Short Trade on RIVER

The 09 Jan 2026 at 23:38:03

With 32.7017 RIVER at 12.37$ per unit.

Position size of 404.5204 $

Take profit at 11.8807 (3.96 %) and Stop Loss at 12.6146 (1.98 %)

That's a 2 RR Trade

Results

Status:
loss
Trade Type:
sell
ML Trade Score: -100
ML Pullback Score: 0.14
Prediction Score: 2
Prediction 1 Probability
Weak Trade
0.76
Prediction 2 Probability
0 0.72
Prediction 3 Probability
1 0.79
BTC Market Regime Coin Market Regime

ml_regime : neutral

rules_regime : bear_medium

rules_regime_5m : range_low

1H_regime : bear_high

15m_regime : bear_high

5m_regime : bull_high_confirmed

BTC Correlation Score

5m : 0.047098

15m : 0.098769

1H : 0.005916

1

Signal

CatchTheWave Signal - sell

Indicators:

  1. long_trend: -1
  2. short_kc: True
  3. short_kc_percentage: 0.18
  4. atr: 0.1630902494
Details
  1. score: 1.18
  2. 1H
  3. ema9 - 12.2436
  4. ema21 - 12.9769
  5. ema50 - 14.299
  6. ema100 - 15.316
  7. price_ema9_diff - 0.0103213
  8. ema9_ema21_diff - -0.0565114
  9. ema21_ema50_diff - -0.0924591
  10. price_ema100_diff - -0.192353
  11. all_emas_in_trend - True
  12. all_emas_and_price_in_trend - False
  13. ema_slope_9 - -1.15341
  14. ema_slope_21 - -1.00505
  15. ema_slope_50 - -0.697803
  16. ema_slope_100 - -0.436868
  17. rsi - 0.398812
  18. adx - 0.294501
  19. kc_percentage - 0.332911
  20. kc_width_percentage - 0.264708
  21. volume_ema_diff - -0.440416
  22. volume_ema1 - 1595389.2049307
  23. volume_ema2 - 2851031.1844019
  24. chop - 39.8686
  25. regime - bear_high
  26. ¸
  27. 15m
  28. ema9 - 11.9154
  29. ema21 - 11.9759
  30. ema50 - 12.4199
  31. ema100 - 13.158
  32. price_ema9_diff - 0.0381452
  33. ema9_ema21_diff - -0.0050494
  34. ema21_ema50_diff - -0.0357521
  35. price_ema100_diff - -0.0598886
  36. all_emas_in_trend - True
  37. all_emas_and_price_in_trend - False
  38. ema_slope_9 - -0.0667208
  39. ema_slope_21 - -0.130378
  40. ema_slope_50 - -0.216021
  41. ema_slope_100 - -0.213363
  42. rsi - 0.523905
  43. adx - 0.102116
  44. kc_percentage - 0.846121
  45. kc_width_percentage - 0.0943335
  46. volume_ema_diff - -0.364774
  47. volume_ema1 - 348565.23262315
  48. volume_ema2 - 548726.94207609
  49. chop - 66.7245
  50. regime - bear_high
  51. ¸
  52. 5m
  53. ema9 - 12.0061
  54. ema21 - 11.9101
  55. ema50 - 11.929
  56. ema100 - 12.0228
  57. price_ema9_diff - 0.0303042
  58. ema9_ema21_diff - 0.00805958
  59. ema21_ema50_diff - -0.00158522
  60. price_ema100_diff - 0.0288781
  61. all_emas_in_trend - False
  62. all_emas_and_price_in_trend - False
  63. ema_slope_9 - 0.216963
  64. ema_slope_21 - 0.0795757
  65. ema_slope_50 - 0.00312284
  66. ema_slope_100 - -0.0179032
  67. rsi - 0.701704
  68. adx - 0.212727
  69. kc_percentage - 1.17763
  70. kc_width_percentage - 0.0545444
  71. volume_ema_diff - 0.356361
  72. volume_ema1 - 197313.49967069
  73. volume_ema2 - 145472.63995138
  74. chop - 33.7848
  75. regime - bull_high_confirmed
  76. ¸
  77. btc_indicators
  78. btc_indicators
  79. 5m_ema100: 90560.6
  80. 5m_price_ema100_diff: -0.000890941
  81. 5m_price: 90480
  82. 5m_correlation_with_coin: 0.047098
  83. btc_indicators
  84. 15m_ema100: 90709.6
  85. 15m_price_ema100_diff: -0.00245879
  86. 15m_price: 90486.6
  87. 15m_correlation_with_coin: 0.098769
  88. btc_indicators
  89. 1H_ema100: 91455.4
  90. 1H_price_ema100_diff: -0.0106663
  91. 1H_price: 90480
  92. 1H_correlation_with_coin: 0.005916
  93. ¸

📌 Time Data

Start at Closed at Duration
09 Jan 2026
23:38:03
09 Jan 2026
23:55:00
16 minutes

📌 Entry & Exit

Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
12.37 12.6146 11.8807 2 16.752
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 12.37
  • Stop Loss: 12.6146
  • Take Profit: 11.8807

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 12.6146 - 12.37 = 0.2446

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 12.37 - 11.8807 = 0.4893

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.4893 / 0.2446 = 2.0004

📌 Position Size

Amount Margin Quantity Leverage
404.5204 100 32.7017 4.05
Details

1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade

Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade

Paramètres:

  • Account Size 100
  • Risk per trade 8 %

Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8

Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade

2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter

Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss

Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price

Paramètres:

  • Risk Amount 8
  • Distance Stop Loss 0.2446

Taille de position = 8 / 0.2446 = 32.71

Taille de position USD = 32.71 x 12.37 = 404.62

Donc, tu peux acheter 32.71 avec un stoploss a 12.6146

Avec un position size USD de 404.62$

3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle

Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss

Perte = 32.71 x 0.2446 = 8

Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$

4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle

Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit

Perte = 32.71 x 0.4893 = 16.01

Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 16.01$

Résumé

  • Taille de position 32.71
  • Taille de position USD 404.62
  • Perte potentielle 8
  • Gain potentiel 16.01
  • Risk-Reward Ratio 2.0004

📌 Peformances

TP % Target TP $ Target
3.96 % 16 $
SL % Target SL $ Target
1.98 % 8 $
PNL PNL %
-8 $ -1.98
Max Drawdown Max Drawdown / SL Ratio Candles in Entry
-3.0154 % 152.49 % 4

📌 ML Extra Data

Extra TP Data

                              Array
(
)
Extra SL data

                              Array
(
    [1.1] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 11.8807
            [entry_price] => 12.37
            [stop_loss] => 12.63906
            [rr_ratio] => 1.82
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.1
            [closed_at] => 2026-01-09 23:55:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [1.2] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 11.8807
            [entry_price] => 12.37
            [stop_loss] => 12.66352
            [rr_ratio] => 1.67
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.2
            [closed_at] => 2026-01-09 23:55:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [1.3] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 11.8807
            [entry_price] => 12.37
            [stop_loss] => 12.68798
            [rr_ratio] => 1.54
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.3
            [closed_at] => 2026-01-09 23:55:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [1.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 11.8807
            [entry_price] => 12.37
            [stop_loss] => 12.7369
            [rr_ratio] => 1.33
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.5
            [closed_at] => 2026-01-09 23:55:00
            [result] => loss
        )

)
Extra Pullback data

                              Array
(
    [short_term] => Array
        (
            [max_gain] => 0.127
            [max_drawdown] => 1.109
            [rr_ratio] => 0.11
            [high] => 13.47900000
            [low] => 12.24300000
            [mfe_pct] => 1.03
            [mae_pct] => 8.97
            [mfe_mae_ratio] => 0.11
            [candles_analyzed] => 24
            [start_at] => 2026-01-09T23:38:03-05:00
            [end_at] => 2026-01-10T01:38:03-05:00
        )

    [long_term] => Array
        (
            [max_gain] => 0.127
            [max_drawdown] => 1.475
            [rr_ratio] => 0.09
            [high] => 13.84500000
            [low] => 12.24300000
            [mfe_pct] => 1.03
            [mae_pct] => 11.92
            [mfe_mae_ratio] => 0.09
            [candles_analyzed] => 84
            [start_at] => 2026-01-09T23:38:03-05:00
            [end_at] => 2026-01-10T06:38:03-05:00
        )

    [breakout] => Array
        (
            [high_before] => 12.43400000
            [high_after] => 13.84500000
            [low_before] => 11.50000000
            [low_after] => 12.24300000
            [is_new_high] => 
            [is_new_low] => 
        )

)