Short Trade on TRUMP 29 Dec 2025 at 16:27:11

Take profit at 4.9152 (0.38 %) and Stop Loss at 4.9434 (0.19 %)

Short Trade on TRUMP

The 29 Dec 2025 at 16:27:11

With 850.4141 TRUMP at 4.934$ per unit.

Position size of 4195.943 $

Take profit at 4.9152 (0.38 %) and Stop Loss at 4.9434 (0.19 %)

That's a 2 RR Trade

Results

Status:
win
Trade Type:
sell
ML Trade Score: 100
ML Pullback Score: 7.53
Prediction Score: 2
Prediction 1 Probability
Weak Trade
0.73
Prediction 2 Probability
0 0.71
Prediction 3 Probability
1 0.58
BTC Market Regime Coin Market Regime

ml_regime : neutral

rules_regime : bear_medium

rules_regime_5m : range_low

1H_regime : range_medium

15m_regime : range_low

5m_regime : range_low

BTC Correlation Score

5m : 0.749231

15m : 0.003689

1H : 0.098502

1

Signal

CatchTheWave Signal - sell

Indicators:

  1. long_trend: -1
  2. short_kc: True
  3. short_kc_percentage: 0.06
  4. atr: 0.006271454734
Details
  1. score: 1.06
  2. 1H
  3. ema9 : 4.92752
  4. ema21 : 4.93901
  5. ema50 : 4.94202
  6. ema100 : 4.94127
  7. price_ema9_diff : 0.00131318
  8. ema9_ema21_diff : -0.00232501
  9. ema21_ema50_diff : -0.000610037
  10. price_ema100_diff : -0.00147294
  11. all_emas_in_trend : True
  12. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : False
  13. ema_slope_9 : -0.0909304
  14. ema_slope_21 : -0.043392
  15. ema_slope_50 : -0.0134379
  16. ema_slope_100 : -0.00518604
  17. rsi : 0.475744
  18. adx : 0.168169
  19. kc_percentage : 0.464746
  20. kc_width_percentage : 0.0259721
  21. volume_ema_diff : -0.16467
  22. volume_ema1 : 133835.45248071
  23. volume_ema2 : 160218.68708543
  24. chop : 48.1584
  25. regime : range_medium
  26. ¸
  27. 15m
  28. ema9 : 4.92077
  29. ema21 : 4.92197
  30. ema50 : 4.93452
  31. ema100 : 4.9405
  32. price_ema9_diff : 0.002688
  33. ema9_ema21_diff : -0.00024418
  34. ema21_ema50_diff : -0.00254291
  35. price_ema100_diff : -0.00131731
  36. all_emas_in_trend : True
  37. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : False
  38. ema_slope_9 : 0.00158673
  39. ema_slope_21 : -0.0137087
  40. ema_slope_50 : -0.0180698
  41. ema_slope_100 : -0.0108513
  42. rsi : 0.543761
  43. adx : 0.179688
  44. kc_percentage : 0.708557
  45. kc_width_percentage : 0.0120681
  46. volume_ema_diff : -0.368204
  47. volume_ema1 : 28502.173951233
  48. volume_ema2 : 45112.985320243
  49. chop : 69.8832
  50. regime : range_low
  51. ¸
  52. 5m
  53. ema9 : 4.92577
  54. ema21 : 4.92036
  55. ema50 : 4.91971
  56. ema100 : 4.92322
  57. price_ema9_diff : 0.00166953
  58. ema9_ema21_diff : 0.00109937
  59. ema21_ema50_diff : 0.000133128
  60. price_ema100_diff : 0.00218808
  61. all_emas_in_trend : True
  62. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : True
  63. ema_slope_9 : 0.0184822
  64. ema_slope_21 : 0.00827241
  65. ema_slope_50 : 0.00098312
  66. ema_slope_100 : -0.00152215
  67. rsi : 0.642545
  68. adx : 0.163341
  69. kc_percentage : 1.05888
  70. kc_width_percentage : 0.00486492
  71. volume_ema_diff : -0.216295
  72. volume_ema1 : 9956.3040039553
  73. volume_ema2 : 12704.161551223
  74. chop : 37.8502
  75. regime : range_low
  76. ¸
  77. btc_indicators
  78. btc_indicators
  79. 5m_ema100:
    87441
  80. 5m_price_ema100_diff:
    -0.00161609
  81. 5m_price:
    87299.7
  82. 5m_correlation_with_coin:
    0.749231
  83. btc_indicators
  84. 15m_ema100:
    87928.8
  85. 15m_price_ema100_diff:
    -0.00691632
  86. 15m_price:
    87320.7
  87. 15m_correlation_with_coin:
    0.003689
  88. btc_indicators
  89. 1H_ema100:
    87949.4
  90. 1H_price_ema100_diff:
    -0.00738744
  91. 1H_price:
    87299.7
  92. 1H_correlation_with_coin:
    0.098502
  93. ¸
  94. market_structures
  95. market_structures
  96. 1H_version: 1.1
  97. 1H_market_structure:
    Array
    (
        [left_window] => 5
        [right_window] => 5
        [recent_pivots] => Array
            (
                [0] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-26 20:00:00
                        [1] => 4.874
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [1] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-26 23:00:00
                        [1] => 4.956
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [2] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-27 05:00:00
                        [1] => 4.9
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [3] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-27 15:00:00
                        [1] => 4.932
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [4] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-27 17:00:00
                        [1] => 4.979
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [5] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-28 06:00:00
                        [1] => 4.915
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [6] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-28 10:00:00
                        [1] => 5.006
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [7] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-28 13:00:00
                        [1] => 4.875
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [8] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-28 23:00:00
                        [1] => 5.041
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [9] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-29 12:00:00
                        [1] => 4.897
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
            )
    
        [detected_trend] => uptrend
        [features] => Array
            (
                [ms_trend_state] => 1
                [ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -2.1424320571315
                [ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 0.73514396569327
                [ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 17
                [ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 4
                [ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 2.9405758627731
                [ms_bos_up] => 1
                [ms_bos_down] => 0
                [ms_choch_up] => 0
                [ms_choch_down] => 0
            )
    
    )
    
  98. market_structures
  99. 15m_version: 1.1
  100. 15m_market_structure:
    Array
    (
        [left_window] => 5
        [right_window] => 5
        [recent_pivots] => Array
            (
                [0] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-29 02:00:00
                        [1] => 4.975
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [1] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-29 03:15:00
                        [1] => 5.022
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [2] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-29 04:45:00
                        [1] => 4.946
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [3] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-29 07:15:00
                        [1] => 4.905
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [4] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-29 09:00:00
                        [1] => 4.917
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [5] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-29 09:30:00
                        [1] => 4.971
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [6] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-29 12:30:00
                        [1] => 4.897
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [7] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-29 14:00:00
                        [1] => 4.898
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [8] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-29 15:30:00
                        [1] => 4.902
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [9] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-29 16:15:00
                        [1] => 4.936
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
            )
    
        [detected_trend] => range
        [features] => Array
            (
                [ms_trend_state] => 0
                [ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.060777957860618
                [ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 0.63239494084047
                [ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 0
                [ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 3
                [ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 0.69359445124439
                [ms_bos_up] => 0
                [ms_bos_down] => 0
                [ms_choch_up] => 0
                [ms_choch_down] => 0
            )
    
    )
    
  101. market_structures
  102. 5m_version: 1.1
  103. 5m_market_structure:
    Array
    (
        [left_window] => 5
        [right_window] => 5
        [recent_pivots] => Array
            (
                [0] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-29 11:40:00
                        [1] => 4.909
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [1] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-29 12:00:00
                        [1] => 4.935
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [2] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-29 12:40:00
                        [1] => 4.897
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [3] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-29 13:00:00
                        [1] => 4.931
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [4] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-29 14:00:00
                        [1] => 4.898
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [5] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-29 14:10:00
                        [1] => 4.93
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [6] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-29 15:00:00
                        [1] => 4.905
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [7] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-29 15:15:00
                        [1] => 4.926
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [8] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-29 15:35:00
                        [1] => 4.902
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [9] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-29 16:15:00
                        [1] => 4.936
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
            )
    
        [detected_trend] => range
        [features] => Array
            (
                [ms_trend_state] => 0
                [ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.060777957860618
                [ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 0.63239494084047
                [ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 2
                [ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 10
                [ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 0.69359445124439
                [ms_bos_up] => 1
                [ms_bos_down] => 1
                [ms_choch_up] => 0
                [ms_choch_down] => 0
            )
    
    )
    
  104. ¸

Market Structure

Market Structure Score: 0

5M - range

Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5

Market Structure Features:

Trend State
0
Dist From Last High Pct
-0.06%
Dist From Last Low Pct
0.63%
Bars Since Swing High
2 bars
Bars Since Swing Low
10 bars
Last Swing Amplitude Pct
0.69%
Bos Up
1
Bos Down
1
Choch Up
0
Choch Down
0

SL & TP Pivot Distance:

SL to Pivot Distance
0.0074
0.15%
TP to Pivot Distance
0.0182
0.37%
DateTime Price Type
2025-12-29 11:40:00 4.909 ↓ Low
2025-12-29 12:00:00 4.935 ↑ High
2025-12-29 12:40:00 4.897 ↓ Low
2025-12-29 13:00:00 4.931 ↑ High
2025-12-29 14:00:00 4.898 ↓ Low
2025-12-29 14:10:00 4.93 ↑ High
2025-12-29 15:00:00 4.905 ↓ Low
2025-12-29 15:15:00 4.926 ↑ High
2025-12-29 15:35:00 4.902 ↓ Low
2025-12-29 16:15:00 4.936 ↑ High
15M - range

Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5

Market Structure Features:

Trend State
0
Dist From Last High Pct
-0.06%
Dist From Last Low Pct
0.63%
Bars Since Swing High
0 bars
Bars Since Swing Low
3 bars
Last Swing Amplitude Pct
0.69%
Bos Up
0
Bos Down
0
Choch Up
0
Choch Down
0

SL & TP Pivot Distance:

SL to Pivot Distance
0.0786
1.59%
TP to Pivot Distance
0.0182
0.37%
DateTime Price Type
2025-12-29 02:00:00 4.975 ↓ Low
2025-12-29 03:15:00 5.022 ↑ High
2025-12-29 04:45:00 4.946 ↓ Low
2025-12-29 07:15:00 4.905 ↓ Low
2025-12-29 09:00:00 4.917 ↓ Low
2025-12-29 09:30:00 4.971 ↑ High
2025-12-29 12:30:00 4.897 ↓ Low
2025-12-29 14:00:00 4.898 ↓ Low
2025-12-29 15:30:00 4.902 ↓ Low
2025-12-29 16:15:00 4.936 ↑ High
1H - uptrend

Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5

Market Structure Features:

Trend State
1
Dist From Last High Pct
-2.14%
Dist From Last Low Pct
0.74%
Bars Since Swing High
17 bars
Bars Since Swing Low
4 bars
Last Swing Amplitude Pct
2.94%
Bos Up
1
Bos Down
0
Choch Up
0
Choch Down
0

SL & TP Pivot Distance:

SL to Pivot Distance
0.0976
1.97%
TP to Pivot Distance
0.0412
0.84%
DateTime Price Type
2025-12-26 20:00:00 4.874 ↓ Low
2025-12-26 23:00:00 4.956 ↑ High
2025-12-27 05:00:00 4.9 ↓ Low
2025-12-27 15:00:00 4.932 ↓ Low
2025-12-27 17:00:00 4.979 ↑ High
2025-12-28 06:00:00 4.915 ↓ Low
2025-12-28 10:00:00 5.006 ↑ High
2025-12-28 13:00:00 4.875 ↓ Low
2025-12-28 23:00:00 5.041 ↑ High
2025-12-29 12:00:00 4.897 ↓ Low

📌 Time Data

Start at Closed at Duration
29 Dec 2025
16:27:11
29 Dec 2025
18:25:00
1 hour

📌 Entry & Exit

Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
4.934 4.9434 4.9152 2 3.464
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 4.934
  • Stop Loss: 4.9434
  • Take Profit: 4.9152

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 4.9434 - 4.934 = 0.0093999999999994

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 4.934 - 4.9152 = 0.018800000000001

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.018800000000001 / 0.0093999999999994 = 2

📌 Position Size

Amount Margin Quantity Leverage
4195.943 100 850.4141 41.96
Details

1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade

Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade

Paramètres:

  • Account Size 100
  • Risk per trade 8 %

Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8

Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade

2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter

Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss

Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price

Paramètres:

  • Risk Amount 8
  • Distance Stop Loss 0.0093999999999994

Taille de position = 8 / 0.0093999999999994 = 851.06

Taille de position USD = 851.06 x 4.934 = 4199.13

Donc, tu peux acheter 851.06 avec un stoploss a 4.9434

Avec un position size USD de 4199.13$

3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle

Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss

Perte = 851.06 x 0.0093999999999994 = 8

Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$

4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle

Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit

Perte = 851.06 x 0.018800000000001 = 16

Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 16$

Résumé

  • Taille de position 851.06
  • Taille de position USD 4199.13
  • Perte potentielle 8
  • Gain potentiel 16
  • Risk-Reward Ratio 2

📌 Peformances

TP % Target TP $ Target
0.38 % 15.99 $
SL % Target SL $ Target
0.19 % 7.99 $
PNL PNL %
15.99 $ 0.38
Max Drawdown Max Drawdown / SL Ratio Candles in Entry
-0.1621 % 85.09 % 16

📌 ML Extra Data

Extra TP Data

                              Array
(
    [2] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 4.9152
            [stop_loss] => 4.9434
            [rr_ratio] => 2
            [closed_at] => 2025-12-29 18:25:00
            [result] => win
        )

    [2.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 4.9105
            [stop_loss] => 4.9434
            [rr_ratio] => 2.5
            [closed_at] => 2025-12-29 18:30:00
            [result] => win
        )

    [3] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 4.9058
            [stop_loss] => 4.9434
            [rr_ratio] => 3
            [closed_at] => 2025-12-29 20:30:00
            [result] => win
        )

    [3.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 4.9011
            [stop_loss] => 4.9434
            [rr_ratio] => 3.5
            [closed_at] => 2025-12-29 22:15:00
            [result] => win
        )

    [4] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 4.8964
            [stop_loss] => 4.9434
            [rr_ratio] => 4
            [closed_at] => 2025-12-29 22:15:00
            [result] => win
        )

    [4.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 4.8917
            [stop_loss] => 4.9434
            [rr_ratio] => 4.5
            [closed_at] => 2025-12-29 22:15:00
            [result] => win
        )

    [5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 4.887
            [stop_loss] => 4.9434
            [rr_ratio] => 5
            [closed_at] => 2025-12-29 22:15:00
            [result] => win
        )

)
Extra SL data

                              Array
(
)
Extra Pullback data

                              Array
(
    [short_term] => Array
        (
            [max_gain] => 0.023000000000001
            [max_drawdown] => 0.008
            [rr_ratio] => 2.88
            [high] => 4.94200000
            [low] => 4.91100000
            [mfe_pct] => 0.47
            [mae_pct] => 0.16
            [mfe_mae_ratio] => 2.88
            [candles_analyzed] => 24
            [start_at] => 2025-12-29T16:27:11-05:00
            [end_at] => 2025-12-29T18:27:11-05:00
        )

    [long_term] => Array
        (
            [max_gain] => 0.049
            [max_drawdown] => 0.008
            [rr_ratio] => 6.13
            [high] => 4.94200000
            [low] => 4.88500000
            [mfe_pct] => 0.99
            [mae_pct] => 0.16
            [mfe_mae_ratio] => 6.13
            [candles_analyzed] => 84
            [start_at] => 2025-12-29T16:27:11-05:00
            [end_at] => 2025-12-29T23:27:11-05:00
        )

    [breakout] => Array
        (
            [high_before] => 4.93600000
            [high_after] => 4.94200000
            [low_before] => 4.89700000
            [low_after] => 4.88500000
            [is_new_high] => 
            [is_new_low] => 1
        )

)