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Short Trade on MSTR

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Short Trade on MSTR 30 Dec 2025 at 20:54:31

Take profit at 156.1637 (0.33 %) and Stop Loss at 156.9381 (0.16 %)

Short Trade on MSTR

The 30 Dec 2025 at 20:54:31

With 30.9908 MSTR at 156.68$ per unit.

Position size of 4855.6418 $

Take profit at 156.1637 (0.33 %) and Stop Loss at 156.9381 (0.16 %)

That's a 2 RR Trade

Results

Status:
win
Trade Type:
sell
ML Trade Score: 40
ML Pullback Score: 3.45
Prediction Score: 1
Prediction 1 Probability
Weak Trade
0.68
Prediction 2 Probability
0 0.61
Prediction 3 Probability
1 0.66
BTC Market Regime Coin Market Regime

ml_regime : neutral

rules_regime : bull_medium

rules_regime_5m : range_low

1H_regime : range_medium

15m_regime : range_low

5m_regime : range_low
BTC Correlation Score

5m : 0.385421

15m : 0.072549

1H : 0.046668

 0

Signal

CatchTheWave Signal - sell

Indicators:

  1. long_trend: -1
  2. short_kc: True
  3. short_kc_percentage: 0.07
  4. atr: 0.1720939694
Details
  1. score: 1.07
  2. 1H
  3. ema9 : 156.486
  4. ema21 : 156.721
  5. ema50 : 157.222
  6. ema100 : 157.729
  7. price_ema9_diff : 0.00123919
  8. ema9_ema21_diff : -0.00149906
  9. ema21_ema50_diff : -0.0031866
  10. price_ema100_diff : -0.00665113
  11. all_emas_in_trend : True
  12. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : False
  13. ema_slope_9 : 0.000573416
  14. ema_slope_21 : 0.00185858
  15. ema_slope_50 : -0.0110636
  16. ema_slope_100 : -0.0112974
  17. rsi : 0.48835
  18. adx : 0.144287
  19. kc_percentage : 0.494311
  20. kc_width_percentage : 0.0272643
  21. volume_ema_diff : -0.756817
  22. volume_ema1 : 324357.833266
  23. volume_ema2 : 1333806.0043309
  24. chop : 46.0191
  25. regime : range_medium
    26. ¸
  26. 15m
  27. ema9 : 156.263
  28. ema21 : 156.281
  29. ema50 : 156.494
  30. ema100 : 156.468
  31. price_ema9_diff : 0.00266291
  32. ema9_ema21_diff : -0.000112707
  33. ema21_ema50_diff : -0.0013629
  34. price_ema100_diff : 0.00135265
  35. all_emas_in_trend : True
  36. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : False
  37. ema_slope_9 : 0.00627373
  38. ema_slope_21 : -0.0112728
  39. ema_slope_50 : -0.0111839
  40. ema_slope_100 : -0.00466982
  41. rsi : 0.585876
  42. adx : 0.232323
  43. kc_percentage : 0.789507
  44. kc_width_percentage : 0.00901321
  45. volume_ema_diff : -0.971949
  46. volume_ema1 : 6996.052231443
  47. volume_ema2 : 249404.75462552
  48. chop : 62.9577
  49. regime : range_low
    50. ¸
  50. 5m
  51. ema9 : 156.46
  52. ema21 : 156.239
  53. ema50 : 156.219
  54. ema100 : 156.468
  55. price_ema9_diff : 0.00140262
  56. ema9_ema21_diff : 0.00141348
  57. ema21_ema50_diff : 0.000127142
  58. price_ema100_diff : 0.00135449
  59. all_emas_in_trend : True
  60. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : True
  61. ema_slope_9 : 0.0342964
  62. ema_slope_21 : 0.0153708
  63. ema_slope_50 : 0.00286095
  64. ema_slope_100 : -0.00268992
  65. rsi : 0.648795
  66. adx : 0.296849
  67. kc_percentage : 1.06827
  68. kc_width_percentage : 0.00484232
  69. volume_ema_diff : -0.731586
  70. volume_ema1 : 4548.625780799
  71. volume_ema2 : 16946.368324628
  72. chop : 11.1052
  73. regime : range_low
    74. ¸
  74. btc_indicators
  75. btc_indicators
  76. 5m_ema100: 
    88389.9
  77. 5m_price_ema100_diff: 
    0.00280439
  78. 5m_price: 
    88637.8
  79. 5m_correlation_with_coin: 
    0.385421
  80. btc_indicators
  81. 15m_ema100: 
    88044.7
  82. 15m_price_ema100_diff: 
    0.00733395
  83. 15m_price: 
    88690.5
  84. 15m_correlation_with_coin: 
    0.072549
  85. btc_indicators
  86. 1H_ema100: 
    87882.2
  87. 1H_price_ema100_diff: 
    0.00859736
  88. 1H_price: 
    88637.8
  89. 1H_correlation_with_coin: 
    0.046668
    90. ¸
  90. market_structures
  91. market_structures
  92. 1H_version: 1.1
  93. 1H_market_structure: 
    Array
(
    [left_window] => 5
    [right_window] => 5
    [recent_pivots] => Array
        (
            [0] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-28 14:00:00
                    [1] => 158.34
                    [2] => H
                )

            [1] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-28 16:00:00
                    [1] => 158.34
                    [2] => L
                )

            [2] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-28 18:00:00
                    [1] => 158.34
                    [2] => L
                )

            [3] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-28 20:00:00
                    [1] => 158.34
                    [2] => L
                )

            [4] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-28 23:00:00
                    [1] => 163.33
                    [2] => H
                )

            [5] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-29 09:00:00
                    [1] => 163
                    [2] => H
                )

            [6] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-29 19:00:00
                    [1] => 154.92
                    [2] => L
                )

            [7] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-30 09:00:00
                    [1] => 154.83
                    [2] => L
                )

            [8] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-30 11:00:00
                    [1] => 159.64
                    [2] => H
                )

            [9] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-30 16:00:00
                    [1] => 155.48
                    [2] => L
                )

        )

    [detected_trend] => range
    [features] => Array
        (
            [ms_trend_state] => 0
            [ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -1.8541718867452
            [ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 0.77180344738874
            [ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 9
            [ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 4
            [ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 2.6755852842809
            [ms_bos_up] => 0
            [ms_bos_down] => 0
            [ms_choch_up] => 0
            [ms_choch_down] => 0
        )

)
  94. market_structures
  95. 15m_version: 1.1
  96. 15m_market_structure: 
    Array
(
    [left_window] => 5
    [right_window] => 5
    [recent_pivots] => Array
        (
            [0] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-30 03:45:00
                    [1] => 157.08
                    [2] => H
                )

            [1] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-30 05:30:00
                    [1] => 157.27
                    [2] => H
                )

            [2] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-30 08:00:00
                    [1] => 155.7
                    [2] => L
                )

            [3] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-30 09:30:00
                    [1] => 154.83
                    [2] => L
                )

            [4] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-30 09:45:00
                    [1] => 158.88
                    [2] => H
                )

            [5] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-30 11:15:00
                    [1] => 159.64
                    [2] => H
                )

            [6] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-30 16:00:00
                    [1] => 155.48
                    [2] => L
                )

            [7] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-30 18:00:00
                    [1] => 156.29
                    [2] => H
                )

            [8] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-30 19:45:00
                    [1] => 155.64
                    [2] => L
                )

            [9] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-30 20:45:00
                    [1] => 156.95
                    [2] => H
                )

        )

    [detected_trend] => uptrend
    [features] => Array
        (
            [ms_trend_state] => 1
            [ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.17202930869703
            [ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 0.66820868671294
            [ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 0
            [ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 4
            [ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 0.84168594191725
            [ms_bos_up] => 1
            [ms_bos_down] => 0
            [ms_choch_up] => 0
            [ms_choch_down] => 0
        )

)
  97. market_structures
  98. 5m_version: 1.1
  99. 5m_market_structure: 
    Array
(
    [left_window] => 5
    [right_window] => 5
    [recent_pivots] => Array
        (
            [0] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-30 16:10:00
                    [1] => 155.48
                    [2] => L
                )

            [1] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-30 16:45:00
                    [1] => 156.09
                    [2] => H
                )

            [2] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-30 17:25:00
                    [1] => 156.17
                    [2] => H
                )

            [3] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-30 17:40:00
                    [1] => 155.93
                    [2] => L
                )

            [4] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-30 18:00:00
                    [1] => 156.29
                    [2] => H
                )

            [5] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-30 18:10:00
                    [1] => 156.29
                    [2] => H
                )

            [6] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-30 19:00:00
                    [1] => 156.2
                    [2] => H
                )

            [7] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-30 19:45:00
                    [1] => 155.64
                    [2] => L
                )

            [8] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-30 19:55:00
                    [1] => 155.64
                    [2] => L
                )

            [9] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-30 20:50:00
                    [1] => 156.95
                    [2] => H
                )

        )

    [detected_trend] => range
    [features] => Array
        (
            [ms_trend_state] => 0
            [ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.17202930869703
            [ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 0.66820868671294
            [ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 0
            [ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 11
            [ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 0.84168594191725
            [ms_bos_up] => 1
            [ms_bos_down] => 0
            [ms_choch_up] => 0
            [ms_choch_down] => 0
        )

)
    100. ¸

Market Structure

Market Structure Score: 0

5M - range

Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5

Market Structure Features:

Trend State
0
Dist From Last High Pct
-0.17%
Dist From Last Low Pct
0.67%
Bars Since Swing High
0 bars
Bars Since Swing Low
11 bars
Last Swing Amplitude Pct
0.84%
Bos Up
1
Bos Down
0
Choch Up
0
Choch Down
0

SL & TP Pivot Distance:

SL to Pivot Distance
0.0119
0.01%
TP to Pivot Distance
0.6837
0.44%
DateTime Price Type
2025-12-30 16:10:00 155.48 ↓ Low
2025-12-30 16:45:00 156.09 ↑ High
2025-12-30 17:25:00 156.17 ↑ High
2025-12-30 17:40:00 155.93 ↓ Low
2025-12-30 18:00:00 156.29 ↑ High
2025-12-30 18:10:00 156.29 ↑ High
2025-12-30 19:00:00 156.2 ↑ High
2025-12-30 19:45:00 155.64 ↓ Low
2025-12-30 19:55:00 155.64 ↓ Low
2025-12-30 20:50:00 156.95 ↑ High
15M - uptrend

Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5

Market Structure Features:

Trend State
1
Dist From Last High Pct
-0.17%
Dist From Last Low Pct
0.67%
Bars Since Swing High
0 bars
Bars Since Swing Low
4 bars
Last Swing Amplitude Pct
0.84%
Bos Up
1
Bos Down
0
Choch Up
0
Choch Down
0

SL & TP Pivot Distance:

SL to Pivot Distance
2.7019
1.72%
TP to Pivot Distance
1.3337
0.85%
DateTime Price Type
2025-12-30 03:45:00 157.08 ↑ High
2025-12-30 05:30:00 157.27 ↑ High
2025-12-30 08:00:00 155.7 ↓ Low
2025-12-30 09:30:00 154.83 ↓ Low
2025-12-30 09:45:00 158.88 ↑ High
2025-12-30 11:15:00 159.64 ↑ High
2025-12-30 16:00:00 155.48 ↓ Low
2025-12-30 18:00:00 156.29 ↑ High
2025-12-30 19:45:00 155.64 ↓ Low
2025-12-30 20:45:00 156.95 ↑ High
1H - range

Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5

Market Structure Features:

Trend State
0
Dist From Last High Pct
-1.85%
Dist From Last Low Pct
0.77%
Bars Since Swing High
9 bars
Bars Since Swing Low
4 bars
Last Swing Amplitude Pct
2.68%
Bos Up
0
Bos Down
0
Choch Up
0
Choch Down
0

SL & TP Pivot Distance:

SL to Pivot Distance
6.3919
4.07%
TP to Pivot Distance
1.3337
0.85%
DateTime Price Type
2025-12-28 14:00:00 158.34 ↑ High
2025-12-28 16:00:00 158.34 ↓ Low
2025-12-28 18:00:00 158.34 ↓ Low
2025-12-28 20:00:00 158.34 ↓ Low
2025-12-28 23:00:00 163.33 ↑ High
2025-12-29 09:00:00 163 ↑ High
2025-12-29 19:00:00 154.92 ↓ Low
2025-12-30 09:00:00 154.83 ↓ Low
2025-12-30 11:00:00 159.64 ↑ High
2025-12-30 16:00:00 155.48 ↓ Low

📌 Time Data

Start at Closed at Duration
30 Dec 2025
20:54:31		 30 Dec 2025
23:25:00		 2 hours

📌 Entry & Exit

Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
156.68 156.9381 156.1637 2 133.07
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 156.68
  • Stop Loss: 156.9381
  • Take Profit: 156.1637

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 156.9381 - 156.68 = 0.25809999999998

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 156.68 - 156.1637 = 0.5163

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.5163 / 0.25809999999998 = 2.0004

📌 Position Size

Amount Margin Quantity Leverage
4855.6418 100 30.9908 48.56
Details

1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade

Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade

Paramètres:

  • Account Size 100
  • Risk per trade 8 %

Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8

Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade

2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter

Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss

Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price

Paramètres:

  • Risk Amount 8
  • Distance Stop Loss 0.25809999999998

Taille de position = 8 / 0.25809999999998 = 31

Taille de position USD = 31 x 156.68 = 4857.08

Donc, tu peux acheter 31 avec un stoploss a 156.9381

Avec un position size USD de 4857.08$

3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle

Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss

Perte = 31 x 0.25809999999998 = 8

Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$

4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle

Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit

Perte = 31 x 0.5163 = 16.01

Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 16.01$

Résumé

  • Taille de position 31
  • Taille de position USD 4857.08
  • Perte potentielle 8
  • Gain potentiel 16.01
  • Risk-Reward Ratio 2.0004

📌 Peformances

TP % Target TP $ Target
0.33 % 16 $
SL % Target SL $ Target
0.16 % 8 $
PNL PNL %
16 $ 0.33
Max Drawdown Max Drawdown / SL Ratio Candles in Entry
-0.1404 % 85.25 % 10

📌 ML Extra Data

Extra TP Data

                              Array
(
    [2] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 156.1638
            [stop_loss] => 156.9381
            [rr_ratio] => 2
            [closed_at] => 2025-12-30 23:25:00
            [result] => win
        )

)
Extra SL data

                              Array
(
)
Extra Pullback data

                              Array
(
    [short_term] => Array
        (
            [max_gain] => 0.44
            [max_drawdown] => 0.22
            [rr_ratio] => 2
            [high] => 156.90000000
            [low] => 156.24000000
            [mfe_pct] => 0.28
            [mae_pct] => 0.14
            [mfe_mae_ratio] => 2
            [candles_analyzed] => 24
            [start_at] => 2025-12-30T20:54:31-05:00
            [end_at] => 2025-12-30T22:54:31-05:00
        )

    [long_term] => Array
        (
            [max_gain] => 0.68000000000001
            [max_drawdown] => 0.22
            [rr_ratio] => 3.09
            [high] => 156.90000000
            [low] => 156.00000000
            [mfe_pct] => 0.43
            [mae_pct] => 0.14
            [mfe_mae_ratio] => 3.09
            [candles_analyzed] => 84
            [start_at] => 2025-12-30T20:54:31-05:00
            [end_at] => 2025-12-31T03:54:31-05:00
        )

    [breakout] => Array
        (
            [high_before] => 156.95000000
            [high_after] => 156.90000000
            [low_before] => 155.64000000
            [low_after] => 156.08000000
            [is_new_high] => 
            [is_new_low] => 
        )

)