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Short Trade on MSTR

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Short Trade on MSTR 30 Dec 2025 at 03:17:07

Take profit at 156.0814 (0.38 %) and Stop Loss at 156.9793 (0.19 %)

Short Trade on MSTR

The 30 Dec 2025 at 03:17:07

With 26.7305 MSTR at 156.68$ per unit.

Position size of 4188.1344 $

Take profit at 156.0814 (0.38 %) and Stop Loss at 156.9793 (0.19 %)

That's a 2 RR Trade

Results

Status:
loss
Trade Type:
sell
ML Trade Score: -100
ML Pullback Score: 1.41
Prediction Score: 1
Prediction 1 Probability
Weak Trade
0.82
Prediction 2 Probability
1 0.7
Prediction 3 Probability
0 0.72
BTC Market Regime Coin Market Regime

ml_regime : neutral

rules_regime : range_medium

rules_regime_5m : bull_low_confirmed

1H_regime : bear_medium

15m_regime : range_low

5m_regime : range_low
BTC Correlation Score

5m : 0.505193

15m : 0.174084

1H : 0.088208

 0

Signal

CatchTheWave Signal - sell

Indicators:

  1. long_trend: -1
  2. short_kc: True
  3. short_kc_percentage: 0.12
  4. atr: 0.1995224081
Details
  1. score: 1.12
  2. 1H
  3. ema9 : 156.217
  4. ema21 : 156.734
  5. ema50 : 157.667
  6. ema100 : 158.451
  7. price_ema9_diff : 0.00296186
  8. ema9_ema21_diff : -0.00329691
  9. ema21_ema50_diff : -0.00591752
  10. price_ema100_diff : -0.011177
  11. all_emas_in_trend : True
  12. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : False
  13. ema_slope_9 : -0.0602053
  14. ema_slope_21 : -0.0817575
  15. ema_slope_50 : -0.055506
  16. ema_slope_100 : -0.035793
  17. rsi : 0.47209
  18. adx : 0.164223
  19. kc_percentage : 0.498597
  20. kc_width_percentage : 0.0229672
  21. volume_ema_diff : -0.954366
  22. volume_ema1 : 51757.127012797
  23. volume_ema2 : 1134180.9708059
  24. chop : 68.203
  25. regime : bear_medium
    26. ¸
  26. 15m
  27. ema9 : 156.205
  28. ema21 : 156.07
  29. ema50 : 156.266
  30. ema100 : 157.164
  31. price_ema9_diff : 0.00303836
  32. ema9_ema21_diff : 0.00086475
  33. ema21_ema50_diff : -0.00125543
  34. price_ema100_diff : -0.00308239
  35. all_emas_in_trend : False
  36. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : False
  37. ema_slope_9 : 0.0111697
  38. ema_slope_21 : 0.00904685
  39. ema_slope_50 : -0.00472432
  40. ema_slope_100 : -0.015081
  41. rsi : 0.642584
  42. adx : 0.139432
  43. kc_percentage : 0.929435
  44. kc_width_percentage : 0.00897648
  45. volume_ema_diff : -0.957635
  46. volume_ema1 : 7055.9563838307
  47. volume_ema2 : 166551.64329294
  48. chop : 64.4414
  49. regime : range_low
    50. ¸
  50. 5m
  51. ema9 : 156.282
  52. ema21 : 156.138
  53. ema50 : 156.023
  54. ema100 : 155.915
  55. price_ema9_diff : 0.0025438
  56. ema9_ema21_diff : 0.000922463
  57. ema21_ema50_diff : 0.000735525
  58. price_ema100_diff : 0.00490276
  59. all_emas_in_trend : True
  60. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : True
  61. ema_slope_9 : 0.0158571
  62. ema_slope_21 : 0.00736729
  63. ema_slope_50 : 0.00438347
  64. ema_slope_100 : 0.00325971
  65. rsi : 0.729335
  66. adx : 0.278171
  67. kc_percentage : 1.11566
  68. kc_width_percentage : 0.00554667
  69. volume_ema_diff : 0.856599
  70. volume_ema1 : 4294.9524304537
  71. volume_ema2 : 2313.3440997167
  72. chop : 29.538
  73. regime : range_low
    74. ¸
  74. btc_indicators
  75. btc_indicators
  76. 5m_ema100: 
    87352.2
  77. 5m_price_ema100_diff: 
    0.00907905
  78. 5m_price: 
    88145.3
  79. 5m_correlation_with_coin: 
    0.505193
  80. btc_indicators
  81. 15m_ema100: 
    87734.5
  82. 15m_price_ema100_diff: 
    0.00468204
  83. 15m_price: 
    88145.3
  84. 15m_correlation_with_coin: 
    0.174084
  85. btc_indicators
  86. 1H_ema100: 
    87945.4
  87. 1H_price_ema100_diff: 
    0.00227239
  88. 1H_price: 
    88145.3
  89. 1H_correlation_with_coin: 
    0.088208
    90. ¸
  90. market_structures
  91. market_structures
  92. 1H_version: 1.1
  93. 1H_market_structure: 
    Array
(
    [left_window] => 5
    [right_window] => 5
    [recent_pivots] => Array
        (
            [0] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-28 12:00:00
                    [1] => 158.34
                    [2] => H
                )

            [1] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-28 13:00:00
                    [1] => 158.34
                    [2] => L
                )

            [2] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-28 14:00:00
                    [1] => 158.34
                    [2] => H
                )

            [3] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-28 15:00:00
                    [1] => 158.34
                    [2] => L
                )

            [4] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-28 17:00:00
                    [1] => 158.34
                    [2] => L
                )

            [5] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-28 19:00:00
                    [1] => 158.34
                    [2] => L
                )

            [6] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-28 23:00:00
                    [1] => 163.33
                    [2] => H
                )

            [7] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-29 09:00:00
                    [1] => 163
                    [2] => H
                )

            [8] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-29 19:00:00
                    [1] => 154.92
                    [2] => L
                )

            [9] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-30 03:00:00
                    [1] => 156.78
                    [2] => H
                )

        )

    [detected_trend] => downtrend
    [features] => Array
        (
            [ms_trend_state] => -1
            [ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.01913509376196
            [ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 1.1812548412084
            [ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 0
            [ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 8
            [ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 1.2006196746708
            [ms_bos_up] => 0
            [ms_bos_down] => 1
            [ms_choch_up] => 0
            [ms_choch_down] => 0
        )

)
  94. market_structures
  95. 15m_version: 1.1
  96. 15m_market_structure: 
    Array
(
    [left_window] => 5
    [right_window] => 5
    [recent_pivots] => Array
        (
            [0] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-29 15:15:00
                    [1] => 157.55
                    [2] => H
                )

            [1] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-29 17:15:00
                    [1] => 155.39
                    [2] => L
                )

            [2] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-29 19:15:00
                    [1] => 155.98
                    [2] => H
                )

            [3] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-29 19:45:00
                    [1] => 154.92
                    [2] => L
                )

            [4] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-29 21:15:00
                    [1] => 156.24
                    [2] => H
                )

            [5] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-29 22:15:00
                    [1] => 155.01
                    [2] => L
                )

            [6] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-29 23:45:00
                    [1] => 156.34
                    [2] => H
                )

            [7] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-30 00:45:00
                    [1] => 156.34
                    [2] => H
                )

            [8] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-30 02:15:00
                    [1] => 155.8
                    [2] => L
                )

            [9] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-30 03:15:00
                    [1] => 156.78
                    [2] => H
                )

        )

    [detected_trend] => uptrend
    [features] => Array
        (
            [ms_trend_state] => 1
            [ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.01913509376196
            [ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 0.60975609756097
            [ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 0
            [ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 4
            [ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 0.62901155327342
            [ms_bos_up] => 1
            [ms_bos_down] => 0
            [ms_choch_up] => 0
            [ms_choch_down] => 0
        )

)
  97. market_structures
  98. 5m_version: 1.1
  99. 5m_market_structure: 
    Array
(
    [left_window] => 5
    [right_window] => 5
    [recent_pivots] => Array
        (
            [0] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-29 23:25:00
                    [1] => 156.21
                    [2] => H
                )

            [1] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-29 23:30:00
                    [1] => 155.62
                    [2] => L
                )

            [2] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-29 23:55:00
                    [1] => 156.34
                    [2] => H
                )

            [3] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-30 00:45:00
                    [1] => 155.89
                    [2] => L
                )

            [4] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-30 00:50:00
                    [1] => 156.34
                    [2] => H
                )

            [5] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-30 01:25:00
                    [1] => 155.88
                    [2] => L
                )

            [6] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-30 01:35:00
                    [1] => 155.88
                    [2] => L
                )

            [7] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-30 01:55:00
                    [1] => 156.33
                    [2] => H
                )

            [8] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-30 02:15:00
                    [1] => 155.8
                    [2] => L
                )

            [9] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-30 03:15:00
                    [1] => 156.78
                    [2] => H
                )

        )

    [detected_trend] => range
    [features] => Array
        (
            [ms_trend_state] => 0
            [ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.01913509376196
            [ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 0.60975609756097
            [ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 0
            [ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 12
            [ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 0.62901155327342
            [ms_bos_up] => 1
            [ms_bos_down] => 1
            [ms_choch_up] => 0
            [ms_choch_down] => 0
        )

)
    100. ¸

Market Structure

Market Structure Score: 1

5M - range

Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5

Market Structure Features:

Trend State
0
Dist From Last High Pct
-0.02%
Dist From Last Low Pct
0.61%
Bars Since Swing High
0 bars
Bars Since Swing Low
12 bars
Last Swing Amplitude Pct
0.63%
Bos Up
1
Bos Down
1
Choch Up
0
Choch Down
0

SL & TP Pivot Distance:

SL to Pivot Distance
0.1993
0.13%
TP to Pivot Distance
0.4614
0.30%
DateTime Price Type
2025-12-29 23:25:00 156.21 ↑ High
2025-12-29 23:30:00 155.62 ↓ Low
2025-12-29 23:55:00 156.34 ↑ High
2025-12-30 00:45:00 155.89 ↓ Low
2025-12-30 00:50:00 156.34 ↑ High
2025-12-30 01:25:00 155.88 ↓ Low
2025-12-30 01:35:00 155.88 ↓ Low
2025-12-30 01:55:00 156.33 ↑ High
2025-12-30 02:15:00 155.8 ↓ Low
2025-12-30 03:15:00 156.78 ↑ High
15M - uptrend

Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5

Market Structure Features:

Trend State
1
Dist From Last High Pct
-0.02%
Dist From Last Low Pct
0.61%
Bars Since Swing High
0 bars
Bars Since Swing Low
4 bars
Last Swing Amplitude Pct
0.63%
Bos Up
1
Bos Down
0
Choch Up
0
Choch Down
0

SL & TP Pivot Distance:

SL to Pivot Distance
0.5707
0.36%
TP to Pivot Distance
1.1614
0.74%
DateTime Price Type
2025-12-29 15:15:00 157.55 ↑ High
2025-12-29 17:15:00 155.39 ↓ Low
2025-12-29 19:15:00 155.98 ↑ High
2025-12-29 19:45:00 154.92 ↓ Low
2025-12-29 21:15:00 156.24 ↑ High
2025-12-29 22:15:00 155.01 ↓ Low
2025-12-29 23:45:00 156.34 ↑ High
2025-12-30 00:45:00 156.34 ↑ High
2025-12-30 02:15:00 155.8 ↓ Low
2025-12-30 03:15:00 156.78 ↑ High
1H - downtrend

Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5

Market Structure Features:

Trend State
-1
Dist From Last High Pct
-0.02%
Dist From Last Low Pct
1.18%
Bars Since Swing High
0 bars
Bars Since Swing Low
8 bars
Last Swing Amplitude Pct
1.20%
Bos Up
0
Bos Down
1
Choch Up
0
Choch Down
0

SL & TP Pivot Distance:

SL to Pivot Distance
6.3507
4.05%
TP to Pivot Distance
1.1614
0.74%
DateTime Price Type
2025-12-28 12:00:00 158.34 ↑ High
2025-12-28 13:00:00 158.34 ↓ Low
2025-12-28 14:00:00 158.34 ↑ High
2025-12-28 15:00:00 158.34 ↓ Low
2025-12-28 17:00:00 158.34 ↓ Low
2025-12-28 19:00:00 158.34 ↓ Low
2025-12-28 23:00:00 163.33 ↑ High
2025-12-29 09:00:00 163 ↑ High
2025-12-29 19:00:00 154.92 ↓ Low
2025-12-30 03:00:00 156.78 ↑ High

📌 Time Data

Start at Closed at Duration
30 Dec 2025
03:17:07		 30 Dec 2025
03:45:00		 27 minutes

📌 Entry & Exit

Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
156.68 156.9793 156.0814 2 132.91
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 156.68
  • Stop Loss: 156.9793
  • Take Profit: 156.0814

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 156.9793 - 156.68 = 0.29929999999999

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 156.68 - 156.0814 = 0.5986

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.5986 / 0.29929999999999 = 2

📌 Position Size

Amount Margin Quantity Leverage
4188.1344 100 26.7305 41.88
Details

1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade

Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade

Paramètres:

  • Account Size 100
  • Risk per trade 8 %

Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8

Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade

2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter

Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss

Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price

Paramètres:

  • Risk Amount 8
  • Distance Stop Loss 0.29929999999999

Taille de position = 8 / 0.29929999999999 = 26.73

Taille de position USD = 26.73 x 156.68 = 4188.06

Donc, tu peux acheter 26.73 avec un stoploss a 156.9793

Avec un position size USD de 4188.06$

3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle

Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss

Perte = 26.73 x 0.29929999999999 = 8

Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$

4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle

Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit

Perte = 26.73 x 0.5986 = 16

Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 16$

Résumé

  • Taille de position 26.73
  • Taille de position USD 4188.06
  • Perte potentielle 8
  • Gain potentiel 16
  • Risk-Reward Ratio 2

📌 Peformances

TP % Target TP $ Target
0.38 % 16 $
SL % Target SL $ Target
0.19 % 8 $
PNL PNL %
-8 $ -0.19
Max Drawdown Max Drawdown / SL Ratio Candles in Entry
-0.2553 % 133.66 % 4

📌 ML Extra Data

Extra TP Data

                              Array
(
)
Extra SL data

                              Array
(
    [1.1] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 156.0814
            [entry_price] => 156.68
            [stop_loss] => 157.00923
            [rr_ratio] => 1.82
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.1
            [closed_at] => 2025-12-30 03:45:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [1.2] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 156.0814
            [entry_price] => 156.68
            [stop_loss] => 157.03916
            [rr_ratio] => 1.67
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.2
            [closed_at] => 2025-12-30 03:45:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [1.3] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 156.0814
            [entry_price] => 156.68
            [stop_loss] => 157.06909
            [rr_ratio] => 1.54
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.3
            [closed_at] => 2025-12-30 03:45:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [1.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 156.0814
            [entry_price] => 156.68
            [stop_loss] => 157.12895
            [rr_ratio] => 1.33
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.5
            [closed_at] => 2025-12-30 05:15:00
            [result] => loss
        )

)
Extra Pullback data

                              Array
(
    [short_term] => Array
        (
            [max_gain] => 0.53
            [max_drawdown] => 0.47
            [rr_ratio] => 1.13
            [high] => 157.15000000
            [low] => 156.15000000
            [mfe_pct] => 0.34
            [mae_pct] => 0.3
            [mfe_mae_ratio] => 1.13
            [candles_analyzed] => 24
            [start_at] => 2025-12-30T03:17:07-05:00
            [end_at] => 2025-12-30T05:17:07-05:00
        )

    [long_term] => Array
        (
            [max_gain] => 1.85
            [max_drawdown] => 2.2
            [rr_ratio] => 0.84
            [high] => 158.88000000
            [low] => 154.83000000
            [mfe_pct] => 1.18
            [mae_pct] => 1.4
            [mfe_mae_ratio] => 0.84
            [candles_analyzed] => 84
            [start_at] => 2025-12-30T03:17:07-05:00
            [end_at] => 2025-12-30T10:17:07-05:00
        )

    [breakout] => Array
        (
            [high_before] => 156.78000000
            [high_after] => 157.27000000
            [low_before] => 155.62000000
            [low_after] => 155.70000000
            [is_new_high] => 
            [is_new_low] => 
        )

)