Short Trade on XPL

The 10 Jan 2026 at 20:32:01

With 11696.0179 XPL at 0.1626$ per unit.

Position size of 1901.7725 $

Take profit at 0.1612 (0.86 %) and Stop Loss at 0.1633 (0.43 %)

That's a 2 RR Trade

Results

Status:
loss
Trade Type:
sell
ML Trade Score: -100
ML Pullback Score: 0.37
Prediction Score: 1
Prediction 1 Probability
Weak Trade
0.69
Prediction 2 Probability
0 0.72
Prediction 3 Probability
0 0.65
BTC Market Regime Coin Market Regime

ml_regime : neutral

rules_regime : bear_medium

rules_regime_5m : range_low

1H_regime : bear_high

15m_regime : range_medium

5m_regime : range_low

BTC Correlation Score

5m : 0.437747

15m : 0.181369

1H : -0.097936

1

Signal

CatchTheWave Signal - sell

Indicators:

  1. long_trend: -1
  2. short_kc: True
  3. short_kc_percentage: 0.14
  4. atr: 0.0004559956527
Details
  1. score: 1.14
  2. 1H
  3. ema9 - 0.162181
  4. ema21 - 0.163764
  5. ema50 - 0.166814
  6. ema100 - 0.173234
  7. price_ema9_diff - 0.00257811
  8. ema9_ema21_diff - -0.00966695
  9. ema21_ema50_diff - -0.0182811
  10. price_ema100_diff - -0.0613899
  11. all_emas_in_trend - True
  12. all_emas_and_price_in_trend - False
  13. ema_slope_9 - -0.216077
  14. ema_slope_21 - -0.161705
  15. ema_slope_50 - -0.130819
  16. ema_slope_100 - -0.136545
  17. rsi - 0.443996
  18. adx - 0.27415
  19. kc_percentage - 0.374746
  20. kc_width_percentage - 0.051749
  21. volume_ema_diff - -0.402327
  22. volume_ema1 - 247581.18011717
  23. volume_ema2 - 414242.17237105
  24. chop - 47.7763
  25. regime - bear_high
  26. ¸
  27. 15m
  28. ema9 - 0.161601
  29. ema21 - 0.161584
  30. ema50 - 0.162721
  31. ema100 - 0.164002
  32. price_ema9_diff - 0.00618041
  33. ema9_ema21_diff - 0.00010346
  34. ema21_ema50_diff - -0.00698511
  35. price_ema100_diff - -0.00855135
  36. all_emas_in_trend - False
  37. all_emas_and_price_in_trend - False
  38. ema_slope_9 - 0.0209311
  39. ema_slope_21 - -0.0366806
  40. ema_slope_50 - -0.0522112
  41. ema_slope_100 - -0.0414137
  42. rsi - 0.563234
  43. adx - 0.285995
  44. kc_percentage - 0.805295
  45. kc_width_percentage - 0.0210604
  46. volume_ema_diff - -0.385745
  47. volume_ema1 - 44583.464185964
  48. volume_ema2 - 72581.456692251
  49. chop - 41.8257
  50. regime - range_medium
  51. ¸
  52. 5m
  53. ema9 - 0.161898
  54. ema21 - 0.161439
  55. ema50 - 0.161325
  56. ema100 - 0.162014
  57. price_ema9_diff - 0.00433071
  58. ema9_ema21_diff - 0.00284356
  59. ema21_ema50_diff - 0.000706618
  60. price_ema100_diff - 0.00361145
  61. all_emas_in_trend - True
  62. all_emas_and_price_in_trend - True
  63. ema_slope_9 - 0.0462511
  64. ema_slope_21 - 0.0353868
  65. ema_slope_50 - 0.010597
  66. ema_slope_100 - -0.00549292
  67. rsi - 0.687177
  68. adx - 0.335595
  69. kc_percentage - 1.14063
  70. kc_width_percentage - 0.0108918
  71. volume_ema_diff - -0.0848678
  72. volume_ema1 - 21628.743217039
  73. volume_ema2 - 23634.556853752
  74. chop - 41.1374
  75. regime - range_low
  76. ¸
  77. btc_indicators
  78. btc_indicators
  79. 5m_ema100: 90551.6
  80. 5m_price_ema100_diff: -6.68036E-6
  81. 5m_price: 90551
  82. 5m_correlation_with_coin: 0.437747
  83. btc_indicators
  84. 15m_ema100: 90572.8
  85. 15m_price_ema100_diff: -0.000240819
  86. 15m_price: 90551
  87. 15m_correlation_with_coin: 0.181369
  88. btc_indicators
  89. 1H_ema100: 91124.5
  90. 1H_price_ema100_diff: -0.00629382
  91. 1H_price: 90551
  92. 1H_correlation_with_coin: -0.097936
  93. ¸

📌 Time Data

Start at Closed at Duration
10 Jan 2026
20:32:01
10 Jan 2026
20:35:00
2 minutes

📌 Entry & Exit

Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
0.1626 0.1633 0.1612 2 0.1628
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 0.1626
  • Stop Loss: 0.1633
  • Take Profit: 0.1612

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 0.1633 - 0.1626 = 0.00070000000000001

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 0.1626 - 0.1612 = 0.0014

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.0014 / 0.00070000000000001 = 2

📌 Position Size

Amount Margin Quantity Leverage
1901.7725 100 11696.0179 19.02
Details

1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade

Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade

Paramètres:

  • Account Size 100
  • Risk per trade 8 %

Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8

Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade

2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter

Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss

Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price

Paramètres:

  • Risk Amount 8
  • Distance Stop Loss 0.00070000000000001

Taille de position = 8 / 0.00070000000000001 = 11428.57

Taille de position USD = 11428.57 x 0.1626 = 1858.29

Donc, tu peux acheter 11428.57 avec un stoploss a 0.1633

Avec un position size USD de 1858.29$

3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle

Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss

Perte = 11428.57 x 0.00070000000000001 = 8

Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$

4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle

Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit

Perte = 11428.57 x 0.0014 = 16

Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 16$

Résumé

  • Taille de position 11428.57
  • Taille de position USD 1858.29
  • Perte potentielle 8
  • Gain potentiel 16
  • Risk-Reward Ratio 2

📌 Peformances

TP % Target TP $ Target
0.86 % 16.37 $
SL % Target SL $ Target
0.43 % 8.19 $
PNL PNL %
-8.19 $ -0.43
Max Drawdown Max Drawdown / SL Ratio Candles in Entry
-0.738 % 171.43 % 1

📌 ML Extra Data

Extra TP Data

                              Array
(
)
Extra SL data

                              Array
(
    [1.1] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 0.1612
            [entry_price] => 0.1626
            [stop_loss] => 0.16337
            [rr_ratio] => 1.82
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.1
            [closed_at] => 2026-01-10 20:35:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [1.2] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 0.1612
            [entry_price] => 0.1626
            [stop_loss] => 0.16344
            [rr_ratio] => 1.67
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.2
            [closed_at] => 2026-01-10 20:35:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [1.3] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 0.1612
            [entry_price] => 0.1626
            [stop_loss] => 0.16351
            [rr_ratio] => 1.54
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.3
            [closed_at] => 2026-01-10 20:35:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [1.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 0.1612
            [entry_price] => 0.1626
            [stop_loss] => 0.16365
            [rr_ratio] => 1.33
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.5
            [closed_at] => 2026-01-10 20:35:00
            [result] => loss
        )

)
Extra Pullback data

                              Array
(
    [short_term] => Array
        (
            [max_gain] => 9.9999999999989E-5
            [max_drawdown] => 0.0027
            [rr_ratio] => 0.04
            [high] => 0.16530000
            [low] => 0.16250000
            [mfe_pct] => 0.06
            [mae_pct] => 1.66
            [mfe_mae_ratio] => 0.04
            [candles_analyzed] => 24
            [start_at] => 2026-01-10T20:32:01-05:00
            [end_at] => 2026-01-10T22:32:01-05:00
        )

    [long_term] => Array
        (
            [max_gain] => 0.0015
            [max_drawdown] => 0.0027
            [rr_ratio] => 0.56
            [high] => 0.16530000
            [low] => 0.16110000
            [mfe_pct] => 0.92
            [mae_pct] => 1.66
            [mfe_mae_ratio] => 0.56
            [candles_analyzed] => 84
            [start_at] => 2026-01-10T20:32:01-05:00
            [end_at] => 2026-01-11T03:32:01-05:00
        )

    [breakout] => Array
        (
            [high_before] => 0.16270000
            [high_after] => 0.16530000
            [low_before] => 0.15850000
            [low_after] => 0.16110000
            [is_new_high] => 
            [is_new_low] => 
        )

)