Short Trade on TAO 26 Dec 2025 at 15:47:29
Take profit at 216.6398 (0.66 %) and Stop Loss at 218.7851 (0.33 %)
Short Trade on TAO 26 Dec 2025 at 15:47:29
Take profit at 216.6398 (0.66 %) and Stop Loss at 218.7851 (0.33 %)
Position size of 2439.589 $
Take profit at 216.6398 (0.66 %) and Stop Loss at 218.7851 (0.33 %)
That's a 2 RR Trade| Prediction 1 | Probability |
|---|---|
|
Weak Trade
|
0.64 |
| Prediction 2 | Probability |
|---|---|
| 0 | 0.72 |
| Prediction 3 | Probability |
|---|---|
| 1 | 0.6 |
| BTC Market Regime | Coin Market Regime |
|---|---|
|
ml_regime : neutral rules_regime : range_medium rules_regime_5m : range_low |
1H_regime : range_high 15m_regime : bear_medium 5m_regime : range_low |
| BTC Correlation | Score |
|---|---|
|
5m : 0.661498 15m : -0.095728 1H : -0.042089 |
0 |
Indicators:
87635.9
0.000971148
87721.1
0.661498
87983.2
-0.00297899
87721.1
-0.095728
88014
-0.00332816
87721.1
-0.042089
Array
(
[left_window] => 5
[right_window] => 5
[recent_pivots] => Array
(
[0] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-24 02:00:00
[1] => 206.2
[2] => L
)
[1] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-24 12:00:00
[1] => 219.99
[2] => H
)
[2] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-24 23:00:00
[1] => 224.31
[2] => H
)
[3] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-25 05:00:00
[1] => 219.47
[2] => L
)
[4] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-25 14:00:00
[1] => 227.8
[2] => H
)
[5] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-25 18:00:00
[1] => 217.5
[2] => L
)
[6] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-25 21:00:00
[1] => 227.86
[2] => H
)
[7] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-26 02:00:00
[1] => 220.64
[2] => L
)
[8] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-26 08:00:00
[1] => 223.57
[2] => H
)
[9] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-26 13:00:00
[1] => 215.21
[2] => L
)
)
[detected_trend] => downtrend
[features] => Array
(
[ms_trend_state] => -1
[ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -2.6703046025853
[ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 1.1105431903722
[ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 7
[ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 2
[ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 3.8845778541889
[ms_bos_up] => 0
[ms_bos_down] => 1
[ms_choch_up] => 0
[ms_choch_down] => 1
)
)
Array
(
[left_window] => 5
[right_window] => 5
[recent_pivots] => Array
(
[0] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-25 18:45:00
[1] => 217.5
[2] => L
)
[1] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-25 21:15:00
[1] => 227.86
[2] => H
)
[2] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-26 00:15:00
[1] => 222.08
[2] => L
)
[3] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-26 02:45:00
[1] => 220.64
[2] => L
)
[4] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-26 05:45:00
[1] => 223.54
[2] => H
)
[5] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-26 06:15:00
[1] => 221.9
[2] => L
)
[6] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-26 08:45:00
[1] => 223.57
[2] => H
)
[7] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-26 10:00:00
[1] => 216.66
[2] => L
)
[8] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-26 13:00:00
[1] => 215.21
[2] => L
)
[9] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-26 15:45:00
[1] => 218.16
[2] => H
)
)
[detected_trend] => downtrend
[features] => Array
(
[ms_trend_state] => -1
[ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.25669233590026
[ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 1.1105431903722
[ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 0
[ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 11
[ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 1.3707541471121
[ms_bos_up] => 0
[ms_bos_down] => 1
[ms_choch_up] => 0
[ms_choch_down] => 0
)
)
Array
(
[left_window] => 5
[right_window] => 5
[recent_pivots] => Array
(
[0] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-26 11:05:00
[1] => 217.19
[2] => L
)
[1] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-26 11:55:00
[1] => 215.77
[2] => L
)
[2] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-26 12:40:00
[1] => 217.96
[2] => H
)
[3] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-26 13:00:00
[1] => 215.21
[2] => L
)
[4] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-26 13:35:00
[1] => 216.71
[2] => H
)
[5] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-26 14:05:00
[1] => 217.05
[2] => H
)
[6] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-26 14:15:00
[1] => 215.87
[2] => L
)
[7] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-26 14:45:00
[1] => 217.35
[2] => H
)
[8] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-26 15:15:00
[1] => 216.41
[2] => L
)
[9] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-26 15:45:00
[1] => 218.16
[2] => H
)
)
[detected_trend] => uptrend
[features] => Array
(
[ms_trend_state] => 1
[ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.25669233590026
[ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 0.54988216810683
[ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 0
[ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 6
[ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 0.80865024721593
[ms_bos_up] => 1
[ms_bos_down] => 0
[ms_choch_up] => 0
[ms_choch_down] => 0
)
)
Market Structure Score: 2
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2025-12-26 11:05:00 | 217.19 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-26 11:55:00 | 215.77 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-26 12:40:00 | 217.96 | ↑ High |
| 2025-12-26 13:00:00 | 215.21 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-26 13:35:00 | 216.71 | ↑ High |
| 2025-12-26 14:05:00 | 217.05 | ↑ High |
| 2025-12-26 14:15:00 | 215.87 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-26 14:45:00 | 217.35 | ↑ High |
| 2025-12-26 15:15:00 | 216.41 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-26 15:45:00 | 218.16 | ↑ High |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2025-12-25 18:45:00 | 217.5 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-25 21:15:00 | 227.86 | ↑ High |
| 2025-12-26 00:15:00 | 222.08 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-26 02:45:00 | 220.64 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-26 05:45:00 | 223.54 | ↑ High |
| 2025-12-26 06:15:00 | 221.9 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-26 08:45:00 | 223.57 | ↑ High |
| 2025-12-26 10:00:00 | 216.66 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-26 13:00:00 | 215.21 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-26 15:45:00 | 218.16 | ↑ High |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2025-12-24 02:00:00 | 206.2 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-24 12:00:00 | 219.99 | ↑ High |
| 2025-12-24 23:00:00 | 224.31 | ↑ High |
| 2025-12-25 05:00:00 | 219.47 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-25 14:00:00 | 227.8 | ↑ High |
| 2025-12-25 18:00:00 | 217.5 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-25 21:00:00 | 227.86 | ↑ High |
| 2025-12-26 02:00:00 | 220.64 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-26 08:00:00 | 223.57 | ↑ High |
| 2025-12-26 13:00:00 | 215.21 | ↓ Low |
| Start at | Closed at | Duration |
|---|---|---|
| 26 Dec 2025 15:47:29 |
26 Dec 2025 16:30:00 |
42 minutes |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 218.07 | 218.7851 | 216.6398 | 2 | 182.88 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 218.7851 - 218.07 = 0.71510000000001
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 218.07 - 216.6398 = 1.4302
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 1.4302 / 0.71510000000001 = 2
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2439.589 | 100 | 11.1872 | 24.40 |
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
Taille de position = 8 / 0.71510000000001 = 11.19
Taille de position USD = 11.19 x 218.07 = 2440.2
Donc, tu peux acheter 11.19 avec un stoploss a 218.7851
Avec un position size USD de 2440.2$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = 11.19 x 0.71510000000001 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = 11.19 x 1.4302 = 16
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 16$
Résumé
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.66 % | 16 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.33 % | 8 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| 16 $ | 0.66 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| 0 % | 0 % | 0 |
Array
(
[2] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 216.6398
[stop_loss] => 218.7851
[rr_ratio] => 2
[closed_at] => 2025-12-26 16:30:00
[result] => win
)
[2.5] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 216.28225
[stop_loss] => 218.7851
[rr_ratio] => 2.5
[closed_at] => 2025-12-26 16:30:00
[result] => win
)
[3] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 215.9247
[stop_loss] => 218.7851
[rr_ratio] => 3
[closed_at] => 2025-12-26 16:55:00
[result] => win
)
[3.5] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 215.56715
[stop_loss] => 218.7851
[rr_ratio] => 3.5
[closed_at] => 2025-12-26 17:10:00
[result] => win
)
)
Array
(
)
Array
(
[short_term] => Array
(
[max_gain] => 2.82
[max_drawdown] => 1.0E-6
[rr_ratio] => 100
[high] => 217.83000000
[low] => 215.25000000
[mfe_pct] => 1.29
[mae_pct] => -0.11
[mfe_mae_ratio] =>
[candles_analyzed] => 24
[start_at] => 2025-12-26T15:47:29-05:00
[end_at] => 2025-12-26T17:47:29-05:00
)
[long_term] => Array
(
[max_gain] => 2.84
[max_drawdown] => 1.0E-6
[rr_ratio] => 100
[high] => 218.05000000
[low] => 215.23000000
[mfe_pct] => 1.3
[mae_pct] => -0.01
[mfe_mae_ratio] =>
[candles_analyzed] => 84
[start_at] => 2025-12-26T15:47:29-05:00
[end_at] => 2025-12-26T22:47:29-05:00
)
[breakout] => Array
(
[high_before] => 218.16000000
[high_after] => 217.83000000
[low_before] => 215.21000000
[low_after] => 215.23000000
[is_new_high] =>
[is_new_low] =>
)
)