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Short Trade on MSTR

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Short Trade on MSTR 30 Dec 2025 at 20:24:42

Take profit at 155.8483 (0.24 %) and Stop Loss at 156.4058 (0.12 %)

Short Trade on MSTR

The 30 Dec 2025 at 20:24:42

With 43.0512 MSTR at 156.22$ per unit.

Position size of 6725.4573 $

Take profit at 155.8483 (0.24 %) and Stop Loss at 156.4058 (0.12 %)

That's a 2 RR Trade

Results

Status:
loss
Trade Type:
sell
ML Trade Score: -100
ML Pullback Score: 0.66
Prediction Score: 1
Prediction 1 Probability
Weak Trade
0.9
Prediction 2 Probability
0 0.87
Prediction 3 Probability
1 0.6
BTC Market Regime Coin Market Regime

ml_regime : neutral

rules_regime : range_medium

rules_regime_5m : range_low

1H_regime : bear_medium

15m_regime : range_low

5m_regime : range_low
BTC Correlation Score

5m : 0.369157

15m : -0.125939

1H : 0.071175

 0

Signal

CatchTheWave Signal - sell

Indicators:

  1. long_trend: -1
  2. short_kc: True
  3. short_kc_percentage: 0
  4. atr: 0.1238835219
Details
  1. score: 1
  2. 1H
  3. ema9 : 156.394
  4. ema21 : 156.679
  5. ema50 : 157.203
  6. ema100 : 157.719
  7. price_ema9_diff : -0.0011131
  8. ema9_ema21_diff : -0.00181975
  9. ema21_ema50_diff : -0.00333823
  10. price_ema100_diff : -0.00951033
  11. all_emas_in_trend : True
  12. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : True
  13. ema_slope_9 : -0.00432618
  14. ema_slope_21 : -0.000365514
  15. ema_slope_50 : -0.0120185
  16. ema_slope_100 : -0.011778
  17. rsi : 0.451183
  18. adx : 0.145073
  19. kc_percentage : 0.39203
  20. kc_width_percentage : 0.0261155
  21. volume_ema_diff : -0.764417
  22. volume_ema1 : 313932.88453267
  23. volume_ema2 : 1332579.5397741
  24. chop : 45.9388
  25. regime : bear_medium
    26. ¸
  26. 15m
  27. ema9 : 155.962
  28. ema21 : 156.173
  29. ema50 : 156.459
  30. ema100 : 156.385
  31. price_ema9_diff : 0.0016498
  32. ema9_ema21_diff : -0.00134823
  33. ema21_ema50_diff : -0.00183253
  34. price_ema100_diff : -0.0010607
  35. all_emas_in_trend : True
  36. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : False
  37. ema_slope_9 : -0.01019
  38. ema_slope_21 : -0.0211606
  39. ema_slope_50 : -0.0147937
  40. ema_slope_100 : -0.00533908
  41. rsi : 0.45471
  42. adx : 0.256858
  43. kc_percentage : 0.55585
  44. kc_width_percentage : 0.00749144
  45. volume_ema_diff : -0.988128
  46. volume_ema1 : 3186.0909624134
  47. volume_ema2 : 268378.26337808
  48. chop : 89.2447
  49. regime : range_low
    50. ¸
  50. 5m
  51. ema9 : 155.951
  52. ema21 : 155.957
  53. ema50 : 156.128
  54. ema100 : 156.507
  55. price_ema9_diff : 0.00172417
  56. ema9_ema21_diff : -4.27044E-5
  57. ema21_ema50_diff : -0.00109221
  58. price_ema100_diff : -0.00183841
  59. all_emas_in_trend : True
  60. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : False
  61. ema_slope_9 : -0.00386237
  62. ema_slope_21 : -0.00705169
  63. ema_slope_50 : -0.00822142
  64. ema_slope_100 : -0.00916464
  65. rsi : 0.600578
  66. adx : 0.218874
  67. kc_percentage : 1.00224
  68. kc_width_percentage : 0.00338506
  69. volume_ema_diff : -0.79505
  70. volume_ema1 : 3778.4984062883
  71. volume_ema2 : 18436.268402956
  72. chop : 18.1717
  73. regime : range_low
    74. ¸
  74. btc_indicators
  75. btc_indicators
  76. 5m_ema100: 
    88379.2
  77. 5m_price_ema100_diff: 
    0.00256799
  78. 5m_price: 
    88606.2
  79. 5m_correlation_with_coin: 
    0.369157
  80. btc_indicators
  81. 15m_ema100: 
    88007.3
  82. 15m_price_ema100_diff: 
    0.00657782
  83. 15m_price: 
    88586.2
  84. 15m_correlation_with_coin: 
    -0.125939
  85. btc_indicators
  86. 1H_ema100: 
    87881.6
  87. 1H_price_ema100_diff: 
    0.00824497
  88. 1H_price: 
    88606.2
  89. 1H_correlation_with_coin: 
    0.071175
    90. ¸
  90. market_structures
  91. market_structures
  92. 1H_version: 1.1
  93. 1H_market_structure: 
    Array
(
    [left_window] => 5
    [right_window] => 5
    [recent_pivots] => Array
        (
            [0] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-28 14:00:00
                    [1] => 158.34
                    [2] => H
                )

            [1] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-28 16:00:00
                    [1] => 158.34
                    [2] => L
                )

            [2] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-28 18:00:00
                    [1] => 158.34
                    [2] => L
                )

            [3] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-28 20:00:00
                    [1] => 158.34
                    [2] => L
                )

            [4] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-28 23:00:00
                    [1] => 163.33
                    [2] => H
                )

            [5] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-29 09:00:00
                    [1] => 163
                    [2] => H
                )

            [6] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-29 19:00:00
                    [1] => 154.92
                    [2] => L
                )

            [7] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-30 09:00:00
                    [1] => 154.83
                    [2] => L
                )

            [8] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-30 11:00:00
                    [1] => 159.64
                    [2] => H
                )

            [9] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-30 16:00:00
                    [1] => 155.48
                    [2] => L
                )

        )

    [detected_trend] => range
    [features] => Array
        (
            [ms_trend_state] => 0
            [ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -2.1423202204961
            [ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 0.47594545922306
            [ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 9
            [ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 4
            [ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 2.6755852842809
            [ms_bos_up] => 0
            [ms_bos_down] => 0
            [ms_choch_up] => 0
            [ms_choch_down] => 0
        )

)
  94. market_structures
  95. 15m_version: 1.1
  96. 15m_market_structure: 
    Array
(
    [left_window] => 5
    [right_window] => 5
    [recent_pivots] => Array
        (
            [0] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-30 03:45:00
                    [1] => 157.08
                    [2] => H
                )

            [1] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-30 05:30:00
                    [1] => 157.27
                    [2] => H
                )

            [2] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-30 08:00:00
                    [1] => 155.7
                    [2] => L
                )

            [3] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-30 09:30:00
                    [1] => 154.83
                    [2] => L
                )

            [4] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-30 09:45:00
                    [1] => 158.88
                    [2] => H
                )

            [5] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-30 11:15:00
                    [1] => 159.64
                    [2] => H
                )

            [6] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-30 16:00:00
                    [1] => 155.48
                    [2] => L
                )

            [7] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-30 18:00:00
                    [1] => 156.29
                    [2] => H
                )

            [8] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-30 19:45:00
                    [1] => 155.64
                    [2] => L
                )

            [9] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-30 20:15:00
                    [1] => 156.47
                    [2] => H
                )

        )

    [detected_trend] => uptrend
    [features] => Array
        (
            [ms_trend_state] => 1
            [ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.15977503674826
            [ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 0.37265484451299
            [ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 0
            [ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 2
            [ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 0.53328193266513
            [ms_bos_up] => 1
            [ms_bos_down] => 0
            [ms_choch_up] => 0
            [ms_choch_down] => 0
        )

)
  97. market_structures
  98. 5m_version: 1.1
  99. 5m_market_structure: 
    Array
(
    [left_window] => 5
    [right_window] => 5
    [recent_pivots] => Array
        (
            [0] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-30 16:10:00
                    [1] => 155.48
                    [2] => L
                )

            [1] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-30 16:45:00
                    [1] => 156.09
                    [2] => H
                )

            [2] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-30 17:25:00
                    [1] => 156.17
                    [2] => H
                )

            [3] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-30 17:40:00
                    [1] => 155.93
                    [2] => L
                )

            [4] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-30 18:00:00
                    [1] => 156.29
                    [2] => H
                )

            [5] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-30 18:10:00
                    [1] => 156.29
                    [2] => H
                )

            [6] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-30 19:00:00
                    [1] => 156.2
                    [2] => H
                )

            [7] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-30 19:45:00
                    [1] => 155.64
                    [2] => L
                )

            [8] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-30 19:55:00
                    [1] => 155.64
                    [2] => L
                )

            [9] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-30 20:20:00
                    [1] => 156.47
                    [2] => H
                )

        )

    [detected_trend] => range
    [features] => Array
        (
            [ms_trend_state] => 0
            [ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.15977503674826
            [ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 0.37265484451299
            [ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 0
            [ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 5
            [ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 0.53328193266513
            [ms_bos_up] => 1
            [ms_bos_down] => 0
            [ms_choch_up] => 0
            [ms_choch_down] => 0
        )

)
    100. ¸

Market Structure

Market Structure Score: 0

5M - range

Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5

Market Structure Features:

Trend State
0
Dist From Last High Pct
-0.16%
Dist From Last Low Pct
0.37%
Bars Since Swing High
0 bars
Bars Since Swing Low
5 bars
Last Swing Amplitude Pct
0.53%
Bos Up
1
Bos Down
0
Choch Up
0
Choch Down
0

SL & TP Pivot Distance:

SL to Pivot Distance
0.0642
0.04%
TP to Pivot Distance
0.3683
0.24%
DateTime Price Type
2025-12-30 16:10:00 155.48 ↓ Low
2025-12-30 16:45:00 156.09 ↑ High
2025-12-30 17:25:00 156.17 ↑ High
2025-12-30 17:40:00 155.93 ↓ Low
2025-12-30 18:00:00 156.29 ↑ High
2025-12-30 18:10:00 156.29 ↑ High
2025-12-30 19:00:00 156.2 ↑ High
2025-12-30 19:45:00 155.64 ↓ Low
2025-12-30 19:55:00 155.64 ↓ Low
2025-12-30 20:20:00 156.47 ↑ High
15M - uptrend

Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5

Market Structure Features:

Trend State
1
Dist From Last High Pct
-0.16%
Dist From Last Low Pct
0.37%
Bars Since Swing High
0 bars
Bars Since Swing Low
2 bars
Last Swing Amplitude Pct
0.53%
Bos Up
1
Bos Down
0
Choch Up
0
Choch Down
0

SL & TP Pivot Distance:

SL to Pivot Distance
3.2342
2.07%
TP to Pivot Distance
1.0183
0.65%
DateTime Price Type
2025-12-30 03:45:00 157.08 ↑ High
2025-12-30 05:30:00 157.27 ↑ High
2025-12-30 08:00:00 155.7 ↓ Low
2025-12-30 09:30:00 154.83 ↓ Low
2025-12-30 09:45:00 158.88 ↑ High
2025-12-30 11:15:00 159.64 ↑ High
2025-12-30 16:00:00 155.48 ↓ Low
2025-12-30 18:00:00 156.29 ↑ High
2025-12-30 19:45:00 155.64 ↓ Low
2025-12-30 20:15:00 156.47 ↑ High
1H - range

Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5

Market Structure Features:

Trend State
0
Dist From Last High Pct
-2.14%
Dist From Last Low Pct
0.48%
Bars Since Swing High
9 bars
Bars Since Swing Low
4 bars
Last Swing Amplitude Pct
2.68%
Bos Up
0
Bos Down
0
Choch Up
0
Choch Down
0

SL & TP Pivot Distance:

SL to Pivot Distance
6.9242
4.43%
TP to Pivot Distance
1.0183
0.65%
DateTime Price Type
2025-12-28 14:00:00 158.34 ↑ High
2025-12-28 16:00:00 158.34 ↓ Low
2025-12-28 18:00:00 158.34 ↓ Low
2025-12-28 20:00:00 158.34 ↓ Low
2025-12-28 23:00:00 163.33 ↑ High
2025-12-29 09:00:00 163 ↑ High
2025-12-29 19:00:00 154.92 ↓ Low
2025-12-30 09:00:00 154.83 ↓ Low
2025-12-30 11:00:00 159.64 ↑ High
2025-12-30 16:00:00 155.48 ↓ Low

📌 Time Data

Start at Closed at Duration
30 Dec 2025
20:24:42		 30 Dec 2025
20:30:00		 5 minutes

📌 Entry & Exit

Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
156.22 156.4058 155.8483 2 133.49
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 156.22
  • Stop Loss: 156.4058
  • Take Profit: 155.8483

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 156.4058 - 156.22 = 0.1858

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 156.22 - 155.8483 = 0.3717

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.3717 / 0.1858 = 2.0005

📌 Position Size

Amount Margin Quantity Leverage
6725.4573 100 43.0512 67.25
Details

1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade

Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade

Paramètres:

  • Account Size 100
  • Risk per trade 8 %

Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8

Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade

2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter

Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss

Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price

Paramètres:

  • Risk Amount 8
  • Distance Stop Loss 0.1858

Taille de position = 8 / 0.1858 = 43.06

Taille de position USD = 43.06 x 156.22 = 6726.83

Donc, tu peux acheter 43.06 avec un stoploss a 156.4058

Avec un position size USD de 6726.83$

3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle

Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss

Perte = 43.06 x 0.1858 = 8

Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$

4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle

Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit

Perte = 43.06 x 0.3717 = 16.01

Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 16.01$

Résumé

  • Taille de position 43.06
  • Taille de position USD 6726.83
  • Perte potentielle 8
  • Gain potentiel 16.01
  • Risk-Reward Ratio 2.0005

📌 Peformances

TP % Target TP $ Target
0.24 % 16 $
SL % Target SL $ Target
0.12 % 8 $
PNL PNL %
-8 $ -0.12
Max Drawdown Max Drawdown / SL Ratio Candles in Entry
-0.1856 % 156.1 % 2

📌 ML Extra Data

Extra TP Data

                              Array
(
)
Extra SL data

                              Array
(
    [1.1] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 155.8483
            [entry_price] => 156.22
            [stop_loss] => 156.42438
            [rr_ratio] => 1.82
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.1
            [closed_at] => 2025-12-30 20:30:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [1.2] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 155.8483
            [entry_price] => 156.22
            [stop_loss] => 156.44296
            [rr_ratio] => 1.67
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.2
            [closed_at] => 2025-12-30 20:30:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [1.3] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 155.8483
            [entry_price] => 156.22
            [stop_loss] => 156.46154
            [rr_ratio] => 1.54
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.3
            [closed_at] => 2025-12-30 20:30:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [1.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 155.8483
            [entry_price] => 156.22
            [stop_loss] => 156.4987
            [rr_ratio] => 1.33
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.5
            [closed_at] => 2025-12-30 20:30:00
            [result] => loss
        )

)
Extra Pullback data

                              Array
(
    [short_term] => Array
        (
            [max_gain] => 0.34
            [max_drawdown] => 0.72999999999999
            [rr_ratio] => 0.47
            [high] => 156.95000000
            [low] => 155.88000000
            [mfe_pct] => 0.22
            [mae_pct] => 0.47
            [mfe_mae_ratio] => 0.47
            [candles_analyzed] => 24
            [start_at] => 2025-12-30T20:24:42-05:00
            [end_at] => 2025-12-30T22:24:42-05:00
        )

    [long_term] => Array
        (
            [max_gain] => 0.34
            [max_drawdown] => 0.72999999999999
            [rr_ratio] => 0.47
            [high] => 156.95000000
            [low] => 155.88000000
            [mfe_pct] => 0.22
            [mae_pct] => 0.47
            [mfe_mae_ratio] => 0.47
            [candles_analyzed] => 84
            [start_at] => 2025-12-30T20:24:42-05:00
            [end_at] => 2025-12-31T03:24:42-05:00
        )

    [breakout] => Array
        (
            [high_before] => 156.47000000
            [high_after] => 156.95000000
            [low_before] => 155.57000000
            [low_after] => 155.88000000
            [is_new_high] => 
            [is_new_low] => 
        )

)