Long Trade on MSTR 05 Jan 2026 at 19:38:33

Take profit at 165.3578 (0.4 %) and Stop Loss at 164.3711 (0.2 %)

Long Trade on MSTR

The 05 Jan 2026 at 19:38:33

With 24.3247 MSTR at 164.7$ per unit.

Position size of 4006.2823 $

Take profit at 165.3578 (0.4 %) and Stop Loss at 164.3711 (0.2 %)

That's a 2 RR Trade

Results

Status:
win
Trade Type:
buy
ML Trade Score: 70
ML Pullback Score: 6.99
Prediction Score: 1
Prediction 1 Probability
Weak Trade
0.82
Prediction 2 Probability
0 0.89
Prediction 3 Probability
0 0.57
BTC Market Regime Coin Market Regime

ml_regime : neutral

rules_regime : bull_medium

rules_regime_5m : range_low

1H_regime : bull_high

15m_regime : range_medium

5m_regime : range_low

BTC Correlation Score

5m : 0.58399

15m : -0.02915

1H : -0.047605

1

Signal

CatchTheWave Signal - buy

Indicators:

  1. long_trend: 1
  2. short_kc: True
  3. short_kc_percentage: 0.09
  4. atr: 0.2192556439
Details
  1. score: 2.09
  2. 1H
  3. ema9 : 164.915
  4. ema21 : 164.134
  5. ema50 : 162.118
  6. ema100 : 159.779
  7. price_ema9_diff : -0.00130802
  8. ema9_ema21_diff : 0.00476056
  9. ema21_ema50_diff : 0.0124313
  10. price_ema100_diff : 0.030794
  11. all_emas_in_trend : True
  12. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : False
  13. ema_slope_9 : 0.0609689
  14. ema_slope_21 : 0.0947107
  15. ema_slope_50 : 0.0922963
  16. ema_slope_100 : 0.0745757
  17. rsi : 0.557304
  18. adx : 0.302839
  19. kc_percentage : 0.577894
  20. kc_width_percentage : 0.0380312
  21. volume_ema_diff : -0.0868306
  22. volume_ema1 : 885317.58248232
  23. volume_ema2 : 969499.91456768
  24. chop : 39.8454
  25. regime : bull_high
  26. ¸
  27. 15m
  28. ema9 : 165.151
  29. ema21 : 165.09
  30. ema50 : 164.648
  31. ema100 : 163.674
  32. price_ema9_diff : -0.00273203
  33. ema9_ema21_diff : 0.000367399
  34. ema21_ema50_diff : 0.00268211
  35. price_ema100_diff : 0.00626644
  36. all_emas_in_trend : True
  37. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : False
  38. ema_slope_9 : 0.00901093
  39. ema_slope_21 : 0.0214986
  40. ema_slope_50 : 0.0217478
  41. ema_slope_100 : 0.0233982
  42. rsi : 0.478093
  43. adx : 0.110263
  44. kc_percentage : 0.313789
  45. kc_width_percentage : 0.0131411
  46. volume_ema_diff : -0.851316
  47. volume_ema1 : 58831.048844605
  48. volume_ema2 : 395678.80692263
  49. chop : 81.9579
  50. regime : range_medium
  51. ¸
  52. 5m
  53. ema9 : 164.957
  54. ema21 : 165.167
  55. ema50 : 165.16
  56. ema100 : 164.99
  57. price_ema9_diff : -0.00156302
  58. ema9_ema21_diff : -0.00126954
  59. ema21_ema50_diff : 4.42528E-5
  60. price_ema100_diff : -0.00176084
  61. all_emas_in_trend : False
  62. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : False
  63. ema_slope_9 : -0.0305902
  64. ema_slope_21 : -0.019404
  65. ema_slope_50 : -0.00432056
  66. ema_slope_100 : 0.000584924
  67. rsi : 0.35836
  68. adx : 0.153705
  69. kc_percentage : -0.0904565
  70. kc_width_percentage : 0.00470603
  71. volume_ema_diff : -0.683368
  72. volume_ema1 : 22143.525756999
  73. volume_ema2 : 69934.66134136
  74. chop : 53.4117
  75. regime : range_low
  76. ¸
  77. btc_indicators
  78. btc_indicators
  79. 5m_ema100:
    93956.1
  80. 5m_price_ema100_diff:
    -0.00462602
  81. 5m_price:
    93521.5
  82. 5m_correlation_with_coin:
    0.58399
  83. btc_indicators
  84. 15m_ema100:
    93228.4
  85. 15m_price_ema100_diff:
    0.00354673
  86. 15m_price:
    93559.1
  87. 15m_correlation_with_coin:
    -0.02915
  88. btc_indicators
  89. 1H_ema100:
    91329.7
  90. 1H_price_ema100_diff:
    0.0239985
  91. 1H_price:
    93521.5
  92. 1H_correlation_with_coin:
    -0.047605
  93. ¸
  94. market_structures
  95. market_structures
  96. 1H_version: 1.1
  97. 1H_market_structure:
    Array
    (
        [left_window] => 5
        [right_window] => 5
        [recent_pivots] => Array
            (
                [0] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-04 07:00:00
                        [1] => 158.59
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [1] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-04 09:00:00
                        [1] => 158.59
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [2] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-04 11:00:00
                        [1] => 158.59
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [3] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-04 13:00:00
                        [1] => 158.59
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [4] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-04 15:00:00
                        [1] => 158.59
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [5] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-04 17:00:00
                        [1] => 158.59
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [6] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-04 19:00:00
                        [1] => 158.59
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [7] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-04 20:00:00
                        [1] => 165.51
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [8] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-05 09:00:00
                        [1] => 167.9
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [9] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-05 13:00:00
                        [1] => 161.35
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
            )
    
        [detected_trend] => uptrend
        [features] => Array
            (
                [ms_trend_state] => 1
                [ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -1.8880285884455
                [ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 2.0948249147815
                [ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 10
                [ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 6
                [ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 4.0594979857453
                [ms_bos_up] => 1
                [ms_bos_down] => 0
                [ms_choch_up] => 0
                [ms_choch_down] => 0
            )
    
    )
    
  98. market_structures
  99. 15m_version: 1.1
  100. 15m_market_structure:
    Array
    (
        [left_window] => 5
        [right_window] => 5
        [recent_pivots] => Array
            (
                [0] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-05 01:30:00
                        [1] => 162.49
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [1] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-05 03:15:00
                        [1] => 163.92
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [2] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-05 07:15:00
                        [1] => 164.81
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [3] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-05 08:30:00
                        [1] => 163.04
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [4] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-05 09:45:00
                        [1] => 167.9
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [5] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-05 13:15:00
                        [1] => 161.35
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [6] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-05 14:30:00
                        [1] => 166.31
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [7] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-05 15:30:00
                        [1] => 163.98
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [8] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-05 17:30:00
                        [1] => 166.12
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [9] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-05 19:30:00
                        [1] => 164.67
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
            )
    
        [detected_trend] => range
        [features] => Array
            (
                [ms_trend_state] => 0
                [ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.83674452203227
                [ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 0.036436509382403
                [ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 8
                [ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 0
                [ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 0.88054897674137
                [ms_bos_up] => 0
                [ms_bos_down] => 0
                [ms_choch_up] => 0
                [ms_choch_down] => 0
            )
    
    )
    
  101. market_structures
  102. 5m_version: 1.1
  103. 5m_market_structure:
    Array
    (
        [left_window] => 5
        [right_window] => 5
        [recent_pivots] => Array
            (
                [0] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-05 15:40:00
                        [1] => 163.98
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [1] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-05 16:05:00
                        [1] => 165.59
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [2] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-05 16:35:00
                        [1] => 165.03
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [3] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-05 16:50:00
                        [1] => 165.8
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [4] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-05 17:30:00
                        [1] => 166.12
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [5] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-05 18:00:00
                        [1] => 165.48
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [6] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-05 18:20:00
                        [1] => 165.98
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [7] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-05 18:40:00
                        [1] => 165.07
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [8] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-05 19:05:00
                        [1] => 165.43
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [9] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-05 19:35:00
                        [1] => 164.67
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
            )
    
        [detected_trend] => downtrend
        [features] => Array
            (
                [ms_trend_state] => -1
                [ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.4231396965484
                [ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 0.036436509382403
                [ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 6
                [ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 0
                [ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 0.46152911884376
                [ms_bos_up] => 0
                [ms_bos_down] => 1
                [ms_choch_up] => 0
                [ms_choch_down] => 0
            )
    
    )
    
  104. ¸

Market Structure

Market Structure Score: 1

5M - downtrend

Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5

Market Structure Features:

Trend State
-1
Dist From Last High Pct
-0.42%
Dist From Last Low Pct
0.04%
Bars Since Swing High
6 bars
Bars Since Swing Low
0 bars
Last Swing Amplitude Pct
0.46%
Bos Up
0
Bos Down
1
Choch Up
0
Choch Down
0

SL & TP Pivot Distance:

SL to Pivot Distance
0.3911
0.24%
TP to Pivot Distance
0.7622
0.46%
DateTime Price Type
2026-01-05 15:40:00 163.98 ↓ Low
2026-01-05 16:05:00 165.59 ↑ High
2026-01-05 16:35:00 165.03 ↓ Low
2026-01-05 16:50:00 165.8 ↑ High
2026-01-05 17:30:00 166.12 ↑ High
2026-01-05 18:00:00 165.48 ↓ Low
2026-01-05 18:20:00 165.98 ↑ High
2026-01-05 18:40:00 165.07 ↓ Low
2026-01-05 19:05:00 165.43 ↑ High
2026-01-05 19:35:00 164.67 ↓ Low
15M - range

Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5

Market Structure Features:

Trend State
0
Dist From Last High Pct
-0.84%
Dist From Last Low Pct
0.04%
Bars Since Swing High
8 bars
Bars Since Swing Low
0 bars
Last Swing Amplitude Pct
0.88%
Bos Up
0
Bos Down
0
Choch Up
0
Choch Down
0

SL & TP Pivot Distance:

SL to Pivot Distance
3.0211
1.84%
TP to Pivot Distance
2.5422
1.54%
DateTime Price Type
2026-01-05 01:30:00 162.49 ↓ Low
2026-01-05 03:15:00 163.92 ↑ High
2026-01-05 07:15:00 164.81 ↑ High
2026-01-05 08:30:00 163.04 ↓ Low
2026-01-05 09:45:00 167.9 ↑ High
2026-01-05 13:15:00 161.35 ↓ Low
2026-01-05 14:30:00 166.31 ↑ High
2026-01-05 15:30:00 163.98 ↓ Low
2026-01-05 17:30:00 166.12 ↑ High
2026-01-05 19:30:00 164.67 ↓ Low
1H - uptrend

Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5

Market Structure Features:

Trend State
1
Dist From Last High Pct
-1.89%
Dist From Last Low Pct
2.09%
Bars Since Swing High
10 bars
Bars Since Swing Low
6 bars
Last Swing Amplitude Pct
4.06%
Bos Up
1
Bos Down
0
Choch Up
0
Choch Down
0

SL & TP Pivot Distance:

SL to Pivot Distance
5.7811
3.52%
TP to Pivot Distance
2.5422
1.54%
DateTime Price Type
2026-01-04 07:00:00 158.59 ↑ High
2026-01-04 09:00:00 158.59 ↑ High
2026-01-04 11:00:00 158.59 ↑ High
2026-01-04 13:00:00 158.59 ↑ High
2026-01-04 15:00:00 158.59 ↓ Low
2026-01-04 17:00:00 158.59 ↓ Low
2026-01-04 19:00:00 158.59 ↓ Low
2026-01-04 20:00:00 165.51 ↑ High
2026-01-05 09:00:00 167.9 ↑ High
2026-01-05 13:00:00 161.35 ↓ Low

📌 Time Data

Start at Closed at Duration
05 Jan 2026
19:38:33
05 Jan 2026
20:15:00
36 minutes

📌 Entry & Exit

Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
164.7 164.3711 165.3578 2 133.49
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 164.7
  • Stop Loss: 164.3711
  • Take Profit: 165.3578

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 164.3711 - 164.7 = -0.32889999999998

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 164.7 - 165.3578 = -0.65780000000001

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.65780000000001 / -0.32889999999998 = 2

📌 Position Size

Amount Margin Quantity Leverage
4006.2823 100 24.3247 40.06
Details

1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade

Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade

Paramètres:

  • Account Size 100
  • Risk per trade 8 %

Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8

Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade

2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter

Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss

Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price

Paramètres:

  • Risk Amount 8
  • Distance Stop Loss -0.32889999999998

Taille de position = 8 / -0.32889999999998 = -24.32

Taille de position USD = -24.32 x 164.7 = -4005.5

Donc, tu peux acheter -24.32 avec un stoploss a 164.3711

Avec un position size USD de -4005.5$

3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle

Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss

Perte = -24.32 x -0.32889999999998 = 8

Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$

4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle

Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit

Perte = -24.32 x -0.65780000000001 = 16

Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 16$

Résumé

  • Taille de position -24.32
  • Taille de position USD -4005.5
  • Perte potentielle 8
  • Gain potentiel 16
  • Risk-Reward Ratio 2

📌 Peformances

TP % Target TP $ Target
0.4 % 16 $
SL % Target SL $ Target
0.2 % 8 $
PNL PNL %
16 $ 0.40
Max Drawdown Max Drawdown / SL Ratio Candles in Entry
-0.0304 % 15.22 % 3

📌 ML Extra Data

Extra TP Data

                              Array
(
    [2] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 165.3578
            [stop_loss] => 164.3711
            [rr_ratio] => 2
            [closed_at] => 2026-01-05 20:15:00
            [result] => win
        )

    [2.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 165.52225
            [stop_loss] => 164.3711
            [rr_ratio] => 2.5
            [closed_at] => 2026-01-05 20:25:00
            [result] => win
        )

    [3] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 165.6867
            [stop_loss] => 164.3711
            [rr_ratio] => 3
            [closed_at] => 2026-01-05 20:25:00
            [result] => win
        )

    [3.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 165.85115
            [stop_loss] => 164.3711
            [rr_ratio] => 3.5
            [closed_at] => 2026-01-05 20:30:00
            [result] => win
        )

)
Extra SL data

                              Array
(
)
Extra Pullback data

                              Array
(
    [short_term] => Array
        (
            [max_gain] => 1.2
            [max_drawdown] => 0.049999999999983
            [rr_ratio] => 24
            [high] => 165.90000000
            [low] => 164.65000000
            [mfe_pct] => 0.73
            [mae_pct] => 0.03
            [mfe_mae_ratio] => 24
            [candles_analyzed] => 24
            [start_at] => 2026-01-05T19:38:33-05:00
            [end_at] => 2026-01-05T21:38:33-05:00
        )

    [long_term] => Array
        (
            [max_gain] => 1.2
            [max_drawdown] => 0.049999999999983
            [rr_ratio] => 24
            [high] => 165.90000000
            [low] => 164.65000000
            [mfe_pct] => 0.73
            [mae_pct] => 0.03
            [mfe_mae_ratio] => 24
            [candles_analyzed] => 84
            [start_at] => 2026-01-05T19:38:33-05:00
            [end_at] => 2026-01-06T02:38:33-05:00
        )

    [breakout] => Array
        (
            [high_before] => 166.12000000
            [high_after] => 165.90000000
            [low_before] => 163.98000000
            [low_after] => 164.65000000
            [is_new_high] => 
            [is_new_low] => 
        )

)