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Short Trade on MSTR

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Short Trade on MSTR 30 Dec 2025 at 20:44:49

Take profit at 156.2206 (0.32 %) and Stop Loss at 156.9697 (0.16 %)

Short Trade on MSTR

The 30 Dec 2025 at 20:44:49

With 32.0387 MSTR at 156.72$ per unit.

Position size of 5021.1094 $

Take profit at 156.2206 (0.32 %) and Stop Loss at 156.9697 (0.16 %)

That's a 2 RR Trade

Results

Status:
win
Trade Type:
sell
ML Trade Score: 50
ML Pullback Score: 3.55
Prediction Score: 1
Prediction 1 Probability
Weak Trade
0.73
Prediction 2 Probability
1 0.55
Prediction 3 Probability
0 0.52
BTC Market Regime Coin Market Regime

ml_regime : neutral

rules_regime : bull_medium

rules_regime_5m : range_low

1H_regime : range_medium

15m_regime : range_low

5m_regime : range_low
BTC Correlation Score

5m : 0.371943

15m : -0.006528

1H : -0.021266

 0

Signal

CatchTheWave Signal - sell

Indicators:

  1. long_trend: -1
  2. short_kc: True
  3. short_kc_percentage: 0.29
  4. atr: 0.1664652038
Details
  1. score: 1.29
  2. 1H
  3. ema9 : 156.494
  4. ema21 : 156.724
  5. ema50 : 157.223
  6. ema100 : 157.729
  7. price_ema9_diff : 0.0014436
  8. ema9_ema21_diff : -0.00147119
  9. ema21_ema50_diff : -0.00317342
  10. price_ema100_diff : -0.00640252
  11. all_emas_in_trend : True
  12. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : False
  13. ema_slope_9 : 0.000999468
  14. ema_slope_21 : 0.00205198
  15. ema_slope_50 : -0.0109806
  16. ema_slope_100 : -0.0112557
  17. rsi : 0.491346
  18. adx : 0.142368
  19. kc_percentage : 0.502828
  20. kc_width_percentage : 0.0268234
  21. volume_ema_diff : -0.758604
  22. volume_ema1 : 321905.23069933
  23. volume_ema2 : 1333517.4628525
  24. chop : 45.9907
  25. regime : range_medium
    26. ¸
  26. 15m
  27. ema9 : 156.075
  28. ema21 : 156.205
  29. ema50 : 156.461
  30. ema100 : 156.383
  31. price_ema9_diff : 0.00413035
  32. ema9_ema21_diff : -0.000833259
  33. ema21_ema50_diff : -0.00163898
  34. price_ema100_diff : 0.00215296
  35. all_emas_in_trend : True
  36. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : False
  37. ema_slope_9 : -0.00200479
  38. ema_slope_21 : -0.0164449
  39. ema_slope_50 : -0.0129846
  40. ema_slope_100 : -0.00454447
  41. rsi : 0.538434
  42. adx : 0.23007
  43. kc_percentage : 0.878728
  44. kc_width_percentage : 0.008926
  45. volume_ema_diff : -0.971218
  46. volume_ema1 : 7448.9337971645
  47. volume_ema2 : 258810.27960296
  48. chop : 76.9486
  49. regime : range_low
    50. ¸
  50. 5m
  51. ema9 : 156.294
  52. ema21 : 156.13
  53. ema50 : 156.183
  54. ema100 : 156.516
  55. price_ema9_diff : 0.00272178
  56. ema9_ema21_diff : 0.00105249
  57. ema21_ema50_diff : -0.000337735
  58. price_ema100_diff : 0.00129711
  59. all_emas_in_trend : False
  60. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : False
  61. ema_slope_9 : 0.020016
  62. ema_slope_21 : 0.00601341
  63. ema_slope_50 : -0.00217092
  64. ema_slope_100 : -0.00611889
  65. rsi : 0.695979
  66. adx : 0.263312
  67. kc_percentage : 1.28876
  68. kc_width_percentage : 0.00472885
  69. volume_ema_diff : -0.757159
  70. volume_ema1 : 4765.8532567977
  71. volume_ema2 : 19625.429710688
  72. chop : 12.9453
  73. regime : range_low
    74. ¸
  74. btc_indicators
  75. btc_indicators
  76. 5m_ema100: 
    88370.8
  77. 5m_price_ema100_diff: 
    0.00340408
  78. 5m_price: 
    88671.7
  79. 5m_correlation_with_coin: 
    0.371943
  80. btc_indicators
  81. 15m_ema100: 
    88036
  82. 15m_price_ema100_diff: 
    0.00795847
  83. 15m_price: 
    88736.7
  84. 15m_correlation_with_coin: 
    -0.006528
  85. btc_indicators
  86. 1H_ema100: 
    87882.9
  87. 1H_price_ema100_diff: 
    0.0089754
  88. 1H_price: 
    88671.7
  89. 1H_correlation_with_coin: 
    -0.021266
    90. ¸
  90. market_structures
  91. market_structures
  92. 1H_version: 1.1
  93. 1H_market_structure: 
    Array
(
    [left_window] => 5
    [right_window] => 5
    [recent_pivots] => Array
        (
            [0] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-28 14:00:00
                    [1] => 158.34
                    [2] => H
                )

            [1] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-28 16:00:00
                    [1] => 158.34
                    [2] => L
                )

            [2] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-28 18:00:00
                    [1] => 158.34
                    [2] => L
                )

            [3] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-28 20:00:00
                    [1] => 158.34
                    [2] => L
                )

            [4] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-28 23:00:00
                    [1] => 163.33
                    [2] => H
                )

            [5] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-29 09:00:00
                    [1] => 163
                    [2] => H
                )

            [6] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-29 19:00:00
                    [1] => 154.92
                    [2] => L
                )

            [7] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-30 09:00:00
                    [1] => 154.83
                    [2] => L
                )

            [8] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-30 11:00:00
                    [1] => 159.64
                    [2] => H
                )

            [9] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-30 16:00:00
                    [1] => 155.48
                    [2] => L
                )

        )

    [detected_trend] => range
    [features] => Array
        (
            [ms_trend_state] => 0
            [ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -1.8291155098973
            [ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 0.79753022896836
            [ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 9
            [ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 4
            [ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 2.6755852842809
            [ms_bos_up] => 0
            [ms_bos_down] => 0
            [ms_choch_up] => 0
            [ms_choch_down] => 0
        )

)
  94. market_structures
  95. 15m_version: 1.1
  96. 15m_market_structure: 
    Array
(
    [left_window] => 5
    [right_window] => 5
    [recent_pivots] => Array
        (
            [0] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-30 03:45:00
                    [1] => 157.08
                    [2] => H
                )

            [1] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-30 05:30:00
                    [1] => 157.27
                    [2] => H
                )

            [2] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-30 08:00:00
                    [1] => 155.7
                    [2] => L
                )

            [3] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-30 09:30:00
                    [1] => 154.83
                    [2] => L
                )

            [4] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-30 09:45:00
                    [1] => 158.88
                    [2] => H
                )

            [5] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-30 11:15:00
                    [1] => 159.64
                    [2] => H
                )

            [6] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-30 16:00:00
                    [1] => 155.48
                    [2] => L
                )

            [7] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-30 18:00:00
                    [1] => 156.29
                    [2] => H
                )

            [8] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-30 19:45:00
                    [1] => 155.64
                    [2] => L
                )

            [9] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-30 20:30:00
                    [1] => 156.78
                    [2] => H
                )

        )

    [detected_trend] => uptrend
    [features] => Array
        (
            [ms_trend_state] => 1
            [ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.03827018752392
            [ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 0.69390902081728
            [ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 0
            [ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 3
            [ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 0.7324595219738
            [ms_bos_up] => 1
            [ms_bos_down] => 0
            [ms_choch_up] => 0
            [ms_choch_down] => 0
        )

)
  97. market_structures
  98. 5m_version: 1.1
  99. 5m_market_structure: 
    Array
(
    [left_window] => 5
    [right_window] => 5
    [recent_pivots] => Array
        (
            [0] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-30 16:10:00
                    [1] => 155.48
                    [2] => L
                )

            [1] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-30 16:45:00
                    [1] => 156.09
                    [2] => H
                )

            [2] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-30 17:25:00
                    [1] => 156.17
                    [2] => H
                )

            [3] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-30 17:40:00
                    [1] => 155.93
                    [2] => L
                )

            [4] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-30 18:00:00
                    [1] => 156.29
                    [2] => H
                )

            [5] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-30 18:10:00
                    [1] => 156.29
                    [2] => H
                )

            [6] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-30 19:00:00
                    [1] => 156.2
                    [2] => H
                )

            [7] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-30 19:45:00
                    [1] => 155.64
                    [2] => L
                )

            [8] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-30 19:55:00
                    [1] => 155.64
                    [2] => L
                )

            [9] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-30 20:35:00
                    [1] => 156.78
                    [2] => H
                )

        )

    [detected_trend] => range
    [features] => Array
        (
            [ms_trend_state] => 0
            [ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.03827018752392
            [ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 0.69390902081728
            [ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 1
            [ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 9
            [ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 0.7324595219738
            [ms_bos_up] => 1
            [ms_bos_down] => 0
            [ms_choch_up] => 0
            [ms_choch_down] => 0
        )

)
    100. ¸

Market Structure

Market Structure Score: 0

5M - range

Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5

Market Structure Features:

Trend State
0
Dist From Last High Pct
-0.04%
Dist From Last Low Pct
0.69%
Bars Since Swing High
1 bars
Bars Since Swing Low
9 bars
Last Swing Amplitude Pct
0.73%
Bos Up
1
Bos Down
0
Choch Up
0
Choch Down
0

SL & TP Pivot Distance:

SL to Pivot Distance
0.1897
0.12%
TP to Pivot Distance
0.7406
0.47%
DateTime Price Type
2025-12-30 16:10:00 155.48 ↓ Low
2025-12-30 16:45:00 156.09 ↑ High
2025-12-30 17:25:00 156.17 ↑ High
2025-12-30 17:40:00 155.93 ↓ Low
2025-12-30 18:00:00 156.29 ↑ High
2025-12-30 18:10:00 156.29 ↑ High
2025-12-30 19:00:00 156.2 ↑ High
2025-12-30 19:45:00 155.64 ↓ Low
2025-12-30 19:55:00 155.64 ↓ Low
2025-12-30 20:35:00 156.78 ↑ High
15M - uptrend

Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5

Market Structure Features:

Trend State
1
Dist From Last High Pct
-0.04%
Dist From Last Low Pct
0.69%
Bars Since Swing High
0 bars
Bars Since Swing Low
3 bars
Last Swing Amplitude Pct
0.73%
Bos Up
1
Bos Down
0
Choch Up
0
Choch Down
0

SL & TP Pivot Distance:

SL to Pivot Distance
2.6703
1.70%
TP to Pivot Distance
1.3906
0.89%
DateTime Price Type
2025-12-30 03:45:00 157.08 ↑ High
2025-12-30 05:30:00 157.27 ↑ High
2025-12-30 08:00:00 155.7 ↓ Low
2025-12-30 09:30:00 154.83 ↓ Low
2025-12-30 09:45:00 158.88 ↑ High
2025-12-30 11:15:00 159.64 ↑ High
2025-12-30 16:00:00 155.48 ↓ Low
2025-12-30 18:00:00 156.29 ↑ High
2025-12-30 19:45:00 155.64 ↓ Low
2025-12-30 20:30:00 156.78 ↑ High
1H - range

Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5

Market Structure Features:

Trend State
0
Dist From Last High Pct
-1.83%
Dist From Last Low Pct
0.80%
Bars Since Swing High
9 bars
Bars Since Swing Low
4 bars
Last Swing Amplitude Pct
2.68%
Bos Up
0
Bos Down
0
Choch Up
0
Choch Down
0

SL & TP Pivot Distance:

SL to Pivot Distance
6.3603
4.05%
TP to Pivot Distance
1.3906
0.89%
DateTime Price Type
2025-12-28 14:00:00 158.34 ↑ High
2025-12-28 16:00:00 158.34 ↓ Low
2025-12-28 18:00:00 158.34 ↓ Low
2025-12-28 20:00:00 158.34 ↓ Low
2025-12-28 23:00:00 163.33 ↑ High
2025-12-29 09:00:00 163 ↑ High
2025-12-29 19:00:00 154.92 ↓ Low
2025-12-30 09:00:00 154.83 ↓ Low
2025-12-30 11:00:00 159.64 ↑ High
2025-12-30 16:00:00 155.48 ↓ Low

📌 Time Data

Start at Closed at Duration
30 Dec 2025
20:44:49		 30 Dec 2025
23:25:00		 2 hours

📌 Entry & Exit

Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
156.72 156.9697 156.2206 2 132.49
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 156.72
  • Stop Loss: 156.9697
  • Take Profit: 156.2206

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 156.9697 - 156.72 = 0.24969999999999

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 156.72 - 156.2206 = 0.49940000000001

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.49940000000001 / 0.24969999999999 = 2

📌 Position Size

Amount Margin Quantity Leverage
5021.1094 100 32.0387 50.21
Details

1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade

Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade

Paramètres:

  • Account Size 100
  • Risk per trade 8 %

Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8

Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade

2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter

Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss

Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price

Paramètres:

  • Risk Amount 8
  • Distance Stop Loss 0.24969999999999

Taille de position = 8 / 0.24969999999999 = 32.04

Taille de position USD = 32.04 x 156.72 = 5021.31

Donc, tu peux acheter 32.04 avec un stoploss a 156.9697

Avec un position size USD de 5021.31$

3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle

Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss

Perte = 32.04 x 0.24969999999999 = 8

Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$

4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle

Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit

Perte = 32.04 x 0.49940000000001 = 16

Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 16$

Résumé

  • Taille de position 32.04
  • Taille de position USD 5021.31
  • Perte potentielle 8
  • Gain potentiel 16
  • Risk-Reward Ratio 2

📌 Peformances

TP % Target TP $ Target
0.32 % 16 $
SL % Target SL $ Target
0.16 % 8 $
PNL PNL %
16 $ 0.32
Max Drawdown Max Drawdown / SL Ratio Candles in Entry
-0.1468 % 92.15 % 7

📌 ML Extra Data

Extra TP Data

                              Array
(
    [2] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 156.2206
            [stop_loss] => 156.9697
            [rr_ratio] => 2
            [closed_at] => 2025-12-30 23:25:00
            [result] => win
        )

    [2.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 156.09575
            [stop_loss] => 156.9697
            [rr_ratio] => 2.5
            [closed_at] => 2025-12-30 23:25:00
            [result] => win
        )

)
Extra SL data

                              Array
(
)
Extra Pullback data

                              Array
(
    [short_term] => Array
        (
            [max_gain] => 0.47999999999999
            [max_drawdown] => 0.22999999999999
            [rr_ratio] => 2.09
            [high] => 156.95000000
            [low] => 156.24000000
            [mfe_pct] => 0.31
            [mae_pct] => 0.15
            [mfe_mae_ratio] => 2.09
            [candles_analyzed] => 24
            [start_at] => 2025-12-30T20:44:49-05:00
            [end_at] => 2025-12-30T22:44:49-05:00
        )

    [long_term] => Array
        (
            [max_gain] => 0.72
            [max_drawdown] => 0.22999999999999
            [rr_ratio] => 3.13
            [high] => 156.95000000
            [low] => 156.00000000
            [mfe_pct] => 0.46
            [mae_pct] => 0.15
            [mfe_mae_ratio] => 3.13
            [candles_analyzed] => 84
            [start_at] => 2025-12-30T20:44:49-05:00
            [end_at] => 2025-12-31T03:44:49-05:00
        )

    [breakout] => Array
        (
            [high_before] => 156.78000000
            [high_after] => 156.95000000
            [low_before] => 155.64000000
            [low_after] => 156.08000000
            [is_new_high] => 
            [is_new_low] => 
        )

)