Short Trade on RIVER 09 Jan 2026 at 23:38:03

Take profit at 11.8807 (3.96 %) and Stop Loss at 12.6146 (1.98 %)

Short Trade on RIVER

The 09 Jan 2026 at 23:38:03

With 32.7017 RIVER at 12.37$ per unit.

Position size of 404.5204 $

Take profit at 11.8807 (3.96 %) and Stop Loss at 12.6146 (1.98 %)

That's a 2 RR Trade

Results

Status:
loss
Trade Type:
sell
ML Trade Score: -100
ML Pullback Score: 0.14
Prediction Score: 2
Prediction 1 Probability
Weak Trade
0.76
Prediction 2 Probability
0 0.72
Prediction 3 Probability
1 0.79
BTC Market Regime Coin Market Regime

ml_regime : neutral

rules_regime : bear_medium

rules_regime_5m : range_low

1H_regime : bear_high

15m_regime : bear_high

5m_regime : bull_high_confirmed

BTC Correlation Score

5m : 0.047098

15m : 0.098769

1H : 0.005916

1

Signal

CatchTheWave Signal - sell

Indicators:

  1. long_trend: -1
  2. short_kc: True
  3. short_kc_percentage: 0.18
  4. atr: 0.1630902494
Details
  1. score: 1.18
  2. 1H
  3. ema9 : 12.2436
  4. ema21 : 12.9769
  5. ema50 : 14.299
  6. ema100 : 15.316
  7. price_ema9_diff : 0.0103213
  8. ema9_ema21_diff : -0.0565114
  9. ema21_ema50_diff : -0.0924591
  10. price_ema100_diff : -0.192353
  11. all_emas_in_trend : True
  12. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : False
  13. ema_slope_9 : -1.15341
  14. ema_slope_21 : -1.00505
  15. ema_slope_50 : -0.697803
  16. ema_slope_100 : -0.436868
  17. rsi : 0.398812
  18. adx : 0.294501
  19. kc_percentage : 0.332911
  20. kc_width_percentage : 0.264708
  21. volume_ema_diff : -0.440416
  22. volume_ema1 : 1595389.2049307
  23. volume_ema2 : 2851031.1844019
  24. chop : 39.8686
  25. regime : bear_high
  26. ¸
  27. 15m
  28. ema9 : 11.9154
  29. ema21 : 11.9759
  30. ema50 : 12.4199
  31. ema100 : 13.158
  32. price_ema9_diff : 0.0381452
  33. ema9_ema21_diff : -0.0050494
  34. ema21_ema50_diff : -0.0357521
  35. price_ema100_diff : -0.0598886
  36. all_emas_in_trend : True
  37. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : False
  38. ema_slope_9 : -0.0667208
  39. ema_slope_21 : -0.130378
  40. ema_slope_50 : -0.216021
  41. ema_slope_100 : -0.213363
  42. rsi : 0.523905
  43. adx : 0.102116
  44. kc_percentage : 0.846121
  45. kc_width_percentage : 0.0943335
  46. volume_ema_diff : -0.364774
  47. volume_ema1 : 348565.23262315
  48. volume_ema2 : 548726.94207609
  49. chop : 66.7245
  50. regime : bear_high
  51. ¸
  52. 5m
  53. ema9 : 12.0061
  54. ema21 : 11.9101
  55. ema50 : 11.929
  56. ema100 : 12.0228
  57. price_ema9_diff : 0.0303042
  58. ema9_ema21_diff : 0.00805958
  59. ema21_ema50_diff : -0.00158522
  60. price_ema100_diff : 0.0288781
  61. all_emas_in_trend : False
  62. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : False
  63. ema_slope_9 : 0.216963
  64. ema_slope_21 : 0.0795757
  65. ema_slope_50 : 0.00312284
  66. ema_slope_100 : -0.0179032
  67. rsi : 0.701704
  68. adx : 0.212727
  69. kc_percentage : 1.17763
  70. kc_width_percentage : 0.0545444
  71. volume_ema_diff : 0.356361
  72. volume_ema1 : 197313.49967069
  73. volume_ema2 : 145472.63995138
  74. chop : 33.7848
  75. regime : bull_high_confirmed
  76. ¸
  77. btc_indicators
  78. btc_indicators
  79. 5m_ema100:
    90560.6
  80. 5m_price_ema100_diff:
    -0.000890941
  81. 5m_price:
    90480
  82. 5m_correlation_with_coin:
    0.047098
  83. btc_indicators
  84. 15m_ema100:
    90709.6
  85. 15m_price_ema100_diff:
    -0.00245879
  86. 15m_price:
    90486.6
  87. 15m_correlation_with_coin:
    0.098769
  88. btc_indicators
  89. 1H_ema100:
    91455.4
  90. 1H_price_ema100_diff:
    -0.0106663
  91. 1H_price:
    90480
  92. 1H_correlation_with_coin:
    0.005916
  93. ¸
  94. market_structures
  95. market_structures
  96. 1H_version: 1.1
  97. 1H_market_structure:
    Array
    (
        [left_window] => 5
        [right_window] => 5
        [recent_pivots] => Array
            (
                [0] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-06 21:00:00
                        [1] => 20.291
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [1] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-07 01:00:00
                        [1] => 17.326
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [2] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-07 04:00:00
                        [1] => 19.463
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [3] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-07 13:00:00
                        [1] => 18.768
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [4] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-07 23:00:00
                        [1] => 17.95
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [5] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-08 09:00:00
                        [1] => 16.643
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [6] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-08 21:00:00
                        [1] => 14.589
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [7] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-09 00:00:00
                        [1] => 16.658
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [8] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-09 10:00:00
                        [1] => 16.395
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [9] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-09 20:00:00
                        [1] => 11.5
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
            )
    
        [detected_trend] => downtrend
        [features] => Array
            (
                [ms_trend_state] => -1
                [ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -24.56846599573
                [ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 7.5391304347826
                [ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 13
                [ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 3
                [ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 42.565217391304
                [ms_bos_up] => 0
                [ms_bos_down] => 1
                [ms_choch_up] => 0
                [ms_choch_down] => 0
            )
    
    )
    
  98. market_structures
  99. 15m_version: 1.1
  100. 15m_market_structure:
    Array
    (
        [left_window] => 5
        [right_window] => 5
        [recent_pivots] => Array
            (
                [0] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-09 09:15:00
                        [1] => 12.298
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [1] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-09 10:15:00
                        [1] => 16.395
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [2] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-09 14:30:00
                        [1] => 12.056
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [3] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-09 16:45:00
                        [1] => 11.774
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [4] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-09 18:30:00
                        [1] => 11.846
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [5] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-09 19:15:00
                        [1] => 12.564
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [6] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-09 20:00:00
                        [1] => 11.5
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [7] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-09 20:45:00
                        [1] => 12.365
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [8] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-09 22:15:00
                        [1] => 11.562
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [9] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-09 23:30:00
                        [1] => 12.434
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
            )
    
        [detected_trend] => uptrend
        [features] => Array
            (
                [ms_trend_state] => 1
                [ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.53884510213928
                [ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 6.9624632416537
                [ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 0
                [ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 5
                [ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 7.5419477599031
                [ms_bos_up] => 1
                [ms_bos_down] => 0
                [ms_choch_up] => 1
                [ms_choch_down] => 0
            )
    
    )
    
  101. market_structures
  102. 5m_version: 1.1
  103. 5m_market_structure:
    Array
    (
        [left_window] => 5
        [right_window] => 5
        [recent_pivots] => Array
            (
                [0] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-09 18:05:00
                        [1] => 12.284
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [1] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-09 18:35:00
                        [1] => 11.846
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [2] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-09 19:20:00
                        [1] => 12.564
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [3] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-09 20:05:00
                        [1] => 11.5
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [4] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-09 20:50:00
                        [1] => 12.365
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [5] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-09 21:10:00
                        [1] => 11.847
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [6] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-09 22:20:00
                        [1] => 11.562
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [7] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-09 22:55:00
                        [1] => 12.131
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [8] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-09 23:10:00
                        [1] => 11.664
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [9] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-09 23:35:00
                        [1] => 12.434
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
            )
    
        [detected_trend] => uptrend
        [features] => Array
            (
                [ms_trend_state] => 1
                [ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.53884510213928
                [ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 6.0270919067215
                [ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 0
                [ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 5
                [ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 6.6015089163237
                [ms_bos_up] => 1
                [ms_bos_down] => 0
                [ms_choch_up] => 1
                [ms_choch_down] => 0
            )
    
    )
    
  104. ¸

Market Structure

Market Structure Score: 1

5M - uptrend

Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5

Market Structure Features:

Trend State
1
Dist From Last High Pct
-0.54%
Dist From Last Low Pct
6.03%
Bars Since Swing High
0 bars
Bars Since Swing Low
5 bars
Last Swing Amplitude Pct
6.60%
Bos Up
1
Bos Down
0
Choch Up
1
Choch Down
0

SL & TP Pivot Distance:

SL to Pivot Distance
0.0506
0.40%
TP to Pivot Distance
0.3807
3.20%
DateTime Price Type
2026-01-09 18:05:00 12.284 ↑ High
2026-01-09 18:35:00 11.846 ↓ Low
2026-01-09 19:20:00 12.564 ↑ High
2026-01-09 20:05:00 11.5 ↓ Low
2026-01-09 20:50:00 12.365 ↑ High
2026-01-09 21:10:00 11.847 ↓ Low
2026-01-09 22:20:00 11.562 ↓ Low
2026-01-09 22:55:00 12.131 ↑ High
2026-01-09 23:10:00 11.664 ↓ Low
2026-01-09 23:35:00 12.434 ↑ High
15M - uptrend

Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5

Market Structure Features:

Trend State
1
Dist From Last High Pct
-0.54%
Dist From Last Low Pct
6.96%
Bars Since Swing High
0 bars
Bars Since Swing Low
5 bars
Last Swing Amplitude Pct
7.54%
Bos Up
1
Bos Down
0
Choch Up
1
Choch Down
0

SL & TP Pivot Distance:

SL to Pivot Distance
3.7804
29.97%
TP to Pivot Distance
0.3807
3.20%
DateTime Price Type
2026-01-09 09:15:00 12.298 ↓ Low
2026-01-09 10:15:00 16.395 ↑ High
2026-01-09 14:30:00 12.056 ↓ Low
2026-01-09 16:45:00 11.774 ↓ Low
2026-01-09 18:30:00 11.846 ↓ Low
2026-01-09 19:15:00 12.564 ↑ High
2026-01-09 20:00:00 11.5 ↓ Low
2026-01-09 20:45:00 12.365 ↑ High
2026-01-09 22:15:00 11.562 ↓ Low
2026-01-09 23:30:00 12.434 ↑ High
1H - downtrend

Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5

Market Structure Features:

Trend State
-1
Dist From Last High Pct
-24.57%
Dist From Last Low Pct
7.54%
Bars Since Swing High
13 bars
Bars Since Swing Low
3 bars
Last Swing Amplitude Pct
42.57%
Bos Up
0
Bos Down
1
Choch Up
0
Choch Down
0

SL & TP Pivot Distance:

SL to Pivot Distance
7.6764
60.85%
TP to Pivot Distance
0.3807
3.20%
DateTime Price Type
2026-01-06 21:00:00 20.291 ↑ High
2026-01-07 01:00:00 17.326 ↓ Low
2026-01-07 04:00:00 19.463 ↑ High
2026-01-07 13:00:00 18.768 ↑ High
2026-01-07 23:00:00 17.95 ↑ High
2026-01-08 09:00:00 16.643 ↑ High
2026-01-08 21:00:00 14.589 ↓ Low
2026-01-09 00:00:00 16.658 ↑ High
2026-01-09 10:00:00 16.395 ↑ High
2026-01-09 20:00:00 11.5 ↓ Low

📌 Time Data

Start at Closed at Duration
09 Jan 2026
23:38:03
09 Jan 2026
23:55:00
16 minutes

📌 Entry & Exit

Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
12.37 12.6146 11.8807 2 11.063
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 12.37
  • Stop Loss: 12.6146
  • Take Profit: 11.8807

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 12.6146 - 12.37 = 0.2446

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 12.37 - 11.8807 = 0.4893

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.4893 / 0.2446 = 2.0004

📌 Position Size

Amount Margin Quantity Leverage
404.5204 100 32.7017 4.05
Details

1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade

Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade

Paramètres:

  • Account Size 100
  • Risk per trade 8 %

Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8

Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade

2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter

Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss

Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price

Paramètres:

  • Risk Amount 8
  • Distance Stop Loss 0.2446

Taille de position = 8 / 0.2446 = 32.71

Taille de position USD = 32.71 x 12.37 = 404.62

Donc, tu peux acheter 32.71 avec un stoploss a 12.6146

Avec un position size USD de 404.62$

3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle

Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss

Perte = 32.71 x 0.2446 = 8

Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$

4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle

Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit

Perte = 32.71 x 0.4893 = 16.01

Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 16.01$

Résumé

  • Taille de position 32.71
  • Taille de position USD 404.62
  • Perte potentielle 8
  • Gain potentiel 16.01
  • Risk-Reward Ratio 2.0004

📌 Peformances

TP % Target TP $ Target
3.96 % 16 $
SL % Target SL $ Target
1.98 % 8 $
PNL PNL %
-8 $ -1.98
Max Drawdown Max Drawdown / SL Ratio Candles in Entry
-3.0154 % 152.49 % 4

📌 ML Extra Data

Extra TP Data

                              Array
(
)
Extra SL data

                              Array
(
    [1.1] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 11.8807
            [entry_price] => 12.37
            [stop_loss] => 12.63906
            [rr_ratio] => 1.82
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.1
            [closed_at] => 2026-01-09 23:55:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [1.2] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 11.8807
            [entry_price] => 12.37
            [stop_loss] => 12.66352
            [rr_ratio] => 1.67
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.2
            [closed_at] => 2026-01-09 23:55:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [1.3] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 11.8807
            [entry_price] => 12.37
            [stop_loss] => 12.68798
            [rr_ratio] => 1.54
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.3
            [closed_at] => 2026-01-09 23:55:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [1.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 11.8807
            [entry_price] => 12.37
            [stop_loss] => 12.7369
            [rr_ratio] => 1.33
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.5
            [closed_at] => 2026-01-09 23:55:00
            [result] => loss
        )

)
Extra Pullback data

                              Array
(
    [short_term] => Array
        (
            [max_gain] => 0.127
            [max_drawdown] => 1.109
            [rr_ratio] => 0.11
            [high] => 13.47900000
            [low] => 12.24300000
            [mfe_pct] => 1.03
            [mae_pct] => 8.97
            [mfe_mae_ratio] => 0.11
            [candles_analyzed] => 24
            [start_at] => 2026-01-09T23:38:03-05:00
            [end_at] => 2026-01-10T01:38:03-05:00
        )

    [long_term] => Array
        (
            [max_gain] => 0.127
            [max_drawdown] => 1.475
            [rr_ratio] => 0.09
            [high] => 13.84500000
            [low] => 12.24300000
            [mfe_pct] => 1.03
            [mae_pct] => 11.92
            [mfe_mae_ratio] => 0.09
            [candles_analyzed] => 84
            [start_at] => 2026-01-09T23:38:03-05:00
            [end_at] => 2026-01-10T06:38:03-05:00
        )

    [breakout] => Array
        (
            [high_before] => 12.43400000
            [high_after] => 13.84500000
            [low_before] => 11.50000000
            [low_after] => 12.24300000
            [is_new_high] => 
            [is_new_low] => 
        )

)