Short Trade on BTC 26 Dec 2025 at 15:45:58
Take profit at 87420.0113 (0.32 %) and Stop Loss at 87835.4944 (0.16 %)
Short Trade on BTC 26 Dec 2025 at 15:45:58
Take profit at 87420.0113 (0.32 %) and Stop Loss at 87835.4944 (0.16 %)
Position size of 5065.7367 $
Take profit at 87420.0113 (0.32 %) and Stop Loss at 87835.4944 (0.16 %)
That's a 2 RR Trade| Prediction 1 | Probability |
|---|---|
|
Weak Trade
|
0.92 |
| Prediction 2 | Probability |
|---|---|
| 1 | 0.5 |
| Prediction 3 | Probability |
|---|---|
| 0 | 0.51 |
| BTC Market Regime | Coin Market Regime |
|---|---|
|
ml_regime : neutral rules_regime : range_medium rules_regime_5m : range_low |
1H_regime : range_medium 15m_regime : range_low 5m_regime : range_low |
| BTC Correlation | Score |
|---|---|
|
5m : 1 15m : -0.124682 1H : -0.074667 |
0 |
Indicators:
87635.5
0.000701596
87697
1
87982.7
-0.0032475
87697
-0.124682
88013.5
-0.00359658
87697
-0.074667
Array
(
[left_window] => 5
[right_window] => 5
[recent_pivots] => Array
(
[0] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-23 15:00:00
[1] => 88344
[2] => H
)
[1] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-24 09:00:00
[1] => 86377
[2] => L
)
[2] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-24 17:00:00
[1] => 88022.1
[2] => H
)
[3] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-25 05:00:00
[1] => 87211.2
[2] => L
)
[4] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-25 10:00:00
[1] => 88555
[2] => H
)
[5] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-25 19:00:00
[1] => 86857.6
[2] => L
)
[6] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-26 02:00:00
[1] => 89520
[2] => H
)
[7] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-26 08:00:00
[1] => 89023.8
[2] => H
)
[8] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-26 10:00:00
[1] => 86628
[2] => L
)
[9] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-26 15:00:00
[1] => 87750
[2] => H
)
)
[detected_trend] => downtrend
[features] => Array
(
[ms_trend_state] => -1
[ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.1194301994302
[ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 1.1742161887611
[ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 0
[ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 5
[ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 1.295193240061
[ms_bos_up] => 0
[ms_bos_down] => 1
[ms_choch_up] => 0
[ms_choch_down] => 0
)
)
Array
(
[left_window] => 5
[right_window] => 5
[recent_pivots] => Array
(
[0] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-26 02:15:00
[1] => 89520
[2] => H
)
[1] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-26 02:45:00
[1] => 88305.7
[2] => L
)
[2] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-26 04:45:00
[1] => 88887.9
[2] => H
)
[3] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-26 06:45:00
[1] => 88484.1
[2] => L
)
[4] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-26 08:45:00
[1] => 89023.8
[2] => H
)
[5] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-26 10:15:00
[1] => 86628
[2] => L
)
[6] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-26 12:00:00
[1] => 86774.1
[2] => L
)
[7] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-26 12:30:00
[1] => 87425
[2] => H
)
[8] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-26 13:45:00
[1] => 87100
[2] => L
)
[9] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-26 15:45:00
[1] => 87750
[2] => H
)
)
[detected_trend] => uptrend
[features] => Array
(
[ms_trend_state] => 1
[ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.1194301994302
[ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 0.62594718714121
[ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 0
[ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 8
[ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 0.74626865671642
[ms_bos_up] => 1
[ms_bos_down] => 0
[ms_choch_up] => 0
[ms_choch_down] => 0
)
)
Array
(
[left_window] => 5
[right_window] => 5
[recent_pivots] => Array
(
[0] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-26 09:30:00
[1] => 89021.9
[2] => H
)
[1] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-26 10:15:00
[1] => 86628
[2] => L
)
[2] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-26 11:40:00
[1] => 87345.6
[2] => H
)
[3] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-26 12:00:00
[1] => 86774.1
[2] => L
)
[4] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-26 12:40:00
[1] => 87425
[2] => H
)
[5] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-26 13:45:00
[1] => 87100
[2] => L
)
[6] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-26 14:15:00
[1] => 87200
[2] => L
)
[7] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-26 14:45:00
[1] => 87540.6
[2] => H
)
[8] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-26 15:00:00
[1] => 87345
[2] => L
)
[9] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-26 15:45:00
[1] => 87750
[2] => H
)
)
[detected_trend] => uptrend
[features] => Array
(
[ms_trend_state] => 1
[ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.1194301994302
[ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 0.3436945446219
[ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 0
[ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 9
[ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 0.46367851622875
[ms_bos_up] => 1
[ms_bos_down] => 0
[ms_choch_up] => 0
[ms_choch_down] => 0
)
)
Market Structure Score: 1
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2025-12-26 09:30:00 | 89021.9 | ↑ High |
| 2025-12-26 10:15:00 | 86628 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-26 11:40:00 | 87345.6 | ↑ High |
| 2025-12-26 12:00:00 | 86774.1 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-26 12:40:00 | 87425 | ↑ High |
| 2025-12-26 13:45:00 | 87100 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-26 14:15:00 | 87200 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-26 14:45:00 | 87540.6 | ↑ High |
| 2025-12-26 15:00:00 | 87345 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-26 15:45:00 | 87750 | ↑ High |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2025-12-26 02:15:00 | 89520 | ↑ High |
| 2025-12-26 02:45:00 | 88305.7 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-26 04:45:00 | 88887.9 | ↑ High |
| 2025-12-26 06:45:00 | 88484.1 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-26 08:45:00 | 89023.8 | ↑ High |
| 2025-12-26 10:15:00 | 86628 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-26 12:00:00 | 86774.1 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-26 12:30:00 | 87425 | ↑ High |
| 2025-12-26 13:45:00 | 87100 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-26 15:45:00 | 87750 | ↑ High |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2025-12-23 15:00:00 | 88344 | ↑ High |
| 2025-12-24 09:00:00 | 86377 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-24 17:00:00 | 88022.1 | ↑ High |
| 2025-12-25 05:00:00 | 87211.2 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-25 10:00:00 | 88555 | ↑ High |
| 2025-12-25 19:00:00 | 86857.6 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-26 02:00:00 | 89520 | ↑ High |
| 2025-12-26 08:00:00 | 89023.8 | ↑ High |
| 2025-12-26 10:00:00 | 86628 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-26 15:00:00 | 87750 | ↑ High |
| Start at | Closed at | Duration |
|---|---|---|
| 26 Dec 2025 15:45:58 |
26 Dec 2025 16:55:00 |
1 hour |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 87697 | 87835.4944 | 87420.0113 | 2 | 67146.5 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 87835.4944 - 87697 = 138.4944
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 87697 - 87420.0113 = 276.9887
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 276.9887 / 138.4944 = 2
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5065.7367 | 100 | 0.05776 | 50.66 |
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
Taille de position = 8 / 138.4944 = 0.06
Taille de position USD = 0.06 x 87697 = 5261.82
Donc, tu peux acheter 0.06 avec un stoploss a 87835.4944
Avec un position size USD de 5261.82$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = 0.06 x 138.4944 = 8.31
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8.31$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = 0.06 x 276.9887 = 16.62
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 16.62$
Résumé
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.32 % | 16 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.16 % | 8 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| 16 $ | 0.32 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -0.0186 % | 11.78 % | 1 |
Array
(
[2] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 87420.0112
[stop_loss] => 87835.4944
[rr_ratio] => 2
[closed_at] => 2025-12-26 16:55:00
[result] => win
)
[2.5] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 87350.764
[stop_loss] => 87835.4944
[rr_ratio] => 2.5
[closed_at] => 2025-12-26 17:40:00
[result] => win
)
[3] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 87281.5168
[stop_loss] => 87835.4944
[rr_ratio] => 3
[closed_at] => 2025-12-26 17:40:00
[result] => win
)
[3.5] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 87212.2696
[stop_loss] => 87835.4944
[rr_ratio] => 3.5
[closed_at] => 2025-12-26 19:20:00
[result] => win
)
)
Array
(
)
Array
(
[short_term] => Array
(
[max_gain] => 424.2
[max_drawdown] => 16.300000000003
[rr_ratio] => 26.02
[high] => 87713.30000000
[low] => 87272.80000000
[mfe_pct] => 0.48
[mae_pct] => 0.02
[mfe_mae_ratio] => 26.02
[candles_analyzed] => 24
[start_at] => 2025-12-26T15:45:58-05:00
[end_at] => 2025-12-26T17:45:58-05:00
)
[long_term] => Array
(
[max_gain] => 491.10000000001
[max_drawdown] => 16.300000000003
[rr_ratio] => 30.13
[high] => 87713.30000000
[low] => 87205.90000000
[mfe_pct] => 0.56
[mae_pct] => 0.02
[mfe_mae_ratio] => 30.13
[candles_analyzed] => 84
[start_at] => 2025-12-26T15:45:58-05:00
[end_at] => 2025-12-26T22:45:58-05:00
)
[breakout] => Array
(
[high_before] => 87750.00000000
[high_after] => 87713.30000000
[low_before] => 86774.10000000
[low_after] => 87205.90000000
[is_new_high] =>
[is_new_low] =>
)
)