.47504
  70. kc_width_percentage : 0.0894344
  71. volume_ema_diff : 1.15943
  72. volume_ema1 : 96254.928142873
  73. volume_ema2 : 44574.188943735
  74. chop : 17.6294
  75. regime : bull_high_confirmed
  76. ¸
  77. btc_indicators
  78. btc_indicators
  79. 5m_ema100:
    87562.7
  80. 5m_price_ema100_diff:
    -0.000975976
  81. 5m_price:
    87477.3
  82. 5m_correlation_with_coin:
    0.025604
  83. btc_indicators
  84. 15m_ema100:
    87513.8
  85. 15m_price_ema100_diff:
    -0.000825112
  86. 15m_price:
    87441.6
  87. 15m_correlation_with_coin:
    -0.002586
  88. btc_indicators
  89. 1H_ema100:
    87859
  90. 1H_price_ema100_diff:
    -0.0043455
  91. 1H_price:
    87477.3
  92. 1H_correlation_with_coin:
    0.018687
  93. ¸
  94. market_structures
  95. market_structures
  96. 1H_version: 1.1
  97. 1H_market_structure:
    Array
    (
        [left_window] => 5
        [right_window] => 5
        [recent_pivots] => Array
            (
                [0] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-22 08:00:00
                        [1] => 5.746
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [1] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-22 09:00:00
                        [1] => 5.153
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [2] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-22 17:00:00
                        [1] => 5.869
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [3] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-22 20:00:00
                        [1] => 5.31
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [4] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-23 11:00:00
                        [1] => 4.464
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [5] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-23 17:00:00
                        [1] => 4.506
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [6] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-23 19:00:00
                        [1] => 5.211
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [7] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-24 14:00:00
                        [1] => 3.185
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [8] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-24 16:00:00
                        [1] => 3.718
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [9] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-25 06:00:00
                        [1] => 2.783
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
            )
    
        [detected_trend] => downtrend
        [features] => Array
            (
                [ms_trend_state] => -1
                [ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -13.851533082302
                [ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 15.091627739849
                [ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 14
                [ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 0
                [ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 33.596837944664
                [ms_bos_up] => 0
                [ms_bos_down] => 1
                [ms_choch_up] => 0
                [ms_choch_down] => 0
            )
    
    )
    
  98. market_structures
  99. 15m_version: 1.1
  100. 15m_market_structure:
    Array
    (
        [left_window] => 5
        [right_window] => 5
        [recent_pivots] => Array
            (
                [0] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-24 09:00:00
                        [1] => 3.336
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [1] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-24 09:45:00
                        [1] => 3.679
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [2] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-24 14:45:00
                        [1] => 3.185
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [3] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-24 16:15:00
                        [1] => 3.718
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [4] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-24 19:30:00
                        [1] => 3.537
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [5] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-24 21:30:00
                        [1] => 3.258
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [6] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-24 23:30:00
                        [1] => 3.202
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [7] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-25 00:45:00
                        [1] => 3.465
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [8] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-25 06:00:00
                        [1] => 2.783
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [9] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-25 06:45:00
                        [1] => 3.246
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
            )
    
        [detected_trend] => downtrend
        [features] => Array
            (
                [ms_trend_state] => -1
                [ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -1.3247073321011
                [ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 15.091627739849
                [ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 0
                [ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 3
                [ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 16.636722960834
                [ms_bos_up] => 0
                [ms_bos_down] => 1
                [ms_choch_up] => 0
                [ms_choch_down] => 0
            )
    
    )
    
  101. market_structures
  102. 5m_version: 1.1
  103. 5m_market_structure:
    Array
    (
        [left_window] => 5
        [right_window] => 5
        [recent_pivots] => Array
            (
                [0] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-24 23:35:00
                        [1] => 3.202
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [1] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-25 00:50:00
                        [1] => 3.465
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [2] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-25 01:15:00
                        [1] => 3.207
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [3] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-25 02:05:00
                        [1] => 3.317
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [4] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-25 03:45:00
                        [1] => 3.158
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [5] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-25 04:00:00
                        [1] => 2.98
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [6] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-25 05:00:00
                        [1] => 2.893
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [7] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-25 05:25:00
                        [1] => 2.968
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [8] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-25 06:05:00
                        [1] => 2.783
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [9] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-25 06:55:00
                        [1] => 3.246
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
            )
    
        [detected_trend] => range
        [features] => Array
            (
                [ms_trend_state] => 0
                [ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -1.3247073321011
                [ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 15.091627739849
                [ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 0
                [ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 10
                [ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 16.636722960834
                [ms_bos_up] => 1
                [ms_bos_down] => 1
                [ms_choch_up] => 0
                [ms_choch_down] => 0
            )
    
    )
    
  104. ¸

Market Structure

Market Structure Score: 2

5M - range

Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5

Market Structure Features:

Trend State
0
Dist From Last High Pct
-1.32%
Dist From Last Low Pct
15.09%
Bars Since Swing High
0 bars
Bars Since Swing Low
10 bars
Last Swing Amplitude Pct
16.64%
Bos Up
1
Bos Down
1
Choch Up
0
Choch Down
0

SL & TP Pivot Distance:

SL to Pivot Distance
0.1258
3.77%
TP to Pivot Distance
0.2557
8.41%
DateTime Price Type
2025-12-24 23:35:00 3.202 ↓ Low
2025-12-25 00:50:00 3.465 ↑ High
2025-12-25 01:15:00 3.207 ↓ Low
2025-12-25 02:05:00 3.317 ↑ High
2025-12-25 03:45:00 3.158 ↑ High
2025-12-25 04:00:00 2.98 ↓ Low
2025-12-25 05:00:00 2.893 ↓ Low
2025-12-25 05:25:00 2.968 ↑ High
2025-12-25 06:05:00 2.783 ↓ Low
2025-12-25 06:55:00 3.246 ↑ High
15M - downtrend

Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5

Market Structure Features:

Trend State
-1
Dist From Last High Pct
-1.32%
Dist From Last Low Pct
15.09%
Bars Since Swing High
0 bars
Bars Since Swing Low
3 bars
Last Swing Amplitude Pct
16.64%
Bos Up
0
Bos Down
1
Choch Up
0
Choch Down
0

SL & TP Pivot Distance:

SL to Pivot Distance
0.3788
11.34%
TP to Pivot Distance
0.2557
8.41%
DateTime Price Type
2025-12-24 09:00:00 3.336 ↓ Low
2025-12-24 09:45:00 3.679 ↑ High
2025-12-24 14:45:00 3.185 ↓ Low
2025-12-24 16:15:00 3.718 ↑ High
2025-12-24 19:30:00 3.537 ↑ High
2025-12-24 21:30:00 3.258 ↓ Low
2025-12-24 23:30:00 3.202 ↓ Low
2025-12-25 00:45:00 3.465 ↑ High
2025-12-25 06:00:00 2.783 ↓ Low
2025-12-25 06:45:00 3.246 ↑ High
1H - downtrend

Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5

Market Structure Features:

Trend State
-1
Dist From Last High Pct
-13.85%
Dist From Last Low Pct
15.09%
Bars Since Swing High
14 bars
Bars Since Swing Low
0 bars
Last Swing Amplitude Pct
33.60%
Bos Up
0
Bos Down
1
Choch Up
0
Choch Down
0

SL & TP Pivot Distance:

SL to Pivot Distance
2.5298
75.76%
TP to Pivot Distance
0.2557
8.41%
DateTime Price Type
2025-12-22 08:00:00 5.746 ↑ High
2025-12-22 09:00:00 5.153 ↓ Low
2025-12-22 17:00:00 5.869 ↑ High
2025-12-22 20:00:00 5.31 ↓ Low
2025-12-23 11:00:00 4.464 ↓ Low
2025-12-23 17:00:00 4.506 ↓ Low
2025-12-23 19:00:00 5.211 ↑ High
2025-12-24 14:00:00 3.185 ↓ Low
2025-12-24 16:00:00 3.718 ↑ High
2025-12-25 06:00:00 2.783 ↓ Low

📌 Time Data

Start at Closed at Duration
25 Dec 2025
06:59:36
25 Dec 2025
08:40:00
1 hour

📌 Entry & Exit

Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
3.239 3.3392 3.0387 2 11.413
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 3.239
  • Stop Loss: 3.3392
  • Take Profit: 3.0387

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 3.3392 - 3.239 = 0.1002

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 3.239 - 3.0387 = 0.2003

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.2003 / 0.1002 = 1.999

📌 Position Size

Amount Margin Quantity Leverage
258.7109 100 79.8737 2.59
Details

1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade

Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade

Paramètres:

  • Account Size 100
  • Risk per trade 8 %

Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8

Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade

2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter

Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss

Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price

Paramètres:

  • Risk Amount 8
  • Distance Stop Loss 0.1002

Taille de position = 8 / 0.1002 = 79.84

Taille de position USD = 79.84 x 3.239 = 258.6

Donc, tu peux acheter 79.84 avec un stoploss a 3.3392

Avec un position size USD de 258.6$

3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle

Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss

Perte = 79.84 x 0.1002 = 8

Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$

4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle

Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit

Perte = 79.84 x 0.2003 = 15.99

Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 15.99$

Résumé

  • Taille de position 79.84
  • Taille de position USD 258.6
  • Perte potentielle 8
  • Gain potentiel 15.99
  • Risk-Reward Ratio 1.999

📌 Peformances

TP % Target TP $ Target
6.18 % 16 $
SL % Target SL $ Target
3.09 % 8 $
PNL PNL %
16 $ 6.18
Max Drawdown Max Drawdown / SL Ratio Candles in Entry
-1.1115 % 35.93 % 1

📌 ML Extra Data

Extra TP Data

                              Array
(
    [2] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 3.0386
            [stop_loss] => 3.3392
            [rr_ratio] => 2
            [closed_at] => 2025-12-25 08:40:00
            [result] => win
        )

    [2.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 2.9885
            [stop_loss] => 3.3392
            [rr_ratio] => 2.5
            [closed_at] => 2025-12-25 08:45:00
            [result] => win
        )

    [3] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 2.9384
            [stop_loss] => 3.3392
            [rr_ratio] => 3
            [closed_at] => 2025-12-25 08:50:00
            [result] => win
        )

    [3.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 2.8883
            [stop_loss] => 3.3392
            [rr_ratio] => 3.5
            [closed_at] => 2025-12-25 09:15:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [4] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 2.8382
            [stop_loss] => 3.3392
            [rr_ratio] => 4
            [closed_at] => 2025-12-25 09:15:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [4.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 2.7881
            [stop_loss] => 3.3392
            [rr_ratio] => 4.5
            [closed_at] => 2025-12-25 09:15:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 2.738
            [stop_loss] => 3.3392
            [rr_ratio] => 5
            [closed_at] => 2025-12-25 09:15:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [5.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 2.6879
            [stop_loss] => 3.3392
            [rr_ratio] => 5.5
            [closed_at] => 2025-12-25 09:15:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [6] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 2.6378
            [stop_loss] => 3.3392
            [rr_ratio] => 6
            [closed_at] => 2025-12-25 09:15:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [6.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 2.5877
            [stop_loss] => 3.3392
            [rr_ratio] => 6.5
            [closed_at] => 2025-12-25 09:15:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [7] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 2.5376
            [stop_loss] => 3.3392
            [rr_ratio] => 7
            [closed_at] => 2025-12-25 09:15:00
            [result] => loss
        )

)
Extra SL data

                              Array
(
)
Extra Pullback data

                              Array
(
    [short_term] => Array
        (
            [max_gain] => 0.325
            [max_drawdown] => 0.036
            [rr_ratio] => 9.03
            [high] => 3.27500000
            [low] => 2.91400000
            [mfe_pct] => 10.03
            [mae_pct] => 1.11
            [mfe_mae_ratio] => 9.03
            [candles_analyzed] => 24
            [start_at] => 2025-12-25T06:59:36-05:00
            [end_at] => 2025-12-25T08:59:36-05:00
        )

    [long_term] => Array
        (
            [max_gain] => 0.325
            [max_drawdown] => 0.753
            [rr_ratio] => 0.43
            [high] => 3.99200000
            [low] => 2.91400000
            [mfe_pct] => 10.03
            [mae_pct] => 23.25
            [mfe_mae_ratio] => 0.43
            [candles_analyzed] => 84
            [start_at] => 2025-12-25T06:59:36-05:00
            [end_at] => 2025-12-25T13:59:36-05:00
        )

    [breakout] => Array
        (
            [high_before] => 3.24600000
            [high_after] => 3.99200000
            [low_before] => 2.78300000
            [low_after] => 2.91400000
            [is_new_high] => 
            [is_new_low] => 
        )

)