Short Trade on PENGU 31 Dec 2025 at 19:23:16
Take profit at 0.008672 (0.55 %) and Stop Loss at 0.008744 (0.28 %)
Short Trade on PENGU 31 Dec 2025 at 19:23:16
Take profit at 0.008672 (0.55 %) and Stop Loss at 0.008744 (0.28 %)
Position size of 2880.6332 $
Take profit at 0.008672 (0.55 %) and Stop Loss at 0.008744 (0.28 %)
That's a 2 RR Trade| Prediction 1 | Probability |
|---|---|
|
Weak Trade
|
0.82 |
| Prediction 2 | Probability |
|---|---|
| 0 | 0.84 |
| Prediction 3 | Probability |
|---|---|
| 0 | 0.79 |
| BTC Market Regime | Coin Market Regime |
|---|---|
|
ml_regime : neutral rules_regime : range_medium rules_regime_5m : range_low |
1H_regime : bear_high 15m_regime : bear_medium 5m_regime : range_low |
| BTC Correlation | Score |
|---|---|
|
5m : 0.613645 15m : -0.123907 1H : -0.015992 |
0 |
Indicators:
87708.3
0.000589105
87760
0.613645
88133.9
-0.00436521
87749.2
-0.123907
88002.2
-0.00275267
87760
-0.015992
Array
(
[left_window] => 5
[right_window] => 5
[recent_pivots] => Array
(
[0] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-28 15:00:00
[1] => 0.009152
[2] => L
)
[1] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-28 22:00:00
[1] => 0.009643
[2] => H
)
[2] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-29 07:00:00
[1] => 0.008938
[2] => L
)
[3] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-29 22:00:00
[1] => 0.008795
[2] => L
)
[4] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-30 03:00:00
[1] => 0.009073
[2] => H
)
[5] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-30 11:00:00
[1] => 0.009199
[2] => H
)
[6] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-30 14:00:00
[1] => 0.008918
[2] => L
)
[7] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-30 21:00:00
[1] => 0.009095
[2] => H
)
[8] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-31 09:00:00
[1] => 0.009076
[2] => H
)
[9] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-31 13:00:00
[1] => 0.008571
[2] => L
)
)
[detected_trend] => downtrend
[features] => Array
(
[ms_trend_state] => -1
[ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -4.0656676950198
[ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 1.5867460039669
[ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 10
[ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 6
[ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 5.8919612647299
[ms_bos_up] => 0
[ms_bos_down] => 1
[ms_choch_up] => 0
[ms_choch_down] => 0
)
)
Array
(
[left_window] => 5
[right_window] => 5
[recent_pivots] => Array
(
[0] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-31 03:00:00
[1] => 0.009062
[2] => H
)
[1] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-31 03:45:00
[1] => 0.008948
[2] => L
)
[2] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-31 06:45:00
[1] => 0.009067
[2] => H
)
[3] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-31 07:45:00
[1] => 0.008938
[2] => L
)
[4] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-31 09:00:00
[1] => 0.009076
[2] => H
)
[5] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-31 11:30:00
[1] => 0.008583
[2] => L
)
[6] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-31 13:00:00
[1] => 0.008571
[2] => L
)
[7] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-31 16:15:00
[1] => 0.008742
[2] => H
)
[8] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-31 18:15:00
[1] => 0.008636
[2] => L
)
[9] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-31 19:15:00
[1] => 0.008721
[2] => H
)
)
[detected_trend] => range
[features] => Array
(
[ms_trend_state] => 0
[ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.16053204907694
[ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 0.82213987957388
[ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 0
[ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 4
[ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 0.98425196850394
[ms_bos_up] => 0
[ms_bos_down] => 0
[ms_choch_up] => 0
[ms_choch_down] => 0
)
)
Array
(
[left_window] => 5
[right_window] => 5
[recent_pivots] => Array
(
[0] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-31 13:00:00
[1] => 0.008571
[2] => L
)
[1] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-31 13:10:00
[1] => 0.008665
[2] => H
)
[2] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-31 14:00:00
[1] => 0.008599
[2] => L
)
[3] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-31 14:35:00
[1] => 0.008689
[2] => H
)
[4] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-31 15:10:00
[1] => 0.008603
[2] => L
)
[5] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-31 16:15:00
[1] => 0.008742
[2] => H
)
[6] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-31 17:00:00
[1] => 0.008669
[2] => L
)
[7] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-31 18:20:00
[1] => 0.008636
[2] => L
)
[8] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-31 18:55:00
[1] => 0.008657
[2] => L
)
[9] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-31 19:20:00
[1] => 0.008721
[2] => H
)
)
[detected_trend] => range
[features] => Array
(
[ms_trend_state] => 0
[ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.16053204907694
[ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 0.57756728658888
[ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 0
[ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 5
[ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 0.73928612683377
[ms_bos_up] => 0
[ms_bos_down] => 0
[ms_choch_up] => 0
[ms_choch_down] => 0
)
)
Market Structure Score: 1
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2025-12-31 13:00:00 | 0.008571 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-31 13:10:00 | 0.008665 | ↑ High |
| 2025-12-31 14:00:00 | 0.008599 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-31 14:35:00 | 0.008689 | ↑ High |
| 2025-12-31 15:10:00 | 0.008603 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-31 16:15:00 | 0.008742 | ↑ High |
| 2025-12-31 17:00:00 | 0.008669 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-31 18:20:00 | 0.008636 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-31 18:55:00 | 0.008657 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-31 19:20:00 | 0.008721 | ↑ High |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2025-12-31 03:00:00 | 0.009062 | ↑ High |
| 2025-12-31 03:45:00 | 0.008948 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-31 06:45:00 | 0.009067 | ↑ High |
| 2025-12-31 07:45:00 | 0.008938 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-31 09:00:00 | 0.009076 | ↑ High |
| 2025-12-31 11:30:00 | 0.008583 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-31 13:00:00 | 0.008571 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-31 16:15:00 | 0.008742 | ↑ High |
| 2025-12-31 18:15:00 | 0.008636 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-31 19:15:00 | 0.008721 | ↑ High |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2025-12-28 15:00:00 | 0.009152 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-28 22:00:00 | 0.009643 | ↑ High |
| 2025-12-29 07:00:00 | 0.008938 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-29 22:00:00 | 0.008795 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-30 03:00:00 | 0.009073 | ↑ High |
| 2025-12-30 11:00:00 | 0.009199 | ↑ High |
| 2025-12-30 14:00:00 | 0.008918 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-30 21:00:00 | 0.009095 | ↑ High |
| 2025-12-31 09:00:00 | 0.009076 | ↑ High |
| 2025-12-31 13:00:00 | 0.008571 | ↓ Low |
| Start at | Closed at | Duration |
|---|---|---|
| 31 Dec 2025 19:23:16 |
31 Dec 2025 20:35:00 |
1 hour |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.00872 | 0.008744 | 0.008672 | 2 | 0.007106 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.008744 - 0.00872 = 2.4E-5
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.00872 - 0.008672 = 4.8000000000001E-5
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 4.8000000000001E-5 / 2.4E-5 = 2
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2880.6332 | 100 | 330347.8481 | 28.81 |
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
Taille de position = 8 / 2.4E-5 = 333333.33
Taille de position USD = 333333.33 x 0.00872 = 2906.67
Donc, tu peux acheter 333333.33 avec un stoploss a 0.008744
Avec un position size USD de 2906.67$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = 333333.33 x 2.4E-5 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = 333333.33 x 4.8000000000001E-5 = 16
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 16$
Résumé
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.55 % | 15.86 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.28 % | 7.93 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| 15.86 $ | 0.55 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -0.195 % | 70.86 % | 5 |
Array
(
[2] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 0.008672
[stop_loss] => 0.008744
[rr_ratio] => 2
[closed_at] => 2025-12-31 20:35:00
[result] => win
)
[2.5] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 0.00866
[stop_loss] => 0.008744
[rr_ratio] => 2.5
[closed_at] => 2025-12-31 21:10:00
[result] => win
)
[3] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 0.008648
[stop_loss] => 0.008744
[rr_ratio] => 3
[closed_at] => 2025-12-31 21:10:00
[result] => win
)
[3.5] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 0.008636
[stop_loss] => 0.008744
[rr_ratio] => 3.5
[closed_at] => 2025-12-31 23:00:00
[result] => win
)
[4] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 0.008624
[stop_loss] => 0.008744
[rr_ratio] => 4
[closed_at] => 2025-12-31 23:00:00
[result] => win
)
[4.5] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 0.008612
[stop_loss] => 0.008744
[rr_ratio] => 4.5
[closed_at] => 2025-12-31 23:15:00
[result] => win
)
[5] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 0.0086
[stop_loss] => 0.008744
[rr_ratio] => 5
[closed_at] => 2025-12-31 23:55:00
[result] => win
)
)
Array
(
)
Array
(
[short_term] => Array
(
[max_gain] => 7.6E-5
[max_drawdown] => 1.7E-5
[rr_ratio] => 4.47
[high] => 0.00873700
[low] => 0.00864400
[mfe_pct] => 0.87
[mae_pct] => 0.19
[mfe_mae_ratio] => 4.47
[candles_analyzed] => 24
[start_at] => 2025-12-31T19:23:16-05:00
[end_at] => 2025-12-31T21:23:16-05:00
)
[long_term] => Array
(
[max_gain] => 0.000123
[max_drawdown] => 1.7E-5
[rr_ratio] => 7.24
[high] => 0.00873700
[low] => 0.00859700
[mfe_pct] => 1.41
[mae_pct] => 0.19
[mfe_mae_ratio] => 7.24
[candles_analyzed] => 84
[start_at] => 2025-12-31T19:23:16-05:00
[end_at] => 2026-01-01T02:23:16-05:00
)
[breakout] => Array
(
[high_before] => 0.00874200
[high_after] => 0.00873700
[low_before] => 0.00862100
[low_after] => 0.00859700
[is_new_high] =>
[is_new_low] => 1
)
)