Short Trade on AVAX 01 Jan 2026 at 04:08:43

Take profit at 12.3001 (0.31 %) and Stop Loss at 12.357 (0.15 %)

Short Trade on AVAX

The 01 Jan 2026 at 04:08:43

With 421.6833 AVAX at 12.338$ per unit.

Position size of 5202.7281 $

Take profit at 12.3001 (0.31 %) and Stop Loss at 12.357 (0.15 %)

That's a 1.99 RR Trade

Results

Status:
loss
Trade Type:
sell
ML Trade Score: -100
ML Pullback Score: 0.55
Prediction Score: 1
Prediction 1 Probability
Weak Trade
0.8
Prediction 2 Probability
1 0.56
Prediction 3 Probability
0 0.57
BTC Market Regime Coin Market Regime

ml_regime : neutral

rules_regime : range_low

rules_regime_5m : range_low

1H_regime : bear_medium

15m_regime : range_low

5m_regime : range_low

BTC Correlation Score

5m : 0.601937

15m : 0.031906

1H : 0.065453

0

Signal

CatchTheWave Signal - sell

Indicators:

  1. long_trend: -1
  2. short_kc: True
  3. short_kc_percentage: 0.47
  4. atr: 0.01264772365
Details
  1. score: 1.47
  2. 1H
  3. ema9 : 12.3013
  4. ema21 : 12.3425
  5. ema50 : 12.4276
  6. ema100 : 12.5248
  7. price_ema9_diff : 0.00298296
  8. ema9_ema21_diff : -0.00333836
  9. ema21_ema50_diff : -0.00685346
  10. price_ema100_diff : -0.0149147
  11. all_emas_in_trend : True
  12. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : False
  13. ema_slope_9 : -0.0548675
  14. ema_slope_21 : -0.0684435
  15. ema_slope_50 : -0.0540907
  16. ema_slope_100 : -0.0409897
  17. rsi : 0.464843
  18. adx : 0.271937
  19. kc_percentage : 0.496465
  20. kc_width_percentage : 0.0183539
  21. volume_ema_diff : -0.655794
  22. volume_ema1 : 129605.90536712
  23. volume_ema2 : 376536.88596686
  24. chop : 70.5109
  25. regime : bear_medium
  26. ¸
  27. 15m
  28. ema9 : 12.2894
  29. ema21 : 12.2833
  30. ema50 : 12.3077
  31. ema100 : 12.3595
  32. price_ema9_diff : 0.00394933
  33. ema9_ema21_diff : 0.000497844
  34. ema21_ema50_diff : -0.00198137
  35. price_ema100_diff : -0.00174663
  36. all_emas_in_trend : False
  37. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : False
  38. ema_slope_9 : 0.016979
  39. ema_slope_21 : 0.000558063
  40. ema_slope_50 : -0.0112864
  41. ema_slope_100 : -0.0146047
  42. rsi : 0.648827
  43. adx : 0.120516
  44. kc_percentage : 1.09513
  45. kc_width_percentage : 0.00747456
  46. volume_ema_diff : -0.429237
  47. volume_ema1 : 33403.287813811
  48. volume_ema2 : 58523.931612674
  49. chop : 45.0945
  50. regime : range_low
  51. ¸
  52. 5m
  53. ema9 : 12.2991
  54. ema21 : 12.2851
  55. ema50 : 12.2787
  56. ema100 : 12.2858
  57. price_ema9_diff : 0.00315978
  58. ema9_ema21_diff : 0.00113916
  59. ema21_ema50_diff : 0.000524371
  60. price_ema100_diff : 0.00424219
  61. all_emas_in_trend : True
  62. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : True
  63. ema_slope_9 : 0.0181448
  64. ema_slope_21 : 0.0102523
  65. ema_slope_50 : 0.00412846
  66. ema_slope_100 : 0.000268702
  67. rsi : 0.748576
  68. adx : 0.231224
  69. kc_percentage : 1.46849
  70. kc_width_percentage : 0.00436822
  71. volume_ema_diff : -0.261983
  72. volume_ema1 : 10606.812424257
  73. volume_ema2 : 14372.056161434
  74. chop : 24.7818
  75. regime : range_low
  76. ¸
  77. btc_indicators
  78. btc_indicators
  79. 5m_ema100:
    87729.6
  80. 5m_price_ema100_diff:
    0.000344774
  81. 5m_price:
    87759.9
  82. 5m_correlation_with_coin:
    0.601937
  83. btc_indicators
  84. 15m_ema100:
    87950.5
  85. 15m_price_ema100_diff:
    -0.00216781
  86. 15m_price:
    87759.9
  87. 15m_correlation_with_coin:
    0.031906
  88. btc_indicators
  89. 1H_ema100:
    87965.8
  90. 1H_price_ema100_diff:
    -0.00234112
  91. 1H_price:
    87759.9
  92. 1H_correlation_with_coin:
    0.065453
  93. ¸
  94. market_structures
  95. market_structures
  96. 1H_version: 1.1
  97. 1H_market_structure:
    Array
    (
        [left_window] => 5
        [right_window] => 5
        [recent_pivots] => Array
            (
                [0] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-30 03:00:00
                        [1] => 12.549
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [1] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-30 09:00:00
                        [1] => 12.434
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [2] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-30 11:00:00
                        [1] => 12.642
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [3] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-30 15:00:00
                        [1] => 12.451
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [4] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-30 20:00:00
                        [1] => 12.71
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [5] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-31 04:00:00
                        [1] => 12.466
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [6] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-31 09:00:00
                        [1] => 12.671
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [7] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-31 11:00:00
                        [1] => 12.193
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [8] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-31 23:00:00
                        [1] => 12.223
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [9] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-01 04:00:00
                        [1] => 12.339
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
            )
    
        [detected_trend] => range
        [features] => Array
            (
                [ms_trend_state] => 0
                [ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.0081043844720093
                [ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 0.94084921868607
                [ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 0
                [ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 5
                [ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 0.94903051623987
                [ms_bos_up] => 0
                [ms_bos_down] => 0
                [ms_choch_up] => 0
                [ms_choch_down] => 0
            )
    
    )
    
  98. market_structures
  99. 15m_version: 1.1
  100. 15m_market_structure:
    Array
    (
        [left_window] => 5
        [right_window] => 5
        [recent_pivots] => Array
            (
                [0] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-31 15:00:00
                        [1] => 12.253
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [1] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-31 16:30:00
                        [1] => 12.383
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [2] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-31 17:15:00
                        [1] => 12.327
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [3] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-31 19:00:00
                        [1] => 12.306
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [4] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-31 20:00:00
                        [1] => 12.368
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [5] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-31 20:30:00
                        [1] => 12.306
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [6] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-31 23:15:00
                        [1] => 12.223
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [7] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-01 00:30:00
                        [1] => 12.286
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [8] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-01 02:30:00
                        [1] => 12.242
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [9] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-01 04:00:00
                        [1] => 12.339
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
            )
    
        [detected_trend] => uptrend
        [features] => Array
            (
                [ms_trend_state] => 1
                [ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.0081043844720093
                [ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 0.78418559058976
                [ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 0
                [ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 6
                [ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 0.79235419049175
                [ms_bos_up] => 1
                [ms_bos_down] => 0
                [ms_choch_up] => 1
                [ms_choch_down] => 0
            )
    
    )
    
  101. market_structures
  102. 5m_version: 1.1
  103. 5m_market_structure:
    Array
    (
        [left_window] => 5
        [right_window] => 5
        [recent_pivots] => Array
            (
                [0] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-01 00:30:00
                        [1] => 12.286
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [1] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-01 01:10:00
                        [1] => 12.249
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [2] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-01 01:35:00
                        [1] => 12.281
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [3] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-01 02:05:00
                        [1] => 12.277
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [4] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-01 02:30:00
                        [1] => 12.242
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [5] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-01 02:35:00
                        [1] => 12.283
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [6] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-01 03:00:00
                        [1] => 12.262
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [7] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-01 03:10:00
                        [1] => 12.281
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [8] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-01 03:40:00
                        [1] => 12.261
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [9] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-01 04:05:00
                        [1] => 12.339
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
            )
    
        [detected_trend] => range
        [features] => Array
            (
                [ms_trend_state] => 0
                [ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.0081043844720093
                [ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 0.62800750346627
                [ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 0
                [ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 5
                [ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 0.63616344506974
                [ms_bos_up] => 1
                [ms_bos_down] => 1
                [ms_choch_up] => 0
                [ms_choch_down] => 0
            )
    
    )
    
  104. ¸

Market Structure

Market Structure Score: 0

5M - range

Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5

Market Structure Features:

Trend State
0
Dist From Last High Pct
-0.01%
Dist From Last Low Pct
0.63%
Bars Since Swing High
0 bars
Bars Since Swing Low
5 bars
Last Swing Amplitude Pct
0.64%
Bos Up
1
Bos Down
1
Choch Up
0
Choch Down
0

SL & TP Pivot Distance:

SL to Pivot Distance
0.0180
0.15%
TP to Pivot Distance
0.0581
0.47%
DateTime Price Type
2026-01-01 00:30:00 12.286 ↑ High
2026-01-01 01:10:00 12.249 ↓ Low
2026-01-01 01:35:00 12.281 ↑ High
2026-01-01 02:05:00 12.277 ↑ High
2026-01-01 02:30:00 12.242 ↓ Low
2026-01-01 02:35:00 12.283 ↑ High
2026-01-01 03:00:00 12.262 ↓ Low
2026-01-01 03:10:00 12.281 ↑ High
2026-01-01 03:40:00 12.261 ↓ Low
2026-01-01 04:05:00 12.339 ↑ High
15M - uptrend

Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5

Market Structure Features:

Trend State
1
Dist From Last High Pct
-0.01%
Dist From Last Low Pct
0.78%
Bars Since Swing High
0 bars
Bars Since Swing Low
6 bars
Last Swing Amplitude Pct
0.79%
Bos Up
1
Bos Down
0
Choch Up
1
Choch Down
0

SL & TP Pivot Distance:

SL to Pivot Distance
0.0260
0.21%
TP to Pivot Distance
0.0771
0.63%
DateTime Price Type
2025-12-31 15:00:00 12.253 ↓ Low
2025-12-31 16:30:00 12.383 ↑ High
2025-12-31 17:15:00 12.327 ↓ Low
2025-12-31 19:00:00 12.306 ↓ Low
2025-12-31 20:00:00 12.368 ↑ High
2025-12-31 20:30:00 12.306 ↓ Low
2025-12-31 23:15:00 12.223 ↓ Low
2026-01-01 00:30:00 12.286 ↑ High
2026-01-01 02:30:00 12.242 ↓ Low
2026-01-01 04:00:00 12.339 ↑ High
1H - range

Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5

Market Structure Features:

Trend State
0
Dist From Last High Pct
-0.01%
Dist From Last Low Pct
0.94%
Bars Since Swing High
0 bars
Bars Since Swing Low
5 bars
Last Swing Amplitude Pct
0.95%
Bos Up
0
Bos Down
0
Choch Up
0
Choch Down
0

SL & TP Pivot Distance:

SL to Pivot Distance
0.3530
2.86%
TP to Pivot Distance
0.1071
0.87%
DateTime Price Type
2025-12-30 03:00:00 12.549 ↑ High
2025-12-30 09:00:00 12.434 ↓ Low
2025-12-30 11:00:00 12.642 ↑ High
2025-12-30 15:00:00 12.451 ↓ Low
2025-12-30 20:00:00 12.71 ↑ High
2025-12-31 04:00:00 12.466 ↓ Low
2025-12-31 09:00:00 12.671 ↑ High
2025-12-31 11:00:00 12.193 ↓ Low
2025-12-31 23:00:00 12.223 ↓ Low
2026-01-01 04:00:00 12.339 ↑ High

📌 Time Data

Start at Closed at Duration
01 Jan 2026
04:08:43
01 Jan 2026
04:15:00
6 minutes

📌 Entry & Exit

Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
12.338 12.357 12.3001 1.99 9.279
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 12.338
  • Stop Loss: 12.357
  • Take Profit: 12.3001

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 12.357 - 12.338 = 0.019

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 12.338 - 12.3001 = 0.037899999999999

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.037899999999999 / 0.019 = 1.9947

📌 Position Size

Amount Margin Quantity Leverage
5202.7281 100 421.6833 52.03
Details

1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade

Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade

Paramètres:

  • Account Size 100
  • Risk per trade 8 %

Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8

Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade

2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter

Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss

Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price

Paramètres:

  • Risk Amount 8
  • Distance Stop Loss 0.019

Taille de position = 8 / 0.019 = 421.05

Taille de position USD = 421.05 x 12.338 = 5194.91

Donc, tu peux acheter 421.05 avec un stoploss a 12.357

Avec un position size USD de 5194.91$

3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle

Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss

Perte = 421.05 x 0.019 = 8

Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$

4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle

Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit

Perte = 421.05 x 0.037899999999999 = 15.96

Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 15.96$

Résumé

  • Taille de position 421.05
  • Taille de position USD 5194.91
  • Perte potentielle 8
  • Gain potentiel 15.96
  • Risk-Reward Ratio 1.9947

📌 Peformances

TP % Target TP $ Target
0.31 % 15.98 $
SL % Target SL $ Target
0.15 % 8.01 $
PNL PNL %
-8.01 $ -0.15
Max Drawdown Max Drawdown / SL Ratio Candles in Entry
-0.2188 % 142.08 % 2

📌 ML Extra Data

Extra TP Data

                              Array
(
)
Extra SL data

                              Array
(
    [1.1] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 12.3001
            [entry_price] => 12.338
            [stop_loss] => 12.3589
            [rr_ratio] => 1.81
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.1
            [closed_at] => 2026-01-01 04:15:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [1.2] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 12.3001
            [entry_price] => 12.338
            [stop_loss] => 12.3608
            [rr_ratio] => 1.66
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.2
            [closed_at] => 2026-01-01 04:15:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [1.3] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 12.3001
            [entry_price] => 12.338
            [stop_loss] => 12.3627
            [rr_ratio] => 1.53
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.3
            [closed_at] => 2026-01-01 04:15:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [1.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 12.3001
            [entry_price] => 12.338
            [stop_loss] => 12.3665
            [rr_ratio] => 1.33
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.5
            [closed_at] => 2026-01-01 06:10:00
            [result] => loss
        )

)
Extra Pullback data

                              Array
(
    [short_term] => Array
        (
            [max_gain] => 0.016999999999999
            [max_drawdown] => 0.027000000000001
            [rr_ratio] => 0.63
            [high] => 12.36500000
            [low] => 12.32100000
            [mfe_pct] => 0.14
            [mae_pct] => 0.22
            [mfe_mae_ratio] => 0.63
            [candles_analyzed] => 24
            [start_at] => 2026-01-01T04:08:43-05:00
            [end_at] => 2026-01-01T06:08:43-05:00
        )

    [long_term] => Array
        (
            [max_gain] => 0.016999999999999
            [max_drawdown] => 0.222
            [rr_ratio] => 0.08
            [high] => 12.56000000
            [low] => 12.32100000
            [mfe_pct] => 0.14
            [mae_pct] => 1.8
            [mfe_mae_ratio] => 0.08
            [candles_analyzed] => 84
            [start_at] => 2026-01-01T04:08:43-05:00
            [end_at] => 2026-01-01T11:08:43-05:00
        )

    [breakout] => Array
        (
            [high_before] => 12.33900000
            [high_after] => 12.44400000
            [low_before] => 12.24200000
            [low_after] => 12.32100000
            [is_new_high] => 
            [is_new_low] => 
        )

)