Short Trade on POL 12 Jan 2026 at 03:48:36
Take profit at 0.156 (2.07 %) and Stop Loss at 0.1609 (1 %)
Short Trade on POL 12 Jan 2026 at 03:48:36
Take profit at 0.156 (2.07 %) and Stop Loss at 0.1609 (1 %)
Position size of 779.7881 $
Take profit at 0.156 (2.07 %) and Stop Loss at 0.1609 (1 %)
That's a 2.06 RR Trade| Prediction 1 | Probability |
|---|---|
|
Weak Trade
|
0.79 |
| Prediction 2 | Probability |
|---|---|
| 1 | 0.55 |
| Prediction 3 | Probability |
|---|---|
| 0 | 0.65 |
| BTC Market Regime | Coin Market Regime |
|---|---|
|
ml_regime : neutral rules_regime : bear_medium rules_regime_5m : range_low |
1H_regime : bear_high 15m_regime : bear_high 5m_regime : bull_medium |
| BTC Correlation | Score |
|---|---|
|
5m : 0.374201 15m : -0.166876 1H : 0.093004 |
1 |
Indicators:
91607.6
-0.0131525
90402.8
0.374201
91218.5
-0.00894295
90402.8
-0.166876
90853.3
-0.00495884
90402.8
0.093004
Array
(
[left_window] => 5
[right_window] => 5
[recent_pivots] => Array
(
[0] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-08 02:00:00
[1] => 0.1242
[2] => L
)
[1] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-09 02:00:00
[1] => 0.1508
[2] => H
)
[2] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-09 11:00:00
[1] => 0.1599
[2] => H
)
[3] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-10 14:00:00
[1] => 0.186
[2] => H
)
[4] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-10 16:00:00
[1] => 0.186
[2] => H
)
[5] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-10 22:00:00
[1] => 0.1707
[2] => L
)
[6] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-10 23:00:00
[1] => 0.1851
[2] => H
)
[7] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-11 11:00:00
[1] => 0.1616
[2] => L
)
[8] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-12 02:00:00
[1] => 0.1515
[2] => L
)
)
[detected_trend] => downtrend
[features] => Array
(
[ms_trend_state] => -1
[ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -13.884386817936
[ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 5.2145214521452
[ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 28
[ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 1
[ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 6.6666666666667
[ms_bos_up] => 0
[ms_bos_down] => 1
[ms_choch_up] => 0
[ms_choch_down] => 0
)
)
Array
(
[left_window] => 5
[right_window] => 5
[recent_pivots] => Array
(
[0] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-11 06:00:00
[1] => 0.1699
[2] => L
)
[1] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-11 06:15:00
[1] => 0.175
[2] => H
)
[2] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-11 11:00:00
[1] => 0.1616
[2] => L
)
[3] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-11 12:30:00
[1] => 0.1717
[2] => H
)
[4] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-11 19:15:00
[1] => 0.1655
[2] => H
)
[5] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-11 20:30:00
[1] => 0.1601
[2] => L
)
[6] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-11 21:45:00
[1] => 0.1629
[2] => H
)
[7] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-11 22:15:00
[1] => 0.1629
[2] => H
)
[8] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-12 02:15:00
[1] => 0.1515
[2] => L
)
[9] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-12 03:30:00
[1] => 0.1603
[2] => H
)
)
[detected_trend] => downtrend
[features] => Array
(
[ms_trend_state] => -1
[ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.56144728633812
[ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 5.2145214521452
[ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 1
[ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 6
[ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 5.8085808580858
[ms_bos_up] => 0
[ms_bos_down] => 1
[ms_choch_up] => 0
[ms_choch_down] => 0
)
)
Array
(
[left_window] => 5
[right_window] => 5
[recent_pivots] => Array
(
[0] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-11 21:15:00
[1] => 0.1625
[2] => H
)
[1] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-11 21:25:00
[1] => 0.1604
[2] => L
)
[2] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-11 21:55:00
[1] => 0.1629
[2] => H
)
[3] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-11 22:05:00
[1] => 0.161
[2] => L
)
[4] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-11 22:20:00
[1] => 0.1629
[2] => H
)
[5] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-11 23:30:00
[1] => 0.1578
[2] => L
)
[6] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-11 23:55:00
[1] => 0.1599
[2] => H
)
[7] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-12 01:50:00
[1] => 0.1517
[2] => L
)
[8] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-12 02:25:00
[1] => 0.1515
[2] => L
)
[9] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-12 03:40:00
[1] => 0.1603
[2] => H
)
)
[detected_trend] => range
[features] => Array
(
[ms_trend_state] => 0
[ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.56144728633812
[ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 5.2145214521452
[ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 1
[ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 16
[ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 5.8085808580858
[ms_bos_up] => 1
[ms_bos_down] => 1
[ms_choch_up] => 0
[ms_choch_down] => 0
)
)
Market Structure Score: 2
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-11 21:15:00 | 0.1625 | ↑ High |
| 2026-01-11 21:25:00 | 0.1604 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-01-11 21:55:00 | 0.1629 | ↑ High |
| 2026-01-11 22:05:00 | 0.161 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-01-11 22:20:00 | 0.1629 | ↑ High |
| 2026-01-11 23:30:00 | 0.1578 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-01-11 23:55:00 | 0.1599 | ↑ High |
| 2026-01-12 01:50:00 | 0.1517 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-01-12 02:25:00 | 0.1515 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-01-12 03:40:00 | 0.1603 | ↑ High |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-11 06:00:00 | 0.1699 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-01-11 06:15:00 | 0.175 | ↑ High |
| 2026-01-11 11:00:00 | 0.1616 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-01-11 12:30:00 | 0.1717 | ↑ High |
| 2026-01-11 19:15:00 | 0.1655 | ↑ High |
| 2026-01-11 20:30:00 | 0.1601 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-01-11 21:45:00 | 0.1629 | ↑ High |
| 2026-01-11 22:15:00 | 0.1629 | ↑ High |
| 2026-01-12 02:15:00 | 0.1515 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-01-12 03:30:00 | 0.1603 | ↑ High |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-08 02:00:00 | 0.1242 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-01-09 02:00:00 | 0.1508 | ↑ High |
| 2026-01-09 11:00:00 | 0.1599 | ↑ High |
| 2026-01-10 14:00:00 | 0.186 | ↑ High |
| 2026-01-10 16:00:00 | 0.186 | ↑ High |
| 2026-01-10 22:00:00 | 0.1707 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-01-10 23:00:00 | 0.1851 | ↑ High |
| 2026-01-11 11:00:00 | 0.1616 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-01-12 02:00:00 | 0.1515 | ↓ Low |
| Start at | Closed at | Duration |
|---|---|---|
| 12 Jan 2026 03:48:36 |
12 Jan 2026 04:35:00 |
46 minutes |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.1593 | 0.1609 | 0.156 | 2.06 | 0.1088 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.1609 - 0.1593 = 0.0016
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.1593 - 0.156 = 0.0033
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.0033 / 0.0016 = 2.0625
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 779.7881 | 100 | 4895.0915 | 7.80 |
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
Taille de position = 8 / 0.0016 = 5000
Taille de position USD = 5000 x 0.1593 = 796.5
Donc, tu peux acheter 5000 avec un stoploss a 0.1609
Avec un position size USD de 796.5$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = 5000 x 0.0016 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = 5000 x 0.0033 = 16.5
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 16.5$
Résumé
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 2.07 % | 16.15 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 1 % | 7.83 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| 16.15 $ | 2.07 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -0.8161 % | 81.25 % | 3 |
Array
(
[2] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 0.1561
[stop_loss] => 0.1609
[rr_ratio] => 2
[closed_at] => 2026-01-12 04:30:00
[result] => win
)
[2.5] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 0.1553
[stop_loss] => 0.1609
[rr_ratio] => 2.5
[closed_at] => 2026-01-12 04:45:00
[result] => win
)
[3] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 0.1545
[stop_loss] => 0.1609
[rr_ratio] => 3
[closed_at] => 2026-01-12 05:45:00
[result] => win
)
[3.5] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 0.1537
[stop_loss] => 0.1609
[rr_ratio] => 3.5
[closed_at] => 2026-01-12 05:45:00
[result] => win
)
[4] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 0.1529
[stop_loss] => 0.1609
[rr_ratio] => 4
[closed_at] => 2026-01-12 07:25:00
[result] => win
)
[4.5] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 0.1521
[stop_loss] => 0.1609
[rr_ratio] => 4.5
[closed_at] => 2026-01-12 08:05:00
[result] => win
)
[5] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 0.1513
[stop_loss] => 0.1609
[rr_ratio] => 5
[closed_at] => 2026-01-12 08:40:00
[result] => win
)
)
Array
(
)
Array
(
[short_term] => Array
(
[max_gain] => 0.0061
[max_drawdown] => 0.0013
[rr_ratio] => 4.69
[high] => 0.16060000
[low] => 0.15320000
[mfe_pct] => 3.83
[mae_pct] => 0.82
[mfe_mae_ratio] => 4.69
[candles_analyzed] => 24
[start_at] => 2026-01-12T03:48:36-05:00
[end_at] => 2026-01-12T05:48:36-05:00
)
[long_term] => Array
(
[max_gain] => 0.0086
[max_drawdown] => 0.0013
[rr_ratio] => 6.62
[high] => 0.16060000
[low] => 0.15070000
[mfe_pct] => 5.4
[mae_pct] => 0.82
[mfe_mae_ratio] => 6.62
[candles_analyzed] => 84
[start_at] => 2026-01-12T03:48:36-05:00
[end_at] => 2026-01-12T10:48:36-05:00
)
[breakout] => Array
(
[high_before] => 0.16030000
[high_after] => 0.16060000
[low_before] => 0.15150000
[low_after] => 0.15070000
[is_new_high] =>
[is_new_low] => 1
)
)