Short Trade on FIL 25 Dec 2025 at 22:07:00
Take profit at 1.2378 (1.13 %) and Stop Loss at 1.2591 (0.57 %)
Short Trade on FIL 25 Dec 2025 at 22:07:00
Take profit at 1.2378 (1.13 %) and Stop Loss at 1.2591 (0.57 %)
Position size of 1409.5411 $
Take profit at 1.2378 (1.13 %) and Stop Loss at 1.2591 (0.57 %)
That's a 2 RR Trade| Prediction 1 | Probability |
|---|---|
|
Weak Trade
|
0.97 |
| Prediction 2 | Probability |
|---|---|
| 1 | 0.66 |
| Prediction 3 | Probability |
|---|---|
| 0 | 0.87 |
| BTC Market Regime | Coin Market Regime |
|---|---|
|
ml_regime : bull_moderate rules_regime : bull_medium_confirmed rules_regime_5m : bull_low |
1H_regime : bear_high 15m_regime : range_medium 5m_regime : bull_low |
| BTC Correlation | Score |
|---|---|
|
5m : 0.662918 15m : -0.083176 1H : 0.028689 |
0 |
Indicators:
87901.4
0.0140826
89139.3
0.662918
87799.7
0.0152565
89139.3
-0.083176
87896.6
0.0141377
89139.3
0.028689
Array
(
[left_window] => 5
[right_window] => 5
[recent_pivots] => Array
(
[0] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-23 01:00:00
[1] => 1.268
[2] => L
)
[1] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-23 15:00:00
[1] => 1.351
[2] => H
)
[2] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-24 03:00:00
[1] => 1.261
[2] => L
)
[3] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-24 08:00:00
[1] => 1.286
[2] => H
)
[4] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-24 09:00:00
[1] => 1.263
[2] => L
)
[5] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-24 20:00:00
[1] => 1.268
[2] => L
)
[6] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-25 03:00:00
[1] => 1.298
[2] => H
)
[7] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-25 05:00:00
[1] => 1.255
[2] => L
)
[8] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-25 11:00:00
[1] => 1.298
[2] => H
)
[9] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-25 17:00:00
[1] => 1.197
[2] => L
)
)
[detected_trend] => range
[features] => Array
(
[ms_trend_state] => 0
[ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -3.5439137134052
[ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 4.5948203842941
[ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 11
[ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 5
[ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 8.43776106934
[ms_bos_up] => 0
[ms_bos_down] => 1
[ms_choch_up] => 0
[ms_choch_down] => 0
)
)
Array
(
[left_window] => 5
[right_window] => 5
[recent_pivots] => Array
(
[0] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-25 08:00:00
[1] => 1.272
[2] => H
)
[1] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-25 09:15:00
[1] => 1.259
[2] => L
)
[2] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-25 11:30:00
[1] => 1.298
[2] => H
)
[3] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-25 12:00:00
[1] => 1.263
[2] => L
)
[4] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-25 12:30:00
[1] => 1.263
[2] => L
)
[5] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-25 14:00:00
[1] => 1.284
[2] => H
)
[6] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-25 15:30:00
[1] => 1.265
[2] => L
)
[7] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-25 17:45:00
[1] => 1.197
[2] => L
)
[8] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-25 19:15:00
[1] => 1.206
[2] => L
)
[9] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-25 21:30:00
[1] => 1.255
[2] => H
)
)
[detected_trend] => range
[features] => Array
(
[ms_trend_state] => 0
[ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.23904382470119
[ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 3.8142620232173
[ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 2
[ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 11
[ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 4.0630182421227
[ms_bos_up] => 0
[ms_bos_down] => 0
[ms_choch_up] => 0
[ms_choch_down] => 0
)
)
Array
(
[left_window] => 5
[right_window] => 5
[recent_pivots] => Array
(
[0] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-25 17:05:00
[1] => 1.264
[2] => L
)
[1] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-25 17:45:00
[1] => 1.197
[2] => L
)
[2] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-25 18:45:00
[1] => 1.206
[2] => L
)
[3] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-25 19:10:00
[1] => 1.206
[2] => L
)
[4] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-25 19:30:00
[1] => 1.218
[2] => H
)
[5] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-25 20:35:00
[1] => 1.23
[2] => H
)
[6] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-25 21:05:00
[1] => 1.222
[2] => L
)
[7] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-25 21:35:00
[1] => 1.255
[2] => H
)
[8] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-25 21:45:00
[1] => 1.245
[2] => L
)
[9] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-25 22:05:00
[1] => 1.253
[2] => H
)
)
[detected_trend] => range
[features] => Array
(
[ms_trend_state] => 0
[ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.079808459696719
[ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 0.56224899598393
[ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 0
[ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 4
[ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 0.64257028112448
[ms_bos_up] => 0
[ms_bos_down] => 0
[ms_choch_up] => 0
[ms_choch_down] => 0
)
)
Market Structure Score: 0
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2025-12-25 17:05:00 | 1.264 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-25 17:45:00 | 1.197 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-25 18:45:00 | 1.206 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-25 19:10:00 | 1.206 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-25 19:30:00 | 1.218 | ↑ High |
| 2025-12-25 20:35:00 | 1.23 | ↑ High |
| 2025-12-25 21:05:00 | 1.222 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-25 21:35:00 | 1.255 | ↑ High |
| 2025-12-25 21:45:00 | 1.245 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-25 22:05:00 | 1.253 | ↑ High |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2025-12-25 08:00:00 | 1.272 | ↑ High |
| 2025-12-25 09:15:00 | 1.259 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-25 11:30:00 | 1.298 | ↑ High |
| 2025-12-25 12:00:00 | 1.263 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-25 12:30:00 | 1.263 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-25 14:00:00 | 1.284 | ↑ High |
| 2025-12-25 15:30:00 | 1.265 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-25 17:45:00 | 1.197 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-25 19:15:00 | 1.206 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-25 21:30:00 | 1.255 | ↑ High |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2025-12-23 01:00:00 | 1.268 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-23 15:00:00 | 1.351 | ↑ High |
| 2025-12-24 03:00:00 | 1.261 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-24 08:00:00 | 1.286 | ↑ High |
| 2025-12-24 09:00:00 | 1.263 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-24 20:00:00 | 1.268 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-25 03:00:00 | 1.298 | ↑ High |
| 2025-12-25 05:00:00 | 1.255 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-25 11:00:00 | 1.298 | ↑ High |
| 2025-12-25 17:00:00 | 1.197 | ↓ Low |
| Start at | Closed at | Duration |
|---|---|---|
| 25 Dec 2025 22:07:00 |
26 Dec 2025 02:35:00 |
4 hours |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1.252 | 1.2591 | 1.2378 | 2 | 1.0068 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 1.2591 - 1.252 = 0.0071000000000001
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 1.252 - 1.2378 = 0.0142
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.0142 / 0.0071000000000001 = 2
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1409.5411 | 100 | 1125.8316 | 14.10 |
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
Taille de position = 8 / 0.0071000000000001 = 1126.76
Taille de position USD = 1126.76 x 1.252 = 1410.7
Donc, tu peux acheter 1126.76 avec un stoploss a 1.2591
Avec un position size USD de 1410.7$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = 1126.76 x 0.0071000000000001 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = 1126.76 x 0.0142 = 16
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 16$
Résumé
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 1.13 % | 15.99 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.57 % | 7.99 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| 15.99 $ | 1.13 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -0.0799 % | 14.09 % | 2 |
Array
(
[2] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 1.2378
[stop_loss] => 1.2591
[rr_ratio] => 2
[closed_at] => 2025-12-26 02:35:00
[result] => win
)
[2.5] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 1.23425
[stop_loss] => 1.2591
[rr_ratio] => 2.5
[closed_at] => 2025-12-26 02:55:00
[result] => win
)
[3] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 1.2307
[stop_loss] => 1.2591
[rr_ratio] => 3
[closed_at] => 2025-12-26 03:45:00
[result] => win
)
)
Array
(
)
Array
(
[short_term] => Array
(
[max_gain] => 0.013
[max_drawdown] => 0.00099999999999989
[rr_ratio] => 13
[high] => 1.25300000
[low] => 1.23900000
[mfe_pct] => 1.04
[mae_pct] => 0.08
[mfe_mae_ratio] => 13
[candles_analyzed] => 24
[start_at] => 2025-12-25T22:07:00-05:00
[end_at] => 2025-12-26T00:07:00-05:00
)
[long_term] => Array
(
[max_gain] => 0.023
[max_drawdown] => 0.00099999999999989
[rr_ratio] => 23
[high] => 1.25300000
[low] => 1.22900000
[mfe_pct] => 1.84
[mae_pct] => 0.08
[mfe_mae_ratio] => 23
[candles_analyzed] => 84
[start_at] => 2025-12-25T22:07:00-05:00
[end_at] => 2025-12-26T05:07:00-05:00
)
[breakout] => Array
(
[high_before] => 1.25500000
[high_after] => 1.25300000
[low_before] => 1.20600000
[low_after] => 1.22900000
[is_new_high] =>
[is_new_low] =>
)
)