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Short Trade on XAU

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Short Trade on XAU 29 Dec 2025 at 19:25:22

Take profit at 4354.3781 (0.32 %) and Stop Loss at 4375.1709 (0.16 %)

Short Trade on XAU

The 29 Dec 2025 at 19:25:22

With 1.1542 XAU at 4368.24$ per unit.

Position size of 5042.0139 $

Take profit at 4354.3781 (0.32 %) and Stop Loss at 4375.1709 (0.16 %)

That's a 2 RR Trade

Results

Status:
win
Trade Type:
sell
ML Trade Score: 80
ML Pullback Score: 6.47
Prediction Score: 1
Prediction 1 Probability
Weak Trade
0.65
Prediction 2 Probability
0 0.51
Prediction 3 Probability
0 0.85
BTC Market Regime Coin Market Regime

ml_regime : neutral

rules_regime : bear_medium

rules_regime_5m : range_low

1H_regime : bear_medium

15m_regime : bear_low

5m_regime : range_low
BTC Correlation Score

5m : 0.202013

15m : -0.047661

1H : 0.10443

 1

Signal

CatchTheWave Signal - sell

Indicators:

  1. long_trend: -1
  2. short_kc: True
  3. short_kc_percentage: 0.15
  4. atr: 4.620629845
Details
  1. score: 1.15
  2. 1H
  3. ema9 : 4366.31
  4. ema21 : 4405.62
  5. ema50 : 4458.82
  6. ema100 : 4485.57
  7. price_ema9_diff : 0.000440332
  8. ema9_ema21_diff : -0.00892272
  9. ema21_ema50_diff : -0.0119303
  10. price_ema100_diff : -0.0261586
  11. all_emas_in_trend : True
  12. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : False
  13. ema_slope_9 : -0.224897
  14. ema_slope_21 : -0.184756
  15. ema_slope_50 : -0.111696
  16. ema_slope_100 : -0.0621867
  17. rsi : 0.352562
  18. adx : 0.650316
  19. kc_percentage : 0.13109
  20. kc_width_percentage : 0.0213423
  21. volume_ema_diff : -0.199719
  22. volume_ema1 : 125291.31729337
  23. volume_ema2 : 156559.18795112
  24. chop : 30.1535
  25. regime : bear_medium
    26. ¸
  26. 15m
  27. ema9 : 4355.63
  28. ema21 : 4355.25
  29. ema50 : 4378.98
  30. ema100 : 4420.69
  31. price_ema9_diff : 0.00289412
  32. ema9_ema21_diff : 8.7916E-5
  33. ema21_ema50_diff : -0.00541906
  34. price_ema100_diff : -0.0118657
  35. all_emas_in_trend : False
  36. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : False
  37. ema_slope_9 : 0.0145024
  38. ema_slope_21 : -0.00309578
  39. ema_slope_50 : -0.0292961
  40. ema_slope_100 : -0.0341009
  41. rsi : 0.552329
  42. adx : 0.241604
  43. kc_percentage : 0.843316
  44. kc_width_percentage : 0.00889266
  45. volume_ema_diff : -0.530556
  46. volume_ema1 : 23762.427665175
  47. volume_ema2 : 50618.327481508
  48. chop : 66.2236
  49. regime : bear_low
    50. ¸
  50. 5m
  51. ema9 : 4361.34
  52. ema21 : 4356.53
  53. ema50 : 4353.21
  54. ema100 : 4352.45
  55. price_ema9_diff : 0.00158076
  56. ema9_ema21_diff : 0.00110381
  57. ema21_ema50_diff : 0.00076247
  58. price_ema100_diff : 0.00362728
  59. all_emas_in_trend : True
  60. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : True
  61. ema_slope_9 : 0.0239087
  62. ema_slope_21 : 0.0129463
  63. ema_slope_50 : 0.00616945
  64. ema_slope_100 : 0.00287322
  65. rsi : 0.669362
  66. adx : 0.344774
  67. kc_percentage : 1.14709
  68. kc_width_percentage : 0.00405496
  69. volume_ema_diff : -0.122716
  70. volume_ema1 : 10136.209718342
  71. volume_ema2 : 11554.08871307
  72. chop : 42.9189
  73. regime : range_low
    74. ¸
  74. btc_indicators
  75. btc_indicators
  76. 5m_ema100: 
    87397
  77. 5m_price_ema100_diff: 
    -0.000830337
  78. 5m_price: 
    87324.5
  79. 5m_correlation_with_coin: 
    0.202013
  80. btc_indicators
  81. 15m_ema100: 
    87816.1
  82. 15m_price_ema100_diff: 
    -0.00591518
  83. 15m_price: 
    87296.7
  84. 15m_correlation_with_coin: 
    -0.047661
  85. btc_indicators
  86. 1H_ema100: 
    87867.6
  87. 1H_price_ema100_diff: 
    -0.00618119
  88. 1H_price: 
    87324.5
  89. 1H_correlation_with_coin: 
    0.10443
    90. ¸
  90. market_structures
  91. market_structures
  92. 1H_version: 1.1
  93. 1H_market_structure: 
    Array
(
    [left_window] => 5
    [right_window] => 5
    [recent_pivots] => Array
        (
            [0] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-26 20:00:00
                    [1] => 4523.24
                    [2] => L
                )

            [1] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-27 02:00:00
                    [1] => 4563.36
                    [2] => H
                )

            [2] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-27 12:00:00
                    [1] => 4535.75
                    [2] => L
                )

            [3] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-27 18:00:00
                    [1] => 4545
                    [2] => H
                )

            [4] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-28 01:00:00
                    [1] => 4552
                    [2] => H
                )

            [5] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-28 08:00:00
                    [1] => 4526
                    [2] => L
                )

            [6] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-28 18:00:00
                    [1] => 4549.86
                    [2] => H
                )

            [7] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-28 19:00:00
                    [1] => 4503.1
                    [2] => L
                )

            [8] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-29 10:00:00
                    [1] => 4334
                    [2] => L
                )

            [9] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-29 19:00:00
                    [1] => 4368.38
                    [2] => H
                )

        )

    [detected_trend] => downtrend
    [features] => Array
        (
            [ms_trend_state] => -1
            [ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => 0
            [ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 0.79326257498847
            [ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 0
            [ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 9
            [ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 0.79326257498847
            [ms_bos_up] => 0
            [ms_bos_down] => 1
            [ms_choch_up] => 0
            [ms_choch_down] => 0
        )

)
  94. market_structures
  95. 15m_version: 1.1
  96. 15m_market_structure: 
    Array
(
    [left_window] => 5
    [right_window] => 5
    [recent_pivots] => Array
        (
            [0] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-29 04:45:00
                    [1] => 4496.53
                    [2] => H
                )

            [1] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-29 07:00:00
                    [1] => 4454.12
                    [2] => L
                )

            [2] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-29 07:45:00
                    [1] => 4486.7
                    [2] => H
                )

            [3] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-29 10:15:00
                    [1] => 4334
                    [2] => L
                )

            [4] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-29 12:30:00
                    [1] => 4334.1
                    [2] => L
                )

            [5] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-29 13:45:00
                    [1] => 4354.99
                    [2] => H
                )

            [6] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-29 15:30:00
                    [1] => 4338.93
                    [2] => L
                )

            [7] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-29 15:45:00
                    [1] => 4360.3
                    [2] => H
                )

            [8] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-29 17:30:00
                    [1] => 4338.93
                    [2] => L
                )

            [9] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-29 19:15:00
                    [1] => 4368.38
                    [2] => H
                )

        )

    [detected_trend] => range
    [features] => Array
        (
            [ms_trend_state] => 0
            [ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => 0
            [ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 0.67873876739196
            [ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 0
            [ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 7
            [ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 0.67873876739196
            [ms_bos_up] => 1
            [ms_bos_down] => 0
            [ms_choch_up] => 0
            [ms_choch_down] => 0
        )

)
  97. market_structures
  98. 5m_version: 1.1
  99. 5m_market_structure: 
    Array
(
    [left_window] => 5
    [right_window] => 5
    [recent_pivots] => Array
        (
            [0] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-29 14:50:00
                    [1] => 4339.71
                    [2] => L
                )

            [1] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-29 15:10:00
                    [1] => 4353.88
                    [2] => H
                )

            [2] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-29 15:35:00
                    [1] => 4338.93
                    [2] => L
                )

            [3] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-29 15:55:00
                    [1] => 4360.3
                    [2] => H
                )

            [4] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-29 16:15:00
                    [1] => 4343.92
                    [2] => L
                )

            [5] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-29 17:15:00
                    [1] => 4360.27
                    [2] => H
                )

            [6] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-29 17:35:00
                    [1] => 4338.93
                    [2] => L
                )

            [7] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-29 17:45:00
                    [1] => 4360.79
                    [2] => H
                )

            [8] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-29 18:20:00
                    [1] => 4344.83
                    [2] => L
                )

            [9] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-29 19:20:00
                    [1] => 4368.38
                    [2] => H
                )

        )

    [detected_trend] => uptrend
    [features] => Array
        (
            [ms_trend_state] => 1
            [ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => 0
            [ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 0.54202350839964
            [ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 1
            [ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 13
            [ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 0.54202350839964
            [ms_bos_up] => 1
            [ms_bos_down] => 0
            [ms_choch_up] => 0
            [ms_choch_down] => 0
        )

)
    100. ¸

Market Structure

Market Structure Score: 1

5M - uptrend

Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5

Market Structure Features:

Trend State
1
Dist From Last High Pct
0.00%
Dist From Last Low Pct
0.54%
Bars Since Swing High
1 bars
Bars Since Swing Low
13 bars
Last Swing Amplitude Pct
0.54%
Bos Up
1
Bos Down
0
Choch Up
0
Choch Down
0

SL & TP Pivot Distance:

SL to Pivot Distance
6.7909
0.16%
TP to Pivot Distance
15.4481
0.35%
DateTime Price Type
2025-12-29 14:50:00 4339.71 ↓ Low
2025-12-29 15:10:00 4353.88 ↑ High
2025-12-29 15:35:00 4338.93 ↓ Low
2025-12-29 15:55:00 4360.3 ↑ High
2025-12-29 16:15:00 4343.92 ↓ Low
2025-12-29 17:15:00 4360.27 ↑ High
2025-12-29 17:35:00 4338.93 ↓ Low
2025-12-29 17:45:00 4360.79 ↑ High
2025-12-29 18:20:00 4344.83 ↓ Low
2025-12-29 19:20:00 4368.38 ↑ High
15M - range

Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5

Market Structure Features:

Trend State
0
Dist From Last High Pct
0.00%
Dist From Last Low Pct
0.68%
Bars Since Swing High
0 bars
Bars Since Swing Low
7 bars
Last Swing Amplitude Pct
0.68%
Bos Up
1
Bos Down
0
Choch Up
0
Choch Down
0

SL & TP Pivot Distance:

SL to Pivot Distance
121.3591
2.77%
TP to Pivot Distance
20.3781
0.47%
DateTime Price Type
2025-12-29 04:45:00 4496.53 ↑ High
2025-12-29 07:00:00 4454.12 ↓ Low
2025-12-29 07:45:00 4486.7 ↑ High
2025-12-29 10:15:00 4334 ↓ Low
2025-12-29 12:30:00 4334.1 ↓ Low
2025-12-29 13:45:00 4354.99 ↑ High
2025-12-29 15:30:00 4338.93 ↓ Low
2025-12-29 15:45:00 4360.3 ↑ High
2025-12-29 17:30:00 4338.93 ↓ Low
2025-12-29 19:15:00 4368.38 ↑ High
1H - downtrend

Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5

Market Structure Features:

Trend State
-1
Dist From Last High Pct
0.00%
Dist From Last Low Pct
0.79%
Bars Since Swing High
0 bars
Bars Since Swing Low
9 bars
Last Swing Amplitude Pct
0.79%
Bos Up
0
Bos Down
1
Choch Up
0
Choch Down
0

SL & TP Pivot Distance:

SL to Pivot Distance
188.1891
4.30%
TP to Pivot Distance
20.3781
0.47%
DateTime Price Type
2025-12-26 20:00:00 4523.24 ↓ Low
2025-12-27 02:00:00 4563.36 ↑ High
2025-12-27 12:00:00 4535.75 ↓ Low
2025-12-27 18:00:00 4545 ↑ High
2025-12-28 01:00:00 4552 ↑ High
2025-12-28 08:00:00 4526 ↓ Low
2025-12-28 18:00:00 4549.86 ↑ High
2025-12-28 19:00:00 4503.1 ↓ Low
2025-12-29 10:00:00 4334 ↓ Low
2025-12-29 19:00:00 4368.38 ↑ High

📌 Time Data

Start at Closed at Duration
29 Dec 2025
19:25:22		 29 Dec 2025
20:00:00		 34 minutes

📌 Entry & Exit

Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
4368.24 4375.1709 4354.3781 2 5289.88
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 4368.24
  • Stop Loss: 4375.1709
  • Take Profit: 4354.3781

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 4375.1709 - 4368.24 = 6.9309000000003

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 4368.24 - 4354.3781 = 13.8619

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 13.8619 / 6.9309000000003 = 2

📌 Position Size

Amount Margin Quantity Leverage
5042.0139 100 1.1542 50.42
Details

1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade

Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade

Paramètres:

  • Account Size 100
  • Risk per trade 8 %

Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8

Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade

2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter

Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss

Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price

Paramètres:

  • Risk Amount 8
  • Distance Stop Loss 6.9309000000003

Taille de position = 8 / 6.9309000000003 = 1.15

Taille de position USD = 1.15 x 4368.24 = 5023.48

Donc, tu peux acheter 1.15 avec un stoploss a 4375.1709

Avec un position size USD de 5023.48$

3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle

Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss

Perte = 1.15 x 6.9309000000003 = 7.97

Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 7.97$

4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle

Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit

Perte = 1.15 x 13.8619 = 15.94

Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 15.94$

Résumé

  • Taille de position 1.15
  • Taille de position USD 5023.48
  • Perte potentielle 7.97
  • Gain potentiel 15.94
  • Risk-Reward Ratio 2

📌 Peformances

TP % Target TP $ Target
0.32 % 16 $
SL % Target SL $ Target
0.16 % 8 $
PNL PNL %
16 $ 0.32
Max Drawdown Max Drawdown / SL Ratio Candles in Entry
-0.0078 % 4.91 % 3

📌 ML Extra Data

Extra TP Data

                              Array
(
    [2] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 4354.3782
            [stop_loss] => 4375.1709
            [rr_ratio] => 2
            [closed_at] => 2025-12-29 20:00:00
            [result] => win
        )

    [2.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 4350.91275
            [stop_loss] => 4375.1709
            [rr_ratio] => 2.5
            [closed_at] => 2025-12-29 20:00:00
            [result] => win
        )

    [3] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 4347.4473
            [stop_loss] => 4375.1709
            [rr_ratio] => 3
            [closed_at] => 2025-12-29 20:00:00
            [result] => win
        )

    [3.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 4343.98185
            [stop_loss] => 4375.1709
            [rr_ratio] => 3.5
            [closed_at] => 2025-12-29 20:00:00
            [result] => win
        )

    [4] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 4340.5164
            [stop_loss] => 4375.1709
            [rr_ratio] => 4
            [closed_at] => 2025-12-29 20:05:00
            [result] => win
        )

    [4.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 4337.05095
            [stop_loss] => 4375.1709
            [rr_ratio] => 4.5
            [closed_at] => 2025-12-29 21:50:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 4333.5855
            [stop_loss] => 4375.1709
            [rr_ratio] => 5
            [closed_at] => 2025-12-29 21:50:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [5.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 4330.12005
            [stop_loss] => 4375.1709
            [rr_ratio] => 5.5
            [closed_at] => 2025-12-29 21:50:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [6] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 4326.6546
            [stop_loss] => 4375.1709
            [rr_ratio] => 6
            [closed_at] => 2025-12-29 21:50:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [6.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 4323.18915
            [stop_loss] => 4375.1709
            [rr_ratio] => 6.5
            [closed_at] => 2025-12-29 21:50:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [7] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 4319.7237
            [stop_loss] => 4375.1709
            [rr_ratio] => 7
            [closed_at] => 2025-12-29 21:50:00
            [result] => loss
        )

)
Extra SL data

                              Array
(
)
Extra Pullback data

                              Array
(
    [short_term] => Array
        (
            [max_gain] => 30.25
            [max_drawdown] => 6.1999999999998
            [rr_ratio] => 4.88
            [high] => 4374.44000000
            [low] => 4337.99000000
            [mfe_pct] => 0.69
            [mae_pct] => 0.14
            [mfe_mae_ratio] => 4.88
            [candles_analyzed] => 24
            [start_at] => 2025-12-29T19:25:22-05:00
            [end_at] => 2025-12-29T21:25:22-05:00
        )

    [long_term] => Array
        (
            [max_gain] => 30.25
            [max_drawdown] => 31.690000000001
            [rr_ratio] => 0.95
            [high] => 4399.93000000
            [low] => 4337.99000000
            [mfe_pct] => 0.69
            [mae_pct] => 0.73
            [mfe_mae_ratio] => 0.95
            [candles_analyzed] => 84
            [start_at] => 2025-12-29T19:25:22-05:00
            [end_at] => 2025-12-30T02:25:22-05:00
        )

    [breakout] => Array
        (
            [high_before] => 4368.38000000
            [high_after] => 4399.93000000
            [low_before] => 4338.93000000
            [low_after] => 4337.99000000
            [is_new_high] => 
            [is_new_low] => 1
        )

)