Short Trade on AVAX 30 Dec 2025 at 01:37:56

Take profit at 12.3833 (0.4 %) and Stop Loss at 12.4579 (0.2 %)

Short Trade on AVAX

The 30 Dec 2025 at 01:37:56

With 321.7942 AVAX at 12.433$ per unit.

Position size of 4000.8672 $

Take profit at 12.3833 (0.4 %) and Stop Loss at 12.4579 (0.2 %)

That's a 2 RR Trade

Results

Status:
loss
Trade Type:
sell
ML Trade Score: -100
ML Pullback Score: 0.28
Prediction Score: 1
Prediction 1 Probability
Weak Trade
0.84
Prediction 2 Probability
0 0.5
Prediction 3 Probability
0 0.78
BTC Market Regime Coin Market Regime

ml_regime : neutral

rules_regime : bear_medium

rules_regime_5m : range_low

1H_regime : bear_high

15m_regime : range_low

5m_regime : range_low

BTC Correlation Score

5m : 0.632219

15m : 0.041172

1H : 0.094539

1

Signal

CatchTheWave Signal - sell

Indicators:

  1. long_trend: -1
  2. short_kc: True
  3. short_kc_percentage: 0.01
  4. atr: 0.01657374023
Details
  1. score: 1.01
  2. 1H
  3. ema9 : 12.4139
  4. ema21 : 12.495
  5. ema50 : 12.5765
  6. ema100 : 12.5805
  7. price_ema9_diff : 0.00153753
  8. ema9_ema21_diff : -0.00649071
  9. ema21_ema50_diff : -0.00648072
  10. price_ema100_diff : -0.0117256
  11. all_emas_in_trend : True
  12. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : False
  13. ema_slope_9 : -0.151076
  14. ema_slope_21 : -0.13568
  15. ema_slope_50 : -0.0713282
  16. ema_slope_100 : -0.0320843
  17. rsi : 0.41346
  18. adx : 0.289506
  19. kc_percentage : 0.342616
  20. kc_width_percentage : 0.0286113
  21. volume_ema_diff : -0.579352
  22. volume_ema1 : 208488.50681676
  23. volume_ema2 : 495637.50033842
  24. chop : 58.3396
  25. regime : bear_high
  26. ¸
  27. 15m
  28. ema9 : 12.3994
  29. ema21 : 12.3945
  30. ema50 : 12.4415
  31. ema100 : 12.5593
  32. price_ema9_diff : 0.00270559
  33. ema9_ema21_diff : 0.000392231
  34. ema21_ema50_diff : -0.00377056
  35. price_ema100_diff : -0.010058
  36. all_emas_in_trend : False
  37. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : False
  38. ema_slope_9 : 0.0212442
  39. ema_slope_21 : 0.00605279
  40. ema_slope_50 : -0.0179413
  41. ema_slope_100 : -0.0289885
  42. rsi : 0.571452
  43. adx : 0.197609
  44. kc_percentage : 0.817207
  45. kc_width_percentage : 0.00982976
  46. volume_ema_diff : -0.510608
  47. volume_ema1 : 39768.059293444
  48. volume_ema2 : 81260.140500808
  49. chop : 49.7951
  50. regime : range_low
  51. ¸
  52. 5m
  53. ema9 : 12.4092
  54. ema21 : 12.3982
  55. ema50 : 12.39
  56. ema100 : 12.3887
  57. price_ema9_diff : 0.00191237
  58. ema9_ema21_diff : 0.000889485
  59. ema21_ema50_diff : 0.000657538
  60. price_ema100_diff : 0.00357202
  61. all_emas_in_trend : True
  62. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : True
  63. ema_slope_9 : 0.0217846
  64. ema_slope_21 : 0.00969662
  65. ema_slope_50 : 0.00484272
  66. ema_slope_100 : 0.00216226
  67. rsi : 0.676163
  68. adx : 0.190571
  69. kc_percentage : 1.0086
  70. kc_width_percentage : 0.00541288
  71. volume_ema_diff : 0.176041
  72. volume_ema1 : 23060.580873853
  73. volume_ema2 : 19608.638177932
  74. chop : 33.4535
  75. regime : range_low
  76. ¸
  77. btc_indicators
  78. btc_indicators
  79. 5m_ema100:
    87261
  80. 5m_price_ema100_diff:
    0.00148081
  81. 5m_price:
    87390.3
  82. 5m_correlation_with_coin:
    0.632219
  83. btc_indicators
  84. 15m_ema100:
    87813.6
  85. 15m_price_ema100_diff:
    -0.00432881
  86. 15m_price:
    87433.5
  87. 15m_correlation_with_coin:
    0.041172
  88. btc_indicators
  89. 1H_ema100:
    87927.3
  90. 1H_price_ema100_diff:
    -0.00610805
  91. 1H_price:
    87390.3
  92. 1H_correlation_with_coin:
    0.094539
  93. ¸
  94. market_structures
  95. market_structures
  96. 1H_version: 1.1
  97. 1H_market_structure:
    Array
    (
        [left_window] => 5
        [right_window] => 5
        [recent_pivots] => Array
            (
                [0] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-27 05:00:00
                        [1] => 12.387
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [1] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-27 21:00:00
                        [1] => 12.891
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [2] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-28 03:00:00
                        [1] => 12.852
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [3] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-28 07:00:00
                        [1] => 12.574
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [4] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-28 15:00:00
                        [1] => 12.524
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [5] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-28 23:00:00
                        [1] => 13.194
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [6] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-29 07:00:00
                        [1] => 12.445
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [7] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-29 15:00:00
                        [1] => 12.329
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [8] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-29 22:00:00
                        [1] => 12.312
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [9] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-30 01:00:00
                        [1] => 12.446
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
            )
    
        [detected_trend] => downtrend
        [features] => Array
            (
                [ms_trend_state] => -1
                [ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.06427767957576
                [ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 1.0233918128655
                [ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 0
                [ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 3
                [ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 1.0883690708252
                [ms_bos_up] => 0
                [ms_bos_down] => 1
                [ms_choch_up] => 0
                [ms_choch_down] => 0
            )
    
    )
    
  98. market_structures
  99. 15m_version: 1.1
  100. 15m_market_structure:
    Array
    (
        [left_window] => 5
        [right_window] => 5
        [recent_pivots] => Array
            (
                [0] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-29 10:45:00
                        [1] => 12.727
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [1] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-29 12:15:00
                        [1] => 12.56
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [2] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-29 13:00:00
                        [1] => 12.653
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [3] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-29 15:30:00
                        [1] => 12.329
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [4] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-29 17:00:00
                        [1] => 12.362
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [5] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-29 20:45:00
                        [1] => 12.412
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [6] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-29 22:15:00
                        [1] => 12.312
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [7] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-29 23:15:00
                        [1] => 12.434
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [8] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-30 00:30:00
                        [1] => 12.356
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [9] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-30 01:30:00
                        [1] => 12.446
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
            )
    
        [detected_trend] => uptrend
        [features] => Array
            (
                [ms_trend_state] => 1
                [ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.06427767957576
                [ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 0.66364519261898
                [ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 0
                [ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 4
                [ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 0.7283910650696
                [ms_bos_up] => 1
                [ms_bos_down] => 0
                [ms_choch_up] => 0
                [ms_choch_down] => 0
            )
    
    )
    
  101. market_structures
  102. 5m_version: 1.1
  103. 5m_market_structure:
    Array
    (
        [left_window] => 5
        [right_window] => 5
        [recent_pivots] => Array
            (
                [0] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-29 19:20:00
                        [1] => 12.391
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [1] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-29 19:30:00
                        [1] => 12.344
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [2] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-29 20:10:00
                        [1] => 12.385
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [3] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-29 20:35:00
                        [1] => 12.342
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [4] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-29 20:50:00
                        [1] => 12.412
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [5] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-29 21:30:00
                        [1] => 12.335
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [6] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-29 22:15:00
                        [1] => 12.312
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [7] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-29 23:25:00
                        [1] => 12.434
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [8] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-30 00:35:00
                        [1] => 12.356
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [9] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-30 01:30:00
                        [1] => 12.446
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
            )
    
        [detected_trend] => uptrend
        [features] => Array
            (
                [ms_trend_state] => 1
                [ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.06427767957576
                [ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 0.66364519261898
                [ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 1
                [ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 12
                [ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 0.7283910650696
                [ms_bos_up] => 1
                [ms_bos_down] => 0
                [ms_choch_up] => 0
                [ms_choch_down] => 0
            )
    
    )
    
  104. ¸

Market Structure

Market Structure Score: 1

5M - uptrend

Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5

Market Structure Features:

Trend State
1
Dist From Last High Pct
-0.06%
Dist From Last Low Pct
0.66%
Bars Since Swing High
1 bars
Bars Since Swing Low
12 bars
Last Swing Amplitude Pct
0.73%
Bos Up
1
Bos Down
0
Choch Up
0
Choch Down
0

SL & TP Pivot Distance:

SL to Pivot Distance
0.0119
0.10%
TP to Pivot Distance
0.0713
0.58%
DateTime Price Type
2025-12-29 19:20:00 12.391 ↑ High
2025-12-29 19:30:00 12.344 ↓ Low
2025-12-29 20:10:00 12.385 ↑ High
2025-12-29 20:35:00 12.342 ↓ Low
2025-12-29 20:50:00 12.412 ↑ High
2025-12-29 21:30:00 12.335 ↓ Low
2025-12-29 22:15:00 12.312 ↓ Low
2025-12-29 23:25:00 12.434 ↑ High
2025-12-30 00:35:00 12.356 ↓ Low
2025-12-30 01:30:00 12.446 ↑ High
15M - uptrend

Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5

Market Structure Features:

Trend State
1
Dist From Last High Pct
-0.06%
Dist From Last Low Pct
0.66%
Bars Since Swing High
0 bars
Bars Since Swing Low
4 bars
Last Swing Amplitude Pct
0.73%
Bos Up
1
Bos Down
0
Choch Up
0
Choch Down
0

SL & TP Pivot Distance:

SL to Pivot Distance
0.2691
2.16%
TP to Pivot Distance
0.0713
0.58%
DateTime Price Type
2025-12-29 10:45:00 12.727 ↑ High
2025-12-29 12:15:00 12.56 ↓ Low
2025-12-29 13:00:00 12.653 ↑ High
2025-12-29 15:30:00 12.329 ↓ Low
2025-12-29 17:00:00 12.362 ↓ Low
2025-12-29 20:45:00 12.412 ↑ High
2025-12-29 22:15:00 12.312 ↓ Low
2025-12-29 23:15:00 12.434 ↑ High
2025-12-30 00:30:00 12.356 ↓ Low
2025-12-30 01:30:00 12.446 ↑ High
1H - downtrend

Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5

Market Structure Features:

Trend State
-1
Dist From Last High Pct
-0.06%
Dist From Last Low Pct
1.02%
Bars Since Swing High
0 bars
Bars Since Swing Low
3 bars
Last Swing Amplitude Pct
1.09%
Bos Up
0
Bos Down
1
Choch Up
0
Choch Down
0

SL & TP Pivot Distance:

SL to Pivot Distance
0.7361
5.91%
TP to Pivot Distance
0.0713
0.58%
DateTime Price Type
2025-12-27 05:00:00 12.387 ↓ Low
2025-12-27 21:00:00 12.891 ↑ High
2025-12-28 03:00:00 12.852 ↑ High
2025-12-28 07:00:00 12.574 ↓ Low
2025-12-28 15:00:00 12.524 ↓ Low
2025-12-28 23:00:00 13.194 ↑ High
2025-12-29 07:00:00 12.445 ↓ Low
2025-12-29 15:00:00 12.329 ↓ Low
2025-12-29 22:00:00 12.312 ↓ Low
2025-12-30 01:00:00 12.446 ↑ High

📌 Time Data

Start at Closed at Duration
30 Dec 2025
01:37:56
30 Dec 2025
03:00:00
1 hour

📌 Entry & Exit

Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
12.433 12.4579 12.3833 2 9.208
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 12.433
  • Stop Loss: 12.4579
  • Take Profit: 12.3833

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 12.4579 - 12.433 = 0.024900000000001

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 12.433 - 12.3833 = 0.0497

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.0497 / 0.024900000000001 = 1.996

📌 Position Size

Amount Margin Quantity Leverage
4000.8672 100 321.7942 40.01
Details

1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade

Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade

Paramètres:

  • Account Size 100
  • Risk per trade 8 %

Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8

Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade

2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter

Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss

Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price

Paramètres:

  • Risk Amount 8
  • Distance Stop Loss 0.024900000000001

Taille de position = 8 / 0.024900000000001 = 321.29

Taille de position USD = 321.29 x 12.433 = 3994.6

Donc, tu peux acheter 321.29 avec un stoploss a 12.4579

Avec un position size USD de 3994.6$

3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle

Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss

Perte = 321.29 x 0.024900000000001 = 8

Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$

4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle

Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit

Perte = 321.29 x 0.0497 = 15.97

Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 15.97$

Résumé

  • Taille de position 321.29
  • Taille de position USD 3994.6
  • Perte potentielle 8
  • Gain potentiel 15.97
  • Risk-Reward Ratio 1.996

📌 Peformances

TP % Target TP $ Target
0.4 % 15.99 $
SL % Target SL $ Target
0.2 % 8.01 $
PNL PNL %
-8.01 $ -0.20
Max Drawdown Max Drawdown / SL Ratio Candles in Entry
-0.4102 % 204.79 % 7

📌 ML Extra Data

Extra TP Data

                              Array
(
)
Extra SL data

                              Array
(
    [1.1] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 12.3833
            [entry_price] => 12.433
            [stop_loss] => 12.46039
            [rr_ratio] => 1.81
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.1
            [closed_at] => 2025-12-30 03:00:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [1.2] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 12.3833
            [entry_price] => 12.433
            [stop_loss] => 12.46288
            [rr_ratio] => 1.66
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.2
            [closed_at] => 2025-12-30 03:00:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [1.3] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 12.3833
            [entry_price] => 12.433
            [stop_loss] => 12.46537
            [rr_ratio] => 1.54
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.3
            [closed_at] => 2025-12-30 03:00:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [1.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 12.3833
            [entry_price] => 12.433
            [stop_loss] => 12.47035
            [rr_ratio] => 1.33
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.5
            [closed_at] => 2025-12-30 03:00:00
            [result] => loss
        )

)
Extra Pullback data

                              Array
(
    [short_term] => Array
        (
            [max_gain] => 0.023
            [max_drawdown] => 0.116
            [rr_ratio] => 0.2
            [high] => 12.54900000
            [low] => 12.41000000
            [mfe_pct] => 0.18
            [mae_pct] => 0.93
            [mfe_mae_ratio] => 0.2
            [candles_analyzed] => 24
            [start_at] => 2025-12-30T01:37:56-05:00
            [end_at] => 2025-12-30T03:37:56-05:00
        )

    [long_term] => Array
        (
            [max_gain] => 0.023
            [max_drawdown] => 0.116
            [rr_ratio] => 0.2
            [high] => 12.54900000
            [low] => 12.41000000
            [mfe_pct] => 0.18
            [mae_pct] => 0.93
            [mfe_mae_ratio] => 0.2
            [candles_analyzed] => 84
            [start_at] => 2025-12-30T01:37:56-05:00
            [end_at] => 2025-12-30T08:37:56-05:00
        )

    [breakout] => Array
        (
            [high_before] => 12.44600000
            [high_after] => 12.54900000
            [low_before] => 12.31200000
            [low_after] => 12.41000000
            [is_new_high] => 
            [is_new_low] => 
        )

)