Long Trade on AAVE 27 Dec 2025 at 08:27:57
Take profit at 156.3535 (0.52 %) and Stop Loss at 155.1332 (0.26 %)
Long Trade on AAVE 27 Dec 2025 at 08:27:57
Take profit at 156.3535 (0.52 %) and Stop Loss at 155.1332 (0.26 %)
Position size of 3059.1025 $
Take profit at 156.3535 (0.52 %) and Stop Loss at 155.1332 (0.26 %)
That's a 2 RR Trade| Prediction 1 | Probability |
|---|---|
|
Weak Trade
|
0.8 |
| Prediction 2 | Probability |
|---|---|
| 0 | 0.54 |
| Prediction 3 | Probability |
|---|---|
| 0 | 0.62 |
| BTC Market Regime | Coin Market Regime |
|---|---|
|
ml_regime : neutral rules_regime : range_low rules_regime_5m : range_low |
1H_regime : bull_high 15m_regime : range_low 5m_regime : range_low |
| BTC Correlation | Score |
|---|---|
|
5m : 0.239441 15m : -0.049097 1H : 0.026435 |
0 |
Indicators:
87461.1
-0.0011164
87363.5
0.239441
87636.8
-0.00289048
87383.5
-0.049097
87662
-0.00340555
87363.5
0.026435
Array
(
[left_window] => 5
[right_window] => 5
[recent_pivots] => Array
(
[0] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-24 18:00:00
[1] => 147.39
[2] => L
)
[1] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-24 21:00:00
[1] => 151.39
[2] => H
)
[2] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-25 03:00:00
[1] => 149.41
[2] => L
)
[3] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-25 11:00:00
[1] => 154.44
[2] => H
)
[4] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-25 18:00:00
[1] => 148.14
[2] => L
)
[5] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-26 08:00:00
[1] => 157.2
[2] => H
)
[6] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-26 10:00:00
[1] => 151.76
[2] => L
)
[7] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-26 17:00:00
[1] => 153.2
[2] => L
)
[8] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-27 04:00:00
[1] => 157.05
[2] => H
)
[9] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-27 08:00:00
[1] => 155.46
[2] => L
)
)
[detected_trend] => range
[features] => Array
(
[ms_trend_state] => 0
[ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.904170646291
[ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 0.10935288820275
[ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 4
[ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 0
[ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 1.0227711308375
[ms_bos_up] => 0
[ms_bos_down] => 0
[ms_choch_up] => 0
[ms_choch_down] => 0
)
)
Array
(
[left_window] => 5
[right_window] => 5
[recent_pivots] => Array
(
[0] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-26 14:00:00
[1] => 154.21
[2] => L
)
[1] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-26 15:00:00
[1] => 155.23
[2] => H
)
[2] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-26 17:15:00
[1] => 153.2
[2] => L
)
[3] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-26 22:30:00
[1] => 156.08
[2] => H
)
[4] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-27 00:00:00
[1] => 154.59
[2] => L
)
[5] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-27 04:15:00
[1] => 157.05
[2] => H
)
[6] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-27 04:45:00
[1] => 157.05
[2] => H
)
[7] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-27 05:30:00
[1] => 155.69
[2] => L
)
[8] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-27 06:30:00
[1] => 156.98
[2] => H
)
[9] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-27 08:15:00
[1] => 155.46
[2] => L
)
)
[detected_trend] => downtrend
[features] => Array
(
[ms_trend_state] => -1
[ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.85998216333291
[ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 0.10935288820275
[ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 7
[ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 0
[ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 0.97774347098931
[ms_bos_up] => 0
[ms_bos_down] => 1
[ms_choch_up] => 0
[ms_choch_down] => 0
)
)
Array
(
[left_window] => 5
[right_window] => 5
[recent_pivots] => Array
(
[0] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-27 03:30:00
[1] => 156.97
[2] => H
)
[1] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-27 04:15:00
[1] => 157.05
[2] => H
)
[2] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-27 04:25:00
[1] => 156.08
[2] => L
)
[3] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-27 04:55:00
[1] => 157.05
[2] => H
)
[4] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-27 05:40:00
[1] => 155.69
[2] => L
)
[5] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-27 06:30:00
[1] => 156.98
[2] => H
)
[6] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-27 07:05:00
[1] => 156.95
[2] => H
)
[7] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-27 07:20:00
[1] => 155.88
[2] => L
)
[8] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-27 07:55:00
[1] => 156.62
[2] => H
)
[9] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-27 08:20:00
[1] => 155.46
[2] => L
)
)
[detected_trend] => downtrend
[features] => Array
(
[ms_trend_state] => -1
[ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.63210317967055
[ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 0.10935288820275
[ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 6
[ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 1
[ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 0.7461726489129
[ms_bos_up] => 0
[ms_bos_down] => 1
[ms_choch_up] => 0
[ms_choch_down] => 0
)
)
Market Structure Score: 0
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2025-12-27 03:30:00 | 156.97 | ↑ High |
| 2025-12-27 04:15:00 | 157.05 | ↑ High |
| 2025-12-27 04:25:00 | 156.08 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-27 04:55:00 | 157.05 | ↑ High |
| 2025-12-27 05:40:00 | 155.69 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-27 06:30:00 | 156.98 | ↑ High |
| 2025-12-27 07:05:00 | 156.95 | ↑ High |
| 2025-12-27 07:20:00 | 155.88 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-27 07:55:00 | 156.62 | ↑ High |
| 2025-12-27 08:20:00 | 155.46 | ↓ Low |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2025-12-26 14:00:00 | 154.21 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-26 15:00:00 | 155.23 | ↑ High |
| 2025-12-26 17:15:00 | 153.2 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-26 22:30:00 | 156.08 | ↑ High |
| 2025-12-27 00:00:00 | 154.59 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-27 04:15:00 | 157.05 | ↑ High |
| 2025-12-27 04:45:00 | 157.05 | ↑ High |
| 2025-12-27 05:30:00 | 155.69 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-27 06:30:00 | 156.98 | ↑ High |
| 2025-12-27 08:15:00 | 155.46 | ↓ Low |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2025-12-24 18:00:00 | 147.39 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-24 21:00:00 | 151.39 | ↑ High |
| 2025-12-25 03:00:00 | 149.41 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-25 11:00:00 | 154.44 | ↑ High |
| 2025-12-25 18:00:00 | 148.14 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-26 08:00:00 | 157.2 | ↑ High |
| 2025-12-26 10:00:00 | 151.76 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-26 17:00:00 | 153.2 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-27 04:00:00 | 157.05 | ↑ High |
| 2025-12-27 08:00:00 | 155.46 | ↓ Low |
| Start at | Closed at | Duration |
|---|---|---|
| 27 Dec 2025 08:27:57 |
27 Dec 2025 09:40:00 |
1 hour |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 155.54 | 155.1332 | 156.3535 | 2 | 112.91 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 155.1332 - 155.54 = -0.4068
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 155.54 - 156.3535 = -0.8135
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.8135 / -0.4068 = 1.9998
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3059.1025 | 100 | 19.6676 | 30.59 |
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
Taille de position = 8 / -0.4068 = -19.67
Taille de position USD = -19.67 x 155.54 = -3059.47
Donc, tu peux acheter -19.67 avec un stoploss a 155.1332
Avec un position size USD de -3059.47$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = -19.67 x -0.4068 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = -19.67 x -0.8135 = 16
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 16$
Résumé
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.52 % | 16 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.26 % | 8 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| 16 $ | 0.52 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -0.135 % | 51.63 % | 7 |
Array
(
[2] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 156.3536
[stop_loss] => 155.1332
[rr_ratio] => 2
[closed_at] => 2025-12-27 09:40:00
[result] => win
)
[2.5] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 156.557
[stop_loss] => 155.1332
[rr_ratio] => 2.5
[closed_at] => 2025-12-27 10:30:00
[result] => win
)
)
Array
(
)
Array
(
[short_term] => Array
(
[max_gain] => 1
[max_drawdown] => 0.20999999999998
[rr_ratio] => 4.76
[high] => 156.54000000
[low] => 155.33000000
[mfe_pct] => 0.64
[mae_pct] => 0.14
[mfe_mae_ratio] => 4.76
[candles_analyzed] => 24
[start_at] => 2025-12-27T08:27:57-05:00
[end_at] => 2025-12-27T10:27:57-05:00
)
[long_term] => Array
(
[max_gain] => 1.08
[max_drawdown] => 0.40000000000001
[rr_ratio] => 2.7
[high] => 156.62000000
[low] => 155.14000000
[mfe_pct] => 0.69
[mae_pct] => 0.26
[mfe_mae_ratio] => 2.7
[candles_analyzed] => 84
[start_at] => 2025-12-27T08:27:57-05:00
[end_at] => 2025-12-27T15:27:57-05:00
)
[breakout] => Array
(
[high_before] => 157.05000000
[high_after] => 156.62000000
[low_before] => 155.46000000
[low_after] => 155.14000000
[is_new_high] =>
[is_new_low] =>
)
)