Long Trade on ORCA 05 Jan 2026 at 06:39:14
Take profit at 1.223 (1.24 %) and Stop Loss at 1.2005 (0.62 %)
Long Trade on ORCA 05 Jan 2026 at 06:39:14
Take profit at 1.223 (1.24 %) and Stop Loss at 1.2005 (0.62 %)
Position size of 1284.6755 $
Take profit at 1.223 (1.24 %) and Stop Loss at 1.2005 (0.62 %)
That's a 2 RR Trade| Prediction 1 | Probability |
|---|---|
|
Weak Trade
|
0.63 |
| Prediction 2 | Probability |
|---|---|
| 0 | 0.59 |
| Prediction 3 | Probability |
|---|---|
| 0 | 0.78 |
| BTC Market Regime | Coin Market Regime |
|---|---|
|
ml_regime : bull_moderate rules_regime : bull_medium rules_regime_5m : range_low |
1H_regime : bull_high 15m_regime : range_high 5m_regime : bear_medium_confirmed |
| BTC Correlation | Score |
|---|---|
|
5m : 0.324611 15m : 0.00824 1H : -0.056424 |
2 |
Indicators:
92712.1
0.00190594
92888.9
0.324611
92134.6
0.00837644
92906.4
0.00824
90504.8
0.0263413
92888.9
-0.056424
Array
(
[left_window] => 5
[right_window] => 5
[recent_pivots] => Array
(
[0] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-02 02:00:00
[1] => 1.084
[2] => L
)
[1] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-02 17:00:00
[1] => 1.127
[2] => H
)
[2] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-03 00:00:00
[1] => 1.13
[2] => H
)
[3] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-03 02:00:00
[1] => 1.094
[2] => L
)
[4] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-03 11:00:00
[1] => 1.121
[2] => H
)
[5] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-03 23:00:00
[1] => 1.16
[2] => H
)
[6] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-04 11:00:00
[1] => 1.168
[2] => H
)
[7] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-04 14:00:00
[1] => 1.144
[2] => L
)
[8] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-04 20:00:00
[1] => 1.33
[2] => H
)
[9] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-05 06:00:00
[1] => 1.204
[2] => L
)
)
[detected_trend] => uptrend
[features] => Array
(
[ms_trend_state] => 1
[ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -9.1729323308271
[ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 0.33222591362126
[ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 10
[ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 0
[ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 10.46511627907
[ms_bos_up] => 1
[ms_bos_down] => 0
[ms_choch_up] => 0
[ms_choch_down] => 0
)
)
Array
(
[left_window] => 5
[right_window] => 5
[recent_pivots] => Array
(
[0] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-04 11:00:00
[1] => 1.168
[2] => H
)
[1] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-04 14:00:00
[1] => 1.144
[2] => L
)
[2] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-04 16:00:00
[1] => 1.16
[2] => H
)
[3] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-04 16:45:00
[1] => 1.148
[2] => L
)
[4] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-04 20:15:00
[1] => 1.33
[2] => H
)
[5] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-04 23:30:00
[1] => 1.218
[2] => L
)
[6] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-05 01:30:00
[1] => 1.217
[2] => L
)
[7] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-05 02:00:00
[1] => 1.265
[2] => H
)
[8] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-05 04:00:00
[1] => 1.214
[2] => L
)
[9] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-05 06:30:00
[1] => 1.204
[2] => L
)
)
[detected_trend] => downtrend
[features] => Array
(
[ms_trend_state] => -1
[ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -4.5059288537549
[ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 0.33222591362126
[ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 18
[ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 0
[ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 0.83056478405316
[ms_bos_up] => 0
[ms_bos_down] => 1
[ms_choch_up] => 0
[ms_choch_down] => 0
)
)
Array
(
[left_window] => 5
[right_window] => 5
[recent_pivots] => Array
(
[0] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-05 02:10:00
[1] => 1.265
[2] => H
)
[1] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-05 03:00:00
[1] => 1.232
[2] => L
)
[2] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-05 03:30:00
[1] => 1.246
[2] => H
)
[3] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-05 04:00:00
[1] => 1.214
[2] => L
)
[4] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-05 04:25:00
[1] => 1.231
[2] => H
)
[5] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-05 04:55:00
[1] => 1.217
[2] => L
)
[6] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-05 05:30:00
[1] => 1.227
[2] => H
)
[7] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-05 05:40:00
[1] => 1.218
[2] => L
)
[8] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-05 05:55:00
[1] => 1.227
[2] => H
)
[9] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-05 06:35:00
[1] => 1.204
[2] => L
)
)
[detected_trend] => range
[features] => Array
(
[ms_trend_state] => 0
[ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -1.5484922575387
[ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 0.33222591362126
[ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 8
[ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 0
[ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 1.9102990033223
[ms_bos_up] => 0
[ms_bos_down] => 1
[ms_choch_up] => 0
[ms_choch_down] => 0
)
)
Market Structure Score: 1
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-05 02:10:00 | 1.265 | ↑ High |
| 2026-01-05 03:00:00 | 1.232 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-01-05 03:30:00 | 1.246 | ↑ High |
| 2026-01-05 04:00:00 | 1.214 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-01-05 04:25:00 | 1.231 | ↑ High |
| 2026-01-05 04:55:00 | 1.217 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-01-05 05:30:00 | 1.227 | ↑ High |
| 2026-01-05 05:40:00 | 1.218 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-01-05 05:55:00 | 1.227 | ↑ High |
| 2026-01-05 06:35:00 | 1.204 | ↓ Low |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-04 11:00:00 | 1.168 | ↑ High |
| 2026-01-04 14:00:00 | 1.144 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-01-04 16:00:00 | 1.16 | ↑ High |
| 2026-01-04 16:45:00 | 1.148 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-01-04 20:15:00 | 1.33 | ↑ High |
| 2026-01-04 23:30:00 | 1.218 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-01-05 01:30:00 | 1.217 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-01-05 02:00:00 | 1.265 | ↑ High |
| 2026-01-05 04:00:00 | 1.214 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-01-05 06:30:00 | 1.204 | ↓ Low |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-02 02:00:00 | 1.084 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-01-02 17:00:00 | 1.127 | ↑ High |
| 2026-01-03 00:00:00 | 1.13 | ↑ High |
| 2026-01-03 02:00:00 | 1.094 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-01-03 11:00:00 | 1.121 | ↑ High |
| 2026-01-03 23:00:00 | 1.16 | ↑ High |
| 2026-01-04 11:00:00 | 1.168 | ↑ High |
| 2026-01-04 14:00:00 | 1.144 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-01-04 20:00:00 | 1.33 | ↑ High |
| 2026-01-05 06:00:00 | 1.204 | ↓ Low |
| Start at | Closed at | Duration |
|---|---|---|
| 05 Jan 2026 06:39:14 |
05 Jan 2026 07:40:00 |
1 hour |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1.208 | 1.2005 | 1.223 | 2 | 0.927 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 1.2005 - 1.208 = -0.0075000000000001
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 1.208 - 1.223 = -0.015
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.015 / -0.0075000000000001 = 2
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1284.6755 | 100 | 1063.4731 | 12.85 |
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
Taille de position = 8 / -0.0075000000000001 = -1066.67
Taille de position USD = -1066.67 x 1.208 = -1288.54
Donc, tu peux acheter -1066.67 avec un stoploss a 1.2005
Avec un position size USD de -1288.54$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = -1066.67 x -0.0075000000000001 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = -1066.67 x -0.015 = 16
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 16$
Résumé
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 1.24 % | 15.95 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.62 % | 7.98 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| -7.98 $ | -0.62 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -0.9106 % | 146.66 % | 11 |
Array
(
)
Array
(
[1.1] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 1.223
[entry_price] => 1.208
[stop_loss] => 1.19975
[rr_ratio] => 1.82
[sl_change_percentage] => 1.1
[closed_at] => 2026-01-05 07:40:00
[result] => loss
)
[1.2] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 1.223
[entry_price] => 1.208
[stop_loss] => 1.199
[rr_ratio] => 1.67
[sl_change_percentage] => 1.2
[closed_at] => 2026-01-05 07:40:00
[result] => loss
)
[1.3] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 1.223
[entry_price] => 1.208
[stop_loss] => 1.19825
[rr_ratio] => 1.54
[sl_change_percentage] => 1.3
[closed_at] => 2026-01-05 07:40:00
[result] => loss
)
[1.5] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 1.223
[entry_price] => 1.208
[stop_loss] => 1.19675
[rr_ratio] => 1.33
[sl_change_percentage] => 1.5
[closed_at] => 2026-01-05 07:55:00
[result] => loss
)
)
Array
(
[short_term] => Array
(
[max_gain] => 0.006
[max_drawdown] => 0.02
[rr_ratio] => 0.3
[high] => 1.21400000
[low] => 1.18800000
[mfe_pct] => 0.5
[mae_pct] => 1.66
[mfe_mae_ratio] => 0.3
[candles_analyzed] => 24
[start_at] => 2026-01-05T06:39:14-05:00
[end_at] => 2026-01-05T08:39:14-05:00
)
[long_term] => Array
(
[max_gain] => 0.006
[max_drawdown] => 0.025
[rr_ratio] => 0.24
[high] => 1.21400000
[low] => 1.18300000
[mfe_pct] => 0.5
[mae_pct] => 2.07
[mfe_mae_ratio] => 0.24
[candles_analyzed] => 84
[start_at] => 2026-01-05T06:39:14-05:00
[end_at] => 2026-01-05T13:39:14-05:00
)
[breakout] => Array
(
[high_before] => 1.24900000
[high_after] => 1.21400000
[low_before] => 1.20400000
[low_after] => 1.18300000
[is_new_high] =>
[is_new_low] =>
)
)