Short Trade on AVAX 30 Dec 2025 at 03:04:34

Take profit at 12.4255 (0.4 %) and Stop Loss at 12.5013 (0.2 %)

Short Trade on AVAX

The 30 Dec 2025 at 03:04:34

With 316.5747 AVAX at 12.476$ per unit.

Position size of 3949.5865 $

Take profit at 12.4255 (0.4 %) and Stop Loss at 12.5013 (0.2 %)

That's a 2 RR Trade

Results

Status:
loss
Trade Type:
sell
ML Trade Score: -100
ML Pullback Score: 0.35
Prediction Score: 0
Prediction 1 Probability
Weak Trade
0.74
Prediction 2 Probability
0 0.52
Prediction 3 Probability
0 0.79
BTC Market Regime Coin Market Regime

ml_regime : neutral

rules_regime : range_medium

rules_regime_5m : range_low

1H_regime : bear_medium

15m_regime : range_low

5m_regime : range_low

BTC Correlation Score

5m : 0.698589

15m : 0.128327

1H : 0.070994

0

Signal

CatchTheWave Signal - sell

Indicators:

  1. long_trend: -1
  2. short_kc: True
  3. short_kc_percentage: 0.23
  4. atr: 0.01684699577
Details
  1. score: 1.23
  2. 1H
  3. ema9 : 12.4268
  4. ema21 : 12.4868
  5. ema50 : 12.5661
  6. ema100 : 12.5719
  7. price_ema9_diff : 0.00395204
  8. ema9_ema21_diff : -0.00480213
  9. ema21_ema50_diff : -0.00630852
  10. price_ema100_diff : -0.00763108
  11. all_emas_in_trend : True
  12. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : False
  13. ema_slope_9 : -0.095976
  14. ema_slope_21 : -0.112425
  15. ema_slope_50 : -0.0658169
  16. ema_slope_100 : -0.0303029
  17. rsi : 0.462935
  18. adx : 0.271216
  19. kc_percentage : 0.482971
  20. kc_width_percentage : 0.0261763
  21. volume_ema_diff : -0.565897
  22. volume_ema1 : 208720.2876593
  23. volume_ema2 : 480809.28246739
  24. chop : 64.9148
  25. regime : bear_medium
  26. ¸
  27. 15m
  28. ema9 : 12.4283
  29. ema21 : 12.4128
  30. ema50 : 12.438
  31. ema100 : 12.5283
  32. price_ema9_diff : 0.00383676
  33. ema9_ema21_diff : 0.00124325
  34. ema21_ema50_diff : -0.00202161
  35. price_ema100_diff : -0.00417593
  36. all_emas_in_trend : False
  37. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : False
  38. ema_slope_9 : 0.0245238
  39. ema_slope_21 : 0.0140262
  40. ema_slope_50 : -0.00809723
  41. ema_slope_100 : -0.0200739
  42. rsi : 0.640863
  43. adx : 0.209091
  44. kc_percentage : 0.997961
  45. kc_width_percentage : 0.0100784
  46. volume_ema_diff : 0.157589
  47. volume_ema1 : 91477.79595562
  48. volume_ema2 : 79024.409827139
  49. chop : 50.0934
  50. regime : range_low
  51. ¸
  52. 5m
  53. ema9 : 12.433
  54. ema21 : 12.4239
  55. ema50 : 12.4086
  56. ema100 : 12.3938
  57. price_ema9_diff : 0.00345253
  58. ema9_ema21_diff : 0.000736398
  59. ema21_ema50_diff : 0.00122818
  60. price_ema100_diff : 0.00663229
  61. all_emas_in_trend : True
  62. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : True
  63. ema_slope_9 : 0.00644052
  64. ema_slope_21 : 0.0088206
  65. ema_slope_50 : 0.00836849
  66. ema_slope_100 : 0.00634182
  67. rsi : 0.70971
  68. adx : 0.290042
  69. kc_percentage : 1.22856
  70. kc_width_percentage : 0.00565611
  71. volume_ema_diff : 1.8259
  72. volume_ema1 : 69968.241720749
  73. volume_ema2 : 24759.60765014
  74. chop : 42.4266
  75. regime : range_low
  76. ¸
  77. btc_indicators
  78. btc_indicators
  79. 5m_ema100:
    87309.9
  80. 5m_price_ema100_diff:
    0.00372168
  81. 5m_price:
    87634.9
  82. 5m_correlation_with_coin:
    0.698589
  83. btc_indicators
  84. 15m_ema100:
    87716.7
  85. 15m_price_ema100_diff:
    -0.000932657
  86. 15m_price:
    87634.9
  87. 15m_correlation_with_coin:
    0.128327
  88. btc_indicators
  89. 1H_ema100:
    87935.3
  90. 1H_price_ema100_diff:
    -0.00341667
  91. 1H_price:
    87634.9
  92. 1H_correlation_with_coin:
    0.070994
  93. ¸
  94. market_structures
  95. market_structures
  96. 1H_version: 1.1
  97. 1H_market_structure:
    Array
    (
        [left_window] => 5
        [right_window] => 5
        [recent_pivots] => Array
            (
                [0] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-27 05:00:00
                        [1] => 12.387
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [1] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-27 21:00:00
                        [1] => 12.891
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [2] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-28 03:00:00
                        [1] => 12.852
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [3] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-28 07:00:00
                        [1] => 12.574
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [4] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-28 15:00:00
                        [1] => 12.524
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [5] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-28 23:00:00
                        [1] => 13.194
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [6] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-29 07:00:00
                        [1] => 12.445
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [7] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-29 15:00:00
                        [1] => 12.329
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [8] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-29 22:00:00
                        [1] => 12.312
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [9] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-30 03:00:00
                        [1] => 12.484
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
            )
    
        [detected_trend] => downtrend
        [features] => Array
            (
                [ms_trend_state] => -1
                [ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.016020506248003
                [ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 1.3807667316439
                [ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 0
                [ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 5
                [ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 1.3970110461339
                [ms_bos_up] => 0
                [ms_bos_down] => 1
                [ms_choch_up] => 0
                [ms_choch_down] => 0
            )
    
    )
    
  98. market_structures
  99. 15m_version: 1.1
  100. 15m_market_structure:
    Array
    (
        [left_window] => 5
        [right_window] => 5
        [recent_pivots] => Array
            (
                [0] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-29 10:45:00
                        [1] => 12.727
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [1] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-29 12:15:00
                        [1] => 12.56
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [2] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-29 13:00:00
                        [1] => 12.653
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [3] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-29 15:30:00
                        [1] => 12.329
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [4] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-29 17:00:00
                        [1] => 12.362
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [5] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-29 20:45:00
                        [1] => 12.412
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [6] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-29 22:15:00
                        [1] => 12.312
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [7] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-29 23:15:00
                        [1] => 12.434
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [8] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-30 00:30:00
                        [1] => 12.356
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [9] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-30 03:00:00
                        [1] => 12.484
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
            )
    
        [detected_trend] => uptrend
        [features] => Array
            (
                [ms_trend_state] => 1
                [ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.016020506248003
                [ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 1.0197474910974
                [ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 0
                [ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 10
                [ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 1.0359339592101
                [ms_bos_up] => 1
                [ms_bos_down] => 0
                [ms_choch_up] => 0
                [ms_choch_down] => 0
            )
    
    )
    
  101. market_structures
  102. 5m_version: 1.1
  103. 5m_market_structure:
    Array
    (
        [left_window] => 5
        [right_window] => 5
        [recent_pivots] => Array
            (
                [0] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-29 21:30:00
                        [1] => 12.335
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [1] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-29 22:15:00
                        [1] => 12.312
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [2] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-29 23:25:00
                        [1] => 12.434
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [3] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-30 00:35:00
                        [1] => 12.356
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [4] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-30 01:30:00
                        [1] => 12.446
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [5] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-30 01:45:00
                        [1] => 12.446
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [6] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-30 02:15:00
                        [1] => 12.449
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [7] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-30 02:30:00
                        [1] => 12.41
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [8] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-30 02:55:00
                        [1] => 12.41
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [9] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-30 03:00:00
                        [1] => 12.484
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
            )
    
        [detected_trend] => range
        [features] => Array
            (
                [ms_trend_state] => 0
                [ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.016020506248003
                [ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 0.58017727639
                [ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 0
                [ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 1
                [ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 0.59629331184528
                [ms_bos_up] => 1
                [ms_bos_down] => 0
                [ms_choch_up] => 0
                [ms_choch_down] => 0
            )
    
    )
    
  104. ¸

Market Structure

Market Structure Score: 1

5M - range

Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5

Market Structure Features:

Trend State
0
Dist From Last High Pct
-0.02%
Dist From Last Low Pct
0.58%
Bars Since Swing High
0 bars
Bars Since Swing Low
1 bars
Last Swing Amplitude Pct
0.60%
Bos Up
1
Bos Down
0
Choch Up
0
Choch Down
0

SL & TP Pivot Distance:

SL to Pivot Distance
0.0173
0.14%
TP to Pivot Distance
0.1135
0.91%
DateTime Price Type
2025-12-29 21:30:00 12.335 ↓ Low
2025-12-29 22:15:00 12.312 ↓ Low
2025-12-29 23:25:00 12.434 ↑ High
2025-12-30 00:35:00 12.356 ↓ Low
2025-12-30 01:30:00 12.446 ↑ High
2025-12-30 01:45:00 12.446 ↑ High
2025-12-30 02:15:00 12.449 ↑ High
2025-12-30 02:30:00 12.41 ↓ Low
2025-12-30 02:55:00 12.41 ↓ Low
2025-12-30 03:00:00 12.484 ↑ High
15M - uptrend

Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5

Market Structure Features:

Trend State
1
Dist From Last High Pct
-0.02%
Dist From Last Low Pct
1.02%
Bars Since Swing High
0 bars
Bars Since Swing Low
10 bars
Last Swing Amplitude Pct
1.04%
Bos Up
1
Bos Down
0
Choch Up
0
Choch Down
0

SL & TP Pivot Distance:

SL to Pivot Distance
0.2257
1.81%
TP to Pivot Distance
0.1135
0.91%
DateTime Price Type
2025-12-29 10:45:00 12.727 ↑ High
2025-12-29 12:15:00 12.56 ↓ Low
2025-12-29 13:00:00 12.653 ↑ High
2025-12-29 15:30:00 12.329 ↓ Low
2025-12-29 17:00:00 12.362 ↓ Low
2025-12-29 20:45:00 12.412 ↑ High
2025-12-29 22:15:00 12.312 ↓ Low
2025-12-29 23:15:00 12.434 ↑ High
2025-12-30 00:30:00 12.356 ↓ Low
2025-12-30 03:00:00 12.484 ↑ High
1H - downtrend

Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5

Market Structure Features:

Trend State
-1
Dist From Last High Pct
-0.02%
Dist From Last Low Pct
1.38%
Bars Since Swing High
0 bars
Bars Since Swing Low
5 bars
Last Swing Amplitude Pct
1.40%
Bos Up
0
Bos Down
1
Choch Up
0
Choch Down
0

SL & TP Pivot Distance:

SL to Pivot Distance
0.6927
5.54%
TP to Pivot Distance
0.1135
0.91%
DateTime Price Type
2025-12-27 05:00:00 12.387 ↓ Low
2025-12-27 21:00:00 12.891 ↑ High
2025-12-28 03:00:00 12.852 ↑ High
2025-12-28 07:00:00 12.574 ↓ Low
2025-12-28 15:00:00 12.524 ↓ Low
2025-12-28 23:00:00 13.194 ↑ High
2025-12-29 07:00:00 12.445 ↓ Low
2025-12-29 15:00:00 12.329 ↓ Low
2025-12-29 22:00:00 12.312 ↓ Low
2025-12-30 03:00:00 12.484 ↑ High

📌 Time Data

Start at Closed at Duration
30 Dec 2025
03:04:34
30 Dec 2025
03:05:00
26 seconds

📌 Entry & Exit

Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
12.476 12.5013 12.4255 2 8.879
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 12.476
  • Stop Loss: 12.5013
  • Take Profit: 12.4255

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 12.5013 - 12.476 = 0.0253

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 12.476 - 12.4255 = 0.050500000000001

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.050500000000001 / 0.0253 = 1.996

📌 Position Size

Amount Margin Quantity Leverage
3949.5865 100 316.5747 39.50
Details

1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade

Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade

Paramètres:

  • Account Size 100
  • Risk per trade 8 %

Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8

Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade

2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter

Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss

Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price

Paramètres:

  • Risk Amount 8
  • Distance Stop Loss 0.0253

Taille de position = 8 / 0.0253 = 316.21

Taille de position USD = 316.21 x 12.476 = 3945.04

Donc, tu peux acheter 316.21 avec un stoploss a 12.5013

Avec un position size USD de 3945.04$

3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle

Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss

Perte = 316.21 x 0.0253 = 8

Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$

4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle

Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit

Perte = 316.21 x 0.050500000000001 = 15.97

Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 15.97$

Résumé

  • Taille de position 316.21
  • Taille de position USD 3945.04
  • Perte potentielle 8
  • Gain potentiel 15.97
  • Risk-Reward Ratio 1.996

📌 Peformances

TP % Target TP $ Target
0.4 % 15.99 $
SL % Target SL $ Target
0.2 % 8.01 $
PNL PNL %
-8.01 $ -0.20
Max Drawdown Max Drawdown / SL Ratio Candles in Entry
-0.2886 % 142.31 % 1

📌 ML Extra Data

Extra TP Data

                              Array
(
)
Extra SL data

                              Array
(
    [1.1] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 12.4255
            [entry_price] => 12.476
            [stop_loss] => 12.50383
            [rr_ratio] => 1.81
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.1
            [closed_at] => 2025-12-30 03:05:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [1.2] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 12.4255
            [entry_price] => 12.476
            [stop_loss] => 12.50636
            [rr_ratio] => 1.66
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.2
            [closed_at] => 2025-12-30 03:05:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [1.3] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 12.4255
            [entry_price] => 12.476
            [stop_loss] => 12.50889
            [rr_ratio] => 1.54
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.3
            [closed_at] => 2025-12-30 03:05:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [1.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 12.4255
            [entry_price] => 12.476
            [stop_loss] => 12.51395
            [rr_ratio] => 1.33
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.5
            [closed_at] => 2025-12-30 03:10:00
            [result] => loss
        )

)
Extra Pullback data

                              Array
(
    [short_term] => Array
        (
            [max_gain] => 0.013000000000002
            [max_drawdown] => 0.072999999999999
            [rr_ratio] => 0.18
            [high] => 12.54900000
            [low] => 12.46300000
            [mfe_pct] => 0.1
            [mae_pct] => 0.59
            [mfe_mae_ratio] => 0.18
            [candles_analyzed] => 24
            [start_at] => 2025-12-30T03:04:34-05:00
            [end_at] => 2025-12-30T05:04:34-05:00
        )

    [long_term] => Array
        (
            [max_gain] => 0.042000000000002
            [max_drawdown] => 0.123
            [rr_ratio] => 0.34
            [high] => 12.59900000
            [low] => 12.43400000
            [mfe_pct] => 0.34
            [mae_pct] => 0.99
            [mfe_mae_ratio] => 0.34
            [candles_analyzed] => 84
            [start_at] => 2025-12-30T03:04:34-05:00
            [end_at] => 2025-12-30T10:04:34-05:00
        )

    [breakout] => Array
        (
            [high_before] => 12.48400000
            [high_after] => 12.54900000
            [low_before] => 12.35600000
            [low_after] => 12.43400000
            [is_new_high] => 
            [is_new_low] => 
        )

)