Short Trade on BTC 31 Dec 2025 at 20:56:29
Take profit at 87827.3199 (0.19 %) and Stop Loss at 88077.64 (0.095 %)
Short Trade on BTC 31 Dec 2025 at 20:56:29
Take profit at 87827.3199 (0.19 %) and Stop Loss at 88077.64 (0.095 %)
Position size of 8436.6397 $
Take profit at 87827.3199 (0.19 %) and Stop Loss at 88077.64 (0.095 %)
That's a 2 RR Trade| Prediction 1 | Probability |
|---|---|
|
Weak Trade
|
0.69 |
| Prediction 2 | Probability |
|---|---|
| 1 | 0.55 |
| Prediction 3 | Probability |
|---|---|
| 1 | 0.5 |
| BTC Market Regime | Coin Market Regime |
|---|---|
|
ml_regime : neutral rules_regime : range_medium rules_regime_5m : range_low |
1H_regime : range_medium 15m_regime : range_low 5m_regime : range_low |
| BTC Correlation | Score |
|---|---|
|
5m : 1 15m : 0.092693 1H : -0.08529 |
0 |
Indicators:
87732.8
0.00297857
87994.2
1
88072.4
-0.00206993
87890.1
0.092693
87988
7.02065E-5
87994.2
-0.08529
Array
(
[left_window] => 5
[right_window] => 5
[recent_pivots] => Array
(
[0] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-29 07:00:00
[1] => 86765
[2] => L
)
[1] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-29 15:00:00
[1] => 87050.4
[2] => L
)
[2] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-29 22:00:00
[1] => 86801.5
[2] => L
)
[3] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-30 03:00:00
[1] => 88190
[2] => H
)
[4] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-30 11:00:00
[1] => 89350
[2] => H
)
[5] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-30 15:00:00
[1] => 87840.6
[2] => L
)
[6] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-30 22:00:00
[1] => 88790.1
[2] => H
)
[7] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-31 09:00:00
[1] => 89180.8
[2] => H
)
[8] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-31 15:00:00
[1] => 87211.5
[2] => L
)
[9] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-31 20:00:00
[1] => 88033.3
[2] => H
)
)
[detected_trend] => downtrend
[features] => Array
(
[ms_trend_state] => -1
[ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.10882245695663
[ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 0.83245902203264
[ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 0
[ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 5
[ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 0.94230692053227
[ms_bos_up] => 0
[ms_bos_down] => 1
[ms_choch_up] => 0
[ms_choch_down] => 1
)
)
Array
(
[left_window] => 5
[right_window] => 5
[recent_pivots] => Array
(
[0] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-31 03:30:00
[1] => 88350.7
[2] => L
)
[1] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-31 06:45:00
[1] => 89015.4
[2] => H
)
[2] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-31 07:45:00
[1] => 88683.9
[2] => L
)
[3] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-31 09:00:00
[1] => 89180.8
[2] => H
)
[4] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-31 11:30:00
[1] => 87357.9
[2] => L
)
[5] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-31 13:15:00
[1] => 87962
[2] => H
)
[6] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-31 15:30:00
[1] => 87211.5
[2] => L
)
[7] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-31 17:15:00
[1] => 87865
[2] => H
)
[8] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-31 18:15:00
[1] => 87586.9
[2] => L
)
[9] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-31 20:15:00
[1] => 88033.3
[2] => H
)
)
[detected_trend] => uptrend
[features] => Array
(
[ms_trend_state] => 1
[ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.10882245695663
[ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 0.40028817094795
[ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 2
[ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 10
[ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 0.50966525816076
[ms_bos_up] => 1
[ms_bos_down] => 0
[ms_choch_up] => 1
[ms_choch_down] => 0
)
)
Array
(
[left_window] => 5
[right_window] => 5
[recent_pivots] => Array
(
[0] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-31 17:00:00
[1] => 87752.5
[2] => L
)
[1] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-31 17:25:00
[1] => 87865
[2] => H
)
[2] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-31 17:50:00
[1] => 87623.6
[2] => L
)
[3] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-31 18:20:00
[1] => 87586.9
[2] => L
)
[4] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-31 19:00:00
[1] => 87607
[2] => L
)
[5] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-31 19:05:00
[1] => 87796.4
[2] => H
)
[6] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-31 19:35:00
[1] => 87707.6
[2] => L
)
[7] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-31 20:15:00
[1] => 88033.3
[2] => H
)
[8] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-31 20:35:00
[1] => 87814.2
[2] => L
)
[9] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-31 20:55:00
[1] => 87994.3
[2] => H
)
)
[detected_trend] => range
[features] => Array
(
[ms_trend_state] => 0
[ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.0645496356014
[ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 0.14041009312845
[ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 0
[ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 4
[ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 0.20509211494269
[ms_bos_up] => 0
[ms_bos_down] => 0
[ms_choch_up] => 0
[ms_choch_down] => 0
)
)
Market Structure Score: 1
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2025-12-31 17:00:00 | 87752.5 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-31 17:25:00 | 87865 | ↑ High |
| 2025-12-31 17:50:00 | 87623.6 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-31 18:20:00 | 87586.9 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-31 19:00:00 | 87607 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-31 19:05:00 | 87796.4 | ↑ High |
| 2025-12-31 19:35:00 | 87707.6 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-31 20:15:00 | 88033.3 | ↑ High |
| 2025-12-31 20:35:00 | 87814.2 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-31 20:55:00 | 87994.3 | ↑ High |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2025-12-31 03:30:00 | 88350.7 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-31 06:45:00 | 89015.4 | ↑ High |
| 2025-12-31 07:45:00 | 88683.9 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-31 09:00:00 | 89180.8 | ↑ High |
| 2025-12-31 11:30:00 | 87357.9 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-31 13:15:00 | 87962 | ↑ High |
| 2025-12-31 15:30:00 | 87211.5 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-31 17:15:00 | 87865 | ↑ High |
| 2025-12-31 18:15:00 | 87586.9 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-31 20:15:00 | 88033.3 | ↑ High |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2025-12-29 07:00:00 | 86765 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-29 15:00:00 | 87050.4 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-29 22:00:00 | 86801.5 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-30 03:00:00 | 88190 | ↑ High |
| 2025-12-30 11:00:00 | 89350 | ↑ High |
| 2025-12-30 15:00:00 | 87840.6 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-30 22:00:00 | 88790.1 | ↑ High |
| 2025-12-31 09:00:00 | 89180.8 | ↑ High |
| 2025-12-31 15:00:00 | 87211.5 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-31 20:00:00 | 88033.3 | ↑ High |
| Start at | Closed at | Duration |
|---|---|---|
| 31 Dec 2025 20:56:29 |
31 Dec 2025 21:15:00 |
18 minutes |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 87994.2 | 88077.64 | 87827.3199 | 2 | 67789.4 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 88077.64 - 87994.2 = 83.440000000002
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 87994.2 - 87827.3199 = 166.88009999999
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 166.88009999999 / 83.440000000002 = 2
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 8436.6397 | 100 | 0.09588 | 84.37 |
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
Taille de position = 8 / 83.440000000002 = 0.1
Taille de position USD = 0.1 x 87994.2 = 8799.42
Donc, tu peux acheter 0.1 avec un stoploss a 88077.64
Avec un position size USD de 8799.42$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = 0.1 x 83.440000000002 = 8.34
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8.34$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = 0.1 x 166.88009999999 = 16.69
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 16.69$
Résumé
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.19 % | 16 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.095 % | 8 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| -8 $ | -0.09 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -0.0974 % | 102.74 % | 3 |
Array
(
)
Array
(
[1.1] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 87827.3199
[entry_price] => 87994.2
[stop_loss] => 88085.984
[rr_ratio] => 1.82
[sl_change_percentage] => 1.1
[closed_at] => 2025-12-31 22:55:00
[result] => win
)
[1.2] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 87827.3199
[entry_price] => 87994.2
[stop_loss] => 88094.328
[rr_ratio] => 1.67
[sl_change_percentage] => 1.2
[closed_at] => 2025-12-31 22:55:00
[result] => win
)
[1.3] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 87827.3199
[entry_price] => 87994.2
[stop_loss] => 88102.672
[rr_ratio] => 1.54
[sl_change_percentage] => 1.3
[closed_at] => 2025-12-31 22:55:00
[result] => win
)
[1.5] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 87827.3199
[entry_price] => 87994.2
[stop_loss] => 88119.36
[rr_ratio] => 1.33
[sl_change_percentage] => 1.5
[closed_at] => 2025-12-31 22:55:00
[result] => win
)
)
Array
(
[short_term] => Array
(
[max_gain] => 180.8
[max_drawdown] => 85.699999999997
[rr_ratio] => 2.11
[high] => 88079.90000000
[low] => 87813.40000000
[mfe_pct] => 0.21
[mae_pct] => 0.1
[mfe_mae_ratio] => 2.11
[candles_analyzed] => 24
[start_at] => 2025-12-31T20:56:29-05:00
[end_at] => 2025-12-31T22:56:29-05:00
)
[long_term] => Array
(
[max_gain] => 465.59999999999
[max_drawdown] => 85.699999999997
[rr_ratio] => 5.43
[high] => 88079.90000000
[low] => 87528.60000000
[mfe_pct] => 0.53
[mae_pct] => 0.1
[mfe_mae_ratio] => 5.43
[candles_analyzed] => 84
[start_at] => 2025-12-31T20:56:29-05:00
[end_at] => 2026-01-01T03:56:29-05:00
)
[breakout] => Array
(
[high_before] => 88033.30000000
[high_after] => 88079.90000000
[low_before] => 87586.90000000
[low_after] => 87528.60000000
[is_new_high] =>
[is_new_low] => 1
)
)