Short Trade on FIL 26 Dec 2025 at 05:49:08
Take profit at 1.2398 (0.5 %) and Stop Loss at 1.2491 (0.25 %)
Short Trade on FIL 26 Dec 2025 at 05:49:08
Take profit at 1.2398 (0.5 %) and Stop Loss at 1.2491 (0.25 %)
Position size of 3213.4954 $
Take profit at 1.2398 (0.5 %) and Stop Loss at 1.2491 (0.25 %)
That's a 2 RR Trade| Prediction 1 | Probability |
|---|---|
|
Weak Trade
|
0.61 |
| Prediction 2 | Probability |
|---|---|
| 0 | 0.54 |
| Prediction 3 | Probability |
|---|---|
| 1 | 0.52 |
| BTC Market Regime | Coin Market Regime |
|---|---|
|
ml_regime : neutral rules_regime : bull_medium rules_regime_5m : range_low |
1H_regime : bear_high 15m_regime : range_medium 5m_regime : range_low |
| BTC Correlation | Score |
|---|---|
|
5m : 0.500987 15m : -0.122665 1H : 0.077348 |
0 |
Indicators:
88846
-0.000514318
88800.4
0.500987
88231.3
0.00644958
88800.4
-0.122665
88082
0.00815591
88800.4
0.077348
Array
(
[left_window] => 5
[right_window] => 5
[recent_pivots] => Array
(
[0] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-23 15:00:00
[1] => 1.351
[2] => H
)
[1] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-24 03:00:00
[1] => 1.261
[2] => L
)
[2] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-24 08:00:00
[1] => 1.286
[2] => H
)
[3] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-24 09:00:00
[1] => 1.263
[2] => L
)
[4] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-24 20:00:00
[1] => 1.268
[2] => L
)
[5] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-25 03:00:00
[1] => 1.298
[2] => H
)
[6] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-25 05:00:00
[1] => 1.255
[2] => L
)
[7] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-25 11:00:00
[1] => 1.298
[2] => H
)
[8] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-25 17:00:00
[1] => 1.197
[2] => L
)
[9] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-26 03:00:00
[1] => 1.229
[2] => L
)
)
[detected_trend] => range
[features] => Array
(
[ms_trend_state] => 0
[ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -4.0061633281972
[ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 1.3832384052075
[ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 18
[ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 2
[ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 2.6733500417711
[ms_bos_up] => 0
[ms_bos_down] => 0
[ms_choch_up] => 0
[ms_choch_down] => 0
)
)
Array
(
[left_window] => 5
[right_window] => 5
[recent_pivots] => Array
(
[0] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-25 12:30:00
[1] => 1.263
[2] => L
)
[1] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-25 14:00:00
[1] => 1.284
[2] => H
)
[2] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-25 15:30:00
[1] => 1.265
[2] => L
)
[3] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-25 17:45:00
[1] => 1.197
[2] => L
)
[4] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-25 19:15:00
[1] => 1.206
[2] => L
)
[5] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-25 21:30:00
[1] => 1.255
[2] => H
)
[6] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-26 00:00:00
[1] => 1.239
[2] => L
)
[7] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-26 01:15:00
[1] => 1.252
[2] => H
)
[8] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-26 03:45:00
[1] => 1.229
[2] => L
)
[9] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-26 05:45:00
[1] => 1.247
[2] => H
)
)
[detected_trend] => downtrend
[features] => Array
(
[ms_trend_state] => -1
[ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.08019246190859
[ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 1.3832384052075
[ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 0
[ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 8
[ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 1.4646053702197
[ms_bos_up] => 0
[ms_bos_down] => 1
[ms_choch_up] => 0
[ms_choch_down] => 0
)
)
Array
(
[left_window] => 5
[right_window] => 5
[recent_pivots] => Array
(
[0] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-26 02:25:00
[1] => 1.248
[2] => H
)
[1] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-26 02:55:00
[1] => 1.232
[2] => L
)
[2] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-26 03:05:00
[1] => 1.239
[2] => H
)
[3] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-26 03:10:00
[1] => 1.232
[2] => L
)
[4] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-26 03:45:00
[1] => 1.229
[2] => L
)
[5] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-26 04:45:00
[1] => 1.245
[2] => H
)
[6] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-26 05:15:00
[1] => 1.242
[2] => L
)
[7] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-26 05:25:00
[1] => 1.242
[2] => L
)
[8] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-26 05:35:00
[1] => 1.242
[2] => L
)
[9] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-26 05:45:00
[1] => 1.247
[2] => H
)
)
[detected_trend] => range
[features] => Array
(
[ms_trend_state] => 0
[ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.08019246190859
[ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 0.32206119162641
[ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 0
[ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 2
[ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 0.40257648953302
[ms_bos_up] => 1
[ms_bos_down] => 0
[ms_choch_up] => 0
[ms_choch_down] => 0
)
)
Market Structure Score: 1
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2025-12-26 02:25:00 | 1.248 | ↑ High |
| 2025-12-26 02:55:00 | 1.232 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-26 03:05:00 | 1.239 | ↑ High |
| 2025-12-26 03:10:00 | 1.232 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-26 03:45:00 | 1.229 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-26 04:45:00 | 1.245 | ↑ High |
| 2025-12-26 05:15:00 | 1.242 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-26 05:25:00 | 1.242 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-26 05:35:00 | 1.242 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-26 05:45:00 | 1.247 | ↑ High |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2025-12-25 12:30:00 | 1.263 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-25 14:00:00 | 1.284 | ↑ High |
| 2025-12-25 15:30:00 | 1.265 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-25 17:45:00 | 1.197 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-25 19:15:00 | 1.206 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-25 21:30:00 | 1.255 | ↑ High |
| 2025-12-26 00:00:00 | 1.239 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-26 01:15:00 | 1.252 | ↑ High |
| 2025-12-26 03:45:00 | 1.229 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-26 05:45:00 | 1.247 | ↑ High |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2025-12-23 15:00:00 | 1.351 | ↑ High |
| 2025-12-24 03:00:00 | 1.261 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-24 08:00:00 | 1.286 | ↑ High |
| 2025-12-24 09:00:00 | 1.263 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-24 20:00:00 | 1.268 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-25 03:00:00 | 1.298 | ↑ High |
| 2025-12-25 05:00:00 | 1.255 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-25 11:00:00 | 1.298 | ↑ High |
| 2025-12-25 17:00:00 | 1.197 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-26 03:00:00 | 1.229 | ↓ Low |
| Start at | Closed at | Duration |
|---|---|---|
| 26 Dec 2025 05:49:08 |
26 Dec 2025 06:25:00 |
35 minutes |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1.246 | 1.2491 | 1.2398 | 2 | 1.0296 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 1.2491 - 1.246 = 0.0031000000000001
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 1.246 - 1.2398 = 0.0062
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.0062 / 0.0031000000000001 = 2
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3213.4954 | 100 | 2579.0492 | 32.13 |
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
Taille de position = 8 / 0.0031000000000001 = 2580.65
Taille de position USD = 2580.65 x 1.246 = 3215.49
Donc, tu peux acheter 2580.65 avec un stoploss a 1.2491
Avec un position size USD de 3215.49$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = 2580.65 x 0.0031000000000001 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = 2580.65 x 0.0062 = 16
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 16$
Résumé
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.5 % | 15.99 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.25 % | 8 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| -8 $ | -0.25 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -0.9631 % | 387.1 % | 2 |
Array
(
)
Array
(
[1.1] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 1.2398
[entry_price] => 1.246
[stop_loss] => 1.24941
[rr_ratio] => 1.82
[sl_change_percentage] => 1.1
[closed_at] => 2025-12-26 06:25:00
[result] => loss
)
[1.2] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 1.2398
[entry_price] => 1.246
[stop_loss] => 1.24972
[rr_ratio] => 1.67
[sl_change_percentage] => 1.2
[closed_at] => 2025-12-26 06:25:00
[result] => loss
)
[1.3] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 1.2398
[entry_price] => 1.246
[stop_loss] => 1.25003
[rr_ratio] => 1.54
[sl_change_percentage] => 1.3
[closed_at] => 2025-12-26 06:25:00
[result] => loss
)
[1.5] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 1.2398
[entry_price] => 1.246
[stop_loss] => 1.25065
[rr_ratio] => 1.33
[sl_change_percentage] => 1.5
[closed_at] => 2025-12-26 06:25:00
[result] => loss
)
)
Array
(
[short_term] => Array
(
[max_gain] => 0.0069999999999999
[max_drawdown] => 0.012
[rr_ratio] => 0.58
[high] => 1.25800000
[low] => 1.23900000
[mfe_pct] => 0.56
[mae_pct] => 0.96
[mfe_mae_ratio] => 0.58
[candles_analyzed] => 24
[start_at] => 2025-12-26T05:49:08-05:00
[end_at] => 2025-12-26T07:49:08-05:00
)
[long_term] => Array
(
[max_gain] => 0.034
[max_drawdown] => 0.012
[rr_ratio] => 2.83
[high] => 1.25800000
[low] => 1.21200000
[mfe_pct] => 2.73
[mae_pct] => 0.96
[mfe_mae_ratio] => 2.83
[candles_analyzed] => 84
[start_at] => 2025-12-26T05:49:08-05:00
[end_at] => 2025-12-26T12:49:08-05:00
)
[breakout] => Array
(
[high_before] => 1.24800000
[high_after] => 1.25800000
[low_before] => 1.22900000
[low_after] => 1.21200000
[is_new_high] =>
[is_new_low] => 1
)
)