Short Trade on AVAX 31 Dec 2025 at 06:20:48

Take profit at 12.495 (0.3 %) and Stop Loss at 12.5505 (0.15 %)

Short Trade on AVAX

The 31 Dec 2025 at 06:20:48

With 432.6321 AVAX at 12.532$ per unit.

Position size of 5421.7457 $

Take profit at 12.495 (0.3 %) and Stop Loss at 12.5505 (0.15 %)

That's a 2 RR Trade

Results

Status:
loss
Trade Type:
sell
ML Trade Score: -100
ML Pullback Score: 3.66
Prediction Score: 1
Prediction 1 Probability
Weak Trade
0.85
Prediction 2 Probability
0 0.6
Prediction 3 Probability
1 0.58
BTC Market Regime Coin Market Regime

ml_regime : neutral

rules_regime : bull_medium

rules_regime_5m : range_low

1H_regime : range_medium

15m_regime : range_low

5m_regime : range_low

BTC Correlation Score

5m : 0.584657

15m : 0.069537

1H : -0.022246

0

Signal

CatchTheWave Signal - sell

Indicators:

  1. long_trend: -1
  2. short_kc: True
  3. short_kc_percentage: 0.03
  4. atr: 0.01232764069
Details
  1. score: 1.03
  2. 1H
  3. ema9 : 12.5265
  4. ema21 : 12.5335
  5. ema50 : 12.5492
  6. ema100 : 12.5592
  7. price_ema9_diff : 0.000437179
  8. ema9_ema21_diff : -0.000556757
  9. ema21_ema50_diff : -0.00125463
  10. price_ema100_diff : -0.00217282
  11. all_emas_in_trend : True
  12. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : False
  13. ema_slope_9 : -0.00377829
  14. ema_slope_21 : 0.00804352
  15. ema_slope_50 : -0.00131951
  16. ema_slope_100 : -0.00192553
  17. rsi : 0.496043
  18. adx : 0.153484
  19. kc_percentage : 0.494728
  20. kc_width_percentage : 0.0199789
  21. volume_ema_diff : -0.624021
  22. volume_ema1 : 172846.785306
  23. volume_ema2 : 459725.31180817
  24. chop : 56.1049
  25. regime : range_medium
  26. ¸
  27. 15m
  28. ema9 : 12.51
  29. ema21 : 12.519
  30. ema50 : 12.5355
  31. ema100 : 12.5369
  32. price_ema9_diff : 0.001755
  33. ema9_ema21_diff : -0.000718652
  34. ema21_ema50_diff : -0.00131696
  35. price_ema100_diff : -0.00039108
  36. all_emas_in_trend : True
  37. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : False
  38. ema_slope_9 : -0.0245138
  39. ema_slope_21 : -0.0265187
  40. ema_slope_50 : -0.0156574
  41. ema_slope_100 : -0.00734023
  42. rsi : 0.51974
  43. adx : 0.187496
  44. kc_percentage : 0.642209
  45. kc_width_percentage : 0.00784894
  46. volume_ema_diff : -0.468766
  47. volume_ema1 : 41918.440274787
  48. volume_ema2 : 78907.741604929
  49. chop : 50.0486
  50. regime : range_low
  51. ¸
  52. 5m
  53. ema9 : 12.5149
  54. ema21 : 12.5056
  55. ema50 : 12.5129
  56. ema100 : 12.5366
  57. price_ema9_diff : 0.00136034
  58. ema9_ema21_diff : 0.000743692
  59. ema21_ema50_diff : -0.000584213
  60. price_ema100_diff : -0.000369719
  61. all_emas_in_trend : False
  62. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : False
  63. ema_slope_9 : 0.0117667
  64. ema_slope_21 : 0.00472993
  65. ema_slope_50 : -0.00297041
  66. ema_slope_100 : -0.00577126
  67. rsi : 0.61378
  68. adx : 0.230468
  69. kc_percentage : 1.03012
  70. kc_width_percentage : 0.0039255
  71. volume_ema_diff : 0.0623568
  72. volume_ema1 : 17277.5027675
  73. volume_ema2 : 16263.369578333
  74. chop : 38.3609
  75. regime : range_low
  76. ¸
  77. btc_indicators
  78. btc_indicators
  79. 5m_ema100:
    88615.6
  80. 5m_price_ema100_diff:
    0.00191068
  81. 5m_price:
    88785
  82. 5m_correlation_with_coin:
    0.584657
  83. btc_indicators
  84. 15m_ema100:
    88423.6
  85. 15m_price_ema100_diff:
    0.0040868
  86. 15m_price:
    88785
  87. 15m_correlation_with_coin:
    0.069537
  88. btc_indicators
  89. 1H_ema100:
    88012.4
  90. 1H_price_ema100_diff:
    0.00877798
  91. 1H_price:
    88785
  92. 1H_correlation_with_coin:
    -0.022246
  93. ¸
  94. market_structures
  95. market_structures
  96. 1H_version: 1.1
  97. 1H_market_structure:
    Array
    (
        [left_window] => 5
        [right_window] => 5
        [recent_pivots] => Array
            (
                [0] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-28 23:00:00
                        [1] => 13.194
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [1] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-29 07:00:00
                        [1] => 12.445
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [2] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-29 15:00:00
                        [1] => 12.329
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [3] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-29 22:00:00
                        [1] => 12.312
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [4] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-30 03:00:00
                        [1] => 12.549
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [5] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-30 09:00:00
                        [1] => 12.434
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [6] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-30 11:00:00
                        [1] => 12.642
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [7] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-30 15:00:00
                        [1] => 12.451
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [8] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-30 20:00:00
                        [1] => 12.71
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [9] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-31 04:00:00
                        [1] => 12.466
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
            )
    
        [detected_trend] => uptrend
        [features] => Array
            (
                [ms_trend_state] => 1
                [ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -1.3611329661684
                [ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 0.56954917375262
                [ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 10
                [ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 2
                [ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 1.9573239210653
                [ms_bos_up] => 1
                [ms_bos_down] => 0
                [ms_choch_up] => 0
                [ms_choch_down] => 0
            )
    
    )
    
  98. market_structures
  99. 15m_version: 1.1
  100. 15m_market_structure:
    Array
    (
        [left_window] => 5
        [right_window] => 5
        [recent_pivots] => Array
            (
                [0] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-30 09:45:00
                        [1] => 12.599
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [1] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-30 11:15:00
                        [1] => 12.642
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [2] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-30 15:00:00
                        [1] => 12.451
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [3] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-30 18:45:00
                        [1] => 12.579
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [4] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-30 19:15:00
                        [1] => 12.501
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [5] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-30 20:30:00
                        [1] => 12.71
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [6] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-30 22:30:00
                        [1] => 12.576
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [7] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-31 03:15:00
                        [1] => 12.563
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [8] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-31 04:30:00
                        [1] => 12.466
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [9] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-31 06:15:00
                        [1] => 12.549
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
            )
    
        [detected_trend] => downtrend
        [features] => Array
            (
                [ms_trend_state] => -1
                [ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.095625149414285
                [ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 0.56954917375262
                [ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 0
                [ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 7
                [ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 0.66581100593615
                [ms_bos_up] => 0
                [ms_bos_down] => 1
                [ms_choch_up] => 0
                [ms_choch_down] => 0
            )
    
    )
    
  101. market_structures
  102. 5m_version: 1.1
  103. 5m_market_structure:
    Array
    (
        [left_window] => 5
        [right_window] => 5
        [recent_pivots] => Array
            (
                [0] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-31 00:05:00
                        [1] => 12.604
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [1] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-31 01:00:00
                        [1] => 12.54
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [2] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-31 01:35:00
                        [1] => 12.565
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [3] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-31 02:20:00
                        [1] => 12.513
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [4] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-31 03:15:00
                        [1] => 12.563
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [5] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-31 04:00:00
                        [1] => 12.468
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [6] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-31 04:30:00
                        [1] => 12.466
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [7] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-31 05:10:00
                        [1] => 12.508
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [8] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-31 05:50:00
                        [1] => 12.48
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [9] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-31 06:20:00
                        [1] => 12.549
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
            )
    
        [detected_trend] => uptrend
        [features] => Array
            (
                [ms_trend_state] => 1
                [ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.095625149414285
                [ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 0.45673076923077
                [ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 0
                [ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 6
                [ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 0.55288461538461
                [ms_bos_up] => 1
                [ms_bos_down] => 0
                [ms_choch_up] => 1
                [ms_choch_down] => 0
            )
    
    )
    
  104. ¸

Market Structure

Market Structure Score: 1

5M - uptrend

Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5

Market Structure Features:

Trend State
1
Dist From Last High Pct
-0.10%
Dist From Last Low Pct
0.46%
Bars Since Swing High
0 bars
Bars Since Swing Low
6 bars
Last Swing Amplitude Pct
0.55%
Bos Up
1
Bos Down
0
Choch Up
1
Choch Down
0

SL & TP Pivot Distance:

SL to Pivot Distance
0.0535
0.43%
TP to Pivot Distance
0.0290
0.23%
DateTime Price Type
2025-12-31 00:05:00 12.604 ↑ High
2025-12-31 01:00:00 12.54 ↓ Low
2025-12-31 01:35:00 12.565 ↑ High
2025-12-31 02:20:00 12.513 ↓ Low
2025-12-31 03:15:00 12.563 ↑ High
2025-12-31 04:00:00 12.468 ↓ Low
2025-12-31 04:30:00 12.466 ↓ Low
2025-12-31 05:10:00 12.508 ↑ High
2025-12-31 05:50:00 12.48 ↓ Low
2025-12-31 06:20:00 12.549 ↑ High
15M - downtrend

Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5

Market Structure Features:

Trend State
-1
Dist From Last High Pct
-0.10%
Dist From Last Low Pct
0.57%
Bars Since Swing High
0 bars
Bars Since Swing Low
7 bars
Last Swing Amplitude Pct
0.67%
Bos Up
0
Bos Down
1
Choch Up
0
Choch Down
0

SL & TP Pivot Distance:

SL to Pivot Distance
0.1595
1.27%
TP to Pivot Distance
0.0440
0.35%
DateTime Price Type
2025-12-30 09:45:00 12.599 ↑ High
2025-12-30 11:15:00 12.642 ↑ High
2025-12-30 15:00:00 12.451 ↓ Low
2025-12-30 18:45:00 12.579 ↑ High
2025-12-30 19:15:00 12.501 ↓ Low
2025-12-30 20:30:00 12.71 ↑ High
2025-12-30 22:30:00 12.576 ↓ Low
2025-12-31 03:15:00 12.563 ↑ High
2025-12-31 04:30:00 12.466 ↓ Low
2025-12-31 06:15:00 12.549 ↑ High
1H - uptrend

Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5

Market Structure Features:

Trend State
1
Dist From Last High Pct
-1.36%
Dist From Last Low Pct
0.57%
Bars Since Swing High
10 bars
Bars Since Swing Low
2 bars
Last Swing Amplitude Pct
1.96%
Bos Up
1
Bos Down
0
Choch Up
0
Choch Down
0

SL & TP Pivot Distance:

SL to Pivot Distance
0.6435
5.13%
TP to Pivot Distance
0.1830
1.46%
DateTime Price Type
2025-12-28 23:00:00 13.194 ↑ High
2025-12-29 07:00:00 12.445 ↓ Low
2025-12-29 15:00:00 12.329 ↓ Low
2025-12-29 22:00:00 12.312 ↓ Low
2025-12-30 03:00:00 12.549 ↑ High
2025-12-30 09:00:00 12.434 ↓ Low
2025-12-30 11:00:00 12.642 ↑ High
2025-12-30 15:00:00 12.451 ↓ Low
2025-12-30 20:00:00 12.71 ↑ High
2025-12-31 04:00:00 12.466 ↓ Low

📌 Time Data

Start at Closed at Duration
31 Dec 2025
06:20:48
31 Dec 2025
06:40:00
19 minutes

📌 Entry & Exit

Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
12.532 12.5505 12.495 2 9.311
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 12.532
  • Stop Loss: 12.5505
  • Take Profit: 12.495

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 12.5505 - 12.532 = 0.0185

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 12.532 - 12.495 = 0.037000000000001

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.037000000000001 / 0.0185 = 2

📌 Position Size

Amount Margin Quantity Leverage
5421.7457 100 432.6321 54.22
Details

1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade

Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade

Paramètres:

  • Account Size 100
  • Risk per trade 8 %

Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8

Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade

2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter

Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss

Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price

Paramètres:

  • Risk Amount 8
  • Distance Stop Loss 0.0185

Taille de position = 8 / 0.0185 = 432.43

Taille de position USD = 432.43 x 12.532 = 5419.21

Donc, tu peux acheter 432.43 avec un stoploss a 12.5505

Avec un position size USD de 5419.21$

3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle

Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss

Perte = 432.43 x 0.0185 = 8

Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$

4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle

Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit

Perte = 432.43 x 0.037000000000001 = 16

Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 16$

Résumé

  • Taille de position 432.43
  • Taille de position USD 5419.21
  • Perte potentielle 8
  • Gain potentiel 16
  • Risk-Reward Ratio 2

📌 Peformances

TP % Target TP $ Target
0.3 % 16.01 $
SL % Target SL $ Target
0.15 % 8 $
PNL PNL %
-8 $ -0.15
Max Drawdown Max Drawdown / SL Ratio Candles in Entry
-0.2793 % 189.23 % 2

📌 ML Extra Data

Extra TP Data

                              Array
(
)
Extra SL data

                              Array
(
    [1.1] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 12.495
            [entry_price] => 12.532
            [stop_loss] => 12.55235
            [rr_ratio] => 1.82
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.1
            [closed_at] => 2025-12-31 06:40:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [1.2] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 12.495
            [entry_price] => 12.532
            [stop_loss] => 12.5542
            [rr_ratio] => 1.67
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.2
            [closed_at] => 2025-12-31 06:40:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [1.3] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 12.495
            [entry_price] => 12.532
            [stop_loss] => 12.55605
            [rr_ratio] => 1.54
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.3
            [closed_at] => 2025-12-31 06:40:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [1.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 12.495
            [entry_price] => 12.532
            [stop_loss] => 12.55975
            [rr_ratio] => 1.33
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.5
            [closed_at] => 2025-12-31 06:40:00
            [result] => loss
        )

)
Extra Pullback data

                              Array
(
    [short_term] => Array
        (
            [max_gain] => 0.013
            [max_drawdown] => 0.055
            [rr_ratio] => 0.24
            [high] => 12.58700000
            [low] => 12.51900000
            [mfe_pct] => 0.1
            [mae_pct] => 0.44
            [mfe_mae_ratio] => 0.24
            [candles_analyzed] => 24
            [start_at] => 2025-12-31T06:20:48-05:00
            [end_at] => 2025-12-31T08:20:48-05:00
        )

    [long_term] => Array
        (
            [max_gain] => 0.339
            [max_drawdown] => 0.139
            [rr_ratio] => 2.44
            [high] => 12.67100000
            [low] => 12.19300000
            [mfe_pct] => 2.71
            [mae_pct] => 1.11
            [mfe_mae_ratio] => 2.44
            [candles_analyzed] => 84
            [start_at] => 2025-12-31T06:20:48-05:00
            [end_at] => 2025-12-31T13:20:48-05:00
        )

    [breakout] => Array
        (
            [high_before] => 12.56300000
            [high_after] => 12.67100000
            [low_before] => 12.46600000
            [low_after] => 12.19300000
            [is_new_high] => 
            [is_new_low] => 1
        )

)