Long Trade on MSTR 07 Jan 2026 at 04:08:05

Take profit at 167.8185 (0.65 %) and Stop Loss at 166.2007 (0.32 %)

Long Trade on MSTR

The 07 Jan 2026 at 04:08:05

With 14.8348 MSTR at 166.74$ per unit.

Position size of 2473.5583 $

Take profit at 167.8185 (0.65 %) and Stop Loss at 166.2007 (0.32 %)

That's a 2 RR Trade

Results

Status:
loss
Trade Type:
buy
ML Trade Score: -100
ML Pullback Score: 2.25
Prediction Score: 1
Prediction 1 Probability
Weak Trade
0.88
Prediction 2 Probability
0 0.77
Prediction 3 Probability
0 0.8
BTC Market Regime Coin Market Regime

ml_regime : neutral

rules_regime : bull_medium

rules_regime_5m : range_low

1H_regime : bull_high

15m_regime : range_medium

5m_regime : bear_low_confirmed

BTC Correlation Score

5m : 0.585447

15m : -0.018016

1H : 0.076862

1

Signal

CatchTheWave Signal - buy

Indicators:

  1. long_trend: 1
  2. short_kc: True
  3. short_kc_percentage: 0.07
  4. atr: 0.3595144761
Details
  1. score: 2.07
  2. 1H
  3. ema9 : 167.326
  4. ema21 : 166.06
  5. ema50 : 164.492
  6. ema100 : 162.864
  7. price_ema9_diff : -0.00350219
  8. ema9_ema21_diff : 0.00762293
  9. ema21_ema50_diff : 0.00953248
  10. price_ema100_diff : 0.023797
  11. all_emas_in_trend : True
  12. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : False
  13. ema_slope_9 : 0.358732
  14. ema_slope_21 : 0.219009
  15. ema_slope_50 : 0.115013
  16. ema_slope_100 : 0.0740239
  17. rsi : 0.539188
  18. adx : 0.322105
  19. kc_percentage : 0.57376
  20. kc_width_percentage : 0.0485768
  21. volume_ema_diff : -0.881681
  22. volume_ema1 : 94673.258632473
  23. volume_ema2 : 800158.48235843
  24. chop : 27.598
  25. regime : bull_high
  26. ¸
  27. 15m
  28. ema9 : 167.594
  29. ema21 : 167.935
  30. ema50 : 167.157
  31. ema100 : 165.917
  32. price_ema9_diff : -0.00509811
  33. ema9_ema21_diff : -0.00203227
  34. ema21_ema50_diff : 0.00465616
  35. price_ema100_diff : 0.00495951
  36. all_emas_in_trend : False
  37. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : False
  38. ema_slope_9 : -0.0725878
  39. ema_slope_21 : -0.0329897
  40. ema_slope_50 : 0.0163613
  41. ema_slope_100 : 0.0245414
  42. rsi : 0.388835
  43. adx : 0.17599
  44. kc_percentage : 0.0466023
  45. kc_width_percentage : 0.0157725
  46. volume_ema_diff : -0.730422
  47. volume_ema1 : 29584.309694146
  48. volume_ema2 : 109743.29266198
  49. chop : 45.2631
  50. regime : range_medium
  51. ¸
  52. 5m
  53. ema9 : 167.456
  54. ema21 : 167.663
  55. ema50 : 168.043
  56. ema100 : 168.403
  57. price_ema9_diff : -0.00427993
  58. ema9_ema21_diff : -0.001233
  59. ema21_ema50_diff : -0.00226321
  60. price_ema100_diff : -0.00987775
  61. all_emas_in_trend : True
  62. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : True
  63. ema_slope_9 : -0.0165887
  64. ema_slope_21 : -0.0157543
  65. ema_slope_50 : -0.0150237
  66. ema_slope_100 : -0.0112521
  67. rsi : 0.286643
  68. adx : 0.138255
  69. kc_percentage : -0.0697507
  70. kc_width_percentage : 0.00955355
  71. volume_ema_diff : 1.36301
  72. volume_ema1 : 18146.462428863
  73. volume_ema2 : 7679.3614961209
  74. chop : 30.2248
  75. regime : bear_low_confirmed
  76. ¸
  77. btc_indicators
  78. btc_indicators
  79. 5m_ema100:
    92759.4
  80. 5m_price_ema100_diff:
    -0.00272369
  81. 5m_price:
    92506.8
  82. 5m_correlation_with_coin:
    0.585447
  83. btc_indicators
  84. 15m_ema100:
    92940.1
  85. 15m_price_ema100_diff:
    -0.00466219
  86. 15m_price:
    92506.8
  87. 15m_correlation_with_coin:
    -0.018016
  88. btc_indicators
  89. 1H_ema100:
    92267.4
  90. 1H_price_ema100_diff:
    0.00259455
  91. 1H_price:
    92506.8
  92. 1H_correlation_with_coin:
    0.076862
  93. ¸
  94. market_structures
  95. market_structures
  96. 1H_version: 1.1
  97. 1H_market_structure:
    Array
    (
        [left_window] => 5
        [right_window] => 5
        [recent_pivots] => Array
            (
                [0] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-04 17:00:00
                        [1] => 158.59
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [1] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-04 19:00:00
                        [1] => 158.59
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [2] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-04 20:00:00
                        [1] => 165.51
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [3] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-05 09:00:00
                        [1] => 167.9
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [4] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-05 13:00:00
                        [1] => 161.35
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [5] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-06 03:00:00
                        [1] => 163.81
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [6] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-06 09:00:00
                        [1] => 167.43
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [7] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-06 14:00:00
                        [1] => 154.44
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [8] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-06 16:00:00
                        [1] => 172.84
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [9] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-07 04:00:00
                        [1] => 166.07
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
            )
    
        [detected_trend] => uptrend
        [features] => Array
            (
                [ms_trend_state] => 1
                [ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -3.8995602869706
                [ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 0.018064671524057
                [ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 12
                [ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 0
                [ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 4.076594207262
                [ms_bos_up] => 1
                [ms_bos_down] => 0
                [ms_choch_up] => 1
                [ms_choch_down] => 0
            )
    
    )
    
  98. market_structures
  99. 15m_version: 1.1
  100. 15m_market_structure:
    Array
    (
        [left_window] => 5
        [right_window] => 5
        [recent_pivots] => Array
            (
                [0] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-06 09:15:00
                        [1] => 167.43
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [1] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-06 14:00:00
                        [1] => 154.44
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [2] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-06 16:15:00
                        [1] => 172.84
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [3] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-06 19:15:00
                        [1] => 170.86
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [4] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-06 21:00:00
                        [1] => 167.01
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [5] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-06 22:15:00
                        [1] => 170
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [6] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-07 00:00:00
                        [1] => 168.39
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [7] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-07 00:30:00
                        [1] => 169.72
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [8] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-07 02:00:00
                        [1] => 167.36
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [9] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-07 04:00:00
                        [1] => 166.07
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
            )
    
        [detected_trend] => downtrend
        [features] => Array
            (
                [ms_trend_state] => -1
                [ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -2.1329248173462
                [ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 0.018064671524057
                [ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 14
                [ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 0
                [ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 0.77678087553443
                [ms_bos_up] => 0
                [ms_bos_down] => 1
                [ms_choch_up] => 0
                [ms_choch_down] => 0
            )
    
    )
    
  101. market_structures
  102. 5m_version: 1.1
  103. 5m_market_structure:
    Array
    (
        [left_window] => 5
        [right_window] => 5
        [recent_pivots] => Array
            (
                [0] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-07 00:05:00
                        [1] => 168.39
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [1] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-07 00:30:00
                        [1] => 169.72
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [2] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-07 00:55:00
                        [1] => 168.88
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [3] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-07 01:20:00
                        [1] => 169.42
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [4] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-07 02:00:00
                        [1] => 167.36
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [5] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-07 02:45:00
                        [1] => 168.29
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [6] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-07 02:55:00
                        [1] => 167.52
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [7] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-07 03:20:00
                        [1] => 168.03
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [8] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-07 04:00:00
                        [1] => 167.95
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [9] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-07 04:05:00
                        [1] => 166.07
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
            )
    
        [detected_trend] => downtrend
        [features] => Array
            (
                [ms_trend_state] => -1
                [ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -1.1015183090205
                [ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 0.018064671524057
                [ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 1
                [ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 0
                [ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 1.1320527488408
                [ms_bos_up] => 0
                [ms_bos_down] => 1
                [ms_choch_up] => 0
                [ms_choch_down] => 0
            )
    
    )
    
  104. ¸

Market Structure

Market Structure Score: 1

5M - downtrend

Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5

Market Structure Features:

Trend State
-1
Dist From Last High Pct
-1.10%
Dist From Last Low Pct
0.02%
Bars Since Swing High
1 bars
Bars Since Swing Low
0 bars
Last Swing Amplitude Pct
1.13%
Bos Up
0
Bos Down
1
Choch Up
0
Choch Down
0

SL & TP Pivot Distance:

SL to Pivot Distance
0.1307
0.08%
TP to Pivot Distance
1.9015
1.13%
DateTime Price Type
2026-01-07 00:05:00 168.39 ↓ Low
2026-01-07 00:30:00 169.72 ↑ High
2026-01-07 00:55:00 168.88 ↓ Low
2026-01-07 01:20:00 169.42 ↑ High
2026-01-07 02:00:00 167.36 ↓ Low
2026-01-07 02:45:00 168.29 ↑ High
2026-01-07 02:55:00 167.52 ↓ Low
2026-01-07 03:20:00 168.03 ↑ High
2026-01-07 04:00:00 167.95 ↑ High
2026-01-07 04:05:00 166.07 ↓ Low
15M - downtrend

Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5

Market Structure Features:

Trend State
-1
Dist From Last High Pct
-2.13%
Dist From Last Low Pct
0.02%
Bars Since Swing High
14 bars
Bars Since Swing Low
0 bars
Last Swing Amplitude Pct
0.78%
Bos Up
0
Bos Down
1
Choch Up
0
Choch Down
0

SL & TP Pivot Distance:

SL to Pivot Distance
11.7607
7.08%
TP to Pivot Distance
5.0215
2.99%
DateTime Price Type
2026-01-06 09:15:00 167.43 ↑ High
2026-01-06 14:00:00 154.44 ↓ Low
2026-01-06 16:15:00 172.84 ↑ High
2026-01-06 19:15:00 170.86 ↑ High
2026-01-06 21:00:00 167.01 ↓ Low
2026-01-06 22:15:00 170 ↑ High
2026-01-07 00:00:00 168.39 ↓ Low
2026-01-07 00:30:00 169.72 ↑ High
2026-01-07 02:00:00 167.36 ↓ Low
2026-01-07 04:00:00 166.07 ↓ Low
1H - uptrend

Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5

Market Structure Features:

Trend State
1
Dist From Last High Pct
-3.90%
Dist From Last Low Pct
0.02%
Bars Since Swing High
12 bars
Bars Since Swing Low
0 bars
Last Swing Amplitude Pct
4.08%
Bos Up
1
Bos Down
0
Choch Up
1
Choch Down
0

SL & TP Pivot Distance:

SL to Pivot Distance
11.7607
7.08%
TP to Pivot Distance
5.0215
2.99%
DateTime Price Type
2026-01-04 17:00:00 158.59 ↓ Low
2026-01-04 19:00:00 158.59 ↓ Low
2026-01-04 20:00:00 165.51 ↑ High
2026-01-05 09:00:00 167.9 ↑ High
2026-01-05 13:00:00 161.35 ↓ Low
2026-01-06 03:00:00 163.81 ↓ Low
2026-01-06 09:00:00 167.43 ↑ High
2026-01-06 14:00:00 154.44 ↓ Low
2026-01-06 16:00:00 172.84 ↑ High
2026-01-07 04:00:00 166.07 ↓ Low

📌 Time Data

Start at Closed at Duration
07 Jan 2026
04:08:05
07 Jan 2026
04:10:00
1 minute

📌 Entry & Exit

Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
166.74 166.2007 167.8185 2 130.56
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 166.74
  • Stop Loss: 166.2007
  • Take Profit: 167.8185

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 166.2007 - 166.74 = -0.5393

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 166.74 - 167.8185 = -1.0785

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -1.0785 / -0.5393 = 1.9998

📌 Position Size

Amount Margin Quantity Leverage
2473.5583 100 14.8348 24.74
Details

1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade

Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade

Paramètres:

  • Account Size 100
  • Risk per trade 8 %

Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8

Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade

2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter

Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss

Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price

Paramètres:

  • Risk Amount 8
  • Distance Stop Loss -0.5393

Taille de position = 8 / -0.5393 = -14.83

Taille de position USD = -14.83 x 166.74 = -2472.75

Donc, tu peux acheter -14.83 avec un stoploss a 166.2007

Avec un position size USD de -2472.75$

3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle

Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss

Perte = -14.83 x -0.5393 = 8

Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$

4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle

Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit

Perte = -14.83 x -1.0785 = 15.99

Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 15.99$

Résumé

  • Taille de position -14.83
  • Taille de position USD -2472.75
  • Perte potentielle 8
  • Gain potentiel 15.99
  • Risk-Reward Ratio 1.9998

📌 Peformances

TP % Target TP $ Target
0.65 % 16 $
SL % Target SL $ Target
0.32 % 8 $
PNL PNL %
-8 $ -0.32
Max Drawdown Max Drawdown / SL Ratio Candles in Entry
-0.6537 % 202.13 % 0

📌 ML Extra Data

Extra TP Data

                              Array
(
)
Extra SL data

                              Array
(
    [1.1] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 167.8185
            [entry_price] => 166.74
            [stop_loss] => 166.14677
            [rr_ratio] => 1.82
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.1
            [closed_at] => 2026-01-07 04:10:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [1.2] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 167.8185
            [entry_price] => 166.74
            [stop_loss] => 166.09284
            [rr_ratio] => 1.67
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.2
            [closed_at] => 2026-01-07 04:10:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [1.3] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 167.8185
            [entry_price] => 166.74
            [stop_loss] => 166.03891
            [rr_ratio] => 1.54
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.3
            [closed_at] => 2026-01-07 04:10:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [1.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 167.8185
            [entry_price] => 166.74
            [stop_loss] => 165.93105
            [rr_ratio] => 1.33
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.5
            [closed_at] => 2026-01-07 04:10:00
            [result] => loss
        )

)
Extra Pullback data

                              Array
(
    [short_term] => Array
        (
            [max_gain] => -0.13
            [max_drawdown] => 3
            [rr_ratio] => -0.04
            [high] => 166.61000000
            [low] => 163.74000000
            [mfe_pct] => -0.08
            [mae_pct] => 1.8
            [mfe_mae_ratio] => -0.04
            [candles_analyzed] => 24
            [start_at] => 2026-01-07T04:08:05-05:00
            [end_at] => 2026-01-07T06:08:05-05:00
        )

    [long_term] => Array
        (
            [max_gain] => 3.65
            [max_drawdown] => 7.82
            [rr_ratio] => 0.47
            [high] => 170.39000000
            [low] => 158.92000000
            [mfe_pct] => 2.19
            [mae_pct] => 4.69
            [mfe_mae_ratio] => 0.47
            [candles_analyzed] => 84
            [start_at] => 2026-01-07T04:08:05-05:00
            [end_at] => 2026-01-07T11:08:05-05:00
        )

    [breakout] => Array
        (
            [high_before] => 169.72000000
            [high_after] => 170.39000000
            [low_before] => 166.07000000
            [low_after] => 162.20000000
            [is_new_high] => 1
            [is_new_low] => 
        )

)