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Short Trade on AVAX

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Short Trade on AVAX 31 Dec 2025 at 15:59:01

Take profit at 12.2939 (0.54 %) and Stop Loss at 12.3945 (0.27 %)

Short Trade on AVAX

The 31 Dec 2025 at 15:59:01

With 238.4777 AVAX at 12.361$ per unit.

Position size of 2947.8223 $

Take profit at 12.2939 (0.54 %) and Stop Loss at 12.3945 (0.27 %)

That's a 2 RR Trade

Results

Status:
win
Trade Type:
sell
ML Trade Score: 30
ML Pullback Score: 3.78
Prediction Score: 3
Prediction 1 Probability
Weak Trade
0.91
Prediction 2 Probability
0 0.74
Prediction 3 Probability
0 0.76
BTC Market Regime Coin Market Regime

ml_regime : bear_low_vol

rules_regime : bear_medium

rules_regime_5m : bear_low

1H_regime : bear_medium

15m_regime : bear_low

5m_regime : range_low
BTC Correlation Score

5m : 0.746006

15m : -0.054433

1H : -0.056398

 3

Signal

CatchTheWave Signal - sell

Indicators:

  1. long_trend: -1
  2. short_kc: True
  3. short_kc_percentage: 0.08
  4. atr: 0.02236408017
Details
  1. score: 1.08
  2. 1H
  3. ema9 : 12.3956
  4. ema21 : 12.4561
  5. ema50 : 12.5095
  6. ema100 : 12.5502
  7. price_ema9_diff : -0.00279488
  8. ema9_ema21_diff : -0.00486046
  9. ema21_ema50_diff : -0.00426842
  10. price_ema100_diff : -0.0150832
  11. all_emas_in_trend : True
  12. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : True
  13. ema_slope_9 : -0.0984281
  14. ema_slope_21 : -0.0572541
  15. ema_slope_50 : -0.0319791
  16. ema_slope_100 : -0.0203498
  17. rsi : 0.391203
  18. adx : 0.197207
  19. kc_percentage : 0.241632
  20. kc_width_percentage : 0.0288395
  21. volume_ema_diff : 0.0823976
  22. volume_ema1 : 574489.54925737
  23. volume_ema2 : 530756.46076413
  24. chop : 31.0265
  25. regime : bear_medium
    26. ¸
  26. 15m
  27. ema9 : 12.3096
  28. ema21 : 12.3496
  29. ema50 : 12.4188
  30. ema100 : 12.4598
  31. price_ema9_diff : 0.00416756
  32. ema9_ema21_diff : -0.00323147
  33. ema21_ema50_diff : -0.00557602
  34. price_ema100_diff : -0.00793652
  35. all_emas_in_trend : True
  36. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : False
  37. ema_slope_9 : -0.036289
  38. ema_slope_21 : -0.0521666
  39. ema_slope_50 : -0.0417925
  40. ema_slope_100 : -0.0255194
  41. rsi : 0.371287
  42. adx : 0.37171
  43. kc_percentage : 0.594243
  44. kc_width_percentage : 0.0126712
  45. volume_ema_diff : -0.563927
  46. volume_ema1 : 63425.181836538
  47. volume_ema2 : 145446.28634002
  48. chop : 62.4129
  49. regime : bear_low
    50. ¸
  50. 5m
  51. ema9 : 12.3095
  52. ema21 : 12.3083
  53. ema50 : 12.3368
  54. ema100 : 12.386
  55. price_ema9_diff : 0.00417859
  56. ema9_ema21_diff : 9.74068E-5
  57. ema21_ema50_diff : -0.00230611
  58. price_ema100_diff : -0.0020237
  59. all_emas_in_trend : False
  60. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : False
  61. ema_slope_9 : -0.00942686
  62. ema_slope_21 : -0.0162937
  63. ema_slope_50 : -0.0184866
  64. ema_slope_100 : -0.0173756
  65. rsi : 0.661188
  66. adx : 0.304953
  67. kc_percentage : 1.07583
  68. kc_width_percentage : 0.00747318
  69. volume_ema_diff : -0.290435
  70. volume_ema1 : 32980.337157775
  71. volume_ema2 : 46479.667051043
  72. chop : 33.0269
  73. regime : range_low
    74. ¸
  74. btc_indicators
  75. btc_indicators
  76. 5m_ema100: 
    87932.5
  77. 5m_price_ema100_diff: 
    -0.00303926
  78. 5m_price: 
    87665.3
  79. 5m_correlation_with_coin: 
    0.746006
  80. btc_indicators
  81. 15m_ema100: 
    88189.8
  82. 15m_price_ema100_diff: 
    -0.00908554
  83. 15m_price: 
    87388.6
  84. 15m_correlation_with_coin: 
    -0.054433
  85. btc_indicators
  86. 1H_ema100: 
    88010.5
  87. 1H_price_ema100_diff: 
    -0.00392232
  88. 1H_price: 
    87665.3
  89. 1H_correlation_with_coin: 
    -0.056398
    90. ¸
  90. market_structures
  91. market_structures
  92. 1H_version: 1.1
  93. 1H_market_structure: 
    Array
(
    [left_window] => 5
    [right_window] => 5
    [recent_pivots] => Array
        (
            [0] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-29 15:00:00
                    [1] => 12.329
                    [2] => L
                )

            [1] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-29 22:00:00
                    [1] => 12.312
                    [2] => L
                )

            [2] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-30 03:00:00
                    [1] => 12.549
                    [2] => H
                )

            [3] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-30 09:00:00
                    [1] => 12.434
                    [2] => L
                )

            [4] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-30 11:00:00
                    [1] => 12.642
                    [2] => H
                )

            [5] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-30 15:00:00
                    [1] => 12.451
                    [2] => L
                )

            [6] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-30 20:00:00
                    [1] => 12.71
                    [2] => H
                )

            [7] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-31 04:00:00
                    [1] => 12.466
                    [2] => L
                )

            [8] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-31 09:00:00
                    [1] => 12.671
                    [2] => H
                )

            [9] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-31 11:00:00
                    [1] => 12.193
                    [2] => L
                )

        )

    [detected_trend] => downtrend
    [features] => Array
        (
            [ms_trend_state] => -1
            [ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -2.5885881145924
            [ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 1.230214057246
            [ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 6
            [ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 4
            [ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 3.9202821290905
            [ms_bos_up] => 0
            [ms_bos_down] => 1
            [ms_choch_up] => 0
            [ms_choch_down] => 1
        )

)
  94. market_structures
  95. 15m_version: 1.1
  96. 15m_market_structure: 
    Array
(
    [left_window] => 5
    [right_window] => 5
    [recent_pivots] => Array
        (
            [0] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-30 22:30:00
                    [1] => 12.576
                    [2] => L
                )

            [1] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-31 03:15:00
                    [1] => 12.563
                    [2] => H
                )

            [2] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-31 04:30:00
                    [1] => 12.466
                    [2] => L
                )

            [3] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-31 07:00:00
                    [1] => 12.587
                    [2] => H
                )

            [4] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-31 07:30:00
                    [1] => 12.519
                    [2] => L
                )

            [5] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-31 09:00:00
                    [1] => 12.671
                    [2] => H
                )

            [6] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-31 11:30:00
                    [1] => 12.193
                    [2] => L
                )

            [7] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-31 13:00:00
                    [1] => 12.377
                    [2] => H
                )

            [8] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-31 15:00:00
                    [1] => 12.253
                    [2] => L
                )

            [9] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-31 15:45:00
                    [1] => 12.368
                    [2] => H
                )

        )

    [detected_trend] => range
    [features] => Array
        (
            [ms_trend_state] => 0
            [ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.20213454075033
            [ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 0.73451399657227
            [ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 0
            [ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 3
            [ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 0.93854566228679
            [ms_bos_up] => 0
            [ms_bos_down] => 0
            [ms_choch_up] => 0
            [ms_choch_down] => 0
        )

)
  97. market_structures
  98. 5m_version: 1.1
  99. 5m_market_structure: 
    Array
(
    [left_window] => 5
    [right_window] => 5
    [recent_pivots] => Array
        (
            [0] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-31 08:30:00
                    [1] => 12.536
                    [2] => L
                )

            [1] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-31 09:05:00
                    [1] => 12.671
                    [2] => H
                )

            [2] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-31 10:30:00
                    [1] => 12.426
                    [2] => L
                )

            [3] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-31 11:40:00
                    [1] => 12.193
                    [2] => L
                )

            [4] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-31 12:25:00
                    [1] => 12.352
                    [2] => H
                )

            [5] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-31 13:10:00
                    [1] => 12.377
                    [2] => H
                )

            [6] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-31 13:40:00
                    [1] => 12.37
                    [2] => H
                )

            [7] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-31 14:15:00
                    [1] => 12.347
                    [2] => H
                )

            [8] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-31 15:10:00
                    [1] => 12.253
                    [2] => L
                )

            [9] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-31 15:55:00
                    [1] => 12.368
                    [2] => H
                )

        )

    [detected_trend] => uptrend
    [features] => Array
        (
            [ms_trend_state] => 1
            [ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.20213454075033
            [ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 0.73451399657227
            [ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 0
            [ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 9
            [ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 0.93854566228679
            [ms_bos_up] => 1
            [ms_bos_down] => 0
            [ms_choch_up] => 1
            [ms_choch_down] => 0
        )

)
    100. ¸

Market Structure

Market Structure Score: 1

5M - uptrend

Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5

Market Structure Features:

Trend State
1
Dist From Last High Pct
-0.20%
Dist From Last Low Pct
0.73%
Bars Since Swing High
0 bars
Bars Since Swing Low
9 bars
Last Swing Amplitude Pct
0.94%
Bos Up
1
Bos Down
0
Choch Up
1
Choch Down
0

SL & TP Pivot Distance:

SL to Pivot Distance
0.2765
2.23%
TP to Pivot Distance
0.1009
0.82%
DateTime Price Type
2025-12-31 08:30:00 12.536 ↓ Low
2025-12-31 09:05:00 12.671 ↑ High
2025-12-31 10:30:00 12.426 ↓ Low
2025-12-31 11:40:00 12.193 ↓ Low
2025-12-31 12:25:00 12.352 ↑ High
2025-12-31 13:10:00 12.377 ↑ High
2025-12-31 13:40:00 12.37 ↑ High
2025-12-31 14:15:00 12.347 ↑ High
2025-12-31 15:10:00 12.253 ↓ Low
2025-12-31 15:55:00 12.368 ↑ High
15M - range

Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5

Market Structure Features:

Trend State
0
Dist From Last High Pct
-0.20%
Dist From Last Low Pct
0.73%
Bars Since Swing High
0 bars
Bars Since Swing Low
3 bars
Last Swing Amplitude Pct
0.94%
Bos Up
0
Bos Down
0
Choch Up
0
Choch Down
0

SL & TP Pivot Distance:

SL to Pivot Distance
0.2765
2.23%
TP to Pivot Distance
0.1009
0.82%
DateTime Price Type
2025-12-30 22:30:00 12.576 ↓ Low
2025-12-31 03:15:00 12.563 ↑ High
2025-12-31 04:30:00 12.466 ↓ Low
2025-12-31 07:00:00 12.587 ↑ High
2025-12-31 07:30:00 12.519 ↓ Low
2025-12-31 09:00:00 12.671 ↑ High
2025-12-31 11:30:00 12.193 ↓ Low
2025-12-31 13:00:00 12.377 ↑ High
2025-12-31 15:00:00 12.253 ↓ Low
2025-12-31 15:45:00 12.368 ↑ High
1H - downtrend

Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5

Market Structure Features:

Trend State
-1
Dist From Last High Pct
-2.59%
Dist From Last Low Pct
1.23%
Bars Since Swing High
6 bars
Bars Since Swing Low
4 bars
Last Swing Amplitude Pct
3.92%
Bos Up
0
Bos Down
1
Choch Up
0
Choch Down
1

SL & TP Pivot Distance:

SL to Pivot Distance
0.3155
2.55%
TP to Pivot Distance
0.1009
0.82%
DateTime Price Type
2025-12-29 15:00:00 12.329 ↓ Low
2025-12-29 22:00:00 12.312 ↓ Low
2025-12-30 03:00:00 12.549 ↑ High
2025-12-30 09:00:00 12.434 ↓ Low
2025-12-30 11:00:00 12.642 ↑ High
2025-12-30 15:00:00 12.451 ↓ Low
2025-12-30 20:00:00 12.71 ↑ High
2025-12-31 04:00:00 12.466 ↓ Low
2025-12-31 09:00:00 12.671 ↑ High
2025-12-31 11:00:00 12.193 ↓ Low

📌 Time Data

Start at Closed at Duration
31 Dec 2025
15:59:01		 31 Dec 2025
22:25:00		 6 hours

📌 Entry & Exit

Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
12.361 12.3945 12.2939 2 9.259
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 12.361
  • Stop Loss: 12.3945
  • Take Profit: 12.2939

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 12.3945 - 12.361 = 0.0335

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 12.361 - 12.2939 = 0.0671

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.0671 / 0.0335 = 2.003

📌 Position Size

Amount Margin Quantity Leverage
2947.8223 100 238.4777 29.48
Details

1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade

Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade

Paramètres:

  • Account Size 100
  • Risk per trade 8 %

Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8

Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade

2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter

Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss

Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price

Paramètres:

  • Risk Amount 8
  • Distance Stop Loss 0.0335

Taille de position = 8 / 0.0335 = 238.81

Taille de position USD = 238.81 x 12.361 = 2951.93

Donc, tu peux acheter 238.81 avec un stoploss a 12.3945

Avec un position size USD de 2951.93$

3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle

Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss

Perte = 238.81 x 0.0335 = 8

Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$

4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle

Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit

Perte = 238.81 x 0.0671 = 16.02

Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 16.02$

Résumé

  • Taille de position 238.81
  • Taille de position USD 2951.93
  • Perte potentielle 8
  • Gain potentiel 16.02
  • Risk-Reward Ratio 2.003

📌 Peformances

TP % Target TP $ Target
0.54 % 16 $
SL % Target SL $ Target
0.27 % 7.99 $
PNL PNL %
16 $ 0.54
Max Drawdown Max Drawdown / SL Ratio Candles in Entry
-0.178 % 65.68 % 15

📌 ML Extra Data

Extra TP Data

                              Array
(
)
Extra SL data

                              Array
(
)
Extra Pullback data

                              Array
(
    [short_term] => Array
        (
            [max_gain] => 0.034000000000001
            [max_drawdown] => 0.021999999999998
            [rr_ratio] => 1.55
            [high] => 12.38300000
            [low] => 12.32700000
            [mfe_pct] => 0.28
            [mae_pct] => 0.18
            [mfe_mae_ratio] => 1.55
            [candles_analyzed] => 24
            [start_at] => 2025-12-31T15:59:01-05:00
            [end_at] => 2025-12-31T17:59:01-05:00
        )

    [long_term] => Array
        (
            [max_gain] => 0.093
            [max_drawdown] => 0.021999999999998
            [rr_ratio] => 4.23
            [high] => 12.38300000
            [low] => 12.26800000
            [mfe_pct] => 0.75
            [mae_pct] => 0.18
            [mfe_mae_ratio] => 4.23
            [candles_analyzed] => 84
            [start_at] => 2025-12-31T15:59:01-05:00
            [end_at] => 2025-12-31T22:59:01-05:00
        )

    [breakout] => Array
        (
            [high_before] => 12.37700000
            [high_after] => 12.38300000
            [low_before] => 12.25300000
            [low_after] => 12.30600000
            [is_new_high] => 
            [is_new_low] => 
        )

)