Short Trade on OG 05 Jan 2026 at 18:45:27
Take profit at 4.4244 (2.28 %) and Stop Loss at 4.579 (1.14 %)
Short Trade on OG 05 Jan 2026 at 18:45:27
Take profit at 4.4244 (2.28 %) and Stop Loss at 4.579 (1.14 %)
Position size of 702.9197 $
Take profit at 4.4244 (2.28 %) and Stop Loss at 4.579 (1.14 %)
That's a 2 RR Trade| Prediction 1 | Probability |
|---|---|
|
Weak Trade
|
0.66 |
| Prediction 2 | Probability |
|---|---|
| 1 | 0.71 |
| Prediction 3 | Probability |
|---|---|
| 1 | 0.5 |
| BTC Market Regime | Coin Market Regime |
|---|---|
|
ml_regime : bull_moderate rules_regime : bull_medium rules_regime_5m : range_low |
1H_regime : bear_high 15m_regime : bear_high 5m_regime : bull_medium |
| BTC Correlation | Score |
|---|---|
|
5m : 0.04575 15m : -0.045415 1H : -0.012883 |
0 |
Indicators:
93984.5
-0.00135023
93857.6
0.04575
93173
0.00734751
93857.6
-0.045415
91268.1
0.0283717
93857.6
-0.012883
Array
(
[left_window] => 5
[right_window] => 5
[recent_pivots] => Array
(
[0] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-02 14:00:00
[1] => 7.555
[2] => H
)
[1] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-03 07:00:00
[1] => 6.4483
[2] => L
)
[2] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-03 15:00:00
[1] => 6.6367
[2] => H
)
[3] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-03 21:00:00
[1] => 6.7026
[2] => H
)
[4] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-03 23:00:00
[1] => 5.5148
[2] => L
)
[5] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-04 08:00:00
[1] => 5.7238
[2] => L
)
[6] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-04 13:00:00
[1] => 5.9452
[2] => H
)
[7] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-04 22:00:00
[1] => 4.6724
[2] => L
)
[8] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-05 12:00:00
[1] => 4.2158
[2] => L
)
[9] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-05 18:00:00
[1] => 4.5359
[2] => H
)
)
[detected_trend] => downtrend
[features] => Array
(
[ms_trend_state] => -1
[ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.58863731563747
[ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 6.9595331846862
[ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 0
[ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 6
[ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 7.5928649366668
[ms_bos_up] => 0
[ms_bos_down] => 1
[ms_choch_up] => 0
[ms_choch_down] => 0
)
)
Array
(
[left_window] => 5
[right_window] => 5
[recent_pivots] => Array
(
[0] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-05 01:45:00
[1] => 4.9696
[2] => H
)
[1] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-05 04:45:00
[1] => 4.7835
[2] => L
)
[2] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-05 06:00:00
[1] => 4.8692
[2] => H
)
[3] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-05 08:15:00
[1] => 4.7588
[2] => L
)
[4] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-05 08:45:00
[1] => 4.826
[2] => H
)
[5] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-05 10:00:00
[1] => 4.5942
[2] => L
)
[6] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-05 12:00:00
[1] => 4.2158
[2] => L
)
[7] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-05 15:15:00
[1] => 4.4221
[2] => H
)
[8] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-05 17:00:00
[1] => 4.2848
[2] => L
)
[9] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-05 18:45:00
[1] => 4.5359
[2] => H
)
)
[detected_trend] => uptrend
[features] => Array
(
[ms_trend_state] => 1
[ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.58863731563747
[ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 5.2371172516804
[ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 0
[ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 7
[ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 5.8602501867065
[ms_bos_up] => 1
[ms_bos_down] => 0
[ms_choch_up] => 1
[ms_choch_down] => 0
)
)
Array
(
[left_window] => 5
[right_window] => 5
[recent_pivots] => Array
(
[0] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-05 13:00:00
[1] => 4.2962
[2] => L
)
[1] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-05 13:10:00
[1] => 4.4253
[2] => H
)
[2] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-05 14:00:00
[1] => 4.4195
[2] => H
)
[3] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-05 14:25:00
[1] => 4.3456
[2] => L
)
[4] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-05 15:25:00
[1] => 4.4221
[2] => H
)
[5] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-05 15:45:00
[1] => 4.3514
[2] => L
)
[6] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-05 16:25:00
[1] => 4.4026
[2] => H
)
[7] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-05 17:00:00
[1] => 4.2848
[2] => L
)
[8] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-05 18:10:00
[1] => 4.5159
[2] => H
)
[9] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-05 18:45:00
[1] => 4.5359
[2] => H
)
)
[detected_trend] => range
[features] => Array
(
[ms_trend_state] => 0
[ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.58863731563747
[ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 5.2371172516804
[ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 0
[ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 21
[ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 0.44287960317987
[ms_bos_up] => 1
[ms_bos_down] => 1
[ms_choch_up] => 0
[ms_choch_down] => 0
)
)
Market Structure Score: 1
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-05 13:00:00 | 4.2962 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-01-05 13:10:00 | 4.4253 | ↑ High |
| 2026-01-05 14:00:00 | 4.4195 | ↑ High |
| 2026-01-05 14:25:00 | 4.3456 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-01-05 15:25:00 | 4.4221 | ↑ High |
| 2026-01-05 15:45:00 | 4.3514 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-01-05 16:25:00 | 4.4026 | ↑ High |
| 2026-01-05 17:00:00 | 4.2848 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-01-05 18:10:00 | 4.5159 | ↑ High |
| 2026-01-05 18:45:00 | 4.5359 | ↑ High |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-05 01:45:00 | 4.9696 | ↑ High |
| 2026-01-05 04:45:00 | 4.7835 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-01-05 06:00:00 | 4.8692 | ↑ High |
| 2026-01-05 08:15:00 | 4.7588 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-01-05 08:45:00 | 4.826 | ↑ High |
| 2026-01-05 10:00:00 | 4.5942 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-01-05 12:00:00 | 4.2158 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-01-05 15:15:00 | 4.4221 | ↑ High |
| 2026-01-05 17:00:00 | 4.2848 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-01-05 18:45:00 | 4.5359 | ↑ High |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-02 14:00:00 | 7.555 | ↑ High |
| 2026-01-03 07:00:00 | 6.4483 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-01-03 15:00:00 | 6.6367 | ↑ High |
| 2026-01-03 21:00:00 | 6.7026 | ↑ High |
| 2026-01-03 23:00:00 | 5.5148 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-01-04 08:00:00 | 5.7238 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-01-04 13:00:00 | 5.9452 | ↑ High |
| 2026-01-04 22:00:00 | 4.6724 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-01-05 12:00:00 | 4.2158 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-01-05 18:00:00 | 4.5359 | ↑ High |
| Start at | Closed at | Duration |
|---|---|---|
| 05 Jan 2026 18:45:27 |
05 Jan 2026 19:35:00 |
49 minutes |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4.5275 | 4.579 | 4.4244 | 2 | 2.9982 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 4.579 - 4.5275 = 0.0515
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 4.5275 - 4.4244 = 0.1031
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.1031 / 0.0515 = 2.0019
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 702.9197 | 100 | 155.2556 | 7.03 |
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
Taille de position = 8 / 0.0515 = 155.34
Taille de position USD = 155.34 x 4.5275 = 703.3
Donc, tu peux acheter 155.34 avec un stoploss a 4.579
Avec un position size USD de 703.3$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = 155.34 x 0.0515 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = 155.34 x 0.1031 = 16.02
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 16.02$
Résumé
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 2.28 % | 16.01 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 1.14 % | 8 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| 16.01 $ | 2.28 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -0.0066 % | 0.58 % | 2 |
Array
(
[2] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 4.4245
[stop_loss] => 4.579
[rr_ratio] => 2
[closed_at] => 2026-01-05 19:35:00
[result] => win
)
[2.5] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 4.39875
[stop_loss] => 4.579
[rr_ratio] => 2.5
[closed_at] => 2026-01-05 19:40:00
[result] => win
)
[3] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 4.373
[stop_loss] => 4.579
[rr_ratio] => 3
[closed_at] => 2026-01-05 19:40:00
[result] => win
)
[3.5] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 4.34725
[stop_loss] => 4.579
[rr_ratio] => 3.5
[closed_at] => 2026-01-05 19:45:00
[result] => win
)
[4] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 4.3215
[stop_loss] => 4.579
[rr_ratio] => 4
[closed_at] => 2026-01-05 19:45:00
[result] => win
)
[4.5] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 4.29575
[stop_loss] => 4.579
[rr_ratio] => 4.5
[closed_at] => 2026-01-05 19:50:00
[result] => win
)
[5] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 4.27
[stop_loss] => 4.579
[rr_ratio] => 5
[closed_at] => 2026-01-05 19:50:00
[result] => win
)
)
Array
(
)
Array
(
[short_term] => Array
(
[max_gain] => 0.2749
[max_drawdown] => 0.00030000000000019
[rr_ratio] => 100
[high] => 4.52780000
[low] => 4.25260000
[mfe_pct] => 6.07
[mae_pct] => 0.01
[mfe_mae_ratio] => 916.33
[candles_analyzed] => 24
[start_at] => 2026-01-05T18:45:27-05:00
[end_at] => 2026-01-05T20:45:27-05:00
)
[long_term] => Array
(
[max_gain] => 0.2749
[max_drawdown] => 0.00030000000000019
[rr_ratio] => 100
[high] => 4.52780000
[low] => 4.25260000
[mfe_pct] => 6.07
[mae_pct] => 0.01
[mfe_mae_ratio] => 916.33
[candles_analyzed] => 84
[start_at] => 2026-01-05T18:45:27-05:00
[end_at] => 2026-01-06T01:45:27-05:00
)
[breakout] => Array
(
[high_before] => 4.53590000
[high_after] => 4.52780000
[low_before] => 4.28480000
[low_after] => 4.25260000
[is_new_high] =>
[is_new_low] => 1
)
)