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Short Trade on MSTR

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Short Trade on MSTR 30 Dec 2025 at 01:57:47

Take profit at 155.9333 (0.25 %) and Stop Loss at 156.5284 (0.13 %)

Short Trade on MSTR

The 30 Dec 2025 at 01:57:47

With 40.3281 MSTR at 156.33$ per unit.

Position size of 6304.4894 $

Take profit at 155.9333 (0.25 %) and Stop Loss at 156.5284 (0.13 %)

That's a 2 RR Trade

Results

Status:
win
Trade Type:
sell
ML Trade Score: 50
ML Pullback Score: 0.97
Prediction Score: 0
Prediction 1 Probability
Weak Trade
0.85
Prediction 2 Probability
0 0.62
Prediction 3 Probability
0 0.55
BTC Market Regime Coin Market Regime

ml_regime : neutral

rules_regime : range_medium

rules_regime_5m : range_low

1H_regime : bear_medium

15m_regime : range_low

5m_regime : range_low
BTC Correlation Score

5m : 0.424526

15m : 0.004182

1H : -0.042837

 0

Signal

CatchTheWave Signal - sell

Indicators:

  1. long_trend: -1
  2. short_kc: True
  3. short_kc_percentage: 0.09
  4. atr: 0.1322486155
Details
  1. score: 1.09
  2. 1H
  3. ema9 : 156.117
  4. ema21 : 156.81
  5. ema50 : 157.769
  6. ema100 : 158.489
  7. price_ema9_diff : 0.0013641
  8. ema9_ema21_diff : -0.00442199
  9. ema21_ema50_diff : -0.00607827
  10. price_ema100_diff : -0.0136275
  11. all_emas_in_trend : True
  12. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : False
  13. ema_slope_9 : -0.0975639
  14. ema_slope_21 : -0.0993163
  15. ema_slope_50 : -0.0599657
  16. ema_slope_100 : -0.0366122
  17. rsi : 0.436235
  18. adx : 0.180577
  19. kc_percentage : 0.390258
  20. kc_width_percentage : 0.0247505
  21. volume_ema_diff : -0.925962
  22. volume_ema1 : 90858.563903793
  23. volume_ema2 : 1227193.374557
  24. chop : 69.1311
  25. regime : bear_medium
    26. ¸
  26. 15m
  27. ema9 : 156.005
  28. ema21 : 155.95
  29. ema50 : 156.301
  30. ema100 : 157.412
  31. price_ema9_diff : 0.00208138
  32. ema9_ema21_diff : 0.000353932
  33. ema21_ema50_diff : -0.00224775
  34. price_ema100_diff : -0.00687555
  35. all_emas_in_trend : False
  36. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : False
  37. ema_slope_9 : 0.0177838
  38. ema_slope_21 : 0.0105725
  39. ema_slope_50 : -0.00834121
  40. ema_slope_100 : -0.0195355
  41. rsi : 0.514477
  42. adx : 0.0857882
  43. kc_percentage : 0.817287
  44. kc_width_percentage : 0.00764549
  45. volume_ema_diff : -0.99121
  46. volume_ema1 : 1843.4536663419
  47. volume_ema2 : 209725.20925762
  48. chop : 72.1953
  49. regime : range_low
    50. ¸
  50. 5m
  51. ema9 : 156.095
  52. ema21 : 156.043
  53. ema50 : 155.949
  54. ema100 : 155.863
  55. price_ema9_diff : 0.00150076
  56. ema9_ema21_diff : 0.000334154
  57. ema21_ema50_diff : 0.000605773
  58. price_ema100_diff : 0.00299517
  59. all_emas_in_trend : True
  60. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : True
  61. ema_slope_9 : 0.000929833
  62. ema_slope_21 : 0.0012519
  63. ema_slope_50 : 0.00290436
  64. ema_slope_100 : 0.00244129
  65. rsi : 0.638459
  66. adx : 0.143399
  67. kc_percentage : 1.08725
  68. kc_width_percentage : 0.00308269
  69. volume_ema_diff : -0.3523
  70. volume_ema1 : 1339.5601315779
  71. volume_ema2 : 2068.1807457117
  72. chop : 57.9499
  73. regime : range_low
    74. ¸
  74. btc_indicators
  75. btc_indicators
  76. 5m_ema100: 
    87291.7
  77. 5m_price_ema100_diff: 
    0.00137785
  78. 5m_price: 
    87412
  79. 5m_correlation_with_coin: 
    0.424526
  80. btc_indicators
  81. 15m_ema100: 
    87810.5
  82. 15m_price_ema100_diff: 
    -0.00390686
  83. 15m_price: 
    87467.5
  84. 15m_correlation_with_coin: 
    0.004182
  85. btc_indicators
  86. 1H_ema100: 
    87927.7
  87. 1H_price_ema100_diff: 
    -0.00586612
  88. 1H_price: 
    87412
  89. 1H_correlation_with_coin: 
    -0.042837
    90. ¸
  90. market_structures
  91. market_structures
  92. 1H_version: 1.1
  93. 1H_market_structure: 
    Array
(
    [left_window] => 5
    [right_window] => 5
    [recent_pivots] => Array
        (
            [0] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-28 12:00:00
                    [1] => 158.34
                    [2] => H
                )

            [1] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-28 13:00:00
                    [1] => 158.34
                    [2] => L
                )

            [2] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-28 14:00:00
                    [1] => 158.34
                    [2] => H
                )

            [3] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-28 15:00:00
                    [1] => 158.34
                    [2] => L
                )

            [4] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-28 17:00:00
                    [1] => 158.34
                    [2] => L
                )

            [5] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-28 19:00:00
                    [1] => 158.34
                    [2] => L
                )

            [6] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-28 23:00:00
                    [1] => 163.33
                    [2] => H
                )

            [7] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-29 09:00:00
                    [1] => 163
                    [2] => H
                )

            [8] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-29 19:00:00
                    [1] => 154.92
                    [2] => L
                )

            [9] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-29 23:00:00
                    [1] => 156.34
                    [2] => H
                )

        )

    [detected_trend] => downtrend
    [features] => Array
        (
            [ms_trend_state] => -1
            [ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.070359472943593
            [ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 0.84559772785954
            [ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 2
            [ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 6
            [ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 0.9166021172218
            [ms_bos_up] => 0
            [ms_bos_down] => 1
            [ms_choch_up] => 0
            [ms_choch_down] => 0
        )

)
  94. market_structures
  95. 15m_version: 1.1
  96. 15m_market_structure: 
    Array
(
    [left_window] => 5
    [right_window] => 5
    [recent_pivots] => Array
        (
            [0] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-29 12:15:00
                    [1] => 156.16
                    [2] => L
                )

            [1] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-29 15:15:00
                    [1] => 157.55
                    [2] => H
                )

            [2] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-29 17:15:00
                    [1] => 155.39
                    [2] => L
                )

            [3] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-29 19:15:00
                    [1] => 155.98
                    [2] => H
                )

            [4] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-29 19:45:00
                    [1] => 154.92
                    [2] => L
                )

            [5] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-29 21:15:00
                    [1] => 156.24
                    [2] => H
                )

            [6] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-29 22:15:00
                    [1] => 155.01
                    [2] => L
                )

            [7] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-29 23:45:00
                    [1] => 156.34
                    [2] => H
                )

            [8] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-30 00:45:00
                    [1] => 156.34
                    [2] => H
                )

            [9] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-30 01:15:00
                    [1] => 155.88
                    [2] => L
                )

        )

    [detected_trend] => range
    [features] => Array
        (
            [ms_trend_state] => 0
            [ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.070359472943593
            [ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 0.22453169104439
            [ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 4
            [ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 2
            [ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 0.29509879394406
            [ms_bos_up] => 0
            [ms_bos_down] => 0
            [ms_choch_up] => 0
            [ms_choch_down] => 0
        )

)
  97. market_structures
  98. 5m_version: 1.1
  99. 5m_market_structure: 
    Array
(
    [left_window] => 5
    [right_window] => 5
    [recent_pivots] => Array
        (
            [0] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-29 22:15:00
                    [1] => 155.01
                    [2] => L
                )

            [1] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-29 23:00:00
                    [1] => 156.21
                    [2] => H
                )

            [2] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-29 23:25:00
                    [1] => 156.21
                    [2] => H
                )

            [3] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-29 23:30:00
                    [1] => 155.62
                    [2] => L
                )

            [4] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-29 23:55:00
                    [1] => 156.34
                    [2] => H
                )

            [5] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-30 00:45:00
                    [1] => 155.89
                    [2] => L
                )

            [6] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-30 00:50:00
                    [1] => 156.34
                    [2] => H
                )

            [7] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-30 01:25:00
                    [1] => 155.88
                    [2] => L
                )

            [8] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-30 01:35:00
                    [1] => 155.88
                    [2] => L
                )

            [9] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-30 01:55:00
                    [1] => 156.33
                    [2] => H
                )

        )

    [detected_trend] => range
    [features] => Array
        (
            [ms_trend_state] => 0
            [ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.063967248768645
            [ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 0.22453169104439
            [ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 0
            [ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 4
            [ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 0.28868360277137
            [ms_bos_up] => 0
            [ms_bos_down] => 0
            [ms_choch_up] => 0
            [ms_choch_down] => 0
        )

)
    100. ¸

Market Structure

Market Structure Score: 1

5M - range

Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5

Market Structure Features:

Trend State
0
Dist From Last High Pct
-0.06%
Dist From Last Low Pct
0.22%
Bars Since Swing High
0 bars
Bars Since Swing Low
4 bars
Last Swing Amplitude Pct
0.29%
Bos Up
0
Bos Down
0
Choch Up
0
Choch Down
0

SL & TP Pivot Distance:

SL to Pivot Distance
0.1884
0.12%
TP to Pivot Distance
0.9233
0.59%
DateTime Price Type
2025-12-29 22:15:00 155.01 ↓ Low
2025-12-29 23:00:00 156.21 ↑ High
2025-12-29 23:25:00 156.21 ↑ High
2025-12-29 23:30:00 155.62 ↓ Low
2025-12-29 23:55:00 156.34 ↑ High
2025-12-30 00:45:00 155.89 ↓ Low
2025-12-30 00:50:00 156.34 ↑ High
2025-12-30 01:25:00 155.88 ↓ Low
2025-12-30 01:35:00 155.88 ↓ Low
2025-12-30 01:55:00 156.33 ↑ High
15M - range

Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5

Market Structure Features:

Trend State
0
Dist From Last High Pct
-0.07%
Dist From Last Low Pct
0.22%
Bars Since Swing High
4 bars
Bars Since Swing Low
2 bars
Last Swing Amplitude Pct
0.30%
Bos Up
0
Bos Down
0
Choch Up
0
Choch Down
0

SL & TP Pivot Distance:

SL to Pivot Distance
1.0216
0.65%
TP to Pivot Distance
1.0133
0.65%
DateTime Price Type
2025-12-29 12:15:00 156.16 ↓ Low
2025-12-29 15:15:00 157.55 ↑ High
2025-12-29 17:15:00 155.39 ↓ Low
2025-12-29 19:15:00 155.98 ↑ High
2025-12-29 19:45:00 154.92 ↓ Low
2025-12-29 21:15:00 156.24 ↑ High
2025-12-29 22:15:00 155.01 ↓ Low
2025-12-29 23:45:00 156.34 ↑ High
2025-12-30 00:45:00 156.34 ↑ High
2025-12-30 01:15:00 155.88 ↓ Low
1H - downtrend

Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5

Market Structure Features:

Trend State
-1
Dist From Last High Pct
-0.07%
Dist From Last Low Pct
0.85%
Bars Since Swing High
2 bars
Bars Since Swing Low
6 bars
Last Swing Amplitude Pct
0.92%
Bos Up
0
Bos Down
1
Choch Up
0
Choch Down
0

SL & TP Pivot Distance:

SL to Pivot Distance
6.8016
4.35%
TP to Pivot Distance
1.0133
0.65%
DateTime Price Type
2025-12-28 12:00:00 158.34 ↑ High
2025-12-28 13:00:00 158.34 ↓ Low
2025-12-28 14:00:00 158.34 ↑ High
2025-12-28 15:00:00 158.34 ↓ Low
2025-12-28 17:00:00 158.34 ↓ Low
2025-12-28 19:00:00 158.34 ↓ Low
2025-12-28 23:00:00 163.33 ↑ High
2025-12-29 09:00:00 163 ↑ High
2025-12-29 19:00:00 154.92 ↓ Low
2025-12-29 23:00:00 156.34 ↑ High

📌 Time Data

Start at Closed at Duration
30 Dec 2025
01:57:47		 30 Dec 2025
02:00:00		 2 minutes

📌 Entry & Exit

Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
156.33 156.5284 155.9333 2 126
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 156.33
  • Stop Loss: 156.5284
  • Take Profit: 155.9333

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 156.5284 - 156.33 = 0.19839999999999

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 156.33 - 155.9333 = 0.39670000000001

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.39670000000001 / 0.19839999999999 = 1.9995

📌 Position Size

Amount Margin Quantity Leverage
6304.4894 100 40.3281 63.04
Details

1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade

Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade

Paramètres:

  • Account Size 100
  • Risk per trade 8 %

Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8

Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade

2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter

Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss

Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price

Paramètres:

  • Risk Amount 8
  • Distance Stop Loss 0.19839999999999

Taille de position = 8 / 0.19839999999999 = 40.32

Taille de position USD = 40.32 x 156.33 = 6303.23

Donc, tu peux acheter 40.32 avec un stoploss a 156.5284

Avec un position size USD de 6303.23$

3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle

Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss

Perte = 40.32 x 0.19839999999999 = 8

Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$

4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle

Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit

Perte = 40.32 x 0.39670000000001 = 15.99

Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 15.99$

Résumé

  • Taille de position 40.32
  • Taille de position USD 6303.23
  • Perte potentielle 8
  • Gain potentiel 15.99
  • Risk-Reward Ratio 1.9995

📌 Peformances

TP % Target TP $ Target
0.25 % 16 $
SL % Target SL $ Target
0.13 % 8 $
PNL PNL %
16 $ 0.25
Max Drawdown Max Drawdown / SL Ratio Candles in Entry
0 % 0 % 0

📌 ML Extra Data

Extra TP Data

                              Array
(
    [2] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 155.9332
            [stop_loss] => 156.5284
            [rr_ratio] => 2
            [closed_at] => 2025-12-30 02:00:00
            [result] => win
        )

    [2.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 155.834
            [stop_loss] => 156.5284
            [rr_ratio] => 2.5
            [closed_at] => 2025-12-30 02:15:00
            [result] => win
        )

    [3] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 155.7348
            [stop_loss] => 156.5284
            [rr_ratio] => 3
            [closed_at] => 2025-12-30 03:00:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [3.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 155.6356
            [stop_loss] => 156.5284
            [rr_ratio] => 3.5
            [closed_at] => 2025-12-30 03:00:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [4] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 155.5364
            [stop_loss] => 156.5284
            [rr_ratio] => 4
            [closed_at] => 2025-12-30 03:00:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [4.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 155.4372
            [stop_loss] => 156.5284
            [rr_ratio] => 4.5
            [closed_at] => 2025-12-30 03:00:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 155.338
            [stop_loss] => 156.5284
            [rr_ratio] => 5
            [closed_at] => 2025-12-30 03:00:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [5.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 155.2388
            [stop_loss] => 156.5284
            [rr_ratio] => 5.5
            [closed_at] => 2025-12-30 03:00:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [6] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 155.1396
            [stop_loss] => 156.5284
            [rr_ratio] => 6
            [closed_at] => 2025-12-30 03:00:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [6.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 155.0404
            [stop_loss] => 156.5284
            [rr_ratio] => 6.5
            [closed_at] => 2025-12-30 03:00:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [7] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 154.9412
            [stop_loss] => 156.5284
            [rr_ratio] => 7
            [closed_at] => 2025-12-30 03:00:00
            [result] => loss
        )

)
Extra SL data

                              Array
(
)
Extra Pullback data

                              Array
(
    [short_term] => Array
        (
            [max_gain] => 0.53
            [max_drawdown] => 0.75
            [rr_ratio] => 0.71
            [high] => 157.08000000
            [low] => 155.80000000
            [mfe_pct] => 0.34
            [mae_pct] => 0.48
            [mfe_mae_ratio] => 0.71
            [candles_analyzed] => 24
            [start_at] => 2025-12-30T01:57:47-05:00
            [end_at] => 2025-12-30T03:57:47-05:00
        )

    [long_term] => Array
        (
            [max_gain] => 0.63000000000002
            [max_drawdown] => 0.94
            [rr_ratio] => 0.67
            [high] => 157.27000000
            [low] => 155.70000000
            [mfe_pct] => 0.4
            [mae_pct] => 0.6
            [mfe_mae_ratio] => 0.67
            [candles_analyzed] => 84
            [start_at] => 2025-12-30T01:57:47-05:00
            [end_at] => 2025-12-30T08:57:47-05:00
        )

    [breakout] => Array
        (
            [high_before] => 156.34000000
            [high_after] => 157.27000000
            [low_before] => 155.01000000
            [low_after] => 155.80000000
            [is_new_high] => 
            [is_new_low] => 
        )

)