Short Trade on AAPL 30 Dec 2025 at 13:16:37
Take profit at 273.1388 (0.14 %) and Stop Loss at 273.6956 (0.068 %)
Short Trade on AAPL 30 Dec 2025 at 13:16:37
Take profit at 273.1388 (0.14 %) and Stop Loss at 273.6956 (0.068 %)
Position size of 11788.7017 $
Take profit at 273.1388 (0.14 %) and Stop Loss at 273.6956 (0.068 %)
That's a 2 RR Trade| Prediction 1 | Probability |
|---|---|
|
Weak Trade
|
0.94 |
| Prediction 2 | Probability |
|---|---|
| 0 | 0.67 |
| Prediction 3 | Probability |
|---|---|
| 0 | 0.57 |
| BTC Market Regime | Coin Market Regime |
|---|---|
|
ml_regime : neutral rules_regime : range_medium rules_regime_5m : range_low |
1H_regime : range_low 15m_regime : range_low 5m_regime : range_low |
| BTC Correlation | Score |
|---|---|
|
5m : 0.138813 15m : -0.042083 1H : -0.065652 |
0 |
Indicators:
88336.1
-0.000306023
88309.1
0.138813
87879.3
0.00488985
88309.1
-0.042083
87764.3
0.00620725
88309.1
-0.065652
Array
(
[left_window] => 5
[right_window] => 5
[recent_pivots] => Array
(
[0] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-28 09:00:00
[1] => 273.67
[2] => H
)
[1] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-28 11:00:00
[1] => 273.67
[2] => H
)
[2] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-28 13:00:00
[1] => 273.67
[2] => H
)
[3] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-28 20:00:00
[1] => 289.46
[2] => H
)
[4] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-29 09:00:00
[1] => 274.96
[2] => H
)
[5] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-29 15:00:00
[1] => 274.65
[2] => H
)
[6] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-29 20:00:00
[1] => 274.11
[2] => L
)
[7] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-30 01:00:00
[1] => 274.41
[2] => H
)
[8] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-30 09:00:00
[1] => 274.45
[2] => H
)
[9] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-30 12:00:00
[1] => 272.77
[2] => L
)
)
[detected_trend] => range
[features] => Array
(
[ms_trend_state] => 0
[ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.33885953725633
[ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 0.27495692341533
[ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 4
[ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 1
[ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 0.61590350845035
[ms_bos_up] => 1
[ms_bos_down] => 1
[ms_choch_up] => 0
[ms_choch_down] => 0
)
)
Array
(
[left_window] => 5
[right_window] => 5
[recent_pivots] => Array
(
[0] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-29 22:45:00
[1] => 274.31
[2] => H
)
[1] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-30 00:30:00
[1] => 274.17
[2] => L
)
[2] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-30 01:15:00
[1] => 274.41
[2] => H
)
[3] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-30 02:30:00
[1] => 273.73
[2] => L
)
[4] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-30 04:45:00
[1] => 274.12
[2] => H
)
[5] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-30 06:30:00
[1] => 273.42
[2] => L
)
[6] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-30 09:45:00
[1] => 274.45
[2] => H
)
[7] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-30 10:15:00
[1] => 273
[2] => L
)
[8] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-30 12:00:00
[1] => 272.77
[2] => L
)
[9] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-30 13:00:00
[1] => 273.55
[2] => H
)
)
[detected_trend] => downtrend
[features] => Array
(
[ms_trend_state] => -1
[ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.010966916468664
[ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 0.27495692341533
[ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 1
[ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 5
[ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 0.28595520035196
[ms_bos_up] => 0
[ms_bos_down] => 1
[ms_choch_up] => 0
[ms_choch_down] => 0
)
)
Array
(
[left_window] => 5
[right_window] => 5
[recent_pivots] => Array
(
[0] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-30 08:35:00
[1] => 273.51
[2] => L
)
[1] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-30 08:45:00
[1] => 273.51
[2] => L
)
[2] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-30 09:00:00
[1] => 273.84
[2] => H
)
[3] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-30 09:35:00
[1] => 273.18
[2] => L
)
[4] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-30 09:55:00
[1] => 274.45
[2] => H
)
[5] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-30 10:25:00
[1] => 273
[2] => L
)
[6] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-30 11:20:00
[1] => 273.76
[2] => H
)
[7] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-30 12:00:00
[1] => 272.77
[2] => L
)
[8] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-30 12:10:00
[1] => 272.77
[2] => L
)
[9] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-30 13:10:00
[1] => 273.55
[2] => H
)
)
[detected_trend] => range
[features] => Array
(
[ms_trend_state] => 0
[ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.010966916468664
[ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 0.27495692341533
[ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 1
[ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 13
[ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 0.28595520035196
[ms_bos_up] => 0
[ms_bos_down] => 0
[ms_choch_up] => 0
[ms_choch_down] => 0
)
)
Market Structure Score: 1
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2025-12-30 08:35:00 | 273.51 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-30 08:45:00 | 273.51 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-30 09:00:00 | 273.84 | ↑ High |
| 2025-12-30 09:35:00 | 273.18 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-30 09:55:00 | 274.45 | ↑ High |
| 2025-12-30 10:25:00 | 273 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-30 11:20:00 | 273.76 | ↑ High |
| 2025-12-30 12:00:00 | 272.77 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-30 12:10:00 | 272.77 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-30 13:10:00 | 273.55 | ↑ High |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2025-12-29 22:45:00 | 274.31 | ↑ High |
| 2025-12-30 00:30:00 | 274.17 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-30 01:15:00 | 274.41 | ↑ High |
| 2025-12-30 02:30:00 | 273.73 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-30 04:45:00 | 274.12 | ↑ High |
| 2025-12-30 06:30:00 | 273.42 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-30 09:45:00 | 274.45 | ↑ High |
| 2025-12-30 10:15:00 | 273 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-30 12:00:00 | 272.77 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-30 13:00:00 | 273.55 | ↑ High |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2025-12-28 09:00:00 | 273.67 | ↑ High |
| 2025-12-28 11:00:00 | 273.67 | ↑ High |
| 2025-12-28 13:00:00 | 273.67 | ↑ High |
| 2025-12-28 20:00:00 | 289.46 | ↑ High |
| 2025-12-29 09:00:00 | 274.96 | ↑ High |
| 2025-12-29 15:00:00 | 274.65 | ↑ High |
| 2025-12-29 20:00:00 | 274.11 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-30 01:00:00 | 274.41 | ↑ High |
| 2025-12-30 09:00:00 | 274.45 | ↑ High |
| 2025-12-30 12:00:00 | 272.77 | ↓ Low |
| Start at | Closed at | Duration |
|---|---|---|
| 30 Dec 2025 13:16:37 |
30 Dec 2025 13:40:00 |
23 minutes |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 273.51 | 273.6956 | 273.1388 | 2 | 271.4 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 273.6956 - 273.51 = 0.18560000000002
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 273.51 - 273.1388 = 0.37119999999999
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.37119999999999 / 0.18560000000002 = 2
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 11788.7017 | 100 | 43.1015 | 117.89 |
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
Taille de position = 8 / 0.18560000000002 = 43.1
Taille de position USD = 43.1 x 273.51 = 11788.28
Donc, tu peux acheter 43.1 avec un stoploss a 273.6956
Avec un position size USD de 11788.28$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = 43.1 x 0.18560000000002 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = 43.1 x 0.37119999999999 = 16
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 16$
Résumé
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.14 % | 16 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.068 % | 8 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| -8 $ | -0.07 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -0.0804 % | 118.41 % | 3 |
Array
(
)
Array
(
[1.1] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 273.1388
[entry_price] => 273.51
[stop_loss] => 273.71416
[rr_ratio] => 1.82
[sl_change_percentage] => 1.1
[closed_at] => 2025-12-30 13:40:00
[result] => loss
)
[1.2] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 273.1388
[entry_price] => 273.51
[stop_loss] => 273.73272
[rr_ratio] => 1.67
[sl_change_percentage] => 1.2
[closed_at] => 2025-12-30 13:45:00
[result] => loss
)
[1.3] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 273.1388
[entry_price] => 273.51
[stop_loss] => 273.75128
[rr_ratio] => 1.54
[sl_change_percentage] => 1.3
[closed_at] => 2025-12-30 13:45:00
[result] => loss
)
[1.5] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 273.1388
[entry_price] => 273.51
[stop_loss] => 273.7884
[rr_ratio] => 1.33
[sl_change_percentage] => 1.5
[closed_at] => 2025-12-30 13:45:00
[result] => loss
)
)
Array
(
[short_term] => Array
(
[max_gain] => 0.050000000000011
[max_drawdown] => 0.53000000000003
[rr_ratio] => 0.09
[high] => 274.04000000
[low] => 273.46000000
[mfe_pct] => 0.02
[mae_pct] => 0.19
[mfe_mae_ratio] => 0.09
[candles_analyzed] => 24
[start_at] => 2025-12-30T13:16:37-05:00
[end_at] => 2025-12-30T15:16:37-05:00
)
[long_term] => Array
(
[max_gain] => 0.37
[max_drawdown] => 0.53000000000003
[rr_ratio] => 0.7
[high] => 274.04000000
[low] => 273.14000000
[mfe_pct] => 0.14
[mae_pct] => 0.19
[mfe_mae_ratio] => 0.7
[candles_analyzed] => 84
[start_at] => 2025-12-30T13:16:37-05:00
[end_at] => 2025-12-30T20:16:37-05:00
)
[breakout] => Array
(
[high_before] => 274.45000000
[high_after] => 274.04000000
[low_before] => 272.77000000
[low_after] => 273.38000000
[is_new_high] =>
[is_new_low] =>
)
)