Short Trade on XPL 12 Jan 2026 at 11:34:31
Take profit at 0.1578 (1.68 %) and Stop Loss at 0.1619 (0.87 %)
Short Trade on XPL 12 Jan 2026 at 11:34:31
Take profit at 0.1578 (1.68 %) and Stop Loss at 0.1619 (0.87 %)
Position size of 948.1714 $
Take profit at 0.1578 (1.68 %) and Stop Loss at 0.1619 (0.87 %)
That's a 1.93 RR Trade| Prediction 1 | Probability |
|---|---|
|
Weak Trade
|
0.87 |
| Prediction 2 | Probability |
|---|---|
| 1 | 0.73 |
| Prediction 3 | Probability |
|---|---|
| 0 | 0.63 |
| BTC Market Regime | Coin Market Regime |
|---|---|
|
ml_regime : neutral rules_regime : bear_medium rules_regime_5m : range_low |
1H_regime : bear_high 15m_regime : range_high 5m_regime : bull_medium_confirmed |
| BTC Correlation | Score |
|---|---|
|
5m : 0.746857 15m : 0.204262 1H : 0.182405 |
1 |
Indicators:
91045.6
0.0109342
92041.2
0.746857
91098.3
0.01035
92041.2
0.204262
90769.3
0.0140119
92041.2
0.182405
Array
(
[left_window] => 5
[right_window] => 5
[recent_pivots] => Array
(
[0] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-10 00:00:00
[1] => 0.1637
[2] => L
)
[1] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-10 07:00:00
[1] => 0.1678
[2] => H
)
[2] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-10 17:00:00
[1] => 0.1585
[2] => L
)
[3] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-10 22:00:00
[1] => 0.1653
[2] => H
)
[4] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-11 01:00:00
[1] => 0.1611
[2] => L
)
[5] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-11 09:00:00
[1] => 0.1706
[2] => H
)
[6] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-11 19:00:00
[1] => 0.1597
[2] => L
)
[7] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-11 22:00:00
[1] => 0.1669
[2] => H
)
[8] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-12 09:00:00
[1] => 0.1546
[2] => L
)
[9] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-12 11:00:00
[1] => 0.1617
[2] => H
)
)
[detected_trend] => downtrend
[features] => Array
(
[ms_trend_state] => -1
[ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.74211502782932
[ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 3.8163001293661
[ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 0
[ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 2
[ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 4.5924967658474
[ms_bos_up] => 0
[ms_bos_down] => 1
[ms_choch_up] => 0
[ms_choch_down] => 0
)
)
Array
(
[left_window] => 5
[right_window] => 5
[recent_pivots] => Array
(
[0] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-11 16:45:00
[1] => 0.1659
[2] => H
)
[1] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-11 18:00:00
[1] => 0.1613
[2] => L
)
[2] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-11 19:45:00
[1] => 0.1597
[2] => L
)
[3] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-11 20:00:00
[1] => 0.1654
[2] => H
)
[4] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-11 22:15:00
[1] => 0.1669
[2] => H
)
[5] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-11 23:00:00
[1] => 0.1611
[2] => L
)
[6] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-12 04:45:00
[1] => 0.1561
[2] => L
)
[7] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-12 07:00:00
[1] => 0.1596
[2] => H
)
[8] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-12 09:15:00
[1] => 0.1546
[2] => L
)
[9] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-12 11:30:00
[1] => 0.1617
[2] => H
)
)
[detected_trend] => range
[features] => Array
(
[ms_trend_state] => 0
[ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.74211502782932
[ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 3.8163001293661
[ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 0
[ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 9
[ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 4.5924967658474
[ms_bos_up] => 1
[ms_bos_down] => 1
[ms_choch_up] => 0
[ms_choch_down] => 0
)
)
Array
(
[left_window] => 5
[right_window] => 5
[recent_pivots] => Array
(
[0] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-12 06:30:00
[1] => 0.1593
[2] => H
)
[1] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-12 07:05:00
[1] => 0.1596
[2] => H
)
[2] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-12 07:20:00
[1] => 0.1596
[2] => H
)
[3] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-12 07:55:00
[1] => 0.159
[2] => H
)
[4] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-12 08:40:00
[1] => 0.1553
[2] => L
)
[5] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-12 09:20:00
[1] => 0.1546
[2] => L
)
[6] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-12 09:35:00
[1] => 0.1578
[2] => H
)
[7] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-12 10:20:00
[1] => 0.1584
[2] => H
)
[8] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-12 11:20:00
[1] => 0.1577
[2] => L
)
[9] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-12 11:30:00
[1] => 0.1617
[2] => H
)
)
[detected_trend] => uptrend
[features] => Array
(
[ms_trend_state] => 1
[ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.74211502782932
[ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 1.7755231452124
[ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 0
[ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 2
[ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 2.5364616360178
[ms_bos_up] => 1
[ms_bos_down] => 0
[ms_choch_up] => 0
[ms_choch_down] => 0
)
)
Market Structure Score: 1
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-12 06:30:00 | 0.1593 | ↑ High |
| 2026-01-12 07:05:00 | 0.1596 | ↑ High |
| 2026-01-12 07:20:00 | 0.1596 | ↑ High |
| 2026-01-12 07:55:00 | 0.159 | ↑ High |
| 2026-01-12 08:40:00 | 0.1553 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-01-12 09:20:00 | 0.1546 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-01-12 09:35:00 | 0.1578 | ↑ High |
| 2026-01-12 10:20:00 | 0.1584 | ↑ High |
| 2026-01-12 11:20:00 | 0.1577 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-01-12 11:30:00 | 0.1617 | ↑ High |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-11 16:45:00 | 0.1659 | ↑ High |
| 2026-01-11 18:00:00 | 0.1613 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-01-11 19:45:00 | 0.1597 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-01-11 20:00:00 | 0.1654 | ↑ High |
| 2026-01-11 22:15:00 | 0.1669 | ↑ High |
| 2026-01-11 23:00:00 | 0.1611 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-01-12 04:45:00 | 0.1561 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-01-12 07:00:00 | 0.1596 | ↑ High |
| 2026-01-12 09:15:00 | 0.1546 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-01-12 11:30:00 | 0.1617 | ↑ High |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-10 00:00:00 | 0.1637 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-01-10 07:00:00 | 0.1678 | ↑ High |
| 2026-01-10 17:00:00 | 0.1585 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-01-10 22:00:00 | 0.1653 | ↑ High |
| 2026-01-11 01:00:00 | 0.1611 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-01-11 09:00:00 | 0.1706 | ↑ High |
| 2026-01-11 19:00:00 | 0.1597 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-01-11 22:00:00 | 0.1669 | ↑ High |
| 2026-01-12 09:00:00 | 0.1546 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-01-12 11:00:00 | 0.1617 | ↑ High |
| Start at | Closed at | Duration |
|---|---|---|
| 12 Jan 2026 11:34:31 |
12 Jan 2026 11:55:00 |
20 minutes |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.1605 | 0.1619 | 0.1578 | 1.93 | 0.0927 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.1619 - 0.1605 = 0.0014
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.1605 - 0.1578 = 0.0027
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.0027 / 0.0014 = 1.9286
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 948.1714 | 100 | 5907.6102 | 9.48 |
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
Taille de position = 8 / 0.0014 = 5714.29
Taille de position USD = 5714.29 x 0.1605 = 917.14
Donc, tu peux acheter 5714.29 avec un stoploss a 0.1619
Avec un position size USD de 917.14$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = 5714.29 x 0.0014 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = 5714.29 x 0.0027 = 15.43
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 15.43$
Résumé
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 1.68 % | 15.95 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.87 % | 8.27 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| -8.27 $ | -0.87 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -0.9346 % | 107.14 % | 4 |
Array
(
)
Array
(
[1.1] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 0.1578
[entry_price] => 0.1605
[stop_loss] => 0.16204
[rr_ratio] => 1.75
[sl_change_percentage] => 1.1
[closed_at] => 2026-01-12 12:30:00
[result] => win
)
[1.2] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 0.1578
[entry_price] => 0.1605
[stop_loss] => 0.16218
[rr_ratio] => 1.61
[sl_change_percentage] => 1.2
[closed_at] => 2026-01-12 12:30:00
[result] => win
)
[1.3] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 0.1578
[entry_price] => 0.1605
[stop_loss] => 0.16232
[rr_ratio] => 1.48
[sl_change_percentage] => 1.3
[closed_at] => 2026-01-12 12:30:00
[result] => win
)
[1.5] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 0.1578
[entry_price] => 0.1605
[stop_loss] => 0.1626
[rr_ratio] => 1.29
[sl_change_percentage] => 1.5
[closed_at] => 2026-01-12 12:30:00
[result] => win
)
)
Array
(
[short_term] => Array
(
[max_gain] => 0.0047
[max_drawdown] => 0.0015
[rr_ratio] => 3.13
[high] => 0.16200000
[low] => 0.15580000
[mfe_pct] => 2.93
[mae_pct] => 0.93
[mfe_mae_ratio] => 3.13
[candles_analyzed] => 24
[start_at] => 2026-01-12T11:34:31-05:00
[end_at] => 2026-01-12T13:34:31-05:00
)
[long_term] => Array
(
[max_gain] => 0.0084
[max_drawdown] => 0.0015
[rr_ratio] => 5.6
[high] => 0.16200000
[low] => 0.15210000
[mfe_pct] => 5.23
[mae_pct] => 0.93
[mfe_mae_ratio] => 5.6
[candles_analyzed] => 84
[start_at] => 2026-01-12T11:34:31-05:00
[end_at] => 2026-01-12T18:34:31-05:00
)
[breakout] => Array
(
[high_before] => 0.16170000
[high_after] => 0.16200000
[low_before] => 0.15460000
[low_after] => 0.15210000
[is_new_high] =>
[is_new_low] => 1
)
)