Short Trade on AVAX 31 Dec 2025 at 16:20:01

Take profit at 12.3018 (0.49 %) and Stop Loss at 12.3921 (0.24 %)

Short Trade on AVAX

The 31 Dec 2025 at 16:20:01

With 265.5924 AVAX at 12.362$ per unit.

Position size of 3283.2528 $

Take profit at 12.3018 (0.49 %) and Stop Loss at 12.3921 (0.24 %)

That's a 2 RR Trade

Results

Status:
win
Trade Type:
sell
ML Trade Score: 40
ML Pullback Score: 4.66
Prediction Score: 0
Prediction 1 Probability
Weak Trade
0.86
Prediction 2 Probability
0 0.72
Prediction 3 Probability
0 0.73
BTC Market Regime Coin Market Regime

ml_regime : neutral

rules_regime : range_medium

rules_regime_5m : range_low

1H_regime : bear_medium

15m_regime : bear_low

5m_regime : range_low

BTC Correlation Score

5m : 0.734912

15m : -0.117437

1H : -0.026781

0

Signal

CatchTheWave Signal - sell

Indicators:

  1. long_trend: -1
  2. short_kc: True
  3. short_kc_percentage: 0.01
  4. atr: 0.02008089834
Details
  1. score: 1.01
  2. 1H
  3. ema9 : 12.386
  4. ema21 : 12.4461
  5. ema50 : 12.5022
  6. ema100 : 12.5395
  7. price_ema9_diff : -0.00194053
  8. ema9_ema21_diff : -0.00482865
  9. ema21_ema50_diff : -0.00448616
  10. price_ema100_diff : -0.0141623
  11. all_emas_in_trend : True
  12. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : True
  13. ema_slope_9 : -0.0986666
  14. ema_slope_21 : -0.0612068
  15. ema_slope_50 : -0.0343319
  16. ema_slope_100 : -0.0207742
  17. rsi : 0.393957
  18. adx : 0.2053
  19. kc_percentage : 0.25643
  20. kc_width_percentage : 0.0268596
  21. volume_ema_diff : -0.221719
  22. volume_ema1 : 400314.4001938
  23. volume_ema2 : 514357.47821306
  24. chop : 31.3936
  25. regime : bear_medium
  26. ¸
  27. 15m
  28. ema9 : 12.3311
  29. ema21 : 12.3534
  30. ema50 : 12.4155
  31. ema100 : 12.4584
  32. price_ema9_diff : 0.00250431
  33. ema9_ema21_diff : -0.0018039
  34. ema21_ema50_diff : -0.00500693
  35. price_ema100_diff : -0.00774505
  36. all_emas_in_trend : True
  37. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : False
  38. ema_slope_9 : -0.0169853
  39. ema_slope_21 : -0.0399021
  40. ema_slope_50 : -0.0372245
  41. ema_slope_100 : -0.0241161
  42. rsi : 0.485641
  43. adx : 0.324582
  44. kc_percentage : 0.57124
  45. kc_width_percentage : 0.0127158
  46. volume_ema_diff : -0.627132
  47. volume_ema1 : 51991.484108832
  48. volume_ema2 : 139436.7624537
  49. chop : 61.5026
  50. regime : bear_low
  51. ¸
  52. 5m
  53. ema9 : 12.335
  54. ema21 : 12.3218
  55. ema50 : 12.3392
  56. ema100 : 12.3868
  57. price_ema9_diff : 0.00218816
  58. ema9_ema21_diff : 0.00106609
  59. ema21_ema50_diff : -0.00140866
  60. price_ema100_diff : -0.00200519
  61. all_emas_in_trend : False
  62. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : False
  63. ema_slope_9 : 0.0286919
  64. ema_slope_21 : 0.00583416
  65. ema_slope_50 : -0.0081741
  66. ema_slope_100 : -0.0126846
  67. rsi : 0.657727
  68. adx : 0.325026
  69. kc_percentage : 1.00553
  70. kc_width_percentage : 0.00638917
  71. volume_ema_diff : -0.65694
  72. volume_ema1 : 14114.476345157
  73. volume_ema2 : 41142.888115316
  74. chop : 34.4732
  75. regime : range_low
  76. ¸
  77. btc_indicators
  78. btc_indicators
  79. 5m_ema100:
    87912.5
  80. 5m_price_ema100_diff:
    -0.00200098
  81. 5m_price:
    87736.6
  82. 5m_correlation_with_coin:
    0.734912
  83. btc_indicators
  84. 15m_ema100:
    88166.4
  85. 15m_price_ema100_diff:
    -0.00487556
  86. 15m_price:
    87736.6
  87. 15m_correlation_with_coin:
    -0.117437
  88. btc_indicators
  89. 1H_ema100:
    87995.4
  90. 1H_price_ema100_diff:
    -0.00294194
  91. 1H_price:
    87736.6
  92. 1H_correlation_with_coin:
    -0.026781
  93. ¸
  94. market_structures
  95. market_structures
  96. 1H_version: 1.1
  97. 1H_market_structure:
    Array
    (
        [left_window] => 5
        [right_window] => 5
        [recent_pivots] => Array
            (
                [0] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-29 15:00:00
                        [1] => 12.329
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [1] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-29 22:00:00
                        [1] => 12.312
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [2] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-30 03:00:00
                        [1] => 12.549
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [3] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-30 09:00:00
                        [1] => 12.434
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [4] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-30 11:00:00
                        [1] => 12.642
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [5] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-30 15:00:00
                        [1] => 12.451
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [6] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-30 20:00:00
                        [1] => 12.71
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [7] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-31 04:00:00
                        [1] => 12.466
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [8] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-31 09:00:00
                        [1] => 12.671
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [9] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-31 11:00:00
                        [1] => 12.193
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
            )
    
        [detected_trend] => downtrend
        [features] => Array
            (
                [ms_trend_state] => -1
                [ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -2.4386394128324
                [ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 1.3860411711638
                [ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 7
                [ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 5
                [ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 3.9202821290905
                [ms_bos_up] => 0
                [ms_bos_down] => 1
                [ms_choch_up] => 0
                [ms_choch_down] => 1
            )
    
    )
    
  98. market_structures
  99. 15m_version: 1.1
  100. 15m_market_structure:
    Array
    (
        [left_window] => 5
        [right_window] => 5
        [recent_pivots] => Array
            (
                [0] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-30 22:30:00
                        [1] => 12.576
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [1] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-31 03:15:00
                        [1] => 12.563
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [2] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-31 04:30:00
                        [1] => 12.466
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [3] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-31 07:00:00
                        [1] => 12.587
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [4] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-31 07:30:00
                        [1] => 12.519
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [5] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-31 09:00:00
                        [1] => 12.671
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [6] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-31 11:30:00
                        [1] => 12.193
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [7] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-31 13:00:00
                        [1] => 12.377
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [8] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-31 15:00:00
                        [1] => 12.253
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [9] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-31 15:45:00
                        [1] => 12.368
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
            )
    
        [detected_trend] => range
        [features] => Array
            (
                [ms_trend_state] => 0
                [ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.048512289780079
                [ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 0.8895780625153
                [ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 2
                [ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 5
                [ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 0.93854566228679
                [ms_bos_up] => 0
                [ms_bos_down] => 0
                [ms_choch_up] => 0
                [ms_choch_down] => 0
            )
    
    )
    
  101. market_structures
  102. 5m_version: 1.1
  103. 5m_market_structure:
    Array
    (
        [left_window] => 5
        [right_window] => 5
        [recent_pivots] => Array
            (
                [0] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-31 08:30:00
                        [1] => 12.536
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [1] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-31 09:05:00
                        [1] => 12.671
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [2] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-31 10:30:00
                        [1] => 12.426
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [3] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-31 11:40:00
                        [1] => 12.193
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [4] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-31 12:25:00
                        [1] => 12.352
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [5] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-31 13:10:00
                        [1] => 12.377
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [6] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-31 13:40:00
                        [1] => 12.37
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [7] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-31 14:15:00
                        [1] => 12.347
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [8] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-31 15:10:00
                        [1] => 12.253
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [9] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-31 15:55:00
                        [1] => 12.368
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
            )
    
        [detected_trend] => uptrend
        [features] => Array
            (
                [ms_trend_state] => 1
                [ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.048512289780079
                [ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 0.8895780625153
                [ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 5
                [ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 14
                [ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 0.93854566228679
                [ms_bos_up] => 1
                [ms_bos_down] => 0
                [ms_choch_up] => 1
                [ms_choch_down] => 0
            )
    
    )
    
  104. ¸

Market Structure

Market Structure Score: 1

5M - uptrend

Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5

Market Structure Features:

Trend State
1
Dist From Last High Pct
-0.05%
Dist From Last Low Pct
0.89%
Bars Since Swing High
5 bars
Bars Since Swing Low
14 bars
Last Swing Amplitude Pct
0.94%
Bos Up
1
Bos Down
0
Choch Up
1
Choch Down
0

SL & TP Pivot Distance:

SL to Pivot Distance
0.2789
2.25%
TP to Pivot Distance
0.1088
0.88%
DateTime Price Type
2025-12-31 08:30:00 12.536 ↓ Low
2025-12-31 09:05:00 12.671 ↑ High
2025-12-31 10:30:00 12.426 ↓ Low
2025-12-31 11:40:00 12.193 ↓ Low
2025-12-31 12:25:00 12.352 ↑ High
2025-12-31 13:10:00 12.377 ↑ High
2025-12-31 13:40:00 12.37 ↑ High
2025-12-31 14:15:00 12.347 ↑ High
2025-12-31 15:10:00 12.253 ↓ Low
2025-12-31 15:55:00 12.368 ↑ High
15M - range

Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5

Market Structure Features:

Trend State
0
Dist From Last High Pct
-0.05%
Dist From Last Low Pct
0.89%
Bars Since Swing High
2 bars
Bars Since Swing Low
5 bars
Last Swing Amplitude Pct
0.94%
Bos Up
0
Bos Down
0
Choch Up
0
Choch Down
0

SL & TP Pivot Distance:

SL to Pivot Distance
0.2789
2.25%
TP to Pivot Distance
0.1088
0.88%
DateTime Price Type
2025-12-30 22:30:00 12.576 ↓ Low
2025-12-31 03:15:00 12.563 ↑ High
2025-12-31 04:30:00 12.466 ↓ Low
2025-12-31 07:00:00 12.587 ↑ High
2025-12-31 07:30:00 12.519 ↓ Low
2025-12-31 09:00:00 12.671 ↑ High
2025-12-31 11:30:00 12.193 ↓ Low
2025-12-31 13:00:00 12.377 ↑ High
2025-12-31 15:00:00 12.253 ↓ Low
2025-12-31 15:45:00 12.368 ↑ High
1H - downtrend

Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5

Market Structure Features:

Trend State
-1
Dist From Last High Pct
-2.44%
Dist From Last Low Pct
1.39%
Bars Since Swing High
7 bars
Bars Since Swing Low
5 bars
Last Swing Amplitude Pct
3.92%
Bos Up
0
Bos Down
1
Choch Up
0
Choch Down
1

SL & TP Pivot Distance:

SL to Pivot Distance
0.3179
2.57%
TP to Pivot Distance
0.1088
0.88%
DateTime Price Type
2025-12-29 15:00:00 12.329 ↓ Low
2025-12-29 22:00:00 12.312 ↓ Low
2025-12-30 03:00:00 12.549 ↑ High
2025-12-30 09:00:00 12.434 ↓ Low
2025-12-30 11:00:00 12.642 ↑ High
2025-12-30 15:00:00 12.451 ↓ Low
2025-12-30 20:00:00 12.71 ↑ High
2025-12-31 04:00:00 12.466 ↓ Low
2025-12-31 09:00:00 12.671 ↑ High
2025-12-31 11:00:00 12.193 ↓ Low

📌 Time Data

Start at Closed at Duration
31 Dec 2025
16:20:01
31 Dec 2025
22:00:00
5 hours

📌 Entry & Exit

Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
12.362 12.3921 12.3018 2 8.874
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 12.362
  • Stop Loss: 12.3921
  • Take Profit: 12.3018

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 12.3921 - 12.362 = 0.030099999999999

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 12.362 - 12.3018 = 0.0602

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.0602 / 0.030099999999999 = 2

📌 Position Size

Amount Margin Quantity Leverage
3283.2528 100 265.5924 32.83
Details

1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade

Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade

Paramètres:

  • Account Size 100
  • Risk per trade 8 %

Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8

Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade

2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter

Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss

Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price

Paramètres:

  • Risk Amount 8
  • Distance Stop Loss 0.030099999999999

Taille de position = 8 / 0.030099999999999 = 265.78

Taille de position USD = 265.78 x 12.362 = 3285.57

Donc, tu peux acheter 265.78 avec un stoploss a 12.3921

Avec un position size USD de 3285.57$

3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle

Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss

Perte = 265.78 x 0.030099999999999 = 8

Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$

4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle

Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit

Perte = 265.78 x 0.0602 = 16

Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 16$

Résumé

  • Taille de position 265.78
  • Taille de position USD 3285.57
  • Perte potentielle 8
  • Gain potentiel 16
  • Risk-Reward Ratio 2

📌 Peformances

TP % Target TP $ Target
0.49 % 15.99 $
SL % Target SL $ Target
0.24 % 7.99 $
PNL PNL %
15.99 $ 0.49
Max Drawdown Max Drawdown / SL Ratio Candles in Entry
-0.1699 % 69.77 % 13

📌 ML Extra Data

Extra TP Data

                              Array
(
    [2] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 12.3018
            [stop_loss] => 12.3921
            [rr_ratio] => 2
            [closed_at] => 2025-12-31 22:00:00
            [result] => win
        )

)
Extra SL data

                              Array
(
)
Extra Pullback data

                              Array
(
    [short_term] => Array
        (
            [max_gain] => 0.035
            [max_drawdown] => 0.020999999999999
            [rr_ratio] => 1.67
            [high] => 12.38300000
            [low] => 12.32700000
            [mfe_pct] => 0.28
            [mae_pct] => 0.17
            [mfe_mae_ratio] => 1.67
            [candles_analyzed] => 24
            [start_at] => 2025-12-31T16:20:01-05:00
            [end_at] => 2025-12-31T18:20:01-05:00
        )

    [long_term] => Array
        (
            [max_gain] => 0.139
            [max_drawdown] => 0.020999999999999
            [rr_ratio] => 6.62
            [high] => 12.38300000
            [low] => 12.22300000
            [mfe_pct] => 1.12
            [mae_pct] => 0.17
            [mfe_mae_ratio] => 6.62
            [candles_analyzed] => 84
            [start_at] => 2025-12-31T16:20:01-05:00
            [end_at] => 2025-12-31T23:20:01-05:00
        )

    [breakout] => Array
        (
            [high_before] => 12.37700000
            [high_after] => 12.38300000
            [low_before] => 12.25300000
            [low_after] => 12.30100000
            [is_new_high] => 
            [is_new_low] => 
        )

)