Short Trade on ETC 31 Dec 2025 at 16:02:24
Take profit at 11.3913 (0.8 %) and Stop Loss at 11.5289 (0.4 %)
Short Trade on ETC 31 Dec 2025 at 16:02:24
Take profit at 11.3913 (0.8 %) and Stop Loss at 11.5289 (0.4 %)
Position size of 2002.9544 $
Take profit at 11.3913 (0.8 %) and Stop Loss at 11.5289 (0.4 %)
That's a 2 RR Trade| Prediction 1 | Probability |
|---|---|
|
Weak Trade
|
0.55 |
| Prediction 2 | Probability |
|---|---|
| 0 | 0.67 |
| Prediction 3 | Probability |
|---|---|
| 1 | 0.56 |
| BTC Market Regime | Coin Market Regime |
|---|---|
|
ml_regime : bear_low_vol rules_regime : bear_medium rules_regime_5m : bear_low |
1H_regime : bear_high 15m_regime : bear_medium 5m_regime : range_low |
| BTC Correlation | Score |
|---|---|
|
5m : 0.573822 15m : -0.114072 1H : -0.066203 |
3 |
Indicators:
87927.1
-0.00280717
87680.3
0.573822
88175.7
-0.00561885
87680.3
-0.114072
87994.3
-0.00356913
87680.3
-0.066203
Array
(
[left_window] => 5
[right_window] => 5
[recent_pivots] => Array
(
[0] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-28 16:00:00
[1] => 12.009
[2] => L
)
[1] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-28 23:00:00
[1] => 12.484
[2] => H
)
[2] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-29 09:00:00
[1] => 11.863
[2] => L
)
[3] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-30 00:00:00
[1] => 11.832
[2] => L
)
[4] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-30 03:00:00
[1] => 12.06
[2] => H
)
[5] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-30 09:00:00
[1] => 11.852
[2] => L
)
[6] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-30 11:00:00
[1] => 12.046
[2] => H
)
[7] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-30 17:00:00
[1] => 11.804
[2] => L
)
[8] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-30 20:00:00
[1] => 11.942
[2] => H
)
[9] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-31 13:00:00
[1] => 11.31
[2] => L
)
)
[detected_trend] => downtrend
[features] => Array
(
[ms_trend_state] => -1
[ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -4.0194272316195
[ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 1.3439434129089
[ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 20
[ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 3
[ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 5.5879752431477
[ms_bos_up] => 0
[ms_bos_down] => 1
[ms_choch_up] => 0
[ms_choch_down] => 0
)
)
Array
(
[left_window] => 5
[right_window] => 5
[recent_pivots] => Array
(
[0] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-30 23:45:00
[1] => 11.794
[2] => L
)
[1] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-31 02:15:00
[1] => 11.802
[2] => L
)
[2] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-31 03:00:00
[1] => 11.89
[2] => H
)
[3] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-31 03:45:00
[1] => 11.785
[2] => L
)
[4] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-31 05:30:00
[1] => 11.77
[2] => L
)
[5] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-31 06:45:00
[1] => 11.889
[2] => H
)
[6] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-31 09:00:00
[1] => 11.869
[2] => H
)
[7] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-31 13:00:00
[1] => 11.31
[2] => L
)
[8] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-31 15:00:00
[1] => 11.317
[2] => L
)
[9] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-31 15:45:00
[1] => 11.515
[2] => H
)
)
[detected_trend] => range
[features] => Array
(
[ms_trend_state] => 0
[ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.46026921406861
[ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 1.2812582839975
[ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 1
[ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 4
[ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 1.7495802774587
[ms_bos_up] => 0
[ms_bos_down] => 0
[ms_choch_up] => 0
[ms_choch_down] => 0
)
)
Array
(
[left_window] => 5
[right_window] => 5
[recent_pivots] => Array
(
[0] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-31 09:35:00
[1] => 11.732
[2] => L
)
[1] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-31 10:20:00
[1] => 11.793
[2] => H
)
[2] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-31 11:15:00
[1] => 11.75
[2] => H
)
[3] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-31 11:40:00
[1] => 11.474
[2] => L
)
[4] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-31 13:00:00
[1] => 11.31
[2] => L
)
[5] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-31 13:45:00
[1] => 11.434
[2] => H
)
[6] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-31 14:00:00
[1] => 11.384
[2] => L
)
[7] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-31 14:30:00
[1] => 11.469
[2] => H
)
[8] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-31 15:10:00
[1] => 11.317
[2] => L
)
[9] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-31 15:55:00
[1] => 11.515
[2] => H
)
)
[detected_trend] => range
[features] => Array
(
[ms_trend_state] => 0
[ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.46026921406861
[ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 1.2812582839975
[ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 1
[ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 10
[ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 1.7495802774587
[ms_bos_up] => 1
[ms_bos_down] => 1
[ms_choch_up] => 0
[ms_choch_down] => 0
)
)
Market Structure Score: 1
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2025-12-31 09:35:00 | 11.732 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-31 10:20:00 | 11.793 | ↑ High |
| 2025-12-31 11:15:00 | 11.75 | ↑ High |
| 2025-12-31 11:40:00 | 11.474 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-31 13:00:00 | 11.31 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-31 13:45:00 | 11.434 | ↑ High |
| 2025-12-31 14:00:00 | 11.384 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-31 14:30:00 | 11.469 | ↑ High |
| 2025-12-31 15:10:00 | 11.317 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-31 15:55:00 | 11.515 | ↑ High |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2025-12-30 23:45:00 | 11.794 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-31 02:15:00 | 11.802 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-31 03:00:00 | 11.89 | ↑ High |
| 2025-12-31 03:45:00 | 11.785 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-31 05:30:00 | 11.77 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-31 06:45:00 | 11.889 | ↑ High |
| 2025-12-31 09:00:00 | 11.869 | ↑ High |
| 2025-12-31 13:00:00 | 11.31 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-31 15:00:00 | 11.317 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-31 15:45:00 | 11.515 | ↑ High |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2025-12-28 16:00:00 | 12.009 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-28 23:00:00 | 12.484 | ↑ High |
| 2025-12-29 09:00:00 | 11.863 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-30 00:00:00 | 11.832 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-30 03:00:00 | 12.06 | ↑ High |
| 2025-12-30 09:00:00 | 11.852 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-30 11:00:00 | 12.046 | ↑ High |
| 2025-12-30 17:00:00 | 11.804 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-30 20:00:00 | 11.942 | ↑ High |
| 2025-12-31 13:00:00 | 11.31 | ↓ Low |
| Start at | Closed at | Duration |
|---|---|---|
| 31 Dec 2025 16:02:24 |
31 Dec 2025 17:25:00 |
1 hour |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11.483 | 11.5289 | 11.3913 | 2 | 8.92 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 11.5289 - 11.483 = 0.0459
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 11.483 - 11.3913 = 0.091700000000001
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.091700000000001 / 0.0459 = 1.9978
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2002.9544 | 100 | 174.4278 | 20.03 |
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
Taille de position = 8 / 0.0459 = 174.29
Taille de position USD = 174.29 x 11.483 = 2001.37
Donc, tu peux acheter 174.29 avec un stoploss a 11.5289
Avec un position size USD de 2001.37$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = 174.29 x 0.0459 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = 174.29 x 0.091700000000001 = 15.98
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 15.98$
Résumé
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.8 % | 16 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.4 % | 8.01 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| -8.01 $ | -0.40 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -0.4093 % | 102.4 % | 8 |
Array
(
)
Array
(
[1.1] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 11.3913
[entry_price] => 11.483
[stop_loss] => 11.53349
[rr_ratio] => 1.82
[sl_change_percentage] => 1.1
[closed_at] => 2025-12-31 19:25:00
[result] => loss
)
[1.2] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 11.3913
[entry_price] => 11.483
[stop_loss] => 11.53808
[rr_ratio] => 1.66
[sl_change_percentage] => 1.2
[closed_at] => 2025-12-31 19:25:00
[result] => loss
)
[1.3] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 11.3913
[entry_price] => 11.483
[stop_loss] => 11.54267
[rr_ratio] => 1.54
[sl_change_percentage] => 1.3
[closed_at] => 2025-12-31 19:25:00
[result] => loss
)
[1.5] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 11.3913
[entry_price] => 11.483
[stop_loss] => 11.55185
[rr_ratio] => 1.33
[sl_change_percentage] => 1.5
[closed_at] => 2025-12-31 19:30:00
[result] => loss
)
)
Array
(
[short_term] => Array
(
[max_gain] => 0.021000000000001
[max_drawdown] => 0.046999999999999
[rr_ratio] => 0.45
[high] => 11.53000000
[low] => 11.46200000
[mfe_pct] => 0.18
[mae_pct] => 0.41
[mfe_mae_ratio] => 0.45
[candles_analyzed] => 24
[start_at] => 2025-12-31T16:02:24-05:00
[end_at] => 2025-12-31T18:02:24-05:00
)
[long_term] => Array
(
[max_gain] => 0.027000000000001
[max_drawdown] => 0.084
[rr_ratio] => 0.32
[high] => 11.56700000
[low] => 11.45600000
[mfe_pct] => 0.24
[mae_pct] => 0.73
[mfe_mae_ratio] => 0.32
[candles_analyzed] => 84
[start_at] => 2025-12-31T16:02:24-05:00
[end_at] => 2025-12-31T23:02:24-05:00
)
[breakout] => Array
(
[high_before] => 11.51600000
[high_after] => 11.56700000
[low_before] => 11.31000000
[low_after] => 11.45600000
[is_new_high] =>
[is_new_low] =>
)
)