Short Trade on FOLKS 26 Dec 2025 at 02:55:59
Take profit at 3.8135 (4.1 %) and Stop Loss at 4.0582 (2.05 %)
Short Trade on FOLKS 26 Dec 2025 at 02:55:59
Take profit at 3.8135 (4.1 %) and Stop Loss at 4.0582 (2.05 %)
Position size of 390.0493 $
Take profit at 3.8135 (4.1 %) and Stop Loss at 4.0582 (2.05 %)
That's a 2 RR Trade| Prediction 1 | Probability |
|---|---|
|
Weak Trade
|
0.68 |
| Prediction 2 | Probability |
|---|---|
| 1 | 0.57 |
| Prediction 3 | Probability |
|---|---|
| 1 | 0.51 |
| BTC Market Regime | Coin Market Regime |
|---|---|
|
ml_regime : bull_moderate rules_regime : bull_medium_confirmed rules_regime_5m : range_low |
1H_regime : bear_high 15m_regime : bear_high 5m_regime : bull_high |
| BTC Correlation | Score |
|---|---|
|
5m : -0.060888 15m : 0.030588 1H : 0.026128 |
0 |
Indicators:
88491.8
0.000376565
88525.2
-0.060888
88164.8
0.00498514
88604.4
0.030588
88004.1
0.00592111
88525.2
0.026128
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Market Structure Score: 1
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2025-12-25 19:40:00 | 3.4047 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-25 21:15:00 | 3.8834 | ↑ High |
| 2025-12-25 21:50:00 | 3.673 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-25 22:25:00 | 3.67 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-25 23:25:00 | 3.8557 | ↑ High |
| 2025-12-26 00:00:00 | 3.6963 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-26 00:40:00 | 3.6454 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-26 01:30:00 | 3.7874 | ↑ High |
| 2025-12-26 01:40:00 | 3.7117 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-26 02:45:00 | 4.1136 | ↑ High |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2025-12-25 09:45:00 | 4.2614 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-25 12:15:00 | 4.7739 | ↑ High |
| 2025-12-25 15:15:00 | 4.7887 | ↑ High |
| 2025-12-25 17:15:00 | 4.7123 | ↑ High |
| 2025-12-25 19:30:00 | 3.4047 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-25 21:15:00 | 3.8834 | ↑ High |
| 2025-12-25 22:15:00 | 3.67 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-25 23:15:00 | 3.8557 | ↑ High |
| 2025-12-26 00:30:00 | 3.6454 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-26 02:45:00 | 4.1136 | ↑ High |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2025-12-22 10:00:00 | 4.8073 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-23 03:00:00 | 6.1683 | ↑ High |
| 2025-12-23 10:00:00 | 4.7302 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-24 05:00:00 | 4.2151 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-24 15:00:00 | 4.4878 | ↑ High |
| 2025-12-24 21:00:00 | 4.51 | ↑ High |
| 2025-12-25 01:00:00 | 4.1104 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-25 15:00:00 | 4.7887 | ↑ High |
| 2025-12-25 19:00:00 | 3.4047 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-26 02:00:00 | 4.1136 | ↑ High |
| Start at | Closed at | Duration |
|---|---|---|
| 26 Dec 2025 02:55:59 |
26 Dec 2025 03:30:00 |
34 minutes |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3.9766 | 4.0582 | 3.8135 | 2 | 1.2749 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 4.0582 - 3.9766 = 0.0816
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 3.9766 - 3.8135 = 0.1631
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.1631 / 0.0816 = 1.9988
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 390.0493 | 100 | 98.0861 | 3.90 |
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
Taille de position = 8 / 0.0816 = 98.04
Taille de position USD = 98.04 x 3.9766 = 389.87
Donc, tu peux acheter 98.04 avec un stoploss a 4.0582
Avec un position size USD de 389.87$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = 98.04 x 0.0816 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = 98.04 x 0.1631 = 15.99
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 15.99$
Résumé
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 4.1 % | 16 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 2.05 % | 8 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| -8 $ | -2.05 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -2.3311 % | 113.6 % | 4 |
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