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Short Trade on MSTR

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Short Trade on MSTR 06 Jan 2026 at 15:45:43

Take profit at 158.1893 (0.92 %) and Stop Loss at 160.3953 (0.46 %)

Short Trade on MSTR

The 06 Jan 2026 at 15:45:43

With 10.8793 MSTR at 159.66$ per unit.

Position size of 1736.9826 $

Take profit at 158.1893 (0.92 %) and Stop Loss at 160.3953 (0.46 %)

That's a 2 RR Trade

Results

Status:
win
Trade Type:
sell
ML Trade Score: 40
ML Pullback Score: 0.18
Prediction Score: 1
Prediction 1 Probability
Weak Trade
0.51
Prediction 2 Probability
0 0.43
Prediction 3 Probability
1 0.56
BTC Market Regime Coin Market Regime

ml_regime : neutral

rules_regime : bull_medium

rules_regime_5m : range_low

1H_regime : bear_high

15m_regime : bear_medium

5m_regime : range_low
BTC Correlation Score

5m : 0.649368

15m : -0.040975

1H : -0.048271

 0

Signal

CatchTheWave Signal - sell

Indicators:

  1. long_trend: -1
  2. short_kc: True
  3. short_kc_percentage: 0.4
  4. atr: 0.4902294414
Details
  1. score: 1.4
  2. 1H
  3. ema9 : 159.477
  4. ema21 : 161.583
  5. ema50 : 162.165
  6. ema100 : 161.27
  7. price_ema9_diff : 0.00114242
  8. ema9_ema21_diff : -0.0130316
  9. ema21_ema50_diff : -0.00358669
  10. price_ema100_diff : -0.00998527
  11. all_emas_in_trend : True
  12. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : False
  13. ema_slope_9 : -0.2719
  14. ema_slope_21 : -0.151202
  15. ema_slope_50 : -0.0438149
  16. ema_slope_100 : -0.00386374
  17. rsi : 0.423371
  18. adx : 0.307505
  19. kc_percentage : 0.272264
  20. kc_width_percentage : 0.0502207
  21. volume_ema_diff : 0.183187
  22. volume_ema1 : 1131568.5691535
  23. volume_ema2 : 956372.74371363
  24. chop : 13.8196
  25. regime : bear_high
    26. ¸
  26. 15m
  27. ema9 : 158.059
  28. ema21 : 158.516
  29. ema50 : 160.685
  30. ema100 : 162.452
  31. price_ema9_diff : 0.010129
  32. ema9_ema21_diff : -0.00288772
  33. ema21_ema50_diff : -0.0134963
  34. price_ema100_diff : -0.0171868
  35. all_emas_in_trend : True
  36. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : False
  37. ema_slope_9 : -0.0345815
  38. ema_slope_21 : -0.124515
  39. ema_slope_50 : -0.112653
  40. ema_slope_100 : -0.0750113
  41. rsi : 0.538453
  42. adx : 0.359841
  43. kc_percentage : 0.816257
  44. kc_width_percentage : 0.0243127
  45. volume_ema_diff : -0.552583
  46. volume_ema1 : 134659.37098679
  47. volume_ema2 : 300970.97162172
  48. chop : 39.484
  49. regime : bear_medium
    50. ¸
  50. 5m
  51. ema9 : 158.862
  52. ema21 : 157.945
  53. ema50 : 158.09
  54. ema100 : 159.698
  55. price_ema9_diff : 0.00502165
  56. ema9_ema21_diff : 0.00580567
  57. ema21_ema50_diff : -0.000921169
  58. price_ema100_diff : -0.000238
  59. all_emas_in_trend : False
  60. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : False
  61. ema_slope_9 : 0.144486
  62. ema_slope_21 : 0.0906528
  63. ema_slope_50 : 0.0155011
  64. ema_slope_100 : -0.0169087
  65. rsi : 0.728723
  66. adx : 0.400509
  67. kc_percentage : 1.39616
  68. kc_width_percentage : 0.0116773
  69. volume_ema_diff : -0.673228
  70. volume_ema1 : 30615.79248707
  71. volume_ema2 : 93691.85769174
  72. chop : 27.7995
  73. regime : range_low
    74. ¸
  74. btc_indicators
  75. btc_indicators
  76. 5m_ema100: 
    92778
  77. 5m_price_ema100_diff: 
    -0.00178028
  78. 5m_price: 
    92612.9
  79. 5m_correlation_with_coin: 
    0.649368
  80. btc_indicators
  81. 15m_ema100: 
    93345.3
  82. 15m_price_ema100_diff: 
    -0.00784666
  83. 15m_price: 
    92612.9
  84. 15m_correlation_with_coin: 
    -0.040975
  85. btc_indicators
  86. 1H_ema100: 
    92183.4
  87. 1H_price_ema100_diff: 
    0.00465843
  88. 1H_price: 
    92612.9
  89. 1H_correlation_with_coin: 
    -0.048271
    90. ¸
  90. market_structures
  91. market_structures
  92. 1H_version: 1.1
  93. 1H_market_structure: 
    Array
(
    [left_window] => 5
    [right_window] => 5
    [recent_pivots] => Array
        (
            [0] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-04 13:00:00
                    [1] => 158.59
                    [2] => H
                )

            [1] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-04 15:00:00
                    [1] => 158.59
                    [2] => L
                )

            [2] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-04 17:00:00
                    [1] => 158.59
                    [2] => L
                )

            [3] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-04 19:00:00
                    [1] => 158.59
                    [2] => L
                )

            [4] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-04 20:00:00
                    [1] => 165.51
                    [2] => H
                )

            [5] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-05 09:00:00
                    [1] => 167.9
                    [2] => H
                )

            [6] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-05 13:00:00
                    [1] => 161.35
                    [2] => L
                )

            [7] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-06 03:00:00
                    [1] => 163.81
                    [2] => L
                )

            [8] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-06 09:00:00
                    [1] => 167.43
                    [2] => H
                )

            [9] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-06 14:00:00
                    [1] => 154.44
                    [2] => L
                )

        )

    [detected_trend] => downtrend
    [features] => Array
        (
            [ms_trend_state] => -1
            [ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -4.545183061578
            [ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 3.4835534835535
            [ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 6
            [ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 1
            [ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 8.4110334110334
            [ms_bos_up] => 0
            [ms_bos_down] => 1
            [ms_choch_up] => 0
            [ms_choch_down] => 1
        )

)
  94. market_structures
  95. 15m_version: 1.1
  96. 15m_market_structure: 
    Array
(
    [left_window] => 5
    [right_window] => 5
    [recent_pivots] => Array
        (
            [0] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-05 17:30:00
                    [1] => 166.12
                    [2] => H
                )

            [1] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-05 19:30:00
                    [1] => 164.65
                    [2] => L
                )

            [2] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-05 20:30:00
                    [1] => 165.9
                    [2] => H
                )

            [3] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-05 21:30:00
                    [1] => 164.72
                    [2] => L
                )

            [4] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-05 23:00:00
                    [1] => 165.78
                    [2] => H
                )

            [5] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-06 01:45:00
                    [1] => 165.69
                    [2] => H
                )

            [6] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-06 03:30:00
                    [1] => 163.81
                    [2] => L
                )

            [7] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-06 09:15:00
                    [1] => 167.43
                    [2] => H
                )

            [8] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-06 14:00:00
                    [1] => 154.44
                    [2] => L
                )

            [9] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-06 15:45:00
                    [1] => 159.85
                    [2] => H
                )

        )

    [detected_trend] => downtrend
    [features] => Array
        (
            [ms_trend_state] => -1
            [ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.018767594619957
            [ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 3.4835534835535
            [ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 0
            [ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 7
            [ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 3.5029785029785
            [ms_bos_up] => 0
            [ms_bos_down] => 1
            [ms_choch_up] => 0
            [ms_choch_down] => 0
        )

)
  97. market_structures
  98. 5m_version: 1.1
  99. 5m_market_structure: 
    Array
(
    [left_window] => 5
    [right_window] => 5
    [recent_pivots] => Array
        (
            [0] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-06 07:55:00
                    [1] => 165.79
                    [2] => H
                )

            [1] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-06 08:40:00
                    [1] => 164.98
                    [2] => L
                )

            [2] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-06 09:25:00
                    [1] => 167.43
                    [2] => H
                )

            [3] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-06 10:30:00
                    [1] => 163.24
                    [2] => H
                )

            [4] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-06 11:45:00
                    [1] => 158.04
                    [2] => L
                )

            [5] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-06 12:05:00
                    [1] => 159.26
                    [2] => H
                )

            [6] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-06 13:00:00
                    [1] => 155.43
                    [2] => L
                )

            [7] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-06 13:35:00
                    [1] => 156.72
                    [2] => H
                )

            [8] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-06 14:00:00
                    [1] => 154.44
                    [2] => L
                )

            [9] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-06 15:45:00
                    [1] => 159.85
                    [2] => H
                )

        )

    [detected_trend] => range
    [features] => Array
        (
            [ms_trend_state] => 0
            [ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.018767594619957
            [ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 3.4835534835535
            [ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 0
            [ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 21
            [ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 3.5029785029785
            [ms_bos_up] => 1
            [ms_bos_down] => 1
            [ms_choch_up] => 0
            [ms_choch_down] => 0
        )

)
    100. ¸

Market Structure

Market Structure Score: 2

5M - range

Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5

Market Structure Features:

Trend State
0
Dist From Last High Pct
-0.02%
Dist From Last Low Pct
3.48%
Bars Since Swing High
0 bars
Bars Since Swing Low
21 bars
Last Swing Amplitude Pct
3.50%
Bos Up
1
Bos Down
1
Choch Up
0
Choch Down
0

SL & TP Pivot Distance:

SL to Pivot Distance
7.0347
4.39%
TP to Pivot Distance
3.7493
2.37%
DateTime Price Type
2026-01-06 07:55:00 165.79 ↑ High
2026-01-06 08:40:00 164.98 ↓ Low
2026-01-06 09:25:00 167.43 ↑ High
2026-01-06 10:30:00 163.24 ↑ High
2026-01-06 11:45:00 158.04 ↓ Low
2026-01-06 12:05:00 159.26 ↑ High
2026-01-06 13:00:00 155.43 ↓ Low
2026-01-06 13:35:00 156.72 ↑ High
2026-01-06 14:00:00 154.44 ↓ Low
2026-01-06 15:45:00 159.85 ↑ High
15M - downtrend

Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5

Market Structure Features:

Trend State
-1
Dist From Last High Pct
-0.02%
Dist From Last Low Pct
3.48%
Bars Since Swing High
0 bars
Bars Since Swing Low
7 bars
Last Swing Amplitude Pct
3.50%
Bos Up
0
Bos Down
1
Choch Up
0
Choch Down
0

SL & TP Pivot Distance:

SL to Pivot Distance
7.0347
4.39%
TP to Pivot Distance
3.7493
2.37%
DateTime Price Type
2026-01-05 17:30:00 166.12 ↑ High
2026-01-05 19:30:00 164.65 ↓ Low
2026-01-05 20:30:00 165.9 ↑ High
2026-01-05 21:30:00 164.72 ↓ Low
2026-01-05 23:00:00 165.78 ↑ High
2026-01-06 01:45:00 165.69 ↑ High
2026-01-06 03:30:00 163.81 ↓ Low
2026-01-06 09:15:00 167.43 ↑ High
2026-01-06 14:00:00 154.44 ↓ Low
2026-01-06 15:45:00 159.85 ↑ High
1H - downtrend

Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5

Market Structure Features:

Trend State
-1
Dist From Last High Pct
-4.55%
Dist From Last Low Pct
3.48%
Bars Since Swing High
6 bars
Bars Since Swing Low
1 bars
Last Swing Amplitude Pct
8.41%
Bos Up
0
Bos Down
1
Choch Up
0
Choch Down
1

SL & TP Pivot Distance:

SL to Pivot Distance
7.5047
4.68%
TP to Pivot Distance
3.7493
2.37%
DateTime Price Type
2026-01-04 13:00:00 158.59 ↑ High
2026-01-04 15:00:00 158.59 ↓ Low
2026-01-04 17:00:00 158.59 ↓ Low
2026-01-04 19:00:00 158.59 ↓ Low
2026-01-04 20:00:00 165.51 ↑ High
2026-01-05 09:00:00 167.9 ↑ High
2026-01-05 13:00:00 161.35 ↓ Low
2026-01-06 03:00:00 163.81 ↓ Low
2026-01-06 09:00:00 167.43 ↑ High
2026-01-06 14:00:00 154.44 ↓ Low

📌 Time Data

Start at Closed at Duration
06 Jan 2026
15:45:43		 06 Jan 2026
16:00:00		 14 minutes

📌 Entry & Exit

Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
159.66 160.3953 158.1893 2 134.45
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 159.66
  • Stop Loss: 160.3953
  • Take Profit: 158.1893

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 160.3953 - 159.66 = 0.7353

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 159.66 - 158.1893 = 1.4707

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 1.4707 / 0.7353 = 2.0001

📌 Position Size

Amount Margin Quantity Leverage
1736.9826 100 10.8793 17.37
Details

1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade

Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade

Paramètres:

  • Account Size 100
  • Risk per trade 8 %

Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8

Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade

2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter

Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss

Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price

Paramètres:

  • Risk Amount 8
  • Distance Stop Loss 0.7353

Taille de position = 8 / 0.7353 = 10.88

Taille de position USD = 10.88 x 159.66 = 1737.1

Donc, tu peux acheter 10.88 avec un stoploss a 160.3953

Avec un position size USD de 1737.1$

3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle

Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss

Perte = 10.88 x 0.7353 = 8

Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$

4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle

Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit

Perte = 10.88 x 1.4707 = 16

Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 16$

Résumé

  • Taille de position 10.88
  • Taille de position USD 1737.1
  • Perte potentielle 8
  • Gain potentiel 16
  • Risk-Reward Ratio 2.0001

📌 Peformances

TP % Target TP $ Target
0.92 % 16 $
SL % Target SL $ Target
0.46 % 8 $
PNL PNL %
16 $ 0.92
Max Drawdown Max Drawdown / SL Ratio Candles in Entry
-0.119 % 25.84 % 1

📌 ML Extra Data

Extra TP Data

                              Array
(
    [2] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 158.1894
            [stop_loss] => 160.3953
            [rr_ratio] => 2
            [closed_at] => 2026-01-06 16:00:00
            [result] => win
        )

    [2.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 157.82175
            [stop_loss] => 160.3953
            [rr_ratio] => 2.5
            [closed_at] => 2026-01-06 16:10:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [3] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 157.4541
            [stop_loss] => 160.3953
            [rr_ratio] => 3
            [closed_at] => 2026-01-06 16:10:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [3.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 157.08645
            [stop_loss] => 160.3953
            [rr_ratio] => 3.5
            [closed_at] => 2026-01-06 16:10:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [4] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 156.7188
            [stop_loss] => 160.3953
            [rr_ratio] => 4
            [closed_at] => 2026-01-06 16:10:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [4.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 156.35115
            [stop_loss] => 160.3953
            [rr_ratio] => 4.5
            [closed_at] => 2026-01-06 16:10:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 155.9835
            [stop_loss] => 160.3953
            [rr_ratio] => 5
            [closed_at] => 2026-01-06 16:10:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [5.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 155.61585
            [stop_loss] => 160.3953
            [rr_ratio] => 5.5
            [closed_at] => 2026-01-06 16:10:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [6] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 155.2482
            [stop_loss] => 160.3953
            [rr_ratio] => 6
            [closed_at] => 2026-01-06 16:10:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [6.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 154.88055
            [stop_loss] => 160.3953
            [rr_ratio] => 6.5
            [closed_at] => 2026-01-06 16:10:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [7] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 154.5129
            [stop_loss] => 160.3953
            [rr_ratio] => 7
            [closed_at] => 2026-01-06 16:10:00
            [result] => loss
        )

)
Extra SL data

                              Array
(
)
Extra Pullback data

                              Array
(
    [short_term] => Array
        (
            [max_gain] => 1.77
            [max_drawdown] => 13.18
            [rr_ratio] => 0.13
            [high] => 172.84000000
            [low] => 157.89000000
            [mfe_pct] => 1.11
            [mae_pct] => 8.26
            [mfe_mae_ratio] => 0.13
            [candles_analyzed] => 24
            [start_at] => 2026-01-06T15:45:43-05:00
            [end_at] => 2026-01-06T17:45:43-05:00
        )

    [long_term] => Array
        (
            [max_gain] => 1.77
            [max_drawdown] => 13.18
            [rr_ratio] => 0.13
            [high] => 172.84000000
            [low] => 157.89000000
            [mfe_pct] => 1.11
            [mae_pct] => 8.26
            [mfe_mae_ratio] => 0.13
            [candles_analyzed] => 84
            [start_at] => 2026-01-06T15:45:43-05:00
            [end_at] => 2026-01-06T22:45:43-05:00
        )

    [breakout] => Array
        (
            [high_before] => 159.85000000
            [high_after] => 172.84000000
            [low_before] => 154.44000000
            [low_after] => 157.89000000
            [is_new_high] => 
            [is_new_low] => 
        )

)