Short Trade on FIL 26 Dec 2025 at 01:05:44
Take profit at 1.2425 (0.52 %) and Stop Loss at 1.2523 (0.26 %)
Short Trade on FIL 26 Dec 2025 at 01:05:44
Take profit at 1.2425 (0.52 %) and Stop Loss at 1.2523 (0.26 %)
Position size of 3061.7823 $
Take profit at 1.2425 (0.52 %) and Stop Loss at 1.2523 (0.26 %)
That's a 1.97 RR Trade| Prediction 1 | Probability |
|---|---|
|
Weak Trade
|
0.82 |
| Prediction 2 | Probability |
|---|---|
| 0 | 0.51 |
| Prediction 3 | Probability |
|---|---|
| 0 | 0.78 |
| BTC Market Regime | Coin Market Regime |
|---|---|
|
ml_regime : bull_moderate rules_regime : bull_medium rules_regime_5m : bull_low |
1H_regime : bear_high 15m_regime : range_medium 5m_regime : bull_low |
| BTC Correlation | Score |
|---|---|
|
5m : 0.61967 15m : 0.017021 1H : -0.051436 |
0 |
Indicators:
88348.9
0.00751693
89013.1
0.61967
88017
0.0113168
89013.1
0.017021
87973.1
0.0118207
89013.1
-0.051436
Array
(
[left_window] => 5
[right_window] => 5
[recent_pivots] => Array
(
[0] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-23 01:00:00
[1] => 1.268
[2] => L
)
[1] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-23 15:00:00
[1] => 1.351
[2] => H
)
[2] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-24 03:00:00
[1] => 1.261
[2] => L
)
[3] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-24 08:00:00
[1] => 1.286
[2] => H
)
[4] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-24 09:00:00
[1] => 1.263
[2] => L
)
[5] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-24 20:00:00
[1] => 1.268
[2] => L
)
[6] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-25 03:00:00
[1] => 1.298
[2] => H
)
[7] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-25 05:00:00
[1] => 1.255
[2] => L
)
[8] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-25 11:00:00
[1] => 1.298
[2] => H
)
[9] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-25 17:00:00
[1] => 1.197
[2] => L
)
)
[detected_trend] => range
[features] => Array
(
[ms_trend_state] => 0
[ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -3.8520801232666
[ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 4.2606516290727
[ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 14
[ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 8
[ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 8.43776106934
[ms_bos_up] => 0
[ms_bos_down] => 1
[ms_choch_up] => 0
[ms_choch_down] => 0
)
)
Array
(
[left_window] => 5
[right_window] => 5
[recent_pivots] => Array
(
[0] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-25 11:30:00
[1] => 1.298
[2] => H
)
[1] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-25 12:00:00
[1] => 1.263
[2] => L
)
[2] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-25 12:30:00
[1] => 1.263
[2] => L
)
[3] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-25 14:00:00
[1] => 1.284
[2] => H
)
[4] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-25 15:30:00
[1] => 1.265
[2] => L
)
[5] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-25 17:45:00
[1] => 1.197
[2] => L
)
[6] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-25 19:15:00
[1] => 1.206
[2] => L
)
[7] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-25 21:30:00
[1] => 1.255
[2] => H
)
[8] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-26 00:00:00
[1] => 1.239
[2] => L
)
[9] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-26 01:00:00
[1] => 1.25
[2] => H
)
)
[detected_trend] => range
[features] => Array
(
[ms_trend_state] => 0
[ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.16
[ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 0.72639225181597
[ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 0
[ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 4
[ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 0.88781275221952
[ms_bos_up] => 0
[ms_bos_down] => 0
[ms_choch_up] => 0
[ms_choch_down] => 0
)
)
Array
(
[left_window] => 5
[right_window] => 5
[recent_pivots] => Array
(
[0] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-25 22:40:00
[1] => 1.239
[2] => L
)
[1] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-25 22:50:00
[1] => 1.251
[2] => H
)
[2] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-25 23:15:00
[1] => 1.241
[2] => L
)
[3] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-25 23:25:00
[1] => 1.241
[2] => L
)
[4] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-25 23:30:00
[1] => 1.246
[2] => H
)
[5] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-25 23:35:00
[1] => 1.241
[2] => L
)
[6] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-26 00:00:00
[1] => 1.248
[2] => H
)
[7] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-26 00:10:00
[1] => 1.239
[2] => L
)
[8] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-26 00:50:00
[1] => 1.24
[2] => L
)
[9] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-26 01:00:00
[1] => 1.25
[2] => H
)
)
[detected_trend] => uptrend
[features] => Array
(
[ms_trend_state] => 1
[ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.16
[ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 0.64516129032258
[ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 1
[ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 3
[ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 0.80645161290323
[ms_bos_up] => 1
[ms_bos_down] => 0
[ms_choch_up] => 0
[ms_choch_down] => 0
)
)
Market Structure Score: 0
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2025-12-25 22:40:00 | 1.239 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-25 22:50:00 | 1.251 | ↑ High |
| 2025-12-25 23:15:00 | 1.241 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-25 23:25:00 | 1.241 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-25 23:30:00 | 1.246 | ↑ High |
| 2025-12-25 23:35:00 | 1.241 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-26 00:00:00 | 1.248 | ↑ High |
| 2025-12-26 00:10:00 | 1.239 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-26 00:50:00 | 1.24 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-26 01:00:00 | 1.25 | ↑ High |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2025-12-25 11:30:00 | 1.298 | ↑ High |
| 2025-12-25 12:00:00 | 1.263 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-25 12:30:00 | 1.263 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-25 14:00:00 | 1.284 | ↑ High |
| 2025-12-25 15:30:00 | 1.265 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-25 17:45:00 | 1.197 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-25 19:15:00 | 1.206 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-25 21:30:00 | 1.255 | ↑ High |
| 2025-12-26 00:00:00 | 1.239 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-26 01:00:00 | 1.25 | ↑ High |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2025-12-23 01:00:00 | 1.268 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-23 15:00:00 | 1.351 | ↑ High |
| 2025-12-24 03:00:00 | 1.261 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-24 08:00:00 | 1.286 | ↑ High |
| 2025-12-24 09:00:00 | 1.263 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-24 20:00:00 | 1.268 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-25 03:00:00 | 1.298 | ↑ High |
| 2025-12-25 05:00:00 | 1.255 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-25 11:00:00 | 1.298 | ↑ High |
| 2025-12-25 17:00:00 | 1.197 | ↓ Low |
| Start at | Closed at | Duration |
|---|---|---|
| 26 Dec 2025 01:05:44 |
26 Dec 2025 02:30:00 |
1 hour |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1.249 | 1.2523 | 1.2425 | 1.97 | 1.0047 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 1.2523 - 1.249 = 0.0032999999999999
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 1.249 - 1.2425 = 0.0065000000000002
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.0065000000000002 / 0.0032999999999999 = 1.9697
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3061.7823 | 100 | 2451.3869 | 30.62 |
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
Taille de position = 8 / 0.0032999999999999 = 2424.24
Taille de position USD = 2424.24 x 1.249 = 3027.88
Donc, tu peux acheter 2424.24 avec un stoploss a 1.2523
Avec un position size USD de 3027.88$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = 2424.24 x 0.0032999999999999 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = 2424.24 x 0.0065000000000002 = 15.76
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 15.76$
Résumé
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.52 % | 15.93 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.26 % | 8.09 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| 15.93 $ | 0.52 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -0.2402 % | 90.92 % | 4 |
Array
(
[2] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 1.2424
[stop_loss] => 1.2523
[rr_ratio] => 2
[closed_at] => 2025-12-26 02:30:00
[result] => win
)
[2.5] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 1.24075
[stop_loss] => 1.2523
[rr_ratio] => 2.5
[closed_at] => 2025-12-26 02:30:00
[result] => win
)
[3] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 1.2391
[stop_loss] => 1.2523
[rr_ratio] => 3
[closed_at] => 2025-12-26 02:30:00
[result] => win
)
[3.5] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 1.23745
[stop_loss] => 1.2523
[rr_ratio] => 3.5
[closed_at] => 2025-12-26 02:35:00
[result] => win
)
[4] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 1.2358
[stop_loss] => 1.2523
[rr_ratio] => 4
[closed_at] => 2025-12-26 02:35:00
[result] => win
)
[4.5] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 1.23415
[stop_loss] => 1.2523
[rr_ratio] => 4.5
[closed_at] => 2025-12-26 02:55:00
[result] => win
)
[5] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 1.2325
[stop_loss] => 1.2523
[rr_ratio] => 5
[closed_at] => 2025-12-26 02:55:00
[result] => win
)
[5.5] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 1.23085
[stop_loss] => 1.2523
[rr_ratio] => 5.5
[closed_at] => 2025-12-26 03:45:00
[result] => win
)
[6] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 1.2292
[stop_loss] => 1.2523
[rr_ratio] => 6
[closed_at] => 2025-12-26 03:45:00
[result] => win
)
[6.5] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 1.22755
[stop_loss] => 1.2523
[rr_ratio] => 6.5
[closed_at] => 2025-12-26 06:25:00
[result] => loss
)
[7] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 1.2259
[stop_loss] => 1.2523
[rr_ratio] => 7
[closed_at] => 2025-12-26 06:25:00
[result] => loss
)
)
Array
(
)
Array
(
[short_term] => Array
(
[max_gain] => 0.017
[max_drawdown] => 0.0029999999999999
[rr_ratio] => 5.67
[high] => 1.25200000
[low] => 1.23200000
[mfe_pct] => 1.36
[mae_pct] => 0.24
[mfe_mae_ratio] => 5.67
[candles_analyzed] => 24
[start_at] => 2025-12-26T01:05:44-05:00
[end_at] => 2025-12-26T03:05:44-05:00
)
[long_term] => Array
(
[max_gain] => 0.02
[max_drawdown] => 0.0089999999999999
[rr_ratio] => 2.22
[high] => 1.25800000
[low] => 1.22900000
[mfe_pct] => 1.6
[mae_pct] => 0.72
[mfe_mae_ratio] => 2.22
[candles_analyzed] => 84
[start_at] => 2025-12-26T01:05:44-05:00
[end_at] => 2025-12-26T08:05:44-05:00
)
[breakout] => Array
(
[high_before] => 1.25500000
[high_after] => 1.25800000
[low_before] => 1.22600000
[low_after] => 1.22900000
[is_new_high] =>
[is_new_low] =>
)
)