Short Trade on BTC 10 Jan 2026 at 15:17:40
Take profit at 90572.0017 (0.048 %) and Stop Loss at 90637.5491 (0.024 %)
Short Trade on BTC 10 Jan 2026 at 15:17:40
Take profit at 90572.0017 (0.048 %) and Stop Loss at 90637.5491 (0.024 %)
Position size of 33178.6764 $
Take profit at 90572.0017 (0.048 %) and Stop Loss at 90637.5491 (0.024 %)
That's a 2 RR Trade| Prediction 1 | Probability |
|---|---|
|
Weak Trade
|
0.81 |
| Prediction 2 | Probability |
|---|---|
| 0 | 0.74 |
| Prediction 3 | Probability |
|---|---|
| 0 | 0.83 |
| BTC Market Regime | Coin Market Regime |
|---|---|
|
ml_regime : neutral rules_regime : bear_medium rules_regime_5m : range_low |
1H_regime : range_low 15m_regime : range_low 5m_regime : range_low |
| BTC Correlation | Score |
|---|---|
|
5m : 1 15m : 0.10506 1H : -0.031292 |
1 |
Indicators:
90608.8
7.60601E-5
90615.7
1
90563.7
0.000573223
90615.7
0.10506
90939
-0.00355621
90615.7
-0.031292
Array
(
[left_window] => 5
[right_window] => 5
[recent_pivots] => Array
(
[0] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-08 02:00:00
[1] => 89600.7
[2] => L
)
[1] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-08 09:00:00
[1] => 89265.8
[2] => L
)
[2] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-08 20:00:00
[1] => 91615.4
[2] => H
)
[3] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-09 03:00:00
[1] => 89667.4
[2] => L
)
[4] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-09 10:00:00
[1] => 91982
[2] => H
)
[5] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-09 16:00:00
[1] => 90090.6
[2] => L
)
[6] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-09 21:00:00
[1] => 90750
[2] => H
)
[7] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-09 23:00:00
[1] => 90370.5
[2] => L
)
[8] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-10 05:00:00
[1] => 90799.5
[2] => H
)
[9] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-10 13:00:00
[1] => 90458.6
[2] => L
)
)
[detected_trend] => uptrend
[features] => Array
(
[ms_trend_state] => 1
[ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.21817300756062
[ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 0.1578622706962
[ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 10
[ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 2
[ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 0.37685747955418
[ms_bos_up] => 1
[ms_bos_down] => 0
[ms_choch_up] => 0
[ms_choch_down] => 0
)
)
Array
(
[left_window] => 5
[right_window] => 5
[recent_pivots] => Array
(
[0] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-09 19:15:00
[1] => 90480
[2] => L
)
[1] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-09 21:15:00
[1] => 90750
[2] => H
)
[2] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-09 23:45:00
[1] => 90370.5
[2] => L
)
[3] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-10 00:30:00
[1] => 90588
[2] => H
)
[4] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-10 03:00:00
[1] => 90715.1
[2] => H
)
[5] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-10 05:45:00
[1] => 90799.5
[2] => H
)
[6] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-10 09:00:00
[1] => 90500
[2] => L
)
[7] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-10 12:15:00
[1] => 90711.9
[2] => H
)
[8] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-10 13:00:00
[1] => 90458.6
[2] => L
)
[9] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-10 15:00:00
[1] => 90620.4
[2] => H
)
)
[detected_trend] => downtrend
[features] => Array
(
[ms_trend_state] => -1
[ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.020966581476136
[ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 0.1578622706962
[ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 1
[ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 9
[ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 0.17886635433225
[ms_bos_up] => 0
[ms_bos_down] => 1
[ms_choch_up] => 0
[ms_choch_down] => 0
)
)
Array
(
[left_window] => 5
[right_window] => 5
[recent_pivots] => Array
(
[0] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-10 09:40:00
[1] => 90518.9
[2] => L
)
[1] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-10 10:15:00
[1] => 90609.3
[2] => H
)
[2] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-10 11:10:00
[1] => 90696.4
[2] => H
)
[3] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-10 11:30:00
[1] => 90566.8
[2] => L
)
[4] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-10 11:40:00
[1] => 90676.8
[2] => H
)
[5] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-10 12:15:00
[1] => 90711.9
[2] => H
)
[6] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-10 13:05:00
[1] => 90458.6
[2] => L
)
[7] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-10 13:40:00
[1] => 90561.4
[2] => H
)
[8] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-10 14:05:00
[1] => 90540
[2] => L
)
[9] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-10 15:10:00
[1] => 90620.4
[2] => H
)
)
[detected_trend] => uptrend
[features] => Array
(
[ms_trend_state] => 1
[ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.020966581476136
[ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 0.067815330240771
[ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 1
[ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 14
[ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 0.088800530152412
[ms_bos_up] => 1
[ms_bos_down] => 0
[ms_choch_up] => 1
[ms_choch_down] => 0
)
)
Market Structure Score: 1
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-10 09:40:00 | 90518.9 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-01-10 10:15:00 | 90609.3 | ↑ High |
| 2026-01-10 11:10:00 | 90696.4 | ↑ High |
| 2026-01-10 11:30:00 | 90566.8 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-01-10 11:40:00 | 90676.8 | ↑ High |
| 2026-01-10 12:15:00 | 90711.9 | ↑ High |
| 2026-01-10 13:05:00 | 90458.6 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-01-10 13:40:00 | 90561.4 | ↑ High |
| 2026-01-10 14:05:00 | 90540 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-01-10 15:10:00 | 90620.4 | ↑ High |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-09 19:15:00 | 90480 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-01-09 21:15:00 | 90750 | ↑ High |
| 2026-01-09 23:45:00 | 90370.5 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-01-10 00:30:00 | 90588 | ↑ High |
| 2026-01-10 03:00:00 | 90715.1 | ↑ High |
| 2026-01-10 05:45:00 | 90799.5 | ↑ High |
| 2026-01-10 09:00:00 | 90500 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-01-10 12:15:00 | 90711.9 | ↑ High |
| 2026-01-10 13:00:00 | 90458.6 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-01-10 15:00:00 | 90620.4 | ↑ High |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-08 02:00:00 | 89600.7 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-01-08 09:00:00 | 89265.8 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-01-08 20:00:00 | 91615.4 | ↑ High |
| 2026-01-09 03:00:00 | 89667.4 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-01-09 10:00:00 | 91982 | ↑ High |
| 2026-01-09 16:00:00 | 90090.6 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-01-09 21:00:00 | 90750 | ↑ High |
| 2026-01-09 23:00:00 | 90370.5 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-01-10 05:00:00 | 90799.5 | ↑ High |
| 2026-01-10 13:00:00 | 90458.6 | ↓ Low |
| Start at | Closed at | Duration |
|---|---|---|
| 10 Jan 2026 15:17:40 |
10 Jan 2026 15:30:00 |
12 minutes |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 90615.7 | 90637.5491 | 90572.0017 | 2 | 67537.8 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 90637.5491 - 90615.7 = 21.849100000007
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 90615.7 - 90572.0017 = 43.698300000004
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 43.698300000004 / 21.849100000007 = 2
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 33178.6764 | 100 | 0.3661 | 331.79 |
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
Taille de position = 8 / 21.849100000007 = 0.37
Taille de position USD = 0.37 x 90615.7 = 33527.81
Donc, tu peux acheter 0.37 avec un stoploss a 90637.5491
Avec un position size USD de 33527.81$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = 0.37 x 21.849100000007 = 8.08
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8.08$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = 0.37 x 43.698300000004 = 16.17
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 16.17$
Résumé
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.048 % | 16 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.024 % | 8 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| 16 $ | 0.05 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| 0 % | 0 % | 0 |
Array
(
[2] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 90572.0018
[stop_loss] => 90637.5491
[rr_ratio] => 2
[closed_at] => 2026-01-10 15:30:00
[result] => win
)
[2.5] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 90561.07725
[stop_loss] => 90637.5491
[rr_ratio] => 2.5
[closed_at] => 2026-01-10 15:30:00
[result] => win
)
[3] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 90550.1527
[stop_loss] => 90637.5491
[rr_ratio] => 3
[closed_at] => 2026-01-10 15:40:00
[result] => win
)
[3.5] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 90539.22815
[stop_loss] => 90637.5491
[rr_ratio] => 3.5
[closed_at] => 2026-01-10 15:55:00
[result] => win
)
[4] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 90528.3036
[stop_loss] => 90637.5491
[rr_ratio] => 4
[closed_at] => 2026-01-10 16:00:00
[result] => win
)
[4.5] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 90517.37905
[stop_loss] => 90637.5491
[rr_ratio] => 4.5
[closed_at] => 2026-01-10 16:00:00
[result] => win
)
[5] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 90506.4545
[stop_loss] => 90637.5491
[rr_ratio] => 5
[closed_at] => 2026-01-10 16:05:00
[result] => win
)
[5.5] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 90495.52995
[stop_loss] => 90637.5491
[rr_ratio] => 5.5
[closed_at] => 2026-01-10 16:05:00
[result] => win
)
[6] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 90484.6054
[stop_loss] => 90637.5491
[rr_ratio] => 6
[closed_at] => 2026-01-10 16:05:00
[result] => win
)
[6.5] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 90473.68085
[stop_loss] => 90637.5491
[rr_ratio] => 6.5
[closed_at] => 2026-01-10 16:05:00
[result] => win
)
[7] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 90462.7563
[stop_loss] => 90637.5491
[rr_ratio] => 7
[closed_at] => 2026-01-10 16:05:00
[result] => win
)
)
Array
(
)
Array
(
[short_term] => Array
(
[max_gain] => 258
[max_drawdown] => 1.0E-6
[rr_ratio] => 100
[high] => 90601.50000000
[low] => 90357.70000000
[mfe_pct] => 0.28
[mae_pct] => -0.02
[mfe_mae_ratio] =>
[candles_analyzed] => 24
[start_at] => 2026-01-10T15:17:40-05:00
[end_at] => 2026-01-10T17:17:40-05:00
)
[long_term] => Array
(
[max_gain] => 258
[max_drawdown] => 84.300000000003
[rr_ratio] => 3.06
[high] => 90700.00000000
[low] => 90357.70000000
[mfe_pct] => 0.28
[mae_pct] => 0.09
[mfe_mae_ratio] => 3.06
[candles_analyzed] => 84
[start_at] => 2026-01-10T15:17:40-05:00
[end_at] => 2026-01-10T22:17:40-05:00
)
[breakout] => Array
(
[high_before] => 90711.90000000
[high_after] => 90661.20000000
[low_before] => 90458.60000000
[low_after] => 90357.70000000
[is_new_high] =>
[is_new_low] => 1
)
)