Short Trade on AMZN 02 Jan 2026 at 14:36:36
Take profit at 226.0102 (0.4 %) and Stop Loss at 227.3749 (0.2 %)
Short Trade on AMZN 02 Jan 2026 at 14:36:36
Take profit at 226.0102 (0.4 %) and Stop Loss at 227.3749 (0.2 %)
Position size of 3990.4693 $
Take profit at 226.0102 (0.4 %) and Stop Loss at 227.3749 (0.2 %)
That's a 2 RR Trade| Prediction 1 | Probability |
|---|---|
|
Strong Trade
|
0.59 |
| Prediction 2 | Probability |
|---|---|
| 0 | 0.54 |
| Prediction 3 | Probability |
|---|---|
| 0 | 0.86 |
| BTC Market Regime | Coin Market Regime |
|---|---|
|
ml_regime : bull_moderate rules_regime : bull_medium rules_regime_5m : range_low |
1H_regime : bear_medium 15m_regime : bear_low 5m_regime : range_low |
| BTC Correlation | Score |
|---|---|
|
5m : 0.331232 15m : -0.063568 1H : 0.13746 |
0 |
Indicators:
89814.7
0.000937022
89898.9
0.331232
89207.9
0.00784607
89907.9
-0.063568
88401.8
0.0169348
89898.9
0.13746
Array
(
[left_window] => 5
[right_window] => 5
[recent_pivots] => Array
(
[0] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-01 10:00:00
[1] => 231.24
[2] => L
)
[1] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-01 11:00:00
[1] => 231.24
[2] => H
)
[2] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-01 12:00:00
[1] => 231.24
[2] => L
)
[3] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-01 13:00:00
[1] => 231.24
[2] => H
)
[4] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-01 14:00:00
[1] => 231.24
[2] => L
)
[5] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-01 16:00:00
[1] => 231.24
[2] => L
)
[6] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-01 18:00:00
[1] => 231.24
[2] => L
)
[7] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-01 20:00:00
[1] => 231.24
[2] => L
)
[8] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-02 09:00:00
[1] => 235.66
[2] => H
)
[9] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-02 13:00:00
[1] => 225.01
[2] => L
)
)
[detected_trend] => range
[features] => Array
(
[ms_trend_state] => 0
[ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -3.7087329203089
[ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 0.84885116217057
[ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 5
[ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 1
[ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 4.7331229723123
[ms_bos_up] => 1
[ms_bos_down] => 1
[ms_choch_up] => 0
[ms_choch_down] => 0
)
)
Array
(
[left_window] => 5
[right_window] => 5
[recent_pivots] => Array
(
[0] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-02 00:30:00
[1] => 232.51
[2] => L
)
[1] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-02 01:00:00
[1] => 233.22
[2] => H
)
[2] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-02 02:00:00
[1] => 232.59
[2] => L
)
[3] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-02 04:15:00
[1] => 233.93
[2] => H
)
[4] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-02 07:00:00
[1] => 232.87
[2] => L
)
[5] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-02 09:45:00
[1] => 235.66
[2] => H
)
[6] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-02 11:00:00
[1] => 225.17
[2] => L
)
[7] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-02 12:15:00
[1] => 227.33
[2] => H
)
[8] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-02 13:45:00
[1] => 225.01
[2] => L
)
[9] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-02 14:30:00
[1] => 226.98
[2] => H
)
)
[detected_trend] => downtrend
[features] => Array
(
[ms_trend_state] => -1
[ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.026434047052605
[ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 0.84885116217057
[ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 0
[ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 3
[ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 0.87551664370472
[ms_bos_up] => 0
[ms_bos_down] => 1
[ms_choch_up] => 0
[ms_choch_down] => 0
)
)
Array
(
[left_window] => 5
[right_window] => 5
[recent_pivots] => Array
(
[0] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-02 09:25:00
[1] => 231.44
[2] => L
)
[1] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-02 09:45:00
[1] => 235.66
[2] => H
)
[2] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-02 10:15:00
[1] => 227.33
[2] => L
)
[3] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-02 10:45:00
[1] => 228.8
[2] => H
)
[4] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-02 11:10:00
[1] => 225.17
[2] => L
)
[5] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-02 11:35:00
[1] => 226.8
[2] => H
)
[6] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-02 11:50:00
[1] => 225.79
[2] => L
)
[7] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-02 12:15:00
[1] => 227.33
[2] => H
)
[8] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-02 13:50:00
[1] => 225.01
[2] => L
)
[9] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-02 14:35:00
[1] => 226.98
[2] => H
)
)
[detected_trend] => downtrend
[features] => Array
(
[ms_trend_state] => -1
[ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.026434047052605
[ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 0.84885116217057
[ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 0
[ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 9
[ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 0.87551664370472
[ms_bos_up] => 0
[ms_bos_down] => 1
[ms_choch_up] => 0
[ms_choch_down] => 1
)
)
Market Structure Score: 2
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-02 09:25:00 | 231.44 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-01-02 09:45:00 | 235.66 | ↑ High |
| 2026-01-02 10:15:00 | 227.33 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-01-02 10:45:00 | 228.8 | ↑ High |
| 2026-01-02 11:10:00 | 225.17 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-01-02 11:35:00 | 226.8 | ↑ High |
| 2026-01-02 11:50:00 | 225.79 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-01-02 12:15:00 | 227.33 | ↑ High |
| 2026-01-02 13:50:00 | 225.01 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-01-02 14:35:00 | 226.98 | ↑ High |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-02 00:30:00 | 232.51 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-01-02 01:00:00 | 233.22 | ↑ High |
| 2026-01-02 02:00:00 | 232.59 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-01-02 04:15:00 | 233.93 | ↑ High |
| 2026-01-02 07:00:00 | 232.87 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-01-02 09:45:00 | 235.66 | ↑ High |
| 2026-01-02 11:00:00 | 225.17 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-01-02 12:15:00 | 227.33 | ↑ High |
| 2026-01-02 13:45:00 | 225.01 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-01-02 14:30:00 | 226.98 | ↑ High |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-01 10:00:00 | 231.24 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-01-01 11:00:00 | 231.24 | ↑ High |
| 2026-01-01 12:00:00 | 231.24 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-01-01 13:00:00 | 231.24 | ↑ High |
| 2026-01-01 14:00:00 | 231.24 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-01-01 16:00:00 | 231.24 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-01-01 18:00:00 | 231.24 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-01-01 20:00:00 | 231.24 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-01-02 09:00:00 | 235.66 | ↑ High |
| 2026-01-02 13:00:00 | 225.01 | ↓ Low |
| Start at | Closed at | Duration |
|---|---|---|
| 02 Jan 2026 14:36:36 |
04 Jan 2026 20:00:00 |
2 days |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 226.92 | 227.3749 | 226.0102 | 2 | 210.95 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 227.3749 - 226.92 = 0.45490000000001
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 226.92 - 226.0102 = 0.90979999999999
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.90979999999999 / 0.45490000000001 = 2
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3990.4693 | 100 | 17.5854 | 39.90 |
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
Taille de position = 8 / 0.45490000000001 = 17.59
Taille de position USD = 17.59 x 226.92 = 3991.52
Donc, tu peux acheter 17.59 avec un stoploss a 227.3749
Avec un position size USD de 3991.52$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = 17.59 x 0.45490000000001 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = 17.59 x 0.90979999999999 = 16
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 16$
Résumé
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.4 % | 16 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.2 % | 8 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| -8 $ | -0.20 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -0.2247 % | 112.07 % | 18 |
Array
(
)
Array
(
)
Array
(
[short_term] => Array
(
[max_gain] => 0.51999999999998
[max_drawdown] => 0.11000000000001
[rr_ratio] => 4.73
[high] => 227.03000000
[low] => 226.40000000
[mfe_pct] => 0.23
[mae_pct] => 0.05
[mfe_mae_ratio] => 4.73
[candles_analyzed] => 24
[start_at] => 2026-01-02T14:36:36-05:00
[end_at] => 2026-01-02T16:36:36-05:00
)
[long_term] => Array
(
[max_gain] => 0.51999999999998
[max_drawdown] => 0.15000000000001
[rr_ratio] => 3.47
[high] => 227.07000000
[low] => 226.40000000
[mfe_pct] => 0.23
[mae_pct] => 0.07
[mfe_mae_ratio] => 3.47
[candles_analyzed] => 84
[start_at] => 2026-01-02T14:36:36-05:00
[end_at] => 2026-01-02T21:36:36-05:00
)
[breakout] => Array
(
[high_before] => 228.80000000
[high_after] => 227.07000000
[low_before] => 225.01000000
[low_after] => 226.40000000
[is_new_high] =>
[is_new_low] =>
)
)