Short Trade on TRUMP 29 Dec 2025 at 16:23:32
Take profit at 4.9131 (0.38 %) and Stop Loss at 4.9414 (0.19 %)
Short Trade on TRUMP 29 Dec 2025 at 16:23:32
Take profit at 4.9131 (0.38 %) and Stop Loss at 4.9414 (0.19 %)
Position size of 4176.6454 $
Take profit at 4.9131 (0.38 %) and Stop Loss at 4.9414 (0.19 %)
That's a 2.01 RR Trade| Prediction 1 | Probability |
|---|---|
|
Weak Trade
|
0.77 |
| Prediction 2 | Probability |
|---|---|
| 0 | 0.72 |
| Prediction 3 | Probability |
|---|---|
| 0 | 0.55 |
| BTC Market Regime | Coin Market Regime |
|---|---|
|
ml_regime : neutral rules_regime : bear_medium rules_regime_5m : range_low |
1H_regime : range_medium 15m_regime : range_low 5m_regime : range_low |
| BTC Correlation | Score |
|---|---|
|
5m : 0.747308 15m : 0.102515 1H : -0.039475 |
1 |
Indicators:
87451.6
-0.00254599
87229
0.747308
87928.8
-0.00691632
87320.7
0.102515
87948
-0.00817553
87229
-0.039475
Array
(
[left_window] => 5
[right_window] => 5
[recent_pivots] => Array
(
[0] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-26 20:00:00
[1] => 4.874
[2] => L
)
[1] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-26 23:00:00
[1] => 4.956
[2] => H
)
[2] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-27 05:00:00
[1] => 4.9
[2] => L
)
[3] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-27 15:00:00
[1] => 4.932
[2] => L
)
[4] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-27 17:00:00
[1] => 4.979
[2] => H
)
[5] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-28 06:00:00
[1] => 4.915
[2] => L
)
[6] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-28 10:00:00
[1] => 5.006
[2] => H
)
[7] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-28 13:00:00
[1] => 4.875
[2] => L
)
[8] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-28 23:00:00
[1] => 5.041
[2] => H
)
[9] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-29 12:00:00
[1] => 4.897
[2] => L
)
)
[detected_trend] => uptrend
[features] => Array
(
[ms_trend_state] => 1
[ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -2.2019440587185
[ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 0.67388196855216
[ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 17
[ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 4
[ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 2.9405758627731
[ms_bos_up] => 1
[ms_bos_down] => 0
[ms_choch_up] => 0
[ms_choch_down] => 0
)
)
Array
(
[left_window] => 5
[right_window] => 5
[recent_pivots] => Array
(
[0] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-29 02:00:00
[1] => 4.975
[2] => L
)
[1] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-29 03:15:00
[1] => 5.022
[2] => H
)
[2] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-29 04:45:00
[1] => 4.946
[2] => L
)
[3] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-29 07:15:00
[1] => 4.905
[2] => L
)
[4] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-29 09:00:00
[1] => 4.917
[2] => L
)
[5] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-29 09:30:00
[1] => 4.971
[2] => H
)
[6] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-29 12:30:00
[1] => 4.897
[2] => L
)
[7] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-29 14:00:00
[1] => 4.898
[2] => L
)
[8] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-29 15:30:00
[1] => 4.902
[2] => L
)
[9] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-29 16:15:00
[1] => 4.936
[2] => H
)
)
[detected_trend] => range
[features] => Array
(
[ms_trend_state] => 0
[ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.12155591572124
[ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 0.57119543043655
[ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 0
[ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 3
[ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 0.69359445124439
[ms_bos_up] => 0
[ms_bos_down] => 0
[ms_choch_up] => 0
[ms_choch_down] => 0
)
)
Array
(
[left_window] => 5
[right_window] => 5
[recent_pivots] => Array
(
[0] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-29 11:40:00
[1] => 4.909
[2] => L
)
[1] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-29 12:00:00
[1] => 4.935
[2] => H
)
[2] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-29 12:40:00
[1] => 4.897
[2] => L
)
[3] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-29 13:00:00
[1] => 4.931
[2] => H
)
[4] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-29 14:00:00
[1] => 4.898
[2] => L
)
[5] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-29 14:10:00
[1] => 4.93
[2] => H
)
[6] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-29 15:00:00
[1] => 4.905
[2] => L
)
[7] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-29 15:15:00
[1] => 4.926
[2] => H
)
[8] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-29 15:35:00
[1] => 4.902
[2] => L
)
[9] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-29 16:15:00
[1] => 4.936
[2] => H
)
)
[detected_trend] => range
[features] => Array
(
[ms_trend_state] => 0
[ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.12155591572124
[ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 0.57119543043655
[ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 1
[ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 9
[ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 0.69359445124439
[ms_bos_up] => 1
[ms_bos_down] => 1
[ms_choch_up] => 0
[ms_choch_down] => 0
)
)
Market Structure Score: 0
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2025-12-29 11:40:00 | 4.909 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-29 12:00:00 | 4.935 | ↑ High |
| 2025-12-29 12:40:00 | 4.897 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-29 13:00:00 | 4.931 | ↑ High |
| 2025-12-29 14:00:00 | 4.898 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-29 14:10:00 | 4.93 | ↑ High |
| 2025-12-29 15:00:00 | 4.905 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-29 15:15:00 | 4.926 | ↑ High |
| 2025-12-29 15:35:00 | 4.902 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-29 16:15:00 | 4.936 | ↑ High |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2025-12-29 02:00:00 | 4.975 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-29 03:15:00 | 5.022 | ↑ High |
| 2025-12-29 04:45:00 | 4.946 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-29 07:15:00 | 4.905 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-29 09:00:00 | 4.917 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-29 09:30:00 | 4.971 | ↑ High |
| 2025-12-29 12:30:00 | 4.897 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-29 14:00:00 | 4.898 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-29 15:30:00 | 4.902 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-29 16:15:00 | 4.936 | ↑ High |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2025-12-26 20:00:00 | 4.874 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-26 23:00:00 | 4.956 | ↑ High |
| 2025-12-27 05:00:00 | 4.9 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-27 15:00:00 | 4.932 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-27 17:00:00 | 4.979 | ↑ High |
| 2025-12-28 06:00:00 | 4.915 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-28 10:00:00 | 5.006 | ↑ High |
| 2025-12-28 13:00:00 | 4.875 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-28 23:00:00 | 5.041 | ↑ High |
| 2025-12-29 12:00:00 | 4.897 | ↓ Low |
| Start at | Closed at | Duration |
|---|---|---|
| 29 Dec 2025 16:23:32 |
29 Dec 2025 17:40:00 |
1 hour |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4.932 | 4.9414 | 4.9131 | 2.01 | 3.452 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 4.9414 - 4.932 = 0.0093999999999994
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 4.932 - 4.9131 = 0.0189
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.0189 / 0.0093999999999994 = 2.0106
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 4176.6454 | 100 | 846.8462 | 41.77 |
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
Taille de position = 8 / 0.0093999999999994 = 851.06
Taille de position USD = 851.06 x 4.932 = 4197.43
Donc, tu peux acheter 851.06 avec un stoploss a 4.9414
Avec un position size USD de 4197.43$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = 851.06 x 0.0093999999999994 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = 851.06 x 0.0189 = 16.09
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 16.09$
Résumé
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.38 % | 16.01 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.19 % | 7.96 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| -7.96 $ | -0.19 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -0.2028 % | 106.4 % | 8 |
Array
(
)
Array
(
[1.1] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 4.9131
[entry_price] => 4.932
[stop_loss] => 4.94234
[rr_ratio] => 1.83
[sl_change_percentage] => 1.1
[closed_at] => 2025-12-29 18:25:00
[result] => win
)
[1.2] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 4.9131
[entry_price] => 4.932
[stop_loss] => 4.94328
[rr_ratio] => 1.68
[sl_change_percentage] => 1.2
[closed_at] => 2025-12-29 18:25:00
[result] => win
)
[1.3] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 4.9131
[entry_price] => 4.932
[stop_loss] => 4.94422
[rr_ratio] => 1.55
[sl_change_percentage] => 1.3
[closed_at] => 2025-12-29 18:25:00
[result] => win
)
[1.5] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 4.9131
[entry_price] => 4.932
[stop_loss] => 4.9461
[rr_ratio] => 1.34
[sl_change_percentage] => 1.5
[closed_at] => 2025-12-29 18:25:00
[result] => win
)
)
Array
(
[short_term] => Array
(
[max_gain] => 0.0060000000000002
[max_drawdown] => 0.0099999999999998
[rr_ratio] => 0.6
[high] => 4.94200000
[low] => 4.92600000
[mfe_pct] => 0.12
[mae_pct] => 0.2
[mfe_mae_ratio] => 0.6
[candles_analyzed] => 24
[start_at] => 2025-12-29T16:23:32-05:00
[end_at] => 2025-12-29T18:23:32-05:00
)
[long_term] => Array
(
[max_gain] => 0.047000000000001
[max_drawdown] => 0.0099999999999998
[rr_ratio] => 4.7
[high] => 4.94200000
[low] => 4.88500000
[mfe_pct] => 0.95
[mae_pct] => 0.2
[mfe_mae_ratio] => 4.7
[candles_analyzed] => 84
[start_at] => 2025-12-29T16:23:32-05:00
[end_at] => 2025-12-29T23:23:32-05:00
)
[breakout] => Array
(
[high_before] => 4.93600000
[high_after] => 4.94200000
[low_before] => 4.89700000
[low_after] => 4.88500000
[is_new_high] =>
[is_new_low] => 1
)
)