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Short Trade on MSTR

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Short Trade on MSTR 31 Dec 2025 at 13:28:56

Take profit at 153.4894 (0.69 %) and Stop Loss at 155.0803 (0.34 %)

Short Trade on MSTR

The 31 Dec 2025 at 13:28:56

With 15.0865 MSTR at 154.55$ per unit.

Position size of 2331.619 $

Take profit at 153.4894 (0.69 %) and Stop Loss at 155.0803 (0.34 %)

That's a 2 RR Trade

Results

Status:
win
Trade Type:
sell
ML Trade Score: 100
ML Pullback Score: 8.37
Prediction Score: 0
Prediction 1 Probability
Weak Trade
0.89
Prediction 2 Probability
0 0.82
Prediction 3 Probability
0 0.57
BTC Market Regime Coin Market Regime

ml_regime : neutral

rules_regime : range_medium

rules_regime_5m : range_low

1H_regime : bear_medium

15m_regime : bear_low

5m_regime : range_low
BTC Correlation Score

5m : 0.619758

15m : 0.051963

1H : 0.039084

 0

Signal

CatchTheWave Signal - sell

Indicators:

  1. long_trend: -1
  2. short_kc: True
  3. short_kc_percentage: 0.01
  4. atr: 0.3535168828
Details
  1. score: 1.01
  2. 1H
  3. ema9 : 155.036
  4. ema21 : 155.753
  5. ema50 : 156.487
  6. ema100 : 157.141
  7. price_ema9_diff : -0.00314096
  8. ema9_ema21_diff : -0.00460089
  9. ema21_ema50_diff : -0.00469231
  10. price_ema100_diff : -0.0164893
  11. all_emas_in_trend : True
  12. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : True
  13. ema_slope_9 : -0.0730923
  14. ema_slope_21 : -0.0442075
  15. ema_slope_50 : -0.0302992
  16. ema_slope_100 : -0.0216785
  17. rsi : 0.399055
  18. adx : 0.180556
  19. kc_percentage : 0.222192
  20. kc_width_percentage : 0.0271452
  21. volume_ema_diff : -0.853432
  22. volume_ema1 : 111468.81530747
  23. volume_ema2 : 760528.13875676
  24. chop : 34.2858
  25. regime : bear_medium
    26. ¸
  26. 15m
  27. ema9 : 153.886
  28. ema21 : 154.584
  29. ema50 : 155.455
  30. ema100 : 156.022
  31. price_ema9_diff : 0.0043143
  32. ema9_ema21_diff : -0.00451743
  33. ema21_ema50_diff : -0.00560175
  34. price_ema100_diff : -0.00943702
  35. all_emas_in_trend : True
  36. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : False
  37. ema_slope_9 : -0.1005
  38. ema_slope_21 : -0.0912625
  39. ema_slope_50 : -0.0539579
  40. ema_slope_100 : -0.0317544
  41. rsi : 0.38281
  42. adx : 0.402555
  43. kc_percentage : 0.50659
  44. kc_width_percentage : 0.0166328
  45. volume_ema_diff : -0.704148
  46. volume_ema1 : 14137.039694579
  47. volume_ema2 : 47784.278542136
  48. chop : 46.0446
  49. regime : bear_low
    50. ¸
  50. 5m
  51. ema9 : 153.96
  52. ema21 : 153.872
  53. ema50 : 154.385
  54. ema100 : 155.082
  55. price_ema9_diff : 0.0038313
  56. ema9_ema21_diff : 0.000571411
  57. ema21_ema50_diff : -0.00332538
  58. price_ema100_diff : -0.00343061
  59. all_emas_in_trend : False
  60. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : False
  61. ema_slope_9 : 0.0166931
  62. ema_slope_21 : -0.00424309
  63. ema_slope_50 : -0.0203495
  64. ema_slope_100 : -0.0193657
  65. rsi : 0.60961
  66. adx : 0.213372
  67. kc_percentage : 1.00527
  68. kc_width_percentage : 0.00877304
  69. volume_ema_diff : 0.741013
  70. volume_ema1 : 20271.669687493
  71. volume_ema2 : 11643.60046809
  72. chop : 49.903
  73. regime : range_low
    74. ¸
  74. btc_indicators
  75. btc_indicators
  76. 5m_ema100: 
    88212.5
  77. 5m_price_ema100_diff: 
    -0.00314922
  78. 5m_price: 
    87934.7
  79. 5m_correlation_with_coin: 
    0.619758
  80. btc_indicators
  81. 15m_ema100: 
    88379.4
  82. 15m_price_ema100_diff: 
    -0.0062794
  83. 15m_price: 
    87824.5
  84. 15m_correlation_with_coin: 
    0.051963
  85. btc_indicators
  86. 1H_ema100: 
    88031.7
  87. 1H_price_ema100_diff: 
    -0.00110198
  88. 1H_price: 
    87934.7
  89. 1H_correlation_with_coin: 
    0.039084
    90. ¸
  90. market_structures
  91. market_structures
  92. 1H_version: 1.1
  93. 1H_market_structure: 
    Array
(
    [left_window] => 5
    [right_window] => 5
    [recent_pivots] => Array
        (
            [0] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-28 20:00:00
                    [1] => 158.34
                    [2] => L
                )

            [1] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-28 23:00:00
                    [1] => 163.33
                    [2] => H
                )

            [2] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-29 09:00:00
                    [1] => 163
                    [2] => H
                )

            [3] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-29 19:00:00
                    [1] => 154.92
                    [2] => L
                )

            [4] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-30 09:00:00
                    [1] => 154.83
                    [2] => L
                )

            [5] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-30 11:00:00
                    [1] => 159.64
                    [2] => H
                )

            [6] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-30 16:00:00
                    [1] => 155.48
                    [2] => L
                )

            [7] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-31 03:00:00
                    [1] => 156
                    [2] => L
                )

            [8] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-31 09:00:00
                    [1] => 158
                    [2] => H
                )

            [9] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-31 12:00:00
                    [1] => 153
                    [2] => L
                )

        )

    [detected_trend] => downtrend
    [features] => Array
        (
            [ms_trend_state] => -1
            [ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -2.2151898734177
            [ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 0.98039215686275
            [ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 4
            [ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 1
            [ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 3.2679738562092
            [ms_bos_up] => 0
            [ms_bos_down] => 1
            [ms_choch_up] => 0
            [ms_choch_down] => 0
        )

)
  94. market_structures
  95. 15m_version: 1.1
  96. 15m_market_structure: 
    Array
(
    [left_window] => 5
    [right_window] => 5
    [recent_pivots] => Array
        (
            [0] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-30 19:45:00
                    [1] => 155.64
                    [2] => L
                )

            [1] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-30 20:45:00
                    [1] => 156.95
                    [2] => H
                )

            [2] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-30 22:15:00
                    [1] => 156.9
                    [2] => H
                )

            [3] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-30 23:15:00
                    [1] => 156.08
                    [2] => L
                )

            [4] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-31 01:30:00
                    [1] => 156.65
                    [2] => H
                )

            [5] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-31 03:00:00
                    [1] => 156
                    [2] => L
                )

            [6] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-31 09:00:00
                    [1] => 158
                    [2] => H
                )

            [7] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-31 10:15:00
                    [1] => 153.1
                    [2] => L
                )

            [8] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-31 12:00:00
                    [1] => 153
                    [2] => L
                )

            [9] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-31 13:15:00
                    [1] => 154.56
                    [2] => H
                )

        )

    [detected_trend] => downtrend
    [features] => Array
        (
            [ms_trend_state] => -1
            [ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.038819875776399
            [ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 0.98039215686275
            [ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 0
            [ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 5
            [ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 1.0196078431373
            [ms_bos_up] => 0
            [ms_bos_down] => 1
            [ms_choch_up] => 0
            [ms_choch_down] => 0
        )

)
  97. market_structures
  98. 5m_version: 1.1
  99. 5m_market_structure: 
    Array
(
    [left_window] => 5
    [right_window] => 5
    [recent_pivots] => Array
        (
            [0] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-31 07:35:00
                    [1] => 157.18
                    [2] => H
                )

            [1] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-31 08:05:00
                    [1] => 156.86
                    [2] => L
                )

            [2] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-31 08:15:00
                    [1] => 157.29
                    [2] => H
                )

            [3] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-31 09:10:00
                    [1] => 158
                    [2] => H
                )

            [4] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-31 10:15:00
                    [1] => 153.1
                    [2] => L
                )

            [5] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-31 11:10:00
                    [1] => 154.65
                    [2] => H
                )

            [6] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-31 11:20:00
                    [1] => 154.65
                    [2] => H
                )

            [7] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-31 12:05:00
                    [1] => 153
                    [2] => L
                )

            [8] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-31 12:50:00
                    [1] => 153.17
                    [2] => L
                )

            [9] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-31 13:25:00
                    [1] => 154.56
                    [2] => H
                )

        )

    [detected_trend] => range
    [features] => Array
        (
            [ms_trend_state] => 0
            [ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.038819875776399
            [ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 0.8683162499184
            [ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 0
            [ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 7
            [ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 0.90748841156885
            [ms_bos_up] => 0
            [ms_bos_down] => 0
            [ms_choch_up] => 0
            [ms_choch_down] => 0
        )

)
    100. ¸

Market Structure

Market Structure Score: 2

5M - range

Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5

Market Structure Features:

Trend State
0
Dist From Last High Pct
-0.04%
Dist From Last Low Pct
0.87%
Bars Since Swing High
0 bars
Bars Since Swing Low
7 bars
Last Swing Amplitude Pct
0.91%
Bos Up
0
Bos Down
0
Choch Up
0
Choch Down
0

SL & TP Pivot Distance:

SL to Pivot Distance
2.9197
1.88%
TP to Pivot Distance
0.4894
0.32%
DateTime Price Type
2025-12-31 07:35:00 157.18 ↑ High
2025-12-31 08:05:00 156.86 ↓ Low
2025-12-31 08:15:00 157.29 ↑ High
2025-12-31 09:10:00 158 ↑ High
2025-12-31 10:15:00 153.1 ↓ Low
2025-12-31 11:10:00 154.65 ↑ High
2025-12-31 11:20:00 154.65 ↑ High
2025-12-31 12:05:00 153 ↓ Low
2025-12-31 12:50:00 153.17 ↓ Low
2025-12-31 13:25:00 154.56 ↑ High
15M - downtrend

Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5

Market Structure Features:

Trend State
-1
Dist From Last High Pct
-0.04%
Dist From Last Low Pct
0.98%
Bars Since Swing High
0 bars
Bars Since Swing Low
5 bars
Last Swing Amplitude Pct
1.02%
Bos Up
0
Bos Down
1
Choch Up
0
Choch Down
0

SL & TP Pivot Distance:

SL to Pivot Distance
2.9197
1.88%
TP to Pivot Distance
0.4894
0.32%
DateTime Price Type
2025-12-30 19:45:00 155.64 ↓ Low
2025-12-30 20:45:00 156.95 ↑ High
2025-12-30 22:15:00 156.9 ↑ High
2025-12-30 23:15:00 156.08 ↓ Low
2025-12-31 01:30:00 156.65 ↑ High
2025-12-31 03:00:00 156 ↓ Low
2025-12-31 09:00:00 158 ↑ High
2025-12-31 10:15:00 153.1 ↓ Low
2025-12-31 12:00:00 153 ↓ Low
2025-12-31 13:15:00 154.56 ↑ High
1H - downtrend

Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5

Market Structure Features:

Trend State
-1
Dist From Last High Pct
-2.22%
Dist From Last Low Pct
0.98%
Bars Since Swing High
4 bars
Bars Since Swing Low
1 bars
Last Swing Amplitude Pct
3.27%
Bos Up
0
Bos Down
1
Choch Up
0
Choch Down
0

SL & TP Pivot Distance:

SL to Pivot Distance
8.2497
5.32%
TP to Pivot Distance
0.4894
0.32%
DateTime Price Type
2025-12-28 20:00:00 158.34 ↓ Low
2025-12-28 23:00:00 163.33 ↑ High
2025-12-29 09:00:00 163 ↑ High
2025-12-29 19:00:00 154.92 ↓ Low
2025-12-30 09:00:00 154.83 ↓ Low
2025-12-30 11:00:00 159.64 ↑ High
2025-12-30 16:00:00 155.48 ↓ Low
2025-12-31 03:00:00 156 ↓ Low
2025-12-31 09:00:00 158 ↑ High
2025-12-31 12:00:00 153 ↓ Low

📌 Time Data

Start at Closed at Duration
31 Dec 2025
13:28:56		 31 Dec 2025
14:55:00		 1 hour

📌 Entry & Exit

Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
154.55 155.0803 153.4894 2 130.02
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 154.55
  • Stop Loss: 155.0803
  • Take Profit: 153.4894

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 155.0803 - 154.55 = 0.53029999999998

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 154.55 - 153.4894 = 1.0606

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 1.0606 / 0.53029999999998 = 2

📌 Position Size

Amount Margin Quantity Leverage
2331.619 100 15.0865 23.32
Details

1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade

Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade

Paramètres:

  • Account Size 100
  • Risk per trade 8 %

Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8

Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade

2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter

Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss

Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price

Paramètres:

  • Risk Amount 8
  • Distance Stop Loss 0.53029999999998

Taille de position = 8 / 0.53029999999998 = 15.09

Taille de position USD = 15.09 x 154.55 = 2332.16

Donc, tu peux acheter 15.09 avec un stoploss a 155.0803

Avec un position size USD de 2332.16$

3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle

Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss

Perte = 15.09 x 0.53029999999998 = 8

Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$

4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle

Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit

Perte = 15.09 x 1.0606 = 16

Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 16$

Résumé

  • Taille de position 15.09
  • Taille de position USD 2332.16
  • Perte potentielle 8
  • Gain potentiel 16
  • Risk-Reward Ratio 2

📌 Peformances

TP % Target TP $ Target
0.69 % 16 $
SL % Target SL $ Target
0.34 % 8 $
PNL PNL %
16 $ 0.69
Max Drawdown Max Drawdown / SL Ratio Candles in Entry
-0.3106 % 90.53 % 3

📌 ML Extra Data

Extra TP Data

                              Array
(
    [2] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 153.4894
            [stop_loss] => 155.0803
            [rr_ratio] => 2
            [closed_at] => 2025-12-31 14:55:00
            [result] => win
        )

    [2.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 153.22425
            [stop_loss] => 155.0803
            [rr_ratio] => 2.5
            [closed_at] => 2025-12-31 15:05:00
            [result] => win
        )

    [3] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 152.9591
            [stop_loss] => 155.0803
            [rr_ratio] => 3
            [closed_at] => 2025-12-31 15:05:00
            [result] => win
        )

    [3.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 152.69395
            [stop_loss] => 155.0803
            [rr_ratio] => 3.5
            [closed_at] => 2025-12-31 15:10:00
            [result] => win
        )

    [4] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 152.4288
            [stop_loss] => 155.0803
            [rr_ratio] => 4
            [closed_at] => 2025-12-31 15:35:00
            [result] => win
        )

    [4.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 152.16365
            [stop_loss] => 155.0803
            [rr_ratio] => 4.5
            [closed_at] => 2025-12-31 15:35:00
            [result] => win
        )

    [5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 151.8985
            [stop_loss] => 155.0803
            [rr_ratio] => 5
            [closed_at] => 2025-12-31 15:35:00
            [result] => win
        )

)
Extra SL data

                              Array
(
)
Extra Pullback data

                              Array
(
    [short_term] => Array
        (
            [max_gain] => 1.91
            [max_drawdown] => 0.47999999999999
            [rr_ratio] => 3.98
            [high] => 155.03000000
            [low] => 152.64000000
            [mfe_pct] => 1.24
            [mae_pct] => 0.31
            [mfe_mae_ratio] => 3.98
            [candles_analyzed] => 24
            [start_at] => 2025-12-31T13:28:56-05:00
            [end_at] => 2025-12-31T15:28:56-05:00
        )

    [long_term] => Array
        (
            [max_gain] => 2.85
            [max_drawdown] => 0.47999999999999
            [rr_ratio] => 5.94
            [high] => 155.03000000
            [low] => 151.70000000
            [mfe_pct] => 1.84
            [mae_pct] => 0.31
            [mfe_mae_ratio] => 5.94
            [candles_analyzed] => 84
            [start_at] => 2025-12-31T13:28:56-05:00
            [end_at] => 2025-12-31T20:28:56-05:00
        )

    [breakout] => Array
        (
            [high_before] => 157.04000000
            [high_after] => 155.03000000
            [low_before] => 153.00000000
            [low_after] => 151.70000000
            [is_new_high] => 
            [is_new_low] => 1
        )

)