Short Trade on XAU 31 Dec 2025 at 08:55:14

Take profit at 4326.2097 (0.41 %) and Stop Loss at 4353.0901 (0.21 %)

Short Trade on XAU

The 31 Dec 2025 at 08:55:14

With 0.8928 XAU at 4344.13$ per unit.

Position size of 3878.6307 $

Take profit at 4326.2097 (0.41 %) and Stop Loss at 4353.0901 (0.21 %)

That's a 2 RR Trade

Results

Status:
loss
Trade Type:
sell
ML Trade Score: -100
ML Pullback Score: 1.76
Prediction Score: 0
Prediction 1 Probability
Weak Trade
0.87
Prediction 2 Probability
0 0.73
Prediction 3 Probability
0 0.52
BTC Market Regime Coin Market Regime

ml_regime : neutral

rules_regime : bull_medium

rules_regime_5m : range_low

1H_regime : bear_medium

15m_regime : range_low

5m_regime : range_low

BTC Correlation Score

5m : 0.140592

15m : 0.206306

1H : 0.033441

0

Signal

CatchTheWave Signal - sell

Indicators:

  1. long_trend: -1
  2. short_kc: True
  3. short_kc_percentage: 0.02
  4. atr: 5.973420747
Details
  1. score: 1.02
  2. 1H
  3. ema9 : 4332.65
  4. ema21 : 4344.48
  5. ema50 : 4377.19
  6. ema100 : 4423.02
  7. price_ema9_diff : 0.00264862
  8. ema9_ema21_diff : -0.00272287
  9. ema21_ema50_diff : -0.00747299
  10. price_ema100_diff : -0.017838
  11. all_emas_in_trend : True
  12. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : False
  13. ema_slope_9 : -0.0567464
  14. ema_slope_21 : -0.052554
  15. ema_slope_50 : -0.0519834
  16. ema_slope_100 : -0.045734
  17. rsi : 0.477777
  18. adx : 0.429262
  19. kc_percentage : 0.506591
  20. kc_width_percentage : 0.0239012
  21. volume_ema_diff : -0.108707
  22. volume_ema1 : 161833.86128522
  23. volume_ema2 : 181572.18885577
  24. chop : 49.8814
  25. regime : bear_medium
  26. ¸
  27. 15m
  28. ema9 : 4330.36
  29. ema21 : 4329.49
  30. ema50 : 4337.52
  31. ema100 : 4352.38
  32. price_ema9_diff : 0.0031777
  33. ema9_ema21_diff : 0.000202126
  34. ema21_ema50_diff : -0.00185224
  35. price_ema100_diff : -0.0018971
  36. all_emas_in_trend : False
  37. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : False
  38. ema_slope_9 : 0.00357941
  39. ema_slope_21 : -0.00669598
  40. ema_slope_50 : -0.0127164
  41. ema_slope_100 : -0.0134764
  42. rsi : 0.571029
  43. adx : 0.263046
  44. kc_percentage : 0.825436
  45. kc_width_percentage : 0.0104506
  46. volume_ema_diff : -0.392241
  47. volume_ema1 : 30523.73337012
  48. volume_ema2 : 50223.464247281
  49. chop : 66.9067
  50. regime : range_low
  51. ¸
  52. 5m
  53. ema9 : 4337.59
  54. ema21 : 4331.63
  55. ema50 : 4328.54
  56. ema100 : 4329.32
  57. price_ema9_diff : 0.00150572
  58. ema9_ema21_diff : 0.00137677
  59. ema21_ema50_diff : 0.000714803
  60. price_ema100_diff : 0.00341947
  61. all_emas_in_trend : True
  62. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : True
  63. ema_slope_9 : 0.0282378
  64. ema_slope_21 : 0.0173236
  65. ema_slope_50 : 0.00691711
  66. ema_slope_100 : 0.00234377
  67. rsi : 0.653473
  68. adx : 0.286084
  69. kc_percentage : 1.01881
  70. kc_width_percentage : 0.00540942
  71. volume_ema_diff : 0.00419243
  72. volume_ema1 : 12583.197509951
  73. volume_ema2 : 12530.663553302
  74. chop : 46.5146
  75. regime : range_low
  76. ¸
  77. btc_indicators
  78. btc_indicators
  79. 5m_ema100:
    88695.7
  80. 5m_price_ema100_diff:
    0.00300903
  81. 5m_price:
    88962.6
  82. 5m_correlation_with_coin:
    0.140592
  83. btc_indicators
  84. 15m_ema100:
    88478.1
  85. 15m_price_ema100_diff:
    0.00370659
  86. 15m_price:
    88806.1
  87. 15m_correlation_with_coin:
    0.206306
  88. btc_indicators
  89. 1H_ema100:
    88037.7
  90. 1H_price_ema100_diff:
    0.0105051
  91. 1H_price:
    88962.6
  92. 1H_correlation_with_coin:
    0.033441
  93. ¸
  94. market_structures
  95. market_structures
  96. 1H_version: 1.1
  97. 1H_market_structure:
    Array
    (
        [left_window] => 5
        [right_window] => 5
        [recent_pivots] => Array
            (
                [0] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-28 08:00:00
                        [1] => 4526
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [1] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-28 18:00:00
                        [1] => 4549.86
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [2] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-28 19:00:00
                        [1] => 4503.1
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [3] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-29 10:00:00
                        [1] => 4334
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [4] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-29 20:00:00
                        [1] => 4337.99
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [5] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-30 03:00:00
                        [1] => 4356.31
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [6] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-30 08:00:00
                        [1] => 4411.63
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [7] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-30 21:00:00
                        [1] => 4376.04
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [8] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-31 01:00:00
                        [1] => 4281.97
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [9] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-31 08:00:00
                        [1] => 4348.1
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
            )
    
        [detected_trend] => downtrend
        [features] => Array
            (
                [ms_trend_state] => -1
                [ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => 0
                [ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 1.5443826089393
                [ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 0
                [ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 7
                [ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 1.5443826089393
                [ms_bos_up] => 0
                [ms_bos_down] => 1
                [ms_choch_up] => 0
                [ms_choch_down] => 0
            )
    
    )
    
  98. market_structures
  99. 15m_version: 1.1
  100. 15m_market_structure:
    Array
    (
        [left_window] => 5
        [right_window] => 5
        [recent_pivots] => Array
            (
                [0] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-30 19:30:00
                        [1] => 4334
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [1] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-30 21:00:00
                        [1] => 4376.04
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [2] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-30 23:15:00
                        [1] => 4370.11
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [3] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-31 01:00:00
                        [1] => 4281.97
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [4] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-31 02:00:00
                        [1] => 4348.85
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [5] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-31 04:00:00
                        [1] => 4316.01
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [6] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-31 04:45:00
                        [1] => 4345
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [7] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-31 06:00:00
                        [1] => 4315.92
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [8] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-31 07:30:00
                        [1] => 4314.78
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [9] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-31 08:45:00
                        [1] => 4348.1
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
            )
    
        [detected_trend] => range
        [features] => Array
            (
                [ms_trend_state] => 0
                [ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => 0
                [ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 0.77222940682956
                [ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 0
                [ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 5
                [ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 0.77222940682956
                [ms_bos_up] => 1
                [ms_bos_down] => 1
                [ms_choch_up] => 0
                [ms_choch_down] => 0
            )
    
    )
    
  101. market_structures
  102. 5m_version: 1.1
  103. 5m_market_structure:
    Array
    (
        [left_window] => 5
        [right_window] => 5
        [recent_pivots] => Array
            (
                [0] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-31 04:45:00
                        [1] => 4345
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [1] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-31 06:05:00
                        [1] => 4315.92
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [2] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-31 06:20:00
                        [1] => 4329.62
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [3] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-31 06:50:00
                        [1] => 4329.62
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [4] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-31 07:00:00
                        [1] => 4329.62
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [5] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-31 07:30:00
                        [1] => 4314.78
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [6] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-31 07:40:00
                        [1] => 4330.78
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [7] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-31 08:05:00
                        [1] => 4320
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [8] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-31 08:15:00
                        [1] => 4320
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [9] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-31 08:55:00
                        [1] => 4348.1
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
            )
    
        [detected_trend] => range
        [features] => Array
            (
                [ms_trend_state] => 0
                [ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => 0
                [ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 0.65046296296297
                [ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 0
                [ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 8
                [ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 0.65046296296297
                [ms_bos_up] => 1
                [ms_bos_down] => 0
                [ms_choch_up] => 0
                [ms_choch_down] => 0
            )
    
    )
    
  104. ¸

Market Structure

Market Structure Score: 1

5M - range

Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5

Market Structure Features:

Trend State
0
Dist From Last High Pct
0.00%
Dist From Last Low Pct
0.65%
Bars Since Swing High
0 bars
Bars Since Swing Low
8 bars
Last Swing Amplitude Pct
0.65%
Bos Up
1
Bos Down
0
Choch Up
0
Choch Down
0

SL & TP Pivot Distance:

SL to Pivot Distance
4.9901
0.11%
TP to Pivot Distance
11.4297
0.26%
DateTime Price Type
2025-12-31 04:45:00 4345 ↑ High
2025-12-31 06:05:00 4315.92 ↓ Low
2025-12-31 06:20:00 4329.62 ↑ High
2025-12-31 06:50:00 4329.62 ↑ High
2025-12-31 07:00:00 4329.62 ↑ High
2025-12-31 07:30:00 4314.78 ↓ Low
2025-12-31 07:40:00 4330.78 ↑ High
2025-12-31 08:05:00 4320 ↓ Low
2025-12-31 08:15:00 4320 ↓ Low
2025-12-31 08:55:00 4348.1 ↑ High
15M - range

Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5

Market Structure Features:

Trend State
0
Dist From Last High Pct
0.00%
Dist From Last Low Pct
0.77%
Bars Since Swing High
0 bars
Bars Since Swing Low
5 bars
Last Swing Amplitude Pct
0.77%
Bos Up
1
Bos Down
1
Choch Up
0
Choch Down
0

SL & TP Pivot Distance:

SL to Pivot Distance
22.9499
0.53%
TP to Pivot Distance
44.2397
1.02%
DateTime Price Type
2025-12-30 19:30:00 4334 ↓ Low
2025-12-30 21:00:00 4376.04 ↑ High
2025-12-30 23:15:00 4370.11 ↑ High
2025-12-31 01:00:00 4281.97 ↓ Low
2025-12-31 02:00:00 4348.85 ↑ High
2025-12-31 04:00:00 4316.01 ↓ Low
2025-12-31 04:45:00 4345 ↑ High
2025-12-31 06:00:00 4315.92 ↓ Low
2025-12-31 07:30:00 4314.78 ↓ Low
2025-12-31 08:45:00 4348.1 ↑ High
1H - downtrend

Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5

Market Structure Features:

Trend State
-1
Dist From Last High Pct
0.00%
Dist From Last Low Pct
1.54%
Bars Since Swing High
0 bars
Bars Since Swing Low
7 bars
Last Swing Amplitude Pct
1.54%
Bos Up
0
Bos Down
1
Choch Up
0
Choch Down
0

SL & TP Pivot Distance:

SL to Pivot Distance
196.7699
4.52%
TP to Pivot Distance
44.2397
1.02%
DateTime Price Type
2025-12-28 08:00:00 4526 ↓ Low
2025-12-28 18:00:00 4549.86 ↑ High
2025-12-28 19:00:00 4503.1 ↓ Low
2025-12-29 10:00:00 4334 ↓ Low
2025-12-29 20:00:00 4337.99 ↓ Low
2025-12-30 03:00:00 4356.31 ↓ Low
2025-12-30 08:00:00 4411.63 ↑ High
2025-12-30 21:00:00 4376.04 ↑ High
2025-12-31 01:00:00 4281.97 ↓ Low
2025-12-31 08:00:00 4348.1 ↑ High

📌 Time Data

Start at Closed at Duration
31 Dec 2025
08:55:14
31 Dec 2025
09:30:00
34 minutes

📌 Entry & Exit

Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
4344.13 4353.0901 4326.2097 2 5181.02
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 4344.13
  • Stop Loss: 4353.0901
  • Take Profit: 4326.2097

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 4353.0901 - 4344.13 = 8.9601000000002

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 4344.13 - 4326.2097 = 17.9203

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 17.9203 / 8.9601000000002 = 2

📌 Position Size

Amount Margin Quantity Leverage
3878.6307 100 0.8928 38.79
Details

1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade

Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade

Paramètres:

  • Account Size 100
  • Risk per trade 8 %

Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8

Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade

2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter

Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss

Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price

Paramètres:

  • Risk Amount 8
  • Distance Stop Loss 8.9601000000002

Taille de position = 8 / 8.9601000000002 = 0.89

Taille de position USD = 0.89 x 4344.13 = 3866.28

Donc, tu peux acheter 0.89 avec un stoploss a 4353.0901

Avec un position size USD de 3866.28$

3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle

Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss

Perte = 0.89 x 8.9601000000002 = 7.97

Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 7.97$

4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle

Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit

Perte = 0.89 x 17.9203 = 15.95

Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 15.95$

Résumé

  • Taille de position 0.89
  • Taille de position USD 3866.28
  • Perte potentielle 7.97
  • Gain potentiel 15.95
  • Risk-Reward Ratio 2

📌 Peformances

TP % Target TP $ Target
0.41 % 16 $
SL % Target SL $ Target
0.21 % 8 $
PNL PNL %
-8 $ -0.21
Max Drawdown Max Drawdown / SL Ratio Candles in Entry
-0.2109 % 102.23 % 6

📌 ML Extra Data

Extra TP Data

                              Array
(
)
Extra SL data

                              Array
(
    [1.1] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 4326.2097
            [entry_price] => 4344.13
            [stop_loss] => 4353.98611
            [rr_ratio] => 1.82
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.1
            [closed_at] => 2025-12-31 09:45:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [1.2] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 4326.2097
            [entry_price] => 4344.13
            [stop_loss] => 4354.88212
            [rr_ratio] => 1.67
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.2
            [closed_at] => 2025-12-31 09:45:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [1.3] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 4326.2097
            [entry_price] => 4344.13
            [stop_loss] => 4355.77813
            [rr_ratio] => 1.54
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.3
            [closed_at] => 2025-12-31 09:55:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [1.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 4326.2097
            [entry_price] => 4344.13
            [stop_loss] => 4357.57015
            [rr_ratio] => 1.33
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.5
            [closed_at] => 2025-12-31 09:55:00
            [result] => loss
        )

)
Extra Pullback data

                              Array
(
    [short_term] => Array
        (
            [max_gain] => 12.89
            [max_drawdown] => 15.48
            [rr_ratio] => 0.83
            [high] => 4359.61000000
            [low] => 4331.24000000
            [mfe_pct] => 0.3
            [mae_pct] => 0.36
            [mfe_mae_ratio] => 0.83
            [candles_analyzed] => 24
            [start_at] => 2025-12-31T08:55:14-05:00
            [end_at] => 2025-12-31T10:55:14-05:00
        )

    [long_term] => Array
        (
            [max_gain] => 28.12
            [max_drawdown] => 15.48
            [rr_ratio] => 1.82
            [high] => 4359.61000000
            [low] => 4316.01000000
            [mfe_pct] => 0.65
            [mae_pct] => 0.36
            [mfe_mae_ratio] => 1.82
            [candles_analyzed] => 84
            [start_at] => 2025-12-31T08:55:14-05:00
            [end_at] => 2025-12-31T15:55:14-05:00
        )

    [breakout] => Array
        (
            [high_before] => 4348.10000000
            [high_after] => 4359.61000000
            [low_before] => 4314.78000000
            [low_after] => 4317.24000000
            [is_new_high] => 
            [is_new_low] => 
        )

)