Short Trade on XAU 31 Dec 2025 at 04:46:50

Take profit at 4324.0211 (0.46 %) and Stop Loss at 4353.9745 (0.23 %)

Short Trade on XAU

The 31 Dec 2025 at 04:46:50

With 0.8012 XAU at 4343.99$ per unit.

Position size of 3480.5969 $

Take profit at 4324.0211 (0.46 %) and Stop Loss at 4353.9745 (0.23 %)

That's a 2 RR Trade

Results

Status:
win
Trade Type:
sell
ML Trade Score: 50
ML Pullback Score: 5.12
Prediction Score: 0
Prediction 1 Probability
Weak Trade
0.84
Prediction 2 Probability
0 0.66
Prediction 3 Probability
0 0.57
BTC Market Regime Coin Market Regime

ml_regime : neutral

rules_regime : bull_medium

rules_regime_5m : range_low

1H_regime : bear_medium

15m_regime : range_low

5m_regime : range_low

BTC Correlation Score

5m : -0.051325

15m : -0.052956

1H : 0.268596

0

Signal

CatchTheWave Signal - sell

Indicators:

  1. long_trend: -1
  2. short_kc: True
  3. short_kc_percentage: 0.01
  4. atr: 6.656314254
Details
  1. score: 1.01
  2. 1H
  3. ema9 : 4339.26
  4. ema21 : 4352.84
  5. ema50 : 4385.82
  6. ema100 : 4429
  7. price_ema9_diff : 0.00108927
  8. ema9_ema21_diff : -0.00312003
  9. ema21_ema50_diff : -0.00751981
  10. price_ema100_diff : -0.0191946
  11. all_emas_in_trend : True
  12. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : False
  13. ema_slope_9 : -0.0591205
  14. ema_slope_21 : -0.050782
  15. ema_slope_50 : -0.0507849
  16. ema_slope_100 : -0.0437338
  17. rsi : 0.452267
  18. adx : 0.411388
  19. kc_percentage : 0.433872
  20. kc_width_percentage : 0.0270975
  21. volume_ema_diff : 0.551527
  22. volume_ema1 : 294441.83332515
  23. volume_ema2 : 189775.43784699
  24. chop : 48.4269
  25. regime : bear_medium
  26. ¸
  27. 15m
  28. ema9 : 4334.7
  29. ema21 : 4336.8
  30. ema50 : 4346.67
  31. ema100 : 4357.28
  32. price_ema9_diff : 0.00214167
  33. ema9_ema21_diff : -0.000483839
  34. ema21_ema50_diff : -0.0022707
  35. price_ema100_diff : -0.00305071
  36. all_emas_in_trend : True
  37. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : False
  38. ema_slope_9 : 0.00662633
  39. ema_slope_21 : -0.0107407
  40. ema_slope_50 : -0.014755
  41. ema_slope_100 : -0.0119555
  42. rsi : 0.528489
  43. adx : 0.363918
  44. kc_percentage : 0.633099
  45. kc_width_percentage : 0.0130051
  46. volume_ema_diff : -0.383761
  47. volume_ema1 : 41865.121777958
  48. volume_ema2 : 67936.589381819
  49. chop : 70.4797
  50. regime : range_low
  51. ¸
  52. 5m
  53. ema9 : 4334.33
  54. ema21 : 4331.68
  55. ema50 : 4334.19
  56. ema100 : 4340.78
  57. price_ema9_diff : 0.00222702
  58. ema9_ema21_diff : 0.000611789
  59. ema21_ema50_diff : -0.000578928
  60. price_ema100_diff : 0.000737204
  61. all_emas_in_trend : False
  62. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : False
  63. ema_slope_9 : 0.00730144
  64. ema_slope_21 : -0.00170219
  65. ema_slope_50 : -0.0052803
  66. ema_slope_100 : -0.00603817
  67. rsi : 0.620983
  68. adx : 0.150401
  69. kc_percentage : 1.00547
  70. kc_width_percentage : 0.00558632
  71. volume_ema_diff : 0.118793
  72. volume_ema1 : 27087.808213096
  73. volume_ema2 : 24211.61781084
  74. chop : 48.9584
  75. regime : range_low
  76. ¸
  77. btc_indicators
  78. btc_indicators
  79. 5m_ema100:
    88547
  80. 5m_price_ema100_diff:
    0.000766139
  81. 5m_price:
    88614.9
  82. 5m_correlation_with_coin:
    -0.051325
  83. btc_indicators
  84. 15m_ema100:
    88326.9
  85. 15m_price_ema100_diff:
    0.00326045
  86. 15m_price:
    88614.9
  87. 15m_correlation_with_coin:
    -0.052956
  88. btc_indicators
  89. 1H_ema100:
    87963.5
  90. 1H_price_ema100_diff:
    0.00740437
  91. 1H_price:
    88614.9
  92. 1H_correlation_with_coin:
    0.268596
  93. ¸
  94. market_structures
  95. market_structures
  96. 1H_version: 1.1
  97. 1H_market_structure:
    Array
    (
        [left_window] => 5
        [right_window] => 5
        [recent_pivots] => Array
            (
                [0] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-28 01:00:00
                        [1] => 4552
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [1] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-28 08:00:00
                        [1] => 4526
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [2] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-28 18:00:00
                        [1] => 4549.86
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [3] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-28 19:00:00
                        [1] => 4503.1
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [4] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-29 10:00:00
                        [1] => 4334
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [5] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-29 20:00:00
                        [1] => 4337.99
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [6] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-30 03:00:00
                        [1] => 4356.31
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [7] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-30 08:00:00
                        [1] => 4411.63
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [8] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-30 21:00:00
                        [1] => 4376.04
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [9] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-31 01:00:00
                        [1] => 4281.97
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
            )
    
        [detected_trend] => downtrend
        [features] => Array
            (
                [ms_trend_state] => -1
                [ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.83065968318389
                [ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 1.3479776831692
                [ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 7
                [ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 3
                [ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 2.1968860127465
                [ms_bos_up] => 0
                [ms_bos_down] => 1
                [ms_choch_up] => 0
                [ms_choch_down] => 0
            )
    
    )
    
  98. market_structures
  99. 15m_version: 1.1
  100. 15m_market_structure:
    Array
    (
        [left_window] => 5
        [right_window] => 5
        [recent_pivots] => Array
            (
                [0] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-30 14:45:00
                        [1] => 4343.12
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [1] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-30 16:15:00
                        [1] => 4368.49
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [2] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-30 16:45:00
                        [1] => 4346.32
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [3] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-30 19:30:00
                        [1] => 4334
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [4] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-30 21:00:00
                        [1] => 4376.04
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [5] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-30 23:15:00
                        [1] => 4370.11
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [6] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-31 01:00:00
                        [1] => 4281.97
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [7] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-31 02:00:00
                        [1] => 4348.85
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [8] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-31 04:00:00
                        [1] => 4316.01
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [9] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-31 04:45:00
                        [1] => 4345
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
            )
    
        [detected_trend] => range
        [features] => Array
            (
                [ms_trend_state] => 0
                [ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.1222094361335
                [ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 0.54865489190246
                [ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 0
                [ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 3
                [ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 0.67168519072013
                [ms_bos_up] => 0
                [ms_bos_down] => 0
                [ms_choch_up] => 0
                [ms_choch_down] => 0
            )
    
    )
    
  101. market_structures
  102. 5m_version: 1.1
  103. 5m_market_structure:
    Array
    (
        [left_window] => 5
        [right_window] => 5
        [recent_pivots] => Array
            (
                [0] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-31 00:10:00
                        [1] => 4337.97
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [1] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-31 00:25:00
                        [1] => 4358.41
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [2] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-31 01:10:00
                        [1] => 4281.97
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [3] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-31 01:15:00
                        [1] => 4344.94
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [4] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-31 02:05:00
                        [1] => 4310.27
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [5] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-31 02:10:00
                        [1] => 4348.85
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [6] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-31 03:00:00
                        [1] => 4346.45
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [7] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-31 03:05:00
                        [1] => 4328.96
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [8] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-31 04:00:00
                        [1] => 4316.01
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [9] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-31 04:45:00
                        [1] => 4345
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
            )
    
        [detected_trend] => downtrend
        [features] => Array
            (
                [ms_trend_state] => -1
                [ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.1222094361335
                [ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 0.54865489190246
                [ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 0
                [ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 9
                [ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 0.67168519072013
                [ms_bos_up] => 0
                [ms_bos_down] => 1
                [ms_choch_up] => 0
                [ms_choch_down] => 0
            )
    
    )
    
  104. ¸

Market Structure

Market Structure Score: 2

5M - downtrend

Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5

Market Structure Features:

Trend State
-1
Dist From Last High Pct
-0.12%
Dist From Last Low Pct
0.55%
Bars Since Swing High
0 bars
Bars Since Swing Low
9 bars
Last Swing Amplitude Pct
0.67%
Bos Up
0
Bos Down
1
Choch Up
0
Choch Down
0

SL & TP Pivot Distance:

SL to Pivot Distance
4.4355
0.10%
TP to Pivot Distance
42.0511
0.97%
DateTime Price Type
2025-12-31 00:10:00 4337.97 ↓ Low
2025-12-31 00:25:00 4358.41 ↑ High
2025-12-31 01:10:00 4281.97 ↓ Low
2025-12-31 01:15:00 4344.94 ↑ High
2025-12-31 02:05:00 4310.27 ↓ Low
2025-12-31 02:10:00 4348.85 ↑ High
2025-12-31 03:00:00 4346.45 ↑ High
2025-12-31 03:05:00 4328.96 ↓ Low
2025-12-31 04:00:00 4316.01 ↓ Low
2025-12-31 04:45:00 4345 ↑ High
15M - range

Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5

Market Structure Features:

Trend State
0
Dist From Last High Pct
-0.12%
Dist From Last Low Pct
0.55%
Bars Since Swing High
0 bars
Bars Since Swing Low
3 bars
Last Swing Amplitude Pct
0.67%
Bos Up
0
Bos Down
0
Choch Up
0
Choch Down
0

SL & TP Pivot Distance:

SL to Pivot Distance
22.0655
0.51%
TP to Pivot Distance
42.0511
0.97%
DateTime Price Type
2025-12-30 14:45:00 4343.12 ↓ Low
2025-12-30 16:15:00 4368.49 ↑ High
2025-12-30 16:45:00 4346.32 ↓ Low
2025-12-30 19:30:00 4334 ↓ Low
2025-12-30 21:00:00 4376.04 ↑ High
2025-12-30 23:15:00 4370.11 ↑ High
2025-12-31 01:00:00 4281.97 ↓ Low
2025-12-31 02:00:00 4348.85 ↑ High
2025-12-31 04:00:00 4316.01 ↓ Low
2025-12-31 04:45:00 4345 ↑ High
1H - downtrend

Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5

Market Structure Features:

Trend State
-1
Dist From Last High Pct
-0.83%
Dist From Last Low Pct
1.35%
Bars Since Swing High
7 bars
Bars Since Swing Low
3 bars
Last Swing Amplitude Pct
2.20%
Bos Up
0
Bos Down
1
Choch Up
0
Choch Down
0

SL & TP Pivot Distance:

SL to Pivot Distance
198.0255
4.55%
TP to Pivot Distance
42.0511
0.97%
DateTime Price Type
2025-12-28 01:00:00 4552 ↑ High
2025-12-28 08:00:00 4526 ↓ Low
2025-12-28 18:00:00 4549.86 ↑ High
2025-12-28 19:00:00 4503.1 ↓ Low
2025-12-29 10:00:00 4334 ↓ Low
2025-12-29 20:00:00 4337.99 ↓ Low
2025-12-30 03:00:00 4356.31 ↓ Low
2025-12-30 08:00:00 4411.63 ↑ High
2025-12-30 21:00:00 4376.04 ↑ High
2025-12-31 01:00:00 4281.97 ↓ Low

📌 Time Data

Start at Closed at Duration
31 Dec 2025
04:46:50
31 Dec 2025
05:35:00
48 minutes

📌 Entry & Exit

Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
4343.99 4353.9745 4324.0211 2 5176.1
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 4343.99
  • Stop Loss: 4353.9745
  • Take Profit: 4324.0211

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 4353.9745 - 4343.99 = 9.9845000000005

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 4343.99 - 4324.0211 = 19.9689

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 19.9689 / 9.9845000000005 = 2

📌 Position Size

Amount Margin Quantity Leverage
3480.5969 100 0.8012 34.81
Details

1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade

Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade

Paramètres:

  • Account Size 100
  • Risk per trade 8 %

Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8

Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade

2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter

Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss

Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price

Paramètres:

  • Risk Amount 8
  • Distance Stop Loss 9.9845000000005

Taille de position = 8 / 9.9845000000005 = 0.8

Taille de position USD = 0.8 x 4343.99 = 3475.19

Donc, tu peux acheter 0.8 avec un stoploss a 4353.9745

Avec un position size USD de 3475.19$

3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle

Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss

Perte = 0.8 x 9.9845000000005 = 7.99

Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 7.99$

4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle

Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit

Perte = 0.8 x 19.9689 = 15.98

Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 15.98$

Résumé

  • Taille de position 0.8
  • Taille de position USD 3475.19
  • Perte potentielle 7.99
  • Gain potentiel 15.98
  • Risk-Reward Ratio 2

📌 Peformances

TP % Target TP $ Target
0.46 % 16 $
SL % Target SL $ Target
0.23 % 8 $
PNL PNL %
16 $ 0.46
Max Drawdown Max Drawdown / SL Ratio Candles in Entry
0 % 0 % 0

📌 ML Extra Data

Extra TP Data

                              Array
(
    [2] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 4324.021
            [stop_loss] => 4353.9745
            [rr_ratio] => 2
            [closed_at] => 2025-12-31 05:35:00
            [result] => win
        )

    [2.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 4319.02875
            [stop_loss] => 4353.9745
            [rr_ratio] => 2.5
            [closed_at] => 2025-12-31 05:40:00
            [result] => win
        )

    [3] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 4314.0365
            [stop_loss] => 4353.9745
            [rr_ratio] => 3
            [closed_at] => 2025-12-31 09:45:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [3.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 4309.04425
            [stop_loss] => 4353.9745
            [rr_ratio] => 3.5
            [closed_at] => 2025-12-31 09:45:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [4] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 4304.052
            [stop_loss] => 4353.9745
            [rr_ratio] => 4
            [closed_at] => 2025-12-31 09:45:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [4.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 4299.05975
            [stop_loss] => 4353.9745
            [rr_ratio] => 4.5
            [closed_at] => 2025-12-31 09:45:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 4294.0675
            [stop_loss] => 4353.9745
            [rr_ratio] => 5
            [closed_at] => 2025-12-31 09:45:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [5.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 4289.07525
            [stop_loss] => 4353.9745
            [rr_ratio] => 5.5
            [closed_at] => 2025-12-31 09:45:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [6] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 4284.083
            [stop_loss] => 4353.9745
            [rr_ratio] => 6
            [closed_at] => 2025-12-31 09:45:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [6.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 4279.09075
            [stop_loss] => 4353.9745
            [rr_ratio] => 6.5
            [closed_at] => 2025-12-31 09:45:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [7] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 4274.0985
            [stop_loss] => 4353.9745
            [rr_ratio] => 7
            [closed_at] => 2025-12-31 09:45:00
            [result] => loss
        )

)
Extra SL data

                              Array
(
)
Extra Pullback data

                              Array
(
    [short_term] => Array
        (
            [max_gain] => 28.07
            [max_drawdown] => 1.0E-6
            [rr_ratio] => 100
            [high] => 4339.72000000
            [low] => 4315.92000000
            [mfe_pct] => 0.65
            [mae_pct] => -0.1
            [mfe_mae_ratio] => 
            [candles_analyzed] => 24
            [start_at] => 2025-12-31T04:46:50-05:00
            [end_at] => 2025-12-31T06:46:50-05:00
        )

    [long_term] => Array
        (
            [max_gain] => 29.21
            [max_drawdown] => 15.62
            [rr_ratio] => 1.87
            [high] => 4359.61000000
            [low] => 4314.78000000
            [mfe_pct] => 0.67
            [mae_pct] => 0.36
            [mfe_mae_ratio] => 1.87
            [candles_analyzed] => 84
            [start_at] => 2025-12-31T04:46:50-05:00
            [end_at] => 2025-12-31T11:46:50-05:00
        )

    [breakout] => Array
        (
            [high_before] => 4348.85000000
            [high_after] => 4359.61000000
            [low_before] => 4281.97000000
            [low_after] => 4314.78000000
            [is_new_high] => 
            [is_new_low] => 
        )

)