Short Trade on POL 12 Jan 2026 at 03:26:27
Take profit at 0.1557 (1.95 %) and Stop Loss at 0.1604 (1.01 %)
Short Trade on POL 12 Jan 2026 at 03:26:27
Take profit at 0.1557 (1.95 %) and Stop Loss at 0.1604 (1.01 %)
Position size of 810.204 $
Take profit at 0.1557 (1.95 %) and Stop Loss at 0.1604 (1.01 %)
That's a 1.94 RR Trade| Prediction 1 | Probability |
|---|---|
|
Weak Trade
|
0.72 |
| Prediction 2 | Probability |
|---|---|
| 1 | 0.61 |
| Prediction 3 | Probability |
|---|---|
| 1 | 0.66 |
| BTC Market Regime | Coin Market Regime |
|---|---|
|
ml_regime : neutral rules_regime : bear_medium rules_regime_5m : range_low |
1H_regime : bear_high 15m_regime : bear_high 5m_regime : bull_medium |
| BTC Correlation | Score |
|---|---|
|
5m : 0.51158 15m : -0.073502 1H : -0.087495 |
1 |
Indicators:
91671.3
-0.00253947
91438.6
0.51158
91257.2
0.00282993
91515.5
-0.073502
90873.8
0.00621478
91438.6
-0.087495
Array
(
[left_window] => 5
[right_window] => 5
[recent_pivots] => Array
(
[0] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-08 02:00:00
[1] => 0.1242
[2] => L
)
[1] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-09 02:00:00
[1] => 0.1508
[2] => H
)
[2] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-09 11:00:00
[1] => 0.1599
[2] => H
)
[3] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-10 14:00:00
[1] => 0.186
[2] => H
)
[4] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-10 16:00:00
[1] => 0.186
[2] => H
)
[5] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-10 22:00:00
[1] => 0.1707
[2] => L
)
[6] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-10 23:00:00
[1] => 0.1851
[2] => H
)
[7] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-11 11:00:00
[1] => 0.1616
[2] => L
)
[8] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-12 02:00:00
[1] => 0.1515
[2] => L
)
)
[detected_trend] => downtrend
[features] => Array
(
[ms_trend_state] => -1
[ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -14.262560777958
[ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 4.7524752475248
[ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 28
[ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 1
[ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 6.6666666666667
[ms_bos_up] => 0
[ms_bos_down] => 1
[ms_choch_up] => 0
[ms_choch_down] => 0
)
)
Array
(
[left_window] => 5
[right_window] => 5
[recent_pivots] => Array
(
[0] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-11 06:00:00
[1] => 0.1699
[2] => L
)
[1] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-11 06:15:00
[1] => 0.175
[2] => H
)
[2] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-11 11:00:00
[1] => 0.1616
[2] => L
)
[3] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-11 12:30:00
[1] => 0.1717
[2] => H
)
[4] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-11 19:15:00
[1] => 0.1655
[2] => H
)
[5] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-11 20:30:00
[1] => 0.1601
[2] => L
)
[6] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-11 21:45:00
[1] => 0.1629
[2] => H
)
[7] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-11 22:15:00
[1] => 0.1629
[2] => H
)
[8] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-12 02:15:00
[1] => 0.1515
[2] => L
)
[9] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-12 03:15:00
[1] => 0.1595
[2] => H
)
)
[detected_trend] => downtrend
[features] => Array
(
[ms_trend_state] => -1
[ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.50156739811912
[ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 4.7524752475248
[ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 0
[ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 4
[ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 5.2805280528053
[ms_bos_up] => 0
[ms_bos_down] => 1
[ms_choch_up] => 0
[ms_choch_down] => 0
)
)
Array
(
[left_window] => 5
[right_window] => 5
[recent_pivots] => Array
(
[0] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-11 21:15:00
[1] => 0.1625
[2] => H
)
[1] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-11 21:25:00
[1] => 0.1604
[2] => L
)
[2] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-11 21:55:00
[1] => 0.1629
[2] => H
)
[3] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-11 22:05:00
[1] => 0.161
[2] => L
)
[4] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-11 22:20:00
[1] => 0.1629
[2] => H
)
[5] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-11 23:30:00
[1] => 0.1578
[2] => L
)
[6] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-11 23:55:00
[1] => 0.1599
[2] => H
)
[7] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-12 01:50:00
[1] => 0.1517
[2] => L
)
[8] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-12 02:25:00
[1] => 0.1515
[2] => L
)
[9] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-12 03:20:00
[1] => 0.1595
[2] => H
)
)
[detected_trend] => downtrend
[features] => Array
(
[ms_trend_state] => -1
[ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.50156739811912
[ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 4.7524752475248
[ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 1
[ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 12
[ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 5.2805280528053
[ms_bos_up] => 0
[ms_bos_down] => 1
[ms_choch_up] => 0
[ms_choch_down] => 0
)
)
Market Structure Score: 3
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-11 21:15:00 | 0.1625 | ↑ High |
| 2026-01-11 21:25:00 | 0.1604 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-01-11 21:55:00 | 0.1629 | ↑ High |
| 2026-01-11 22:05:00 | 0.161 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-01-11 22:20:00 | 0.1629 | ↑ High |
| 2026-01-11 23:30:00 | 0.1578 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-01-11 23:55:00 | 0.1599 | ↑ High |
| 2026-01-12 01:50:00 | 0.1517 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-01-12 02:25:00 | 0.1515 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-01-12 03:20:00 | 0.1595 | ↑ High |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-11 06:00:00 | 0.1699 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-01-11 06:15:00 | 0.175 | ↑ High |
| 2026-01-11 11:00:00 | 0.1616 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-01-11 12:30:00 | 0.1717 | ↑ High |
| 2026-01-11 19:15:00 | 0.1655 | ↑ High |
| 2026-01-11 20:30:00 | 0.1601 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-01-11 21:45:00 | 0.1629 | ↑ High |
| 2026-01-11 22:15:00 | 0.1629 | ↑ High |
| 2026-01-12 02:15:00 | 0.1515 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-01-12 03:15:00 | 0.1595 | ↑ High |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-08 02:00:00 | 0.1242 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-01-09 02:00:00 | 0.1508 | ↑ High |
| 2026-01-09 11:00:00 | 0.1599 | ↑ High |
| 2026-01-10 14:00:00 | 0.186 | ↑ High |
| 2026-01-10 16:00:00 | 0.186 | ↑ High |
| 2026-01-10 22:00:00 | 0.1707 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-01-10 23:00:00 | 0.1851 | ↑ High |
| 2026-01-11 11:00:00 | 0.1616 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-01-12 02:00:00 | 0.1515 | ↓ Low |
| Start at | Closed at | Duration |
|---|---|---|
| 12 Jan 2026 03:26:27 |
12 Jan 2026 03:50:00 |
23 minutes |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.1588 | 0.1604 | 0.1557 | 1.94 | 0.1139 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.1604 - 0.1588 = 0.0016
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.1588 - 0.1557 = 0.0031
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.0031 / 0.0016 = 1.9375
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 810.204 | 100 | 5102.0402 | 8.10 |
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
Taille de position = 8 / 0.0016 = 5000
Taille de position USD = 5000 x 0.1588 = 794
Donc, tu peux acheter 5000 avec un stoploss a 0.1604
Avec un position size USD de 794$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = 5000 x 0.0016 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = 5000 x 0.0031 = 15.5
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 15.5$
Résumé
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 1.95 % | 15.82 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 1.01 % | 8.16 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| -8.16 $ | -1.01 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -1.1335 % | 112.5 % | 3 |
Array
(
)
Array
(
[1.1] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 0.1557
[entry_price] => 0.1588
[stop_loss] => 0.16056
[rr_ratio] => 1.76
[sl_change_percentage] => 1.1
[closed_at] => 2026-01-12 03:50:00
[result] => loss
)
[1.2] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 0.1557
[entry_price] => 0.1588
[stop_loss] => 0.16072
[rr_ratio] => 1.61
[sl_change_percentage] => 1.2
[closed_at] => 2026-01-12 04:35:00
[result] => win
)
[1.3] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 0.1557
[entry_price] => 0.1588
[stop_loss] => 0.16088
[rr_ratio] => 1.49
[sl_change_percentage] => 1.3
[closed_at] => 2026-01-12 04:35:00
[result] => win
)
[1.5] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 0.1557
[entry_price] => 0.1588
[stop_loss] => 0.1612
[rr_ratio] => 1.29
[sl_change_percentage] => 1.5
[closed_at] => 2026-01-12 04:35:00
[result] => win
)
)
Array
(
[short_term] => Array
(
[max_gain] => 0.0039
[max_drawdown] => 0.0018
[rr_ratio] => 2.17
[high] => 0.16060000
[low] => 0.15490000
[mfe_pct] => 2.46
[mae_pct] => 1.13
[mfe_mae_ratio] => 2.17
[candles_analyzed] => 24
[start_at] => 2026-01-12T03:26:27-05:00
[end_at] => 2026-01-12T05:26:27-05:00
)
[long_term] => Array
(
[max_gain] => 0.0081
[max_drawdown] => 0.0018
[rr_ratio] => 4.5
[high] => 0.16060000
[low] => 0.15070000
[mfe_pct] => 5.1
[mae_pct] => 1.13
[mfe_mae_ratio] => 4.5
[candles_analyzed] => 84
[start_at] => 2026-01-12T03:26:27-05:00
[end_at] => 2026-01-12T10:26:27-05:00
)
[breakout] => Array
(
[high_before] => 0.15990000
[high_after] => 0.16060000
[low_before] => 0.15150000
[low_after] => 0.15070000
[is_new_high] =>
[is_new_low] => 1
)
)