Short Trade on AVAX 01 Jan 2026 at 04:18:17

Take profit at 12.303 (0.29 %) and Stop Loss at 12.357 (0.15 %)

Short Trade on AVAX

The 01 Jan 2026 at 04:18:17

With 444.7126 AVAX at 12.339$ per unit.

Position size of 5487.3087 $

Take profit at 12.303 (0.29 %) and Stop Loss at 12.357 (0.15 %)

That's a 2 RR Trade

Results

Status:
loss
Trade Type:
sell
ML Trade Score: -100
ML Pullback Score: 0.45
Prediction Score: 1
Prediction 1 Probability
Weak Trade
0.71
Prediction 2 Probability
0 0.51
Prediction 3 Probability
1 0.54
BTC Market Regime Coin Market Regime

ml_regime : neutral

rules_regime : range_low

rules_regime_5m : range_low

1H_regime : bear_medium

15m_regime : range_low

5m_regime : range_low

BTC Correlation Score

5m : 0.599845

15m : 0.01197

1H : -0.077034

0

Signal

CatchTheWave Signal - sell

Indicators:

  1. long_trend: -1
  2. short_kc: True
  3. short_kc_percentage: 0.38
  4. atr: 0.01199276443
Details
  1. score: 1.38
  2. 1H
  3. ema9 : 12.3015
  4. ema21 : 12.3426
  5. ema50 : 12.4277
  6. ema100 : 12.5248
  7. price_ema9_diff : 0.00304794
  8. ema9_ema21_diff : -0.0033295
  9. ema21_ema50_diff : -0.00684928
  10. price_ema100_diff : -0.0148364
  11. all_emas_in_trend : True
  12. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : False
  13. ema_slope_9 : -0.0547329
  14. ema_slope_21 : -0.0683826
  15. ema_slope_50 : -0.0540645
  16. ema_slope_100 : -0.0409766
  17. rsi : 0.46621
  18. adx : 0.27171
  19. kc_percentage : 0.50046
  20. kc_width_percentage : 0.0183849
  21. volume_ema_diff : -0.636543
  22. volume_ema1 : 137178.38910045
  23. volume_ema2 : 377427.76640608
  24. chop : 70.5135
  25. regime : bear_medium
  26. ¸
  27. 15m
  28. ema9 : 12.2988
  29. ema21 : 12.2881
  30. ema50 : 12.3078
  31. ema100 : 12.352
  32. price_ema9_diff : 0.00326112
  33. ema9_ema21_diff : 0.000873591
  34. ema21_ema50_diff : -0.00160384
  35. price_ema100_diff : -0.00105931
  36. all_emas_in_trend : False
  37. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : False
  38. ema_slope_9 : 0.022768
  39. ema_slope_21 : 0.0046626
  40. ema_slope_50 : -0.00867018
  41. ema_slope_100 : -0.012148
  42. rsi : 0.651383
  43. adx : 0.13032
  44. kc_percentage : 1.09539
  45. kc_width_percentage : 0.00691783
  46. volume_ema_diff : -0.489788
  47. volume_ema1 : 28999.461931429
  48. volume_ema2 : 56838.065006168
  49. chop : 44.298
  50. regime : range_low
  51. ¸
  52. 5m
  53. ema9 : 12.3128
  54. ema21 : 12.2941
  55. ema50 : 12.2831
  56. ema100 : 12.2877
  57. price_ema9_diff : 0.00212396
  58. ema9_ema21_diff : 0.00152013
  59. ema21_ema50_diff : 0.000894189
  60. price_ema100_diff : 0.00416943
  61. all_emas_in_trend : True
  62. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : True
  63. ema_slope_9 : 0.0265212
  64. ema_slope_21 : 0.0156618
  65. ema_slope_50 : 0.00700166
  66. ema_slope_100 : 0.00190264
  67. rsi : 0.738887
  68. adx : 0.26697
  69. kc_percentage : 1.38463
  70. kc_width_percentage : 0.00402101
  71. volume_ema_diff : -0.195812
  72. volume_ema1 : 11365.779044114
  73. volume_ema2 : 14133.240263125
  74. chop : 25.1735
  75. regime : range_low
  76. ¸
  77. btc_indicators
  78. btc_indicators
  79. 5m_ema100:
    87742.6
  80. 5m_price_ema100_diff:
    0.00157702
  81. 5m_price:
    87881
  82. 5m_correlation_with_coin:
    0.599845
  83. btc_indicators
  84. 15m_ema100:
    87919.4
  85. 15m_price_ema100_diff:
    -0.000437845
  86. 15m_price:
    87881
  87. 15m_correlation_with_coin:
    0.01197
  88. btc_indicators
  89. 1H_ema100:
    87968.2
  90. 1H_price_ema100_diff:
    -0.000991686
  91. 1H_price:
    87881
  92. 1H_correlation_with_coin:
    -0.077034
  93. ¸
  94. market_structures
  95. market_structures
  96. 1H_version: 1.1
  97. 1H_market_structure:
    Array
    (
        [left_window] => 5
        [right_window] => 5
        [recent_pivots] => Array
            (
                [0] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-30 03:00:00
                        [1] => 12.549
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [1] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-30 09:00:00
                        [1] => 12.434
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [2] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-30 11:00:00
                        [1] => 12.642
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [3] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-30 15:00:00
                        [1] => 12.451
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [4] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-30 20:00:00
                        [1] => 12.71
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [5] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-31 04:00:00
                        [1] => 12.466
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [6] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-31 09:00:00
                        [1] => 12.671
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [7] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-31 11:00:00
                        [1] => 12.193
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [8] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-31 23:00:00
                        [1] => 12.223
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [9] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-01 04:00:00
                        [1] => 12.365
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
            )
    
        [detected_trend] => range
        [features] => Array
            (
                [ms_trend_state] => 0
                [ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.080873433077232
                [ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 1.0799312771005
                [ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 0
                [ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 5
                [ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 1.1617442526385
                [ms_bos_up] => 0
                [ms_bos_down] => 0
                [ms_choch_up] => 0
                [ms_choch_down] => 0
            )
    
    )
    
  98. market_structures
  99. 15m_version: 1.1
  100. 15m_market_structure:
    Array
    (
        [left_window] => 5
        [right_window] => 5
        [recent_pivots] => Array
            (
                [0] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-31 15:00:00
                        [1] => 12.253
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [1] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-31 16:30:00
                        [1] => 12.383
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [2] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-31 17:15:00
                        [1] => 12.327
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [3] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-31 19:00:00
                        [1] => 12.306
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [4] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-31 20:00:00
                        [1] => 12.368
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [5] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-31 20:30:00
                        [1] => 12.306
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [6] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-31 23:15:00
                        [1] => 12.223
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [7] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-01 00:30:00
                        [1] => 12.286
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [8] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-01 02:30:00
                        [1] => 12.242
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [9] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-01 04:15:00
                        [1] => 12.365
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
            )
    
        [detected_trend] => uptrend
        [features] => Array
            (
                [ms_trend_state] => 1
                [ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.080873433077232
                [ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 0.92305178892337
                [ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 0
                [ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 7
                [ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 1.0047377879431
                [ms_bos_up] => 1
                [ms_bos_down] => 0
                [ms_choch_up] => 1
                [ms_choch_down] => 0
            )
    
    )
    
  101. market_structures
  102. 5m_version: 1.1
  103. 5m_market_structure:
    Array
    (
        [left_window] => 5
        [right_window] => 5
        [recent_pivots] => Array
            (
                [0] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-01 00:30:00
                        [1] => 12.286
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [1] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-01 01:10:00
                        [1] => 12.249
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [2] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-01 01:35:00
                        [1] => 12.281
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [3] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-01 02:05:00
                        [1] => 12.277
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [4] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-01 02:30:00
                        [1] => 12.242
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [5] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-01 02:35:00
                        [1] => 12.283
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [6] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-01 03:00:00
                        [1] => 12.262
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [7] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-01 03:10:00
                        [1] => 12.281
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [8] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-01 03:40:00
                        [1] => 12.261
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [9] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-01 04:15:00
                        [1] => 12.365
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
            )
    
        [detected_trend] => range
        [features] => Array
            (
                [ms_trend_state] => 0
                [ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.080873433077232
                [ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 0.76665851072507
                [ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 0
                [ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 7
                [ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 0.84821792675965
                [ms_bos_up] => 1
                [ms_bos_down] => 1
                [ms_choch_up] => 0
                [ms_choch_down] => 0
            )
    
    )
    
  104. ¸

Market Structure

Market Structure Score: 0

5M - range

Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5

Market Structure Features:

Trend State
0
Dist From Last High Pct
-0.08%
Dist From Last Low Pct
0.77%
Bars Since Swing High
0 bars
Bars Since Swing Low
7 bars
Last Swing Amplitude Pct
0.85%
Bos Up
1
Bos Down
1
Choch Up
0
Choch Down
0

SL & TP Pivot Distance:

SL to Pivot Distance
0.0080
0.06%
TP to Pivot Distance
0.0610
0.50%
DateTime Price Type
2026-01-01 00:30:00 12.286 ↑ High
2026-01-01 01:10:00 12.249 ↓ Low
2026-01-01 01:35:00 12.281 ↑ High
2026-01-01 02:05:00 12.277 ↑ High
2026-01-01 02:30:00 12.242 ↓ Low
2026-01-01 02:35:00 12.283 ↑ High
2026-01-01 03:00:00 12.262 ↓ Low
2026-01-01 03:10:00 12.281 ↑ High
2026-01-01 03:40:00 12.261 ↓ Low
2026-01-01 04:15:00 12.365 ↑ High
15M - uptrend

Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5

Market Structure Features:

Trend State
1
Dist From Last High Pct
-0.08%
Dist From Last Low Pct
0.92%
Bars Since Swing High
0 bars
Bars Since Swing Low
7 bars
Last Swing Amplitude Pct
1.00%
Bos Up
1
Bos Down
0
Choch Up
1
Choch Down
0

SL & TP Pivot Distance:

SL to Pivot Distance
0.0260
0.21%
TP to Pivot Distance
0.0800
0.65%
DateTime Price Type
2025-12-31 15:00:00 12.253 ↓ Low
2025-12-31 16:30:00 12.383 ↑ High
2025-12-31 17:15:00 12.327 ↓ Low
2025-12-31 19:00:00 12.306 ↓ Low
2025-12-31 20:00:00 12.368 ↑ High
2025-12-31 20:30:00 12.306 ↓ Low
2025-12-31 23:15:00 12.223 ↓ Low
2026-01-01 00:30:00 12.286 ↑ High
2026-01-01 02:30:00 12.242 ↓ Low
2026-01-01 04:15:00 12.365 ↑ High
1H - range

Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5

Market Structure Features:

Trend State
0
Dist From Last High Pct
-0.08%
Dist From Last Low Pct
1.08%
Bars Since Swing High
0 bars
Bars Since Swing Low
5 bars
Last Swing Amplitude Pct
1.16%
Bos Up
0
Bos Down
0
Choch Up
0
Choch Down
0

SL & TP Pivot Distance:

SL to Pivot Distance
0.3530
2.86%
TP to Pivot Distance
0.1100
0.89%
DateTime Price Type
2025-12-30 03:00:00 12.549 ↑ High
2025-12-30 09:00:00 12.434 ↓ Low
2025-12-30 11:00:00 12.642 ↑ High
2025-12-30 15:00:00 12.451 ↓ Low
2025-12-30 20:00:00 12.71 ↑ High
2025-12-31 04:00:00 12.466 ↓ Low
2025-12-31 09:00:00 12.671 ↑ High
2025-12-31 11:00:00 12.193 ↓ Low
2025-12-31 23:00:00 12.223 ↓ Low
2026-01-01 04:00:00 12.365 ↑ High

📌 Time Data

Start at Closed at Duration
01 Jan 2026
04:18:17
01 Jan 2026
04:20:00
1 minute

📌 Entry & Exit

Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
12.339 12.357 12.303 2 9.279
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 12.339
  • Stop Loss: 12.357
  • Take Profit: 12.303

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 12.357 - 12.339 = 0.017999999999999

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 12.339 - 12.303 = 0.036

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.036 / 0.017999999999999 = 2

📌 Position Size

Amount Margin Quantity Leverage
5487.3087 100 444.7126 54.87
Details

1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade

Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade

Paramètres:

  • Account Size 100
  • Risk per trade 8 %

Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8

Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade

2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter

Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss

Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price

Paramètres:

  • Risk Amount 8
  • Distance Stop Loss 0.017999999999999

Taille de position = 8 / 0.017999999999999 = 444.44

Taille de position USD = 444.44 x 12.339 = 5483.95

Donc, tu peux acheter 444.44 avec un stoploss a 12.357

Avec un position size USD de 5483.95$

3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle

Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss

Perte = 444.44 x 0.017999999999999 = 8

Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$

4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle

Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit

Perte = 444.44 x 0.036 = 16

Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 16$

Résumé

  • Taille de position 444.44
  • Taille de position USD 5483.95
  • Perte potentielle 8
  • Gain potentiel 16
  • Risk-Reward Ratio 2

📌 Peformances

TP % Target TP $ Target
0.29 % 16.01 $
SL % Target SL $ Target
0.15 % 8 $
PNL PNL %
-8 $ -0.15
Max Drawdown Max Drawdown / SL Ratio Candles in Entry
-0.1783 % 122.21 % 0

📌 ML Extra Data

Extra TP Data

                              Array
(
)
Extra SL data

                              Array
(
    [1.1] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 12.303
            [entry_price] => 12.339
            [stop_loss] => 12.3588
            [rr_ratio] => 1.82
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.1
            [closed_at] => 2026-01-01 04:20:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [1.2] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 12.303
            [entry_price] => 12.339
            [stop_loss] => 12.3606
            [rr_ratio] => 1.67
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.2
            [closed_at] => 2026-01-01 04:20:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [1.3] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 12.303
            [entry_price] => 12.339
            [stop_loss] => 12.3624
            [rr_ratio] => 1.54
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.3
            [closed_at] => 2026-01-01 06:10:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [1.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 12.303
            [entry_price] => 12.339
            [stop_loss] => 12.366
            [rr_ratio] => 1.33
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.5
            [closed_at] => 2026-01-01 06:10:00
            [result] => loss
        )

)
Extra Pullback data

                              Array
(
    [short_term] => Array
        (
            [max_gain] => 0.018000000000001
            [max_drawdown] => 0.036
            [rr_ratio] => 0.5
            [high] => 12.37500000
            [low] => 12.32100000
            [mfe_pct] => 0.15
            [mae_pct] => 0.29
            [mfe_mae_ratio] => 0.5
            [candles_analyzed] => 24
            [start_at] => 2026-01-01T04:18:17-05:00
            [end_at] => 2026-01-01T06:18:17-05:00
        )

    [long_term] => Array
        (
            [max_gain] => 0.018000000000001
            [max_drawdown] => 0.221
            [rr_ratio] => 0.08
            [high] => 12.56000000
            [low] => 12.32100000
            [mfe_pct] => 0.15
            [mae_pct] => 1.79
            [mfe_mae_ratio] => 0.08
            [candles_analyzed] => 84
            [start_at] => 2026-01-01T04:18:17-05:00
            [end_at] => 2026-01-01T11:18:17-05:00
        )

    [breakout] => Array
        (
            [high_before] => 12.36500000
            [high_after] => 12.47700000
            [low_before] => 12.24200000
            [low_after] => 12.32100000
            [is_new_high] => 
            [is_new_low] => 
        )

)