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Short Trade on XAU

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Short Trade on XAU 29 Dec 2025 at 17:17:10

Take profit at 4349.2571 (0.25 %) and Stop Loss at 4365.7765 (0.13 %)

Short Trade on XAU

The 29 Dec 2025 at 17:17:10

With 1.4528 XAU at 4360.27$ per unit.

Position size of 6334.7647 $

Take profit at 4349.2571 (0.25 %) and Stop Loss at 4365.7765 (0.13 %)

That's a 2 RR Trade

Results

Status:
win
Trade Type:
sell
ML Trade Score: 70
ML Pullback Score: 5.27
Prediction Score: 2
Prediction 1 Probability
Weak Trade
0.8
Prediction 2 Probability
0 0.72
Prediction 3 Probability
0 0.9
BTC Market Regime Coin Market Regime

ml_regime : bear_low_vol

rules_regime : bear_medium

rules_regime_5m : range_low

1H_regime : bear_medium

15m_regime : bear_low

5m_regime : range_low
BTC Correlation Score

5m : 0.178386

15m : -0.074247

1H : 0.126843

 2

Signal

CatchTheWave Signal - sell

Indicators:

  1. long_trend: -1
  2. short_kc: True
  3. short_kc_percentage: 0
  4. atr: 3.670976658
Details
  1. score: 1
  2. 1H
  3. ema9 : 4370.52
  4. ema21 : 4415.73
  5. ema50 : 4467.31
  6. ema100 : 4490.81
  7. price_ema9_diff : -0.00234614
  8. ema9_ema21_diff : -0.0102378
  9. ema21_ema50_diff : -0.0115461
  10. price_ema100_diff : -0.0290686
  11. all_emas_in_trend : True
  12. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : True
  13. ema_slope_9 : -0.232618
  14. ema_slope_21 : -0.17911
  15. ema_slope_50 : -0.103408
  16. ema_slope_100 : -0.0561072
  17. rsi : 0.304208
  18. adx : 0.637809
  19. kc_percentage : -0.0521119
  20. kc_width_percentage : 0.0217458
  21. volume_ema_diff : -0.238896
  22. volume_ema1 : 118417.12486841
  23. volume_ema2 : 155586.15840495
  24. chop : 26.3252
  25. regime : bear_medium
    26. ¸
  26. 15m
  27. ema9 : 4353.79
  28. ema21 : 4357.08
  29. ema50 : 4389
  30. ema100 : 4432.9
  31. price_ema9_diff : 0.00148821
  32. ema9_ema21_diff : -0.000755367
  33. ema21_ema50_diff : -0.00727232
  34. price_ema100_diff : -0.0163847
  35. all_emas_in_trend : True
  36. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : False
  37. ema_slope_9 : 0.00469439
  38. ema_slope_21 : -0.0215102
  39. ema_slope_50 : -0.0444783
  40. ema_slope_100 : -0.0418581
  41. rsi : 0.482556
  42. adx : 0.346617
  43. kc_percentage : 0.611203
  44. kc_width_percentage : 0.00813531
  45. volume_ema_diff : -0.698897
  46. volume_ema1 : 16633.737764773
  47. volume_ema2 : 55242.855473374
  48. chop : 79.4777
  49. regime : bear_low
    50. ¸
  50. 5m
  51. ema9 : 4356.53
  52. ema21 : 4353.27
  53. ema50 : 4353.06
  54. ema100 : 4363.3
  55. price_ema9_diff : 0.00085736
  56. ema9_ema21_diff : 0.00074861
  57. ema21_ema50_diff : 4.77037E-5
  58. price_ema100_diff : -0.000696366
  59. all_emas_in_trend : True
  60. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : True
  61. ema_slope_9 : 0.0194575
  62. ema_slope_21 : 0.0123704
  63. ema_slope_50 : 0.00315665
  64. ema_slope_100 : -0.00402841
  65. rsi : 0.634895
  66. adx : 0.293746
  67. kc_percentage : 1.00403
  68. kc_width_percentage : 0.00309971
  69. volume_ema_diff : -0.131346
  70. volume_ema1 : 9881.3852304065
  71. volume_ema2 : 11375.520264256
  72. chop : 49.7892
  73. regime : range_low
    74. ¸
  74. btc_indicators
  75. btc_indicators
  76. 5m_ema100: 
    87402.5
  77. 5m_price_ema100_diff: 
    -0.00312397
  78. 5m_price: 
    87129.5
  79. 5m_correlation_with_coin: 
    0.178386
  80. btc_indicators
  81. 15m_ema100: 
    87872.1
  82. 15m_price_ema100_diff: 
    -0.00845169
  83. 15m_price: 
    87129.5
  84. 15m_correlation_with_coin: 
    -0.074247
  85. btc_indicators
  86. 1H_ema100: 
    87922.3
  87. 1H_price_ema100_diff: 
    -0.00901707
  88. 1H_price: 
    87129.5
  89. 1H_correlation_with_coin: 
    0.126843
    90. ¸
  90. market_structures
  91. market_structures
  92. 1H_version: 1.1
  93. 1H_market_structure: 
    Array
(
    [left_window] => 5
    [right_window] => 5
    [recent_pivots] => Array
        (
            [0] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-26 19:00:00
                    [1] => 4546.54
                    [2] => H
                )

            [1] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-26 20:00:00
                    [1] => 4523.24
                    [2] => L
                )

            [2] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-27 02:00:00
                    [1] => 4563.36
                    [2] => H
                )

            [3] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-27 12:00:00
                    [1] => 4535.75
                    [2] => L
                )

            [4] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-27 18:00:00
                    [1] => 4545
                    [2] => H
                )

            [5] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-28 01:00:00
                    [1] => 4552
                    [2] => H
                )

            [6] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-28 08:00:00
                    [1] => 4526
                    [2] => L
                )

            [7] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-28 18:00:00
                    [1] => 4549.86
                    [2] => H
                )

            [8] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-28 19:00:00
                    [1] => 4503.1
                    [2] => L
                )

            [9] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-29 10:00:00
                    [1] => 4334
                    [2] => L
                )

        )

    [detected_trend] => downtrend
    [features] => Array
        (
            [ms_trend_state] => -1
            [ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -4.2157341105001
            [ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 0.55491462851869
            [ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 23
            [ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 7
            [ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 3.9017074296262
            [ms_bos_up] => 0
            [ms_bos_down] => 1
            [ms_choch_up] => 0
            [ms_choch_down] => 0
        )

)
  94. market_structures
  95. 15m_version: 1.1
  96. 15m_market_structure: 
    Array
(
    [left_window] => 5
    [right_window] => 5
    [recent_pivots] => Array
        (
            [0] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-29 03:15:00
                    [1] => 4501.63
                    [2] => H
                )

            [1] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-29 04:45:00
                    [1] => 4496.53
                    [2] => H
                )

            [2] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-29 07:00:00
                    [1] => 4454.12
                    [2] => L
                )

            [3] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-29 07:45:00
                    [1] => 4486.7
                    [2] => H
                )

            [4] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-29 10:15:00
                    [1] => 4334
                    [2] => L
                )

            [5] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-29 12:30:00
                    [1] => 4334.1
                    [2] => L
                )

            [6] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-29 13:45:00
                    [1] => 4354.99
                    [2] => H
                )

            [7] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-29 15:30:00
                    [1] => 4338.93
                    [2] => L
                )

            [8] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-29 15:45:00
                    [1] => 4360.3
                    [2] => H
                )

            [9] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-29 17:15:00
                    [1] => 4360.27
                    [2] => H
                )

        )

    [detected_trend] => range
    [features] => Array
        (
            [ms_trend_state] => 0
            [ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.050914278244243
            [ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 0.44066163777705
            [ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 0
            [ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 7
            [ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 0.00068803078707845
            [ms_bos_up] => 0
            [ms_bos_down] => 0
            [ms_choch_up] => 0
            [ms_choch_down] => 0
        )

)
  97. market_structures
  98. 5m_version: 1.1
  99. 5m_market_structure: 
    Array
(
    [left_window] => 5
    [right_window] => 5
    [recent_pivots] => Array
        (
            [0] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-29 12:40:00
                    [1] => 4334.1
                    [2] => L
                )

            [1] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-29 13:05:00
                    [1] => 4353.64
                    [2] => H
                )

            [2] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-29 13:50:00
                    [1] => 4354.99
                    [2] => H
                )

            [3] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-29 14:25:00
                    [1] => 4353.41
                    [2] => H
                )

            [4] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-29 14:50:00
                    [1] => 4339.71
                    [2] => L
                )

            [5] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-29 15:10:00
                    [1] => 4353.88
                    [2] => H
                )

            [6] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-29 15:35:00
                    [1] => 4338.93
                    [2] => L
                )

            [7] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-29 15:55:00
                    [1] => 4360.3
                    [2] => H
                )

            [8] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-29 16:15:00
                    [1] => 4343.92
                    [2] => L
                )

            [9] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-29 17:15:00
                    [1] => 4360.27
                    [2] => H
                )

        )

    [detected_trend] => range
    [features] => Array
        (
            [ms_trend_state] => 0
            [ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.050914278244243
            [ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 0.092558141671369
            [ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 0
            [ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 0
            [ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 0.37638814711137
            [ms_bos_up] => 0
            [ms_bos_down] => 0
            [ms_choch_up] => 0
            [ms_choch_down] => 0
        )

)
    100. ¸

Market Structure

Market Structure Score: 1

5M - range

Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5

Market Structure Features:

Trend State
0
Dist From Last High Pct
-0.05%
Dist From Last Low Pct
0.09%
Bars Since Swing High
0 bars
Bars Since Swing Low
0 bars
Last Swing Amplitude Pct
0.38%
Bos Up
0
Bos Down
0
Choch Up
0
Choch Down
0

SL & TP Pivot Distance:

SL to Pivot Distance
5.4765
0.13%
TP to Pivot Distance
15.1571
0.35%
DateTime Price Type
2025-12-29 12:40:00 4334.1 ↓ Low
2025-12-29 13:05:00 4353.64 ↑ High
2025-12-29 13:50:00 4354.99 ↑ High
2025-12-29 14:25:00 4353.41 ↑ High
2025-12-29 14:50:00 4339.71 ↓ Low
2025-12-29 15:10:00 4353.88 ↑ High
2025-12-29 15:35:00 4338.93 ↓ Low
2025-12-29 15:55:00 4360.3 ↑ High
2025-12-29 16:15:00 4343.92 ↓ Low
2025-12-29 17:15:00 4360.27 ↑ High
15M - range

Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5

Market Structure Features:

Trend State
0
Dist From Last High Pct
-0.05%
Dist From Last Low Pct
0.44%
Bars Since Swing High
0 bars
Bars Since Swing Low
7 bars
Last Swing Amplitude Pct
0.00%
Bos Up
0
Bos Down
0
Choch Up
0
Choch Down
0

SL & TP Pivot Distance:

SL to Pivot Distance
135.8535
3.11%
TP to Pivot Distance
15.2571
0.35%
DateTime Price Type
2025-12-29 03:15:00 4501.63 ↑ High
2025-12-29 04:45:00 4496.53 ↑ High
2025-12-29 07:00:00 4454.12 ↓ Low
2025-12-29 07:45:00 4486.7 ↑ High
2025-12-29 10:15:00 4334 ↓ Low
2025-12-29 12:30:00 4334.1 ↓ Low
2025-12-29 13:45:00 4354.99 ↑ High
2025-12-29 15:30:00 4338.93 ↓ Low
2025-12-29 15:45:00 4360.3 ↑ High
2025-12-29 17:15:00 4360.27 ↑ High
1H - downtrend

Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5

Market Structure Features:

Trend State
-1
Dist From Last High Pct
-4.22%
Dist From Last Low Pct
0.55%
Bars Since Swing High
23 bars
Bars Since Swing Low
7 bars
Last Swing Amplitude Pct
3.90%
Bos Up
0
Bos Down
1
Choch Up
0
Choch Down
0

SL & TP Pivot Distance:

SL to Pivot Distance
197.5835
4.53%
TP to Pivot Distance
15.2571
0.35%
DateTime Price Type
2025-12-26 19:00:00 4546.54 ↑ High
2025-12-26 20:00:00 4523.24 ↓ Low
2025-12-27 02:00:00 4563.36 ↑ High
2025-12-27 12:00:00 4535.75 ↓ Low
2025-12-27 18:00:00 4545 ↑ High
2025-12-28 01:00:00 4552 ↑ High
2025-12-28 08:00:00 4526 ↓ Low
2025-12-28 18:00:00 4549.86 ↑ High
2025-12-28 19:00:00 4503.1 ↓ Low
2025-12-29 10:00:00 4334 ↓ Low

📌 Time Data

Start at Closed at Duration
29 Dec 2025
17:17:10		 29 Dec 2025
17:25:00		 7 minutes

📌 Entry & Exit

Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
4360.27 4365.7765 4349.2571 2 5282.52
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 4360.27
  • Stop Loss: 4365.7765
  • Take Profit: 4349.2571

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 4365.7765 - 4360.27 = 5.5064999999995

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 4360.27 - 4349.2571 = 11.012900000001

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 11.012900000001 / 5.5064999999995 = 2

📌 Position Size

Amount Margin Quantity Leverage
6334.7647 100 1.4528 63.35
Details

1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade

Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade

Paramètres:

  • Account Size 100
  • Risk per trade 8 %

Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8

Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade

2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter

Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss

Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price

Paramètres:

  • Risk Amount 8
  • Distance Stop Loss 5.5064999999995

Taille de position = 8 / 5.5064999999995 = 1.45

Taille de position USD = 1.45 x 4360.27 = 6322.39

Donc, tu peux acheter 1.45 avec un stoploss a 4365.7765

Avec un position size USD de 6322.39$

3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle

Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss

Perte = 1.45 x 5.5064999999995 = 7.98

Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 7.98$

4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle

Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit

Perte = 1.45 x 11.012900000001 = 15.97

Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 15.97$

Résumé

  • Taille de position 1.45
  • Taille de position USD 6322.39
  • Perte potentielle 7.98
  • Gain potentiel 15.97
  • Risk-Reward Ratio 2

📌 Peformances

TP % Target TP $ Target
0.25 % 16 $
SL % Target SL $ Target
0.13 % 8 $
PNL PNL %
16 $ 0.25
Max Drawdown Max Drawdown / SL Ratio Candles in Entry
0 % 0 % 0

📌 ML Extra Data

Extra TP Data

                              Array
(
    [2] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 4349.257
            [stop_loss] => 4365.7765
            [rr_ratio] => 2
            [closed_at] => 2025-12-29 17:25:00
            [result] => win
        )

    [2.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 4346.50375
            [stop_loss] => 4365.7765
            [rr_ratio] => 2.5
            [closed_at] => 2025-12-29 17:25:00
            [result] => win
        )

    [3] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 4343.7505
            [stop_loss] => 4365.7765
            [rr_ratio] => 3
            [closed_at] => 2025-12-29 17:35:00
            [result] => win
        )

    [3.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 4340.99725
            [stop_loss] => 4365.7765
            [rr_ratio] => 3.5
            [closed_at] => 2025-12-29 17:35:00
            [result] => win
        )

    [4] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 4338.244
            [stop_loss] => 4365.7765
            [rr_ratio] => 4
            [closed_at] => 2025-12-29 19:15:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [4.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 4335.49075
            [stop_loss] => 4365.7765
            [rr_ratio] => 4.5
            [closed_at] => 2025-12-29 19:15:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 4332.7375
            [stop_loss] => 4365.7765
            [rr_ratio] => 5
            [closed_at] => 2025-12-29 19:15:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [5.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 4329.98425
            [stop_loss] => 4365.7765
            [rr_ratio] => 5.5
            [closed_at] => 2025-12-29 19:15:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [6] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 4327.231
            [stop_loss] => 4365.7765
            [rr_ratio] => 6
            [closed_at] => 2025-12-29 19:15:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [6.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 4324.47775
            [stop_loss] => 4365.7765
            [rr_ratio] => 6.5
            [closed_at] => 2025-12-29 19:15:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [7] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 4321.7245
            [stop_loss] => 4365.7765
            [rr_ratio] => 7
            [closed_at] => 2025-12-29 19:15:00
            [result] => loss
        )

)
Extra SL data

                              Array
(
)
Extra Pullback data

                              Array
(
    [short_term] => Array
        (
            [max_gain] => 21.34
            [max_drawdown] => 6.1399999999994
            [rr_ratio] => 3.48
            [high] => 4366.41000000
            [low] => 4338.93000000
            [mfe_pct] => 0.49
            [mae_pct] => 0.14
            [mfe_mae_ratio] => 3.48
            [candles_analyzed] => 24
            [start_at] => 2025-12-29T17:17:10-05:00
            [end_at] => 2025-12-29T19:17:10-05:00
        )

    [long_term] => Array
        (
            [max_gain] => 22.280000000001
            [max_drawdown] => 27.57
            [rr_ratio] => 0.81
            [high] => 4387.84000000
            [low] => 4337.99000000
            [mfe_pct] => 0.51
            [mae_pct] => 0.63
            [mfe_mae_ratio] => 0.81
            [candles_analyzed] => 84
            [start_at] => 2025-12-29T17:17:10-05:00
            [end_at] => 2025-12-30T00:17:10-05:00
        )

    [breakout] => Array
        (
            [high_before] => 4360.30000000
            [high_after] => 4387.84000000
            [low_before] => 4338.93000000
            [low_after] => 4337.99000000
            [is_new_high] => 
            [is_new_low] => 1
        )

)